Download or read book Equilibrium Cross section of Returns written by Joao Gomes and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Equilibrium Cross Section of Returns written by Joao F. Gomes and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explicitly link expected stock returns to firm characteristics such as firm size and book-to-market ratio in a dynamic general equilibrium production economy. Despite the fact that stock returns in the model are characterized by an intertemporal CAPM with the market portfolio as the only factor, size and book-to-market play separate roles in describing the cross-section of returns. These firm characteristics appear to predict stock returns because they are correlated with the true conditional market beta of returns. These cross-sectional relations can subsist after one controls for a typical empirical estimate of market beta. This lends support to the view that the documented ability of size and book-to-market to explain the cross-section of stock returns is not necessarily inconsistent with a single-factor conditional CAPM model. Our model also gives rise to a number of additional implications for the cross-section of returns. In this paper, we focus on the business cycle properties of returns and firm characteristics. Our results appear consistent with the limited existing evidence and provide a benchmark for future empirical studies.cycle properties.
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory written by Darrell Duffie and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-01-27 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a thoroughly updated edition of Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory, the standard text for doctoral students and researchers on the theory of asset pricing and portfolio selection in multiperiod settings under uncertainty. The asset pricing results are based on the three increasingly restrictive assumptions: absence of arbitrage, single-agent optimality, and equilibrium. These results are unified with two key concepts, state prices and martingales. Technicalities are given relatively little emphasis, so as to draw connections between these concepts and to make plain the similarities between discrete and continuous-time models. Readers will be particularly intrigued by this latest edition's most significant new feature: a chapter on corporate securities that offers alternative approaches to the valuation of corporate debt. Also, while much of the continuous-time portion of the theory is based on Brownian motion, this third edition introduces jumps--for example, those associated with Poisson arrivals--in order to accommodate surprise events such as bond defaults. Applications include term-structure models, derivative valuation, and hedging methods. Numerical methods covered include Monte Carlo simulation and finite-difference solutions for partial differential equations. Each chapter provides extensive problem exercises and notes to the literature. A system of appendixes reviews the necessary mathematical concepts. And references have been updated throughout. With this new edition, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory remains at the head of the field.
Download or read book Implications of Keeping up with the Joneses Behavior for the Equilibrium Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Juan-Pedro Gomez and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests the cross-section implications of quot;keeping up with the Jonesesquot; (KUJ) preferences in an international setting. When agents have KUJ preferences, in the presence of un-diversifiable non-financial wealth, both world and domestic risk (the idiosyncratic component of domestic wealth) are priced, and the equilibrium price of risk of the domestic factor is negative. We use labor income as a proxy for domestic wealth and find empirical support for these predictions. Our test includes securities from the US, UK, Japan and Germany. In terms of explaining the cross-section of stocks returns and the size of the pricing errors, the model based on relative wealth concerns performs better than alternative international asset pricing models.
Download or read book Information Precision Noise and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Radu Burlacu and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive a cross-sectional asset pricing measure from a noisy multi-asset rational expectations equilibrium model. The measure is based on the time-series covariance of an asset's returns and security prices. Empirically, stocks with a measure one standard deviation above and below the average have returns that differ by 0.36% the following month (4.44% per annum) which is statistically significant at the 1%-level. Results remain significant after including variables such as stock market capitalization, book-to-market ratio, and the probability of information-based trading. Our measure can be understood as a proxy for information risk and/or supply uncertainty. We show the two explanations are theoretically intertwined.
Download or read book The Cross Section of Common Stock Returns written by Donald B. Keim and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A growing number of empirical studies suggest that betas of common stocks do not adequately explain cross-sectional differences in stock returns. Instead, a number of other variables (e.g., size, ratio of book to market, earnings/price) that have no basis in extant theoretical models seem to have significantly predictive ability. Some interpret the findings as evidence of market efficiency. Others argue that the Capital Asset Pricing Model is an incomplete description of equilibrium price formation and these variables are proxies for additional risk factors. In this paper we review the evidence on the cross-sectional behavior of common stock returns on the U.S. and other equity markets around the world. We also report some new evidence on these cross-sectional relations using data from both U.S. and international stock markets. We find, among other results, that although the return premia associated with these ad hoc variables are significant in most international stock markets, the premia are uncorrelated across markets. The accumulating evidence prompts the following question: If these return premia occur primarily in January and are uncorrelated across major international equity markets, is it reasonable to characterize them as compensation for risk?
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.
Download or read book The Federal Reserve and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Erica X. N. Li and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the effects of monetary policy on the equity premium and the cross-section of stock returns in a general equilibrium framework. Monetary policy is conducted using an interest-rate policy rule reacting to inflation and has real effects due to nominal rigidities in the production sector. The model predicts that higher price rigidities and lower policy responses to inflation generate higher equity premiums. Moreover, industries with lower price rigidities earn higher expected returns than industries with higher price rigidities. We provide a consumption-based explanation for this result. Real profits of industries with low rigidities are more sensitive to monetary policy shocks than profits of industries with high rigidities. Since profits are positively correlated with aggregate consumption, investors require higher compensations for holding stocks with lower profits when marginal utility is high. In addition, the difference in expected returns between high and low rigidity industries decreases when the response of monetary policy to inflation is more aggressive. We find empirical evidence supporting all model's predictions.
Download or read book Monetary Policy Risk and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Erica X. N. Li and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effects of monetary policy shocks on the equity premium and the cross-section of stock returns are analyzed in general equilibrium. Policy shocks affect real stock returns as a result of nominal product price rigidities. Two opposite effects determine the impact of policy shocks on stock returns. A contractionary shock increases the marginal utility of consumption, reduces aggregate output, and increases production markups. The output reduction requires a positive premium in expected returns. The markup increase acts as a consumption hedge and involves a negative premium. Low elasticities of intertemporal substitution of consumption and labor amplify the markup effect and can generate a negative net effect on the equity premium. In the cross-section, a contractionary shock reduces the relative output and expands the relative markup of a more rigid price industry with respect to a more flexible price industry. If the relative markup expansion dominates the relative output decline, the expected stock return of the more flexible price industry is higher than that of the more rigid price one. As the responsiveness of the policy to economic conditions increases, the effects of policy shocks on the equity premium and the cross-section decline. In addition, the policy-induced markup variation generates time variation in expected returns.
Download or read book Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered written by Mathias Külpmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-20 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathias Külpmann presents a framework to evaluate whether the stock market is in line with underlying fundamentals. The new and revised edition offers an up to date introduction to the controversy between rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Empirical evidence of stock market overreaction are investigated within the paradigms of rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Although this monograph will not promise the reader to become a millionaire, it offers a road to obtain a deeper understanding of the forces which drive stock returns. It should be of interest to anyone interested in what drives performance in the stock market.
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Download or read book Quantitative Investing for the Global Markets written by Peter Carman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1997 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First Published in 1997. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Download or read book What Does the Cross Section Tell About Itself Explaining Equity Risk Premia with Stock Return Moments written by Ilan Cooper and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive a parsimonious three-factor asset pricing model (cross-sectional CAPM, CS-CAPM) in which stock return dispersion (realized cross-sectional variance of long-short equity portfolios) and stock return skewness (realized cross-sectional skewness of equity portfolios) are the driving forces in pricing cross-sectional equity risk premia. Market segmentation leads these two factors to be priced in equilibrium. The model offers a large fit for the joint cross-sectional risk premia associated with 16 prominent CAPM anomalies, with explanatory ratios above 40%. The CS-CAPM compares favorably with multifactor models widely used in the literature. The cross-sectional factors are not subsumed by traditional macro risk factors.
Download or read book Option Implied Variance Asymmetry and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Tao Huang and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find a positive relationship between individual stocks' implied variance asymmetry, defined as the difference between upside and downside risk-neutral semivariances extracted from out-of-money options, and future stock returns. The high-minus-low hedge portfolio earns the excess return of 0.90% (0.67%) per month in equal-weighted (value-weighted) returns. We show that implied variance asymmetry provides a neat measure of risk-neutral skewness and outperforms the standard risk-neutral skewness in predicting the cross-section of future stock returns. Risk-based equilibrium asset pricing models can not explain such a positive relationship, which instead can be potentially explained by information asymmetry and informed trading.
Download or read book Equilibrium Anomalies written by Michael F. Ferguson and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many empirical quot;anomaliesquot; are actually consistent with the single beta CAPM if the empiricist utilizes an equity-only proxy for the true market portfolio. Equity betas estimated against this particular inefficient proxy will be understated, with the error increasing with the firm's leverage. Thus, firm-specific variables that correlate with leverage (such as book-to-market and size) will appear to explain returns after controlling for proxy beta simply because they capture the missing beta risk.We demonstrate this by constructing a hypothetical economy where the single-beta CAPM prices all assets and where firms are allowed to have simple capital structures. This framework allows us to compare the true betas of the economy's financial assets with the proxy betas generated from any market proxy.Our model provides a specific roadmap for recovering CAPM expected returns for use in applications of the static CAPM (like performance measurement and the corporate cost of capital). The model implies that if the single-factor CAPM holds, factors formed on relative leverage and relative distress should provide the best complements to the equity market index for explaining the cross-section of returns. In fact, we find that loadings on portfolios formed on relative leverage and relative distress completely subsume the powers of the Fama and French (1993) SMB and HML factors in explaining cross-sectional returns.
Download or read book Growth to Value written by Hengjie Ai and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We put forward an equilibrium model that links the cross-sectional variation in expected equity returns to firms' life cycle dynamics. The model features two sources of risks: short and long-run fluctuations in aggregate consumption, as in Bansal and Yaron (2004). Growth assets in the model are options on assets in place (i.e., value assets). The cost of option exercise, endogenously determined in equilibrium, is highly sensitive to long-run consumption risks. This provides a hedge against risks in assets in place, making growth options less risky and generating the value premium. The model is also able to endogenize the size premium: small firms in the model are highly exposed to low-frequency consumption risks as they are more likely to fail in bad times; hence, in equilibrium, small firms carry a high risk premium. In the model, the null hypothesis of the conditional CAPM/CCAPM fails: the value and size effects persist even after controlling for market risk or exposure to contemporaneous consumption innovations. We calibrate the model and show that it is able to account for the observed patterns in mean returns on book-to-market and size sorted portfolios, as well as the failure of the CAPM/CCAPM in the data.
