Download or read book Dynamic Interactions Between Trade Flows and Exchange Rates written by Kazuo Ueda and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Dynamic Interaction of Exchange Rates and Trade Flows written by William H. Branson and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the fifteen years since 1970, the theory of exchange-rate determination has been completely transformed. In the late 1960s, the standard model of the foreign exchange market had supply and demand as stable functions of exports and imports, with the expection that a floating rate would move gradually with relative price changes. However, the period of floating rates that began in the early 1970s has revealed that exchange rates exhibit the volatility of financial market prices.This experience, coupled with development of theory, led first to the"monetary" approach to exchange rate determination and then to the "asset market" approach. The monetary approach to exchange rate determination had essentially one-way causation from money to exchange rates, sometimes via purchasing power parity. The broader asset market approach assumes two-way causation.The exchange rate, in the asset-market view, is proximately determined by financial-market equilibrium conditions. It, in turn, influences the trade balance and the current account. The latter, in its turn, is the rate of accumulation of national claims on foreigners, and this feeds back into financial market equilibrium. Thus the asset market approach contains a dynamic feedback mechanism in foreign assets and exchange rates. This approach is called here a "fundamentals" model of exchange rate dynamics. Recent work on rational expectations adds a layer of expectations to the model. It is assumed that following an unexpected disturbance the market can anticipate where the fundamentals will move the system, and move the exchange rate in anticipation of that fundamentals path. This paper integrates the traditional elasticities and absorption approaches into the general equilibrium fundamentals model, and then add the expectations layer. The model is used to interpret recent shifts in U.S. fiscal policy and portfolio preferences for the dollar
Download or read book The Dynamic Interaction of Exchange Rates and Trade Flows written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Download or read book Dollar Invoicing Global Value Chains and the Business Cycle Dynamics of International Trade written by Mr. David Cook and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-02-11 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent literature has highlighted that international trade is mostly priced in a few key vehicle currencies and is increasingly dominated by intermediate goods and global value chains (GVCs). Taking these features into account, this paper reexamines the relationship between monetary policy, exchange rates and international trade flows. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) framework, it finds key differences between the response of final goods and GVC trade to both domestic and foreign shocks depending on the origin and ultimate destination of value added and the intermediate shipments involved. For example, the model shows that in response to a dollar appreciation triggered by a US interest rate increase, direct bilateral trade between non-US countries contracts more than global value chain oriented trade which feeds US final demand, and exports to the US decline much more when measured in gross as opposed to value added terms. We use granular data on GVCs at the sector level to document empirical evidence in favor of these key predictions of the model.
Download or read book Essays on the dynamic interaction of trade and capital flows and exchange rates written by Nikolas Adam Muller-Plantenberg and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Changing Patterns of Global Trade written by Nagwa Riad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-15 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changing Patterns of Global Trade outlines the factors underlying important shifts in global trade that have occurred in recent decades. The emergence of global supply chains and their increasing role in trade patterns allowed emerging market economies to boost their inputs in high-technology exports and is associated with increased trade interconnectedness.The analysis points to one important trend taking place over the last decade: the emergence of China as a major systemically important trading hub, reflecting not only the size of trade but also the increase in number of its significant trading partners.
Download or read book China s Growing Role in World Trade written by Robert C. Feenstra and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-10 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In less than three decades, China has grown from playing a negligible role in international trade to being one of the world's largest exporters, a substantial importer of raw materials, intermediate outputs, and other goods, and both a recipient and source of foreign investment. Not surprisingly, China's economic dynamism has generated considerable attention and concern in the United States and beyond. While some analysts have warned of the potential pitfalls of China's rise—the loss of jobs, for example—others have highlighted the benefits of new market and investment opportunities for US firms. Bringing together an expert group of contributors, China's Growing Role in World Trade undertakes an empirical investigation of the effects of China's new status. The essays collected here provide detailed analyses of the microstructure of trade, the macroeconomic implications, sector-level issues, and foreign direct investment. This volume's careful examination of micro data in light of established economic theories clarifies a number of misconceptions, disproves some conventional wisdom, and documents data patterns that enhance our understanding of China's trade and what it may mean to the rest of the world.
Download or read book Economic Adjustment and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries written by Sebastian Edwards and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of the attention paid exchange rates in recent economic debates on developing countries, relatively few studies have systematically analyzed in detail the various ramifications of exchange rate policy in these countries. In this new volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research, leading economists use rigorous models to tackle various exchange rate issues, while also illuminating policy implications that emerge from their analyses. The volume, divided into four main sections, addresses: the role of exchange rates in stabilization programs and the adjustment process; the importance of exchange rate policy during liberalization reform in developing countries; exchange rate problems relevant and unique to developing countries, illustrated by case studies; and the problems defining, measuring, and identifying determinants of real exchange rates. Authors of individual papers examine the relation between commercial policies and exchange rates, the role of exchange rate policy in stabilization programs, the effectiveness of devaluations as a policy tool, and the interaction between exchange rate terms of trade an capital flow. This research will not only prove crucial to our understanding of the role of exchange rates in developing countries, but will clearly set the standard for future work in the field.
Download or read book The Relationship Between Exchange Rates and International Trade written by Marc Auboin and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Exchange Rates Prices and World Trade written by Meher Manzur and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1993-01-01 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, exchange rates, prices, and world trade have taken on a new significance and are now among the most widely debated issues in economics. Exchange Rates, Prices and World Tradeoffers a simple yet sophisticated analytical approach to deal with the most controversial issues in exchange rate economies. Meher Manzur provides a systematic treatment of the interaction between national price levels and exchange rates, the formation of expectations regarding exchange rates, and the effects of real exchange rate changes on trade flows. Drawing from the most current information, he provides a new methodology for the listing of purchasing power parity and an original approach to the measurement of variation in the structure of relative prices and use of new measures in econometric work. He also presents a model to link the patterns of world trade to variations in relative prices and examines modern issues related to the characteristics of foreign exchange markets. Exchange Rates, Prices and World Tradeprovides strong analytical frameworks and empirical results which will be of great use to researchers, policy makers, and those studying finance.
Download or read book Essays on Exchange Rate Risk Asset Returns and Trade Flows in East Asian Emerging Market Economies written by Dilara Tas and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation examines the dynamic relationship between stock returns and exchange rates, as well as the effect of time-varying exchange rate risk on Asian financial capital markets and trade flows in the pre- and post-Asian crisis periods. As an introduction to the dissertation, we discuss the East Asian emerging market economies' common features and their economic indicators. We also examine the 1997 crisis period, its potential causes, and effects to the region and the world markets.
Download or read book The Relationship Between Exchange Rates and International Trade written by Marc Auboin and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper surveys a wide body of economic literature on the relationship between currencies and trade. Specifically, two main issues are investigated: the impact on international trade of exchange rate volatility and of currency misalignments. On average, exchange rate volatility has a negative (even if not large) impact on trade flows. The extent of this effect depends on a number of factors, including the existence of hedging instruments, the structure of production (e.g. the prevalence of small firms), and the degree of economic integration across countries. Exchange rate misalignments are predicted to have short-run effects in models with price rigidities, but the exact impact depends on a number of features, such as the pricing strategy of firms engaging in international trade and the importance of global production networks. This effect is predicted to disappear in the long-run, unless some other distortion characterizes the economy. Empirical results confirm that short-run effects can exist, but their size and persistence over time are not consistent across different studies. -- Exchange rates ; volatility ; misalignments ; international trade
Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Trade Balance written by Senal A. Weerasooriya and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance is a key component for a developing nation. Although, in theoretical sense, depreciation of currency would result in an improvement in the trade balance, sluggish response of trade flows to changes in currency has prompted researches to look in to the possible existence of a pattern. Studies conducted in this regard have predominantly tested for two such patterns i.e. the J-curve and the S-curve. J-curve theory postulates that depreciation would worsen the trade balance in the short-run before improving in the long-run. In contrast, S-curve theory postulates that in a general equilibrium model, there would be a positive correlation between the current exchange rate and future trade balance and a negative correlation between the current exchange rate and past trade balance. This study employs data from Sri Lankan bilateral and industry level trade in analyzing both curves. For the J-curve, the study employs the ARDL cointegration approach and error correction techniques. Cross-correlation functions are used to analyze the S-curve. Results demonstrate that for Sri Lanka, occurrence of the J-curve is not as strong as it would be compared to a developed nation mainly because (1) of data aggregation and (2) the possibility that Sri Lankan trade may not follow the assumptions made in deriving the J-curve. Underlying drivers as trade policies and supply demand shocks could be incorporated into the analysis of the J-curve for more comprehensive results. The study concludes that S-curve analysis should be considered preliminary and could be used as a precursor for further analyses.
Download or read book Exchange Rates and Trade Flows written by Kalpana Kappagantula and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Model of Trade and Exchange Rate Projections written by Hannu Halttunen and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops and applies a model of world trade and exchange rates to analyze dynamic interaction of the current account and exchange rate. The model is designed to concentrate on the determination of trade flows, prices and exchange rates for the OECD member countries but it also covers oil exporting countries, other developing countries and Centrally Planned Economies. The model contains exchange rate equations, based on the asset market approach, for major OECI) countries and adjustable pegging rules for small OECD countries and for non-oil LDOs. These provide the link from asset accumulation through the current account to the exchange rate. With the integration of exchange rate equations into the trade model, it can be used to analyze outcomes of different exchange rate regimes and alternative growth prospects in the OECD area. Simulation results indicate that the model produces a smooth and slow adjustment process for exchange rates and current accounts. They also show that with the higher growth target for an individual country large current account deficits may occur or large changes in real exchange rates are needed to reach the external equilibrium.
Download or read book A New Look at Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows written by Mr. Peter B. Clark and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-09-30 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade flows was examined by a 1984 IMF study on G-7 countries. Over the past two decades, many developments in the world economy, such as the currency crises in the 1990s and increasing cross-border capital flows, may have exacerbated exchange rate volatility, while others, such as a deepening of the market in foreign exchange hedging instruments, may have reduced the impact of volatility on trade flows. Using recent advances in the economic theories on trade and in statistical methodologies, this paper revisits this important issue by taking into account these new developments and examining their effects on developing and transition economies, as well as on developed countries.
