Download or read book Covariance Risk Mispricing and the Gross Section of Security Returns written by Kent D. Daniel and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Covariance Risk Mispricing and the Cross Section of Security Returns written by Kent D. Daniel and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers a model in which asset rices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firms' prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are linearly related to both risk and mispricing measures (e.g., fundamental/price ratios). With many securities, mispricing of idiosyncratic value components diminishes but systematic mispricing does not. The theory offers untested empirical implications about volume, volatility, fundamental/price ratios, and mean returns, and is consistent with several empirical findings. These include the ability of fundamental/price ratios and market value to forecast returns, and the domination of beta by these variables in some studies.
Download or read book Covariance Risk Mispricing and the Cross Section of Security Returns written by Kent Daniel and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers a multisecurity model in which prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firms' prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade to profit from mispricing. We derive a pricing relationship in which expected returns are linearly related to both risk and mispricing variables. The model thereby implies a multivariate relation between expected return, beta, and variables that proxy for mispricing of idiosyncratic components of value tends to be arbitraged away but systematic mispricing is not. The theory is consistent with several empirical findings regarding the cross-section of equity returns, including: the observed ability of fundamental/price ratios to forecast aggregate and cross-sectional returns, and of market value but not non-market size measures to forecast returns cross-sectionally; and the ability in some studies of fundamental/price ratios and market value to dominate traditional measures of security risk. The model also offers several untested empirical implications for the cross-section of expected returns and for the relation of volume to subsequent volatility
Download or read book Successful Investing Is a Process written by Jacques Lussier and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-01-21 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A process-driven approach to investment management that lets you achieve the same high gains as the most successful portfolio managers, but at half the cost What do you pay for when you hire a portfolio manager? Is it his or her unique experience and expertise, a set of specialized analytical skills possessed by only a few? The truth, according to industry insider Jacques Lussier, is that, despite their often grandiose claims, most successful investment managers, themselves, can't properly explain their successes. In this book Lussier argues convincingly that most of the gains achieved by professional portfolio managers can be accounted for not by special knowledge or arcane analytical methodologies, but proper portfolio management processes whether they are aware of this or not. More importantly, Lussier lays out a formal process-oriented approach proven to consistently garner most of the excess gains generated by traditional analysis-intensive approaches, but at a fraction of the cost since it could be fully implemented internally. Profit from more than a half-century's theoretical and empirical literature, as well as the author's own experiences as a top investment strategist Learn an approach, combining several formal management processes, that simplifies portfolio management and makes its underlying qualities more transparent, while lowering costs significantly Discover proven methods for exploiting the inefficiencies of traditional benchmarks, as well as the behavioral biases of investors and corporate management, for consistently high returns Learn to use highly-efficient portfolio management and rebalancing methodologies and an approach to diversification that yields returns far greater than traditional investment programs
Download or read book Investment Theory and Risk Management written by Steven Peterson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-04-18 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique perspective on applied investment theory and risk management from the Senior Risk Officer of a major pension fund Investment Theory and Risk Management is a practical guide to today's investment environment. The book's sophisticated quantitative methods are examined by an author who uses these methods at the Virginia Retirement System and teaches them at the Virginia Commonwealth University. In addition to showing how investment performance can be evaluated, using Jensen's Alpha, Sharpe's Ratio, and DDM, he delves into four types of optimal portfolios (one that is fully invested, one with targeted returns, another with no short sales, and one with capped investment allocations). In addition, the book provides valuable insights on risk, and topics such as anomalies, factor models, and active portfolio management. Other chapters focus on private equity, structured credit, optimal rebalancing, data problems, and Monte Carlo simulation. Contains investment theory and risk management spreadsheet models based on the author's own real-world experience with stock, bonds, and alternative assets Offers a down-to-earth guide that can be used on a daily basis for making common financial decisions with a new level of quantitative sophistication and rigor Written by the Director of Research and Senior Risk Officer for the Virginia Retirement System and an Associate Professor at Virginia Commonwealth University's School of Business Investment Theory and Risk Management empowers both the technical and non-technical reader with the essential knowledge necessary to understand and manage risks in any corporate or economic environment.
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 588 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Presentation Slides Investor Overconfidence Covariance Risk and Predictors of Securities Returns written by Kent D. Daniel and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are linearly related to both risk and mispricing measures (e.g., fundamental/price ratios). With many securities, mispricing of idiosyncratic value components diminishes but systematic mispricing does not. The theory offers untested empirical implications about volume, volatility, fundamental/price ratios, and mean returns, and is consistent with several empirical findings. These include the ability of fundamental/price ratios and market value to forecast returns, and the domination of beta by these variables in some studies. Paper can be found here: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=1288932" https://ssrn.com/abstract=1288932.
Download or read book Elements of Covariance in Security Returns and Their Macroeconomic Determinants written by Vinay Vasudeo Marathe and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Firm Characteristics and the Cross Section of Covariance Risk written by Chris Kirby and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I analyze the cross-section of covariance risk for individual stocks using a new type of multivariate volatility model in which firm characteristics serve as time-varying loadings on fundamental factors. The evidence points to strong linkages between firm characteristics and covariance risk, and also reveals that cross-sectional differences in covariance risk explain much of the cross-sectional variation in expected excess stock returns. I find, for example, that the fundamental factors perform at least as well as the Fama-French factors in regression-based pricing tests. In view of its tractability and performance, the proposed model should find use in a variety of applications.
Download or read book The Economic Consequences of Increased Disclosure written by Brent William Ambrose and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Information Precision Noise and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Radu Burlacu and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive a cross-sectional asset pricing measure from a noisy multi-asset rational expectations equilibrium model. The measure is based on the time-series covariance of an asset's returns and security prices. Empirically, stocks with a measure one standard deviation above and below the average have returns that di er by 0.36% the following month (4.44% per annum) which is statistically significant at the 1%-level. The findings are concentrated in the smallest three deciles of stocks using NYSE breakpoints. Results remain significant after including variables such as stock market capitalization, book-to-market ratio, and the probability of information-based trading. Our measure can be understood as a proxy for information risk and/or supply uncertainty. The two explanations cannot easily be disentangled.
Download or read book Cointegration Causality and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Download or read book Measures of Security Return Dispersion as Risk Measures written by Jerome Bruce Baesel and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 622 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Psychology of World Equity Markets written by Werner Franciscus Marcel De Bondt and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asymmetric Returns and Semidimensional Risks written by Cheekiat Low and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most theoretical models in finance measure risk as variance or covariance. However, many financial decision-makers seem to regard risk as the volatility of below-target returns and treat the volatility of above-target returns as a sweetener. Using simple metrics of downside risk and upside potential, constructed from conditional covariances, I test for the empirical content of this asymmetry. I introduce a new composite metric of semidimensional risks which reveals that the nonlinearity in the covariation of stock returns with bearish and bullish conditions of the market is priced in the cross-section of stock returns. In particular, I find that stocks that have concave characteristic regression lines against the market earn higher average returns than stocks that have convex characteristic regression lines. This new metric captures the relevant information in returns asymmetry or nonlinearity better than either coskewness or the square-coefficient from quadratic regression. I also present results that are consistent with a semidimensional risk-based explanation for the twin puzzles of return momentum and reversal. The primitive representation of the security pricing kernel as the negative of covariance between marginal utility of consumption and security returns lends theoretical support for semidimensional risks and provides a unifying perspective for seemingly disparate literature on semivariances, skewness and behavioral finance.
Download or read book Investment cash Flow Sensitivities are Not Valid Measures of Financing Constraints written by Steven N. Kaplan and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Kaplan and Zingales [1997] provide both theoretical arguments and empirical evidence that investment-cash flow sensitivities are not good indicators of financing constraints. Fazzari, Hubbard and Petersen [1999] criticize those findings. In this note, we explain how the Fazzari et al. [1999] criticisms are either very supportive of the claims in Kaplan and Zingales [1997] or incorrect. We conclude with a discussion of unanswered questions.
Download or read book The Bail in Problem written by Barry J. Eichengreen and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we analyze the recent efforts of the international financial institutions to limit the moral hazard created by their assistance to crisis countries. We question the wisdom of the case-by-case approach taken in Pakistan, Ecuador, Romania and Ukraine. We show that because default and restructuring are so painful and costly, it is simply not time consistent for the IFIs to plan to stand aside if the markets refuse to roll over maturing claims, restructure problem debts, or provide new money. Because these realities create an incentive to disburse even if investors fail to comply, the IFIs are then placed in the position of having to back down on their previous conditionality, which undermines their credibility. And since investors are aware of these facts, their behavior is unlikely to be modified by the IFIs' less-than-credible statements of intent. Hence, this approach to bailing in the private sector' will not work. Fortunately, there is an alternative: introducing collective-action clauses into loan agreements. This, and not ad hoc efforts to bail in the private sector, is a forward-looking solution to the moral hazard problem.
