Download or read book Classification Modeling of Freddie Mac Home Loan Delinquency written by Andrew Peter Hendrickson and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Housing Crisis of the mid 2000s resulted from the irrational exuberance of the ever increasing home prices and the lack of proper verification of income and employment which was standard practice in past home loan approval processing. Models developed to classify home loan delinquency of Freddie Mac data appear to offer substantial improvement, in terms of bank dollars gained, over baseline measures. Past economic research indicated the FICO score as a key variable in home loan delinquency modeling. The FICO score was found to be a key variable for classification models built in this study as well. Other research studies indicated that the riskiness of the borrower pool at the regional level is a factor in keeping a mortgage current (i.e. non-delinquent). For this study, separate data mining analysis was performed for mortgages from Minnesota (MN) and Florida (FL). The regional borrower risk was examined using the FICO score field in relation to the loan delinquency status for both MN and FL sets. For a FICO score range of 500-800, MN had a delinquency rate from 80% to 40% but FL had a delinquency rate from 80% to 20%. The data suggests that an 800 FICO score in FL is less of a loan risk (20% delinquency) than an 800 FICO score in MN (37% delinquency). Due to the coincidence of the mean loan amount requested being approximately equal to the mean loan interest, data driven misclassification costs were not able to be used for this analysis. A simple baseline measure was calculated using holdout test sets for both MN and FL with the Bank of MN loans having a $309,000 loss and the Bank of FL loans having an $8,048,000 loss. Applying this measure to the best classification model delinquency predictions, the Bank of MN loans would have a gain of $215,957,000 and the Bank of FL a gain of $410,015,000.

Download or read book Roundtable Hearing on the Safety and Soundness of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Subcommittee on Housing and Urban Affairs and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Report of the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation written by Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Guaranteed to Fail written by Viral V. Acharya and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-03-14 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why America's public-private mortgage giants threaten the world economy—and what to do about it The financial collapse of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 2008 led to one of the most sweeping government interventions in private financial markets in history. The bailout has already cost American taxpayers close to $150 billion, and substantially more will be needed. The U.S. economy--and by extension, the global financial system--has a lot riding on Fannie and Freddie. They cannot fail, yet that is precisely what these mortgage giants are guaranteed to do. How can we limit the damage to our economy, and avoid making the same mistakes in the future? Guaranteed to Fail explains how poorly designed government guarantees for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac led to the debacle of mortgage finance in the United States, weighs different reform proposals, and provides sensible, practical recommendations. Despite repeated calls for tougher action, Washington has expanded the scope of its guarantees to Fannie and Freddie, fueling more and more housing and mortgages all across the economy--and putting all of us at risk. This book unravels the dizzyingly immense, highly interconnected businesses of Fannie and Freddie. It proposes a unique model of reform that emphasizes public-private partnership, one that can serve as a blueprint for better organizing and managing government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In doing so, Guaranteed to Fail strikes a cautionary note about excessive government intervention in markets.

Download or read book Prudential Management and Operations Standards Us Federal Housing Finance Agency Regulation Fhfa 2018 Edition written by The Law The Law Library and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2018-09-22 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prudential Management and Operations Standards (US Federal Housing Finance Agency Regulation) (FHFA) (2018 Edition) The Law Library presents the complete text of the Prudential Management and Operations Standards (US Federal Housing Finance Agency Regulation) (FHFA) (2018 Edition). Updated as of May 29, 2018 Section 1108 of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 (HERA) amended the Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992 (Safety and Soundness Act) to require the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to establish prudential standards (Standards) relating to the management and operations of the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), and Federal Home Loan Banks (Banks) (collectively, regulated entities). This final rule implements those HERA amendments by providing for the establishment of the Standards in the form of guidelines, which initially are set out in an appendix to the rule. The final rule includes other provisions relating to the possible consequences for a regulated entity that fails to operate in accordance with the Standards. This book contains: - The complete text of the Prudential Management and Operations Standards (US Federal Housing Finance Agency Regulation) (FHFA) (2018 Edition) - A table of contents with the page number of each section

Download or read book Ensemble Learning Methods for the Detection of Mortgage Delinquencies in the US written by Roman Kastl and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I use four classification models (logistic regression, decision tree, random forest and stochastic gradient boosting) to analyse a dataset of mortgages originated by Fannie Mae between 1999 and 2017. The models are trained on a set constituted of loans issued pre-2014 and tested on loans originated between 2014 and 2017. The credit score, interest rate, loan-to-value and unemployment rate are some of the variables which constantly show an important impact on the probability of delinquency. However, the importance of variables varies a lot between the models. Additionally, non-linear classifiers and more specifically the stochastic gradient boosting (using the XGBoost implementation) have yielded the best predictions, measured with the ROC. Better results could be obtained by 1) considering alternative data and additional dimensions, such as a trend measure for the unemployment rate or for the house price index, 2) building an unsupervised and dynamic model. Furthermore, I have observed that an important part of the literature covered in this paper presents cases of data leakage, which is due to the fact that authors tend to randomly separate the test and the training set. The findings of this paper give a direction for further developments and have implications for organizations involved in the origination of mortgages, for investors in mortgage-backed securities and for homeowners.

Download or read book Freddie Mac Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Handbook of Mortgage backed Securities written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 831 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition, revised since the subprime mortgage crisis, is designed to provide not only the fundamentals of mortgage-backed securities and the investment characteristics that make them attractive to a broad range of investors, but also extensive coverage of state-of-the-art strategies for capitalizing on the opportunities in this market.

Download or read book Modeling Residential Mortgage Termination and Severity Using Loan Level Data written by Ralph Guy DeFranco and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Credit Intelligence Modelling written by Raymond A. Anderson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022 with total page 934 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Intelligence and Modelling provides an indispensable explanation of the statistical models and methods used when assessing credit risk and automating decisions. Over eight modules, the book covers consumer and business lending in both the developed and developing worlds, providing the frameworks for both theory and practice. It first explores an introduction to credit risk assessment and predictive modelling, micro-histories of credit and credit scoring, as well as the processes used throughout the credit risk management cycle. Mathematical and statistical tools used to develop and assess predictive models are then considered, in addition to project management and data assembly, data preparation from sampling to reject inference, and finally model training through to implementation. Although the focus is credit risk, especially in the retail consumer and small-business segments, many concepts are common across disciplines, whether for academic research or practical use. The book assumes little prior knowledge, thus making it an indispensable desktop reference for students and practitioners alike. Credit Intelligence and Modelling expands on the success of The Credit Scoring Toolkit to cover credit rating and intelligence agencies, and the data and tools used as part of the process.

Download or read book Credit Risk Modeling written by Elizabeth Mays and published by Global Professional Publishi. This book was released on 1998-12-10 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covers: � Implementing an application scoring system � Behavior modeling to manage your portfolio � Incorporating economic factors � Statistical techniques for choosing the optimal credit risk model � How to set cutoffs and override rules � Modeling for the sub-prime market � How to evaluate and monitor credit risk models This is an indispensable guide for credit professionals and risk managers who want to understand and implement modeling techniques for increased profitability. In this one-of-a-kind text, experts in credit risk provide a step-by-step guide to building and implementing models both for evaluating applications and managing existing portfolios.

Download or read book Advances in Credit Risk Modeling and Management written by Frédéric Vrins and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-07-01 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit risk remains one of the major risks faced by most financial and credit institutions. It is deeply connected to the real economy due to the systemic nature of some banks, but also because well-managed lending facilities are key for wealth creation and technological innovation. This book is a collection of innovative papers in the field of credit risk management. Besides the probability of default (PD), the major driver of credit risk is the loss given default (LGD). In spite of its central importance, LGD modeling remains largely unexplored in the academic literature. This book proposes three contributions in the field. Ye & Bellotti exploit a large private dataset featuring non-performing loans to design a beta mixture model. Their model can be used to improve recovery rate forecasts and, therefore, to enhance capital requirement mechanisms. François uses instead the price of defaultable instruments to infer the determinants of market-implied recovery rates and finds that macroeconomic and long-term issuer specific factors are the main determinants of market-implied LGDs. Cheng & Cirillo address the problem of modeling the dependency between PD and LGD using an original, urn-based statistical model. Fadina & Schmidt propose an improvement of intensity-based default models by accounting for ambiguity around both the intensity process and the recovery rate. Another topic deserving more attention is trade credit, which consists of the supplier providing credit facilities to his customers. Whereas this is likely to stimulate exchanges in general, it also magnifies credit risk. This is a difficult problem that remains largely unexplored. Kanapickiene & Spicas propose a simple but yet practical model to assess trade credit risk associated with SMEs and microenterprises operating in Lithuania. Another topical area in credit risk is counterparty risk and all other adjustments (such as liquidity and capital adjustments), known as XVA. Chataignier & Crépey propose a genetic algorithm to compress CVA and to obtain affordable incremental figures. Anagnostou & Kandhai introduce a hidden Markov model to simulate exchange rate scenarios for counterparty risk. Eventually, Boursicot et al. analyzes CoCo bonds, and find that they reduce the total cost of debt, which is positive for shareholders. In a nutshell, all the featured papers contribute to shedding light on various aspects of credit risk management that have, so far, largely remained unexplored.

Download or read book Credit Portfolio Management written by Charles Smithson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-04-07 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A cutting-edge text on credit portfolio management Credit risk. A number of market factors are causing revolutionary changes in the way it is measured and managed at financial institutions. Charles Smithson, author of the bestselling Managing Financial Risk, introduces a portfolio management approach to credit in his latest book. Understanding how to manage the inherent risks of this market has become increasingly important over the years. Credit Portfolio Management provides readers with a complete understanding of the alternative approaches to credit risk measurement and portfolio management. This definitive guide discusses the pricing and managing of credit risks associated with a variety of off-balance-sheet products such as credit default swaps, total return swaps, first-to-default baskets, and credit spread options; as well as on-balance-sheet customized structured products such as credit-linked notes, repackage notes, and synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). Filled with expert insight and advice, this book is a must-read for all credit professionals. Charles W. Smithson, PhD (New York, NY), is the Managing Partner of Rutter Associates and Executive Director of the International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers (IACPM). He is the author of five books, including The Handbook of Financial Engineering and Managing Financial Risk (now in its Third Edition).

Download or read book The Rating Agencies and Their Credit Ratings written by Herwig Langohr and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 524 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit rating agencies play a critical role in capital markets, guiding the asset allocation of institutional investors as private capital moves freely around the world in search of the best trade-off between risk and return. However, they have also been strongly criticised for failing to spot the Asian crisis in the early 1990s, the Enron, WorldCom and Parmalat collapses in the early 2000s and finally for their ratings of subprime-related structured finance instruments and their role in the current financial crisis. This book is a guide to ratings, the ratings industry and the mechanics and economics of obtaining a rating. It sheds light on the role that the agencies play in the international financial markets. It avoids the sensationalist approach often associated with studies of rating scandals and the financial crisis, and instead provides an objective and critical analysis of the business of ratings. The book will be of practical use to any individual who has to deal with ratings and the ratings industry in their day-to-day job. Reviews "Rating agencies fulfil an important role in the capital markets, but given their power, they are frequently the object of criticism. Some of it is justified but most of it portrays a lack of understanding of their business. In their book The Rating Agencies and their Credit Ratings, Herwig and Patricia Langohr provide an excellent economic background to the role of rating agencies and also a thorough understanding of their business and the problems they face. I recommend this book to all those who have an interest in this somewhat arcane but extremely important area." -Robin Monro-Davies, Former CEO, Fitch Ratings. "At a time of unprecedented public and political scrutiny of the effectiveness and indeed the basic business model of the Credit Rating industry, and heightened concerns regarding the transparency and accountability of the leading agencies, this book provides a commendably comprehensive overview, and should provide invaluable assistance in the ongoing debate." -Rupert Atkinson, Managing Director, Head of Credit Advisory Group, Morgan Stanley and member of the SIFMA Rating Agency Task Force "The Langohrs have provided useful information in a field where one frequently finds only opinions or misconceptions. They supply a firm base from which to understand changes now underway. A well-read copy of this monograph should be close to the desk of every investor, issuer and financial regulator, legislator or commentator." -John Grout, Policy and Technical Director, The Association of Corporate Treasurers

Download or read book Crisis Cause Containment and Cure written by T. and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-07-12 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis of the current financial/economic crisis from the Director of the Banking Sector at the FSA (Financial Services Authority). New edition updated to take account of changes in regulation and legislation in the US, EU and UK. Many of these changes were in line with the recommendations made in the original edition

Download or read book A Guide to IMF Stress Testing written by Ms.Li L Ong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-23 with total page 610 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF has had extensive involvement in the stress testing of financial systems in its member countries. This book presents the methods and models that have been developed by IMF staff over the years and that can be applied to the gamut of financial systems. An added resource for readers is the companion CD-Rom, which makes available the toolkit with some of the models presented in the book (also located at elibrary.imf.org/page/stress-test-toolkit).

Download or read book Structured Finance Modeling with Object Oriented VBA written by Evan Tick and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-28 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A detailed look at how object-oriented VBA should be used to model complex financial structures This guide helps readers overcome the difficult task of modeling complex financial structures and bridges the gap between professional C++/Java programmers writing production models and front-office analysts building Excel spreadsheet models. It reveals how to model financial structures using object-oriented VBA in an Excel environment, allowing desk-based analysts to quickly produce flexible and robust models. Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, it skillfully illustrates the art of object-oriented programming for the explicit purpose of modeling structured products. Residential mortgage securitization is used as a unifying example throughout the text.