Download or read book Belief Credibility Disbelief Possibility Potential Surprise and Probability a written by J. L. Ford and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Belief Credibility Disbelief Possibility Potential Surprise and Probability as Measures of Uncertainty written by J. L. Ford and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Uncertainty and the Environment written by Richard Young and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2001 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After critiquing the use of traditional models such as expected utility in environmental decision-making, Young, a consultant with Arthur Anderson in London, argues for evaluating decision-making models in relation to the rationality of the way decisions are made. He outlines an alternative model of making decisions under uncertainty derived from the work of George Shackle, and applies it to environmental decision making by the government of Belize, the Inter- American Development Bank, the World Bank, and other institutions. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Download or read book Economics as an Art of Thought written by Peter Earl and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-04-15 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume unites scholars from all over the world, and with very different theoretical perspectives. Their chapters probe into typical Shacklean themes of time and money, uncertainty and expectation, and into the roots of G.L.S. Shackle's philosophical and methodological stance.
Download or read book British Reports Translations and Theses written by British Library. Document Supply Centre and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 772 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issue for Mar. 1981 contains index for Jan.-Mar. 1981 in microfiche form.
Download or read book Bartlett s Roget s Thesaurus written by and published by Little Brown. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 1468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Supplies synonyms and antonyms for words in over 800 categories, arranged thematically, providing information on parts of speech, cross-references, and including quotations that use the featured word.
Download or read book Economic Choice Under Uncertainty written by J. L. Ford and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book G L S Shackle written by J. L. Ford and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1994 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A biography of the 20th-century economist, George Shackle, whose contributions to issues of time, expectations and uncertainty made his reputation. Shackle opposed equilibrium-centred orthodoxy, concentrating on a concept of time-uncertainty which emphasized the degree of potential surprise.
Download or read book Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists written by and published by . This book was released on 1970-06 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.
Download or read book Lectures and Memoirs written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 634 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Preference Belief and Similarity written by Amos Tversky and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003-11-21 with total page 1046 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amos Tversky (1937–1996), a towering figure in cognitive and mathematical psychology, devoted his professional life to the study of similarity, judgment, and decision making. He had a unique ability to master the technicalities of normative ideals and then to intuit and demonstrate experimentally their systematic violation due to the vagaries and consequences of human information processing. He created new areas of study and helped transform disciplines as varied as economics, law, medicine, political science, philosophy, and statistics. This book collects forty of Tversky's articles, selected by him in collaboration with the editor during the last months of Tversky's life. It is divided into three sections: Similarity, Judgment, and Preferences. The Preferences section is subdivided into Probabilistic Models of Choice, Choice under Risk and Uncertainty, and Contingent Preferences. Included are several articles written with his frequent collaborator, Nobel Prize-winning economist Daniel Kahneman.
Download or read book Handbook of Warning Intelligence written by Cynthia Grabo and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2015-09-09 with total page 455 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new and final edition is a follow-up to the author’s first book, Anticipating Surprise (University Press of America, 2002) and the Handbook of Warning Intelligence (Scarecrow Press, 2010). The first book was an abridged version of Grabo’s 1972 manuscript, of which only 200 pages were allowed to be published by the government. The second book was published after it was agreed that the last 10 chapters would remain classified. These final 10 chapters have recently been released by the government and complete the manuscript as it was originally intended to be published by the author in 1972. The Handbook of Warning Intelligence was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. Originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts, it explains the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting, discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political, civil, and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to have "warning judgment." Much of what Grabo wrote in her book seems to appear in many of the numerous commission reports that emerged after the 9/11 attacks. However, her book was written in response to the "surprise attack" of the Soviet Union's invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968. According to the author, that event was no surprise. And while analysts have to take some of the blame for their failure to strenuously present their case that the threat was real and imminent, what occurred was a failure by policymakers to listen to the warning intelligence reports that were written at the time. In these last chapters, Grabo discusses scenarios where the United States will need to take action, especially describing Soviet indicators of such action. She also talks on how to influence policymakers to take, or not take, action based on intelligence. After the Soviet Union fell, the government was hesitant to release this information—especially considering what's going on with Putin today.
Download or read book Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists written by and published by . This book was released on 1981-11 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.
Download or read book Probability Theory written by and published by Allied Publishers. This book was released on 2013 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability theory
Download or read book English Mechanics and the World of Science written by and published by . This book was released on 1903 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book English Mechanic and Mirror of Science written by and published by . This book was released on 1903 with total page 618 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Digital Media Youth and Credibility written by Miriam J. Metzger and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2008 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The difficulties in determining the quality of information on the Internet--in particular, the implications of wide access and questionable credibility for youth and learning. Today we have access to an almost inconceivably vast amount of information, from sources that are increasingly portable, accessible, and interactive. The Internet and the explosion of digital media content have made more information available from more sources to more people than at any other time in human history. This brings an infinite number of opportunities for learning, social connection, and entertainment. But at the same time, the origin of information, its quality, and its veracity are often difficult to assess. This volume addresses the issue of credibility--the objective and subjective components that make information believable--in the contemporary media environment. The contributors look particularly at youth audiences and experiences, considering the implications of wide access and the questionable credibility of information for youth and learning. They discuss such topics as the credibility of health information online, how to teach credibility assessment, and public policy solutions. Much research has been done on credibility and new media, but little of it focuses on users younger than college students. Digital Media, Youth, and Credibility fills this gap in the literature. Contributors Matthew S. Eastin, Gunther Eysenbach, Brian Hilligoss, Frances Jacobson Harris, R. David Lankes, Soo Young Rieh, S. Shyam Sundar, Fred W. Weingarten
