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Book The Theory That Would Not Die

Download or read book The Theory That Would Not Die written by Sharon Bertsch McGrayne and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2011-05-17 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This account of how a once reviled theory, Baye’s rule, came to underpin modern life is both approachable and engrossing" (Sunday Times). A New York Times Book Review Editors’ Choice Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the generations-long human drama surrounding it. McGrayne traces the rule’s discovery by an 18th century amateur mathematician through its development by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years—while practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, such as Alan Turing's work breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II. McGrayne also explains how the advent of computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security. Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.

Book Think Bayes

    Book Details:
  • Author : Allen Downey
  • Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
  • Release : 2013-09-12
  • ISBN : 1491945443
  • Pages : 213 pages

Download or read book Think Bayes written by Allen Downey and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2013-09-12 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If you know how to program with Python, and know a little about probability, you're ready to tackle Bayesian statistics. This book shows you how to use Python code instead of math to help you learn Bayesian fundamentals. Once you get the math out of the way, you'll be able to apply these techniques to real-world problems.

Book Bayes  Rule

    Book Details:
  • Author : James V. Stone
  • Publisher : Sebtel Press
  • Release : 2013-06-01
  • ISBN : 0956372848
  • Pages : 170 pages

Download or read book Bayes Rule written by James V. Stone and published by Sebtel Press. This book was released on 2013-06-01 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this richly illustrated book, a range of accessible examples are used to show how Bayes' rule is actually a natural consequence of commonsense reasoning. The tutorial style of writing, combined with a comprehensive glossary, makes this an ideal primer for the novice who wishes to become familiar with the basic principles of Bayesian analysis.

Book Bayes  Theorem Examples

Download or read book Bayes Theorem Examples written by Dan Morris and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2016-10-02 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ***** #1 Kindle Store Bestseller in Mathematics (Throughout 2016) ********** #1 Kindle Store Bestseller in Education Theory (Throughout 2017) *****If you are looking for a short beginners guide packed with visual examples, this book is for you. Bayes' Theorem Examples: A Beginners Visual Approach to Bayesian Data Analysis If you've recently used Google search to find something, Bayes' Theorem was used to find your search results. The same is true for those recommendations on Netflix. Hedge funds? Self-driving cars? Search and Rescue? Bayes' Theorem is used in all of the above and more. At its core, Bayes' Theorem is a simple probability and statistics formula that has revolutionized how we understand and deal with uncertainty. If life is seen as black and white, Bayes' Theorem helps us think about the gray areas. When new evidence comes our way, it helps us update our beliefs and create a new belief.Ready to dig in and visually explore Bayes' Theorem? Let's go! Over 60 hand-drawn visuals are included throughout the book to help you work through each problem as you learn by example. The beautifully hand-drawn visual illustrations are specifically designed and formatted for the kindle.This book also includes sections not found in other books on Bayes' Rule. These include: A short tutorial on how to understand problem scenarios and find P(B), P(A), and P(B|A). - For many people, knowing how to approach scenarios and break them apart can be daunting. In this booklet, we provide a quick step-by-step reference on how to confidently understand scenarios. A few examples of how to think like a Bayesian in everyday life. Bayes' Rule might seem somewhat abstract, but it can be applied to many areas of life and help you make better decisions. Learn how Bayes can help you with critical thinking, problem-solving, and dealing with the gray areas of life. A concise history of Bayes' Rule. - Bayes' Theorem has a fascinating 200+ year history, and we have summed it up for you in this booklet. From its discovery in the 1700's to its being used to break the German's Enigma Code during World War 2. Fascinating real-life stories on how Bayes' formula is used everyday.From search and rescue to spam filtering and driverless cars, Bayes is used in many areas of modern day life. An expanded Bayes' Theorem definition, including notations, and proof section. - In this section we define core elementary bayesian statistics terms more concretely. A recommended readings sectionFrom The Theory That Would Not Die to Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics in Pythoni> and many more, there are a number of fantastic resources we have collected for further reading. If you are a visual learner and like to learn by example, this intuitive Bayes' Theorem 'for dummies' type book is a good fit for you. Praise for Bayes' Theorem Examples "...What Morris has presented is a useful way to provide the reader with a basic understanding of how to apply the theorem. He takes it easy step by easy step and explains matters in a way that almost anyone can understand. Moreover, by using Venn Diagrams and other visuals, he gives the reader multiple ways of understanding exactly what is going on in Bayes' theorem. The way in which he presents this material helps solidify in the reader's mind how to use Bayes' theorem..." - Doug E. - TOP 100 REVIEWER"...For those who are predominately "Visual Learners", as I certainly am, I highly recommend this book...I believe I gained more from this book than I did from college statistics. Or at least, one fantastic refresher after 20 some years after the fact." - Tin F. TOP 50 REVIEWER

Book Bayesian Probability for Babies

Download or read book Bayesian Probability for Babies written by Chris Ferrie and published by Sourcebooks, Inc.. This book was released on 2019-07-02 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fans of Chris Ferrie's Rocket Science for Babies, Astrophysics for Babies, and 8 Little Planets will love this introduction to the basic principles of probability for babies and toddlers! Help your future genius become the smartest baby in the room! It only takes a small spark to ignite a child's mind. If you took a bite out of a cookie and that bite has no candy in it, what is the probability that bite came from a candy cookie or a cookie with no candy? You and baby will find out the probability and discover it through different types of distribution. Yet another Baby University board book full of simple explanations of complex ideas written by an expert for your future genius! If you're looking for baby math books, probability for kids, or more Baby University board books to surprise your little one, look no further! Bayesian Probability for Babies offers fun early learning for your little scientist!

Book Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way

Download or read book Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way written by Will Kurt and published by No Starch Press. This book was released on 2019-07-09 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples. Probability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions. But many people use data in ways they don't even understand, meaning they aren't getting the most from it. Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way will change that. This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un-boring examples. Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden, how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower, how to win an argument about conspiracy theories, and whether a burglary really was a burglary, to name a few examples. By using these off-the-beaten-track examples, the author actually makes learning statistics fun. And you'll learn real skills, like how to: - How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief - Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for - Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions - Calculate distributions to see the range of your data - Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from them Next time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them, turn to Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way to get the most value from your data.

Book Bayes s Theorem

    Book Details:
  • Author : Richard Swinburne
  • Publisher : OUP/British Academy
  • Release : 2005-05-12
  • ISBN : 9780197263419
  • Pages : 160 pages

Download or read book Bayes s Theorem written by Richard Swinburne and published by OUP/British Academy. This book was released on 2005-05-12 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayes's theorem is a tool for assessing how probable evidence makes some hypothesis. The papers in this volume consider the worth and applicability of the theorem. Richard Swinburne sets out the philosophical issues. Elliott Sober argues that there are other criteria for assessing hypotheses. Colin Howson, Philip Dawid and John Earman consider how the theorem can be used in statistical science, in weighing evidence in criminal trials, and in assessing evidence for the occurrence of miracles. David Miller argues for the worth of the probability calculus as a tool for measuring propensities in nature rather than the strength of evidence. The volume ends with the original paper containing the theorem, presented to the Royal Society in 1763.

Book Proving History

    Book Details:
  • Author : Richard C. Carrier
  • Publisher : Prometheus Books
  • Release : 2012-04-03
  • ISBN : 1616145609
  • Pages : 361 pages

Download or read book Proving History written by Richard C. Carrier and published by Prometheus Books. This book was released on 2012-04-03 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes’s Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods—not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study—can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes’s Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned. Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayes’s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major "historicity criteria" employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayes’s Theorem. Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayes’s Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading.

Book Rational Descriptions  Decisions and Designs

Download or read book Rational Descriptions Decisions and Designs written by Myron Tribus and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational Descriptions, Decisions and Designs is a reference for understanding the aspects of rational decision theory in terms of the basic formalism of information theory. The text provides ways to achieve correct engineering design decisions. The book starts with an understanding for the need to apply rationality, as opposed to uncertainty, in design decision making. Inductive logic in computers is explained where the design of the machine and the accompanying software are considered. The text then explains the functional equations and the problems of arriving at a rational description through some mathematical preliminaries. Bayes' equation and rational inference as tools for adjusting probabilities when something new is encountered in earlier probability distributions are explained. The book presents as well a case study concerning the error made in following specifications of spark plugs. The author also explains the Bernoulli trials, where a probability that a better hypothesis than that already adopted may exist. The rational measure of uncertainty and the principle of maximum entropy with sample calculations are included in the text. After considering the probabilities, the decision theory is taken up where engineering design follows. Examples regarding transmitter and voltmeter designs are presented. The book ends by explaining probabilities of success and failure as applied to reliability engineering, that it is a state of knowledge rather than the state of a thing. The text can serve as a textbook for students in technology engineering and design, and as a useful reference for mathematicians, statisticians, and fabrication engineers.

Book Bayes Rules

    Book Details:
  • Author : Alicia A. Johnson
  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2022-03-03
  • ISBN : 1000529568
  • Pages : 606 pages

Download or read book Bayes Rules written by Alicia A. Johnson and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-03-03 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Bayes Rules!: An Introduction to Applied Bayesian Modeling “A thoughtful and entertaining book, and a great way to get started with Bayesian analysis.” Andrew Gelman, Columbia University “The examples are modern, and even many frequentist intro books ignore important topics (like the great p-value debate) that the authors address. The focus on simulation for understanding is excellent.” Amy Herring, Duke University “I sincerely believe that a generation of students will cite this book as inspiration for their use of – and love for – Bayesian statistics. The narrative holds the reader’s attention and flows naturally – almost conversationally. Put simply, this is perhaps the most engaging introductory statistics textbook I have ever read. [It] is a natural choice for an introductory undergraduate course in applied Bayesian statistics." Yue Jiang, Duke University “This is by far the best book I’ve seen on how to (and how to teach students to) do Bayesian modeling and understand the underlying mathematics and computation. The authors build intuition and scaffold ideas expertly, using interesting real case studies, insightful graphics, and clear explanations. The scope of this book is vast – from basic building blocks to hierarchical modeling, but the authors’ thoughtful organization allows the reader to navigate this journey smoothly. And impressively, by the end of the book, one can run sophisticated Bayesian models and actually understand the whys, whats, and hows.” Paul Roback, St. Olaf College “The authors provide a compelling, integrated, accessible, and non-religious introduction to statistical modeling using a Bayesian approach. They outline a principled approach that features computational implementations and model assessment with ethical implications interwoven throughout. Students and instructors will find the conceptual and computational exercises to be fresh and engaging.” Nicholas Horton, Amherst College An engaging, sophisticated, and fun introduction to the field of Bayesian statistics, Bayes Rules!: An Introduction to Applied Bayesian Modeling brings the power of modern Bayesian thinking, modeling, and computing to a broad audience. In particular, the book is an ideal resource for advanced undergraduate statistics students and practitioners with comparable experience. Bayes Rules! empowers readers to weave Bayesian approaches into their everyday practice. Discussions and applications are data driven. A natural progression from fundamental to multivariable, hierarchical models emphasizes a practical and generalizable model building process. The evaluation of these Bayesian models reflects the fact that a data analysis does not exist in a vacuum. Features • Utilizes data-driven examples and exercises. • Emphasizes the iterative model building and evaluation process. • Surveys an interconnected range of multivariable regression and classification models. • Presents fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. • Integrates R code, including RStan modeling tools and the bayesrules package. • Encourages readers to tap into their intuition and learn by doing. • Provides a friendly and inclusive introduction to technical Bayesian concepts. • Supports Bayesian applications with foundational Bayesian theory.

Book Probability and Bayes Theorem for Beginners

Download or read book Probability and Bayes Theorem for Beginners written by Thomas Laville and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-10-29 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thinking of learning Probability and Bayes Theorem? Then you have landed in the right place. If you want to well understand Bayes theorem as well as apply its principles, you must first master the concept of probability. Probability is the likelihood that something will happen, describing such things as the chances of you drawing a specific card, say an ace, from a deck of playing cards. There are a simple ways to calculate such probabilities using the information you have in front of you, however Bayesian probability takes this one step further by incorporating previously known information to inform these calculations. Probability and Bayes theorem is present everywhere in many of the different things that we carry out throughout the day, such as Googling the internet, applying spam filters, machine learning, and so much more. This book aims to help build a foundation for the understanding of Bayes' theorem using a step-by-step method that introduces the various elements of probability before approaching the theorem itself. Understanding these sometimes rather complex concepts is made very easy with the use of several examples and everyday applications of probability. You will find that being in possession of a solid understanding of the ideas related to and applications of both probability and Bayes theorem in particular will assist you in comprehending and indeed engaging with some of the ways that these concepts are used today, including practical examples like "We want to go for a picnic but it is cloudy. Is it likely to rain?" or "What are the chances that someone has an allergy?" or even "In a zombie apocalypse, how likely is my test kit to determine whether someone is really infected?." This book will help you explore exactly what Probability and Bayes Theorem are and will introduce the reader the concepts, applications and practical case studies. By the time you are done reading this book, you will have a complete understanding as to how to measure probability and how Bayes Theorem works. Following are the important points discussed in this book: What is a Probability? Overview of Probability Basics in Set Theory Axioms and Rules of Probability Use a Tree to calculate Probabilities Probability with Combinations And Permutations Formulas Probability Distribution Conditional Probability Bayes' Theorem Book Objectives To have a right understanding of Probability and Bayes Theorem and their fundamental principles. To have an elementary understanding of (some of the) more advanced topics such as Naive Bayes Method in Machine Learning Target Users This book designed for a variety of target audiences. The most suitable users would include: Newbies in statistics and Probability Professionals in Data scientist and Social Sciences Professors, lecturers, or tutors to be in position to find better ways to explain the content to their students with simples and easiest way The students and Academicians, especially those that are focusing on Bayes Theorem, Computer Sciences and Statistics as their professions Therefore, what are you waiting for; let us start delving into the fascinating and useful world of probabilities! Scroll to the top and click on 'buy now' to get started.

Book Data Science Algorithms in a Week

Download or read book Data Science Algorithms in a Week written by Dávid Natingga and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2018-10-31 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build a strong foundation of machine learning algorithms in 7 days Key FeaturesUse Python and its wide array of machine learning libraries to build predictive models Learn the basics of the 7 most widely used machine learning algorithms within a weekKnow when and where to apply data science algorithms using this guideBook Description Machine learning applications are highly automated and self-modifying, and continue to improve over time with minimal human intervention, as they learn from the trained data. To address the complex nature of various real-world data problems, specialized machine learning algorithms have been developed. Through algorithmic and statistical analysis, these models can be leveraged to gain new knowledge from existing data as well. Data Science Algorithms in a Week addresses all problems related to accurate and efficient data classification and prediction. Over the course of seven days, you will be introduced to seven algorithms, along with exercises that will help you understand different aspects of machine learning. You will see how to pre-cluster your data to optimize and classify it for large datasets. This book also guides you in predicting data based on existing trends in your dataset. This book covers algorithms such as k-nearest neighbors, Naive Bayes, decision trees, random forest, k-means, regression, and time-series analysis. By the end of this book, you will understand how to choose machine learning algorithms for clustering, classification, and regression and know which is best suited for your problem What you will learnUnderstand how to identify a data science problem correctlyImplement well-known machine learning algorithms efficiently using PythonClassify your datasets using Naive Bayes, decision trees, and random forest with accuracyDevise an appropriate prediction solution using regressionWork with time series data to identify relevant data events and trendsCluster your data using the k-means algorithmWho this book is for This book is for aspiring data science professionals who are familiar with Python and have a little background in statistics. You’ll also find this book useful if you’re currently working with data science algorithms in some capacity and want to expand your skill set

Book Bayes    Theorem and Bayesian Statistics

Download or read book Bayes Theorem and Bayesian Statistics written by Lee Baker and published by Lee Baker. This book was released on with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayes’ Theorem is hard. Is it, though? If you flick through any of the other books on Bayesian statistics you’ll get the distinct impression that you’ll have a lot of really hard maths to do, and it can be really intimidating. But is that what Bayesian stats is really all about? If you’re wondering whether you should have a look at Bayesian statistics to see if it’s right for you, then Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Statistics in the Getting Started With Statistics series is your first port of call. If what you need is a short guide to getting started, a snappy little non-threatening introduction to Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Statistics that dispels the biggest myths, answers the most frequently asked questions and inspires you to take the next steps in your journey, then look no further. Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Statistics is that guide. This book is not written for statisticians. Nor is it written by a statistician. A Physicist by trade, and a self-taught statistician, I may have worked (and taught) as a statistician for several years but I have my own struggles with statistics, so I understand where the hard bits are. Better still, I know how to explain them to others in plain English without using difficult to understand technical terminology. That’s what you can expect in this book. First, I’ll explain what Bayes’ Theorem is in simple terms. Then you’ll move on to understanding what conditional probability is and why you don’t need it if you want to find a parking spot, but you do if you’re playing cards (and you want to win). You’ll learn about Prior and Posterior probabilities, and use them to work out if you need to take a brolly to the beach with you (spoiler alert – I live in Scotland. I always need to take a brolly to the beach!). Then I’ll bust a few myths about what Bayesian statistics is – and what it isn’t. By this point you’ll have made up your mind about whether you want to go further, so I’ll show you how to take your next steps. Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Statistics makes no assumptions about your previous experience and is perfect for beginners and the Bayes-curious! Discover the world of Bayes’ Theorem and Bayesian Statistics. Get this book, TODAY!

Book The Equation of Knowledge

Download or read book The Equation of Knowledge written by Lê Nguyên Hoang and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-06-18 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Equation of Knowledge: From Bayes' Rule to a Unified Philosophy of Science introduces readers to the Bayesian approach to science: teasing out the link between probability and knowledge. The author strives to make this book accessible to a very broad audience, suitable for professionals, students, and academics, as well as the enthusiastic amateur scientist/mathematician. This book also shows how Bayesianism sheds new light on nearly all areas of knowledge, from philosophy to mathematics, science and engineering, but also law, politics and everyday decision-making. Bayesian thinking is an important topic for research, which has seen dramatic progress in the recent years, and has a significant role to play in the understanding and development of AI and Machine Learning, among many other things. This book seeks to act as a tool for proselytising the benefits and limits of Bayesianism to a wider public. Features Presents the Bayesian approach as a unifying scientific method for a wide range of topics Suitable for a broad audience, including professionals, students, and academics Provides a more accessible, philosophical introduction to the subject that is offered elsewhere

Book Bayesian Methods for Hackers

Download or read book Bayesian Methods for Hackers written by Cameron Davidson-Pilon and published by Addison-Wesley Professional. This book was released on 2015-09-30 with total page 551 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master Bayesian Inference through Practical Examples and Computation–Without Advanced Mathematical Analysis Bayesian methods of inference are deeply natural and extremely powerful. However, most discussions of Bayesian inference rely on intensely complex mathematical analyses and artificial examples, making it inaccessible to anyone without a strong mathematical background. Now, though, Cameron Davidson-Pilon introduces Bayesian inference from a computational perspective, bridging theory to practice–freeing you to get results using computing power. Bayesian Methods for Hackers illuminates Bayesian inference through probabilistic programming with the powerful PyMC language and the closely related Python tools NumPy, SciPy, and Matplotlib. Using this approach, you can reach effective solutions in small increments, without extensive mathematical intervention. Davidson-Pilon begins by introducing the concepts underlying Bayesian inference, comparing it with other techniques and guiding you through building and training your first Bayesian model. Next, he introduces PyMC through a series of detailed examples and intuitive explanations that have been refined after extensive user feedback. You’ll learn how to use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, choose appropriate sample sizes and priors, work with loss functions, and apply Bayesian inference in domains ranging from finance to marketing. Once you’ve mastered these techniques, you’ll constantly turn to this guide for the working PyMC code you need to jumpstart future projects. Coverage includes • Learning the Bayesian “state of mind” and its practical implications • Understanding how computers perform Bayesian inference • Using the PyMC Python library to program Bayesian analyses • Building and debugging models with PyMC • Testing your model’s “goodness of fit” • Opening the “black box” of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to see how and why it works • Leveraging the power of the “Law of Large Numbers” • Mastering key concepts, such as clustering, convergence, autocorrelation, and thinning • Using loss functions to measure an estimate’s weaknesses based on your goals and desired outcomes • Selecting appropriate priors and understanding how their influence changes with dataset size • Overcoming the “exploration versus exploitation” dilemma: deciding when “pretty good” is good enough • Using Bayesian inference to improve A/B testing • Solving data science problems when only small amounts of data are available Cameron Davidson-Pilon has worked in many areas of applied mathematics, from the evolutionary dynamics of genes and diseases to stochastic modeling of financial prices. His contributions to the open source community include lifelines, an implementation of survival analysis in Python. Educated at the University of Waterloo and at the Independent University of Moscow, he currently works with the online commerce leader Shopify.

Book Bayes Theorem

    Book Details:
  • Author : Arthur Taff
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 2019-07-16
  • ISBN : 9781925997583
  • Pages : 78 pages

Download or read book Bayes Theorem written by Arthur Taff and published by . This book was released on 2019-07-16 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Perfect Book for Beginners Wanting to Visually Learn About Bayes Theorem Through Real Examples! What if you could quickly and easily learn Bayesian data analysis without complex textbooks and statistics classes? Imagine being able to apply your newly learned theory to real life situations! Multi-time best selling IT & mathematics author, Arthur Taff, presents the perfect guide for any beginner. Bayesian data analysis can be difficult to learn, especially through textbooks and statistic classes at school. This book aims to solve that issue by presenting the theories in an easy-to-understand and visually intuitive way. This book contains a number of visual examples to build a basic understanding of Bayesian data analysis and then works to teach at a deeper level without the complexities you'd see in other similar books. Additionally, every example in this book has been solved using Excel. In this book, you will get: A Basic Introduction to Bayes Theorem (with examples) - The initial introduction demonstrates how Bayesian data analysis works when you have a single new piece of data to update initial probabilities. Adding New Data & Updating Probabilities - Takes the above example and looks at what happens if we have multiple pieces of data instead of a single piece. Bayes Theorem Terminology - The formal names for the different parts of the Bayes Theorem equation, and how it all comes together for an easier overall understanding. How to Deal With Data Errors - In a real life situation, it is unlikely that your data will be error-free. This section shows you how to deal with those errors and still get accurate probability estimates. Arthur's personal email address for unlimited customer support if you have any questions And much, much more... If you are a person that learns by example, especially visually, then this book is perfect for you! It is a very important topic in a wide range of industries - so dive in to get a deep understanding! Well, what are you waiting for? Grab your copy today by clicking the BUY NOW button at the top of this page!

Book Bayesian Statistics for Beginners

Download or read book Bayesian Statistics for Beginners written by Therese M. Donovan and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2019 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an entry-level book on Bayesian statistics written in a casual, and conversational tone. The authors walk a reader through many sample problems step-by-step to provide those with little background in math or statistics with the vocabulary, notation, and understanding of the calculations used in many Bayesian problems.