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Book Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models

Download or read book Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models written by Jeff Gable and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Quantitative Analysis  Derivatives Modeling  and Trading Strategies

Download or read book Quantitative Analysis Derivatives Modeling and Trading Strategies written by Yi Tang and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2007 with total page 523 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses selected practical applications and recent developments in the areas of quantitative financial modeling in derivatives instruments, some of which are from the authorsOCO own research and practice. While the primary scope of this book is the fixed-income market (with further focus on the interest rate market), many of the methodologies presented also apply to other financial markets, such as the credit, equity, and foreign exchange markets. This book, which assumes that the reader is familiar with the basics of stochastic calculus and derivatives modeling, is written from the point of view of financial engineers or practitioners, and, as such, it puts more emphasis on the practical applications of financial mathematics in the real market than the mathematics itself with precise (and tedious) technical conditions. It attempts to combine economic insights with mathematics and modeling so as to help the reader develop intuitions. In addition, the book addresses the counterparty credit risk modeling, pricing, and arbitraging strategies, which are relatively recent developments and are of increasing importance. It also discusses various trading structuring strategies and touches upon some popular credit/IR/FX hybrid products, such as PRDC, TARN, Snowballs, Snowbears, CCDS, credit extinguishers."

Book Analysis of the Likelihood Function for Markov Switching VAR CH  Models

Download or read book Analysis of the Likelihood Function for Markov Switching VAR CH Models written by Maddalena Cavicchioli and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this work, we give simple matrix formulae for maximum likelihood estimates of parameters in a broad class of vector autoregressions subject to Markovian changes in regime. This allows us to determine explicitly the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix of the estimators, giving a concrete possibility for the use of the classical testing procedures. In the context of multivariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models with changes in regime, we provide formulae for the analytic derivatives of the log likelihood. Then we prove the consistency of some maximum likelihood estimators and give some formulae for the asymptotic variance of the different estimators.

Book Analysis of Pricing Financial Derivatives Under Regime switching Economy

Download or read book Analysis of Pricing Financial Derivatives Under Regime switching Economy written by Farzad Alavi Fard and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis we argue that regime-switching models can significantly improve the pricing models for financial derivatives. We use three examples to analyse the valuation of derivative contracts under the Markovian regime-switching framework, namely, 1) a European call option, 2) a Ruin Contingent Life Annuity, and 3) a participating product. Such a regime-switching framework unveils a potent class of models. Throughout the modulation of the model parameters by a Markov chain, they can simultaneously explain the asymmetic leptokurtic features of the returns' distribution, as well as the volatility smile and the volatility clustering effect. The intuition behind regime-switching models is to capture the appealing idea that the macro-economy is subjected to regular, yet unpredictable in time, states, which in turn affects the prices of financial securities.

Book Sensitivity Analysis  Matrix Methods in Demography and Ecology

Download or read book Sensitivity Analysis Matrix Methods in Demography and Ecology written by Hal Caswell and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-02 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book shows how to use sensitivity analysis in demography. It presents new methods for individuals, cohorts, and populations, with applications to humans, other animals, and plants. The analyses are based on matrix formulations of age-classified, stage-classified, and multistate population models. Methods are presented for linear and nonlinear, deterministic and stochastic, and time-invariant and time-varying cases. Readers will discover results on the sensitivity of statistics of longevity, life disparity, occupancy times, the net reproductive rate, and statistics of Markov chain models in demography. They will also see applications of sensitivity analysis to population growth rates, stable population structures, reproductive value, equilibria under immigration and nonlinearity, and population cycles. Individual stochasticity is a theme throughout, with a focus that goes beyond expected values to include variances in demographic outcomes. The calculations are easily and accurately implemented in matrix-oriented programming languages such as Matlab or R. Sensitivity analysis will help readers create models to predict the effect of future changes, to evaluate policy effects, and to identify possible evolutionary responses to the environment. Complete with many examples of the application, the book will be of interest to researchers and graduate students in human demography and population biology. The material will also appeal to those in mathematical biology and applied mathematics.

Book Regime Switching Models

    Book Details:
  • Author : Simon van Norden
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 2000
  • ISBN :
  • Pages : 0 pages

Download or read book Regime Switching Models written by Simon van Norden and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is a user's guide to a set of Gauss procedures developed at the Bank of Canada for estimating regime-switching models. The procedures can estimate relatively quickly a wide variety of switching models and so should prove useful to the applied researcher. Sample program listings are included. FRENCH VERSION La presente etude constitue un guide d'utilisation d'un ensemble de procedures de Gauss mises au point a la Banque du Canada en vue de l'estimation des modeles a changement de regime. Ces procedures permettent d'estimer de facon assez rapide une vaste gamme de modeles a changement de regime et devraient s'averer utiles pour la recherche appliquee. Des echantillons de programmes sont inclus dans l'etude.

Book Analysis of Markov Chain Approximation for Diffusion Models with Non Smooth Coefficients

Download or read book Analysis of Markov Chain Approximation for Diffusion Models with Non Smooth Coefficients written by Gongqiu Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diffusion models with non-smooth coefficients often appear in financial applications, with examples including but not limited to threshold models for financial variables, the pricing of occupation time derivatives and shadow rate models for interest rate dynamics. To calculate the expected value of a discounted payoff under general state-dependent discounting and monitoring of barrier crossing, continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation can be applied. In a recent work, Zhang and Li (2018, Operations Research, forthcoming) established sharp convergence rates of CTMC approximation for diffusion models with smooth coefficients but non-smooth payoff functions, and proposed grid design principles to ensure nice convergence behaviors. However, their theoretical analysis fails to obtain sharp convergence rates when model coefficients lack smoothness. Moreover, it is unclear how to design the grid of CTMC to remedy the inferior convergence behaviors resulting from non-smooth model coefficients. In this paper, we introduce new ways for the theoretical analysis of CTMC approximation for general diffusion models with non-smooth coefficients. We prove that convergence of option price is only first order in general. However, strikingly, if all the discontinuous points of the model coefficients and the payoff function are in the midway between two grid points, second order convergence in the maximum norm is restored and in this case, delta and gamma have second order convergence at almost all grid points except those next to the discontinuous points. Numerical experiments are conducted that confirm the validity of our theoretical results. We also compare the CTMC approximation approach with properly designed grids to a classical numerical PDE scheme for diffusion models with non-smooth coefficients, where the finite difference method is applied separately in each region with smooth coefficients and continuous pasting of the value function is enforced at the discontinuities. We show that our approach is superior to the latter in terms of both the convergence rate and the simplicity of implementation.

Book Modeling  Stochastic Control  Optimization  and Applications

Download or read book Modeling Stochastic Control Optimization and Applications written by George Yin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-16 with total page 593 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume collects papers, based on invited talks given at the IMA workshop in Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Related Applications, held at the Institute for Mathematics and Its Applications, University of Minnesota, during May and June, 2018. There were four week-long workshops during the conference. They are (1) stochastic control, computation methods, and applications, (2) queueing theory and networked systems, (3) ecological and biological applications, and (4) finance and economics applications. For broader impacts, researchers from different fields covering both theoretically oriented and application intensive areas were invited to participate in the conference. It brought together researchers from multi-disciplinary communities in applied mathematics, applied probability, engineering, biology, ecology, and networked science, to review, and substantially update most recent progress. As an archive, this volume presents some of the highlights of the workshops, and collect papers covering a broad range of topics.

Book Document de Travail

Download or read book Document de Travail written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Derivative Prices for Models Using L  vy Processes and Markov Switching

Download or read book Derivative Prices for Models Using L vy Processes and Markov Switching written by Sebastian Rasmus and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Switching Between Chartists and Fundamentalists

Download or read book Switching Between Chartists and Fundamentalists written by Robert J. Vigfusson and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Valuing Options in a Discrete Time Regime Switching Model with Jumps

Download or read book Valuing Options in a Discrete Time Regime Switching Model with Jumps written by Evgenia V. Chunikhina and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this work, we provide a detailed analysis of a discrete time regime switching financial market model with jumps. We consider the model under two different scenarios: known and unknown initial regime. For each scenario we investigated conditions that guarantee the model's completeness. We find that the model under consideration is arbitrage-free and complete if the initial regime is known and the jump size satisfies specific condition. Formulae for a unique risk-neutral measure and arbitrage-free pricing of derivative securities are provided. Several numerical examples illustrate no-arbitrage approach to pricing of derivative securities. In the case of incomplete model the Esscher transform is considered to obtain one specific pricing measure. In particular, we show that the Esscher transformed prices are continuously differentiable as a function of the parameters at the interface of incompleteness and completeness.

Book Optimal Mean Reversion Trading  Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications

Download or read book Optimal Mean Reversion Trading Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications written by Tim Siu-tang Leung and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-11-26 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications provides a systematic study to the practical problem of optimal trading in the presence of mean-reverting price dynamics. It is self-contained and organized in its presentation, and provides rigorous mathematical analysis as well as computational methods for trading ETFs, options, futures on commodities or volatility indices, and credit risk derivatives.This book offers a unique financial engineering approach that combines novel analytical methodologies and applications to a wide array of real-world examples. It extracts the mathematical problems from various trading approaches and scenarios, but also addresses the practical aspects of trading problems, such as model estimation, risk premium, risk constraints, and transaction costs. The explanations in the book are detailed enough to capture the interest of the curious student or researcher, and complete enough to give the necessary background material for further exploration into the subject and related literature.This book will be a useful tool for anyone interested in financial engineering, particularly algorithmic trading and commodity trading, and would like to understand the mathematically optimal strategies in different market environments.

Book Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives

Download or read book Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives written by Yue Kuen Kwok and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives summarizes most of the recent research results in pricing models of derivatives on discrete realized variance and VIX. The book begins with the presentation of volatility trading and uses of variance derivatives. It then moves on to discuss the robust replication strategy of variance swaps using portfolio of options, which is one of the major milestones in pricing theory of variance derivatives. The replication procedure provides the theoretical foundation of the construction of VIX. This book provides sound arguments for formulating the pricing models of variance derivatives and establishes formal proofs of various technical results. Illustrative numerical examples are included to show accuracy and effectiveness of analytic and approximation methods. Features Useful for practitioners and quants in the financial industry who need to make choices between various pricing models of variance derivatives Fabulous resource for researchers interested in pricing and hedging issues of variance derivatives and VIX products Can be used as a university textbook in a topic course on pricing variance derivatives

Book Asymptotic Analyses for Complex Evolutionary Systems with Markov and Semi Markov Switching Using Approximation Schemes

Download or read book Asymptotic Analyses for Complex Evolutionary Systems with Markov and Semi Markov Switching Using Approximation Schemes written by Yaroslav Chabanyuk and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-10-02 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices written by Rafal Weron and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-12-15 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.