Download or read book Analysts Cash Flow Forecasts and the Predictive Ability and Pricing of Operating Cash Flows written by Andrew C. Call and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I examine the association between analysts' cash flow forecasts and the predictive ability and pricing of operating cash flows. I argue that when analysts issue cash flow forecasts, they serve a monitoring role over the firm's reported cash flow information. Consistent with this idea, I find the ability of current cash flows to predict future cash flows is greater for firms whose analysts issue cash flow forecasts, and improves when analysts begin forecasting cash flows, suggesting analysts' cash flow forecasts discipline managers to report cash flow information that is more informative about future firm prospects. Furthermore, I find the incremental weight investors assign to operating cash flows is greater for firms with a cash flow forecast than for firms without a cash flow forecast, and increases in the years immediately after analysts begin issuing cash flow forecasts. As a result, the anomalous underpricing of operating cash flows is eliminated for firms whose analysts issue cash flow forecasts. These results suggest analysts' cash flow forecasts have implications for both the reporting and pricing of cash flow information.
Download or read book The usefulness of accounting measures in predicting future cash flow written by Nikolay Draganov and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-08-10 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2021 in the subject Business economics - Accounting and Taxes, grade: 1,0, University of Cologne, language: English, abstract: The primary aim of this study is to empirically examine the relative ability of accounting earnings and cash flow to predict future cash flow. Moreover, the role of accruals in cash flow predictions is called into question. One of the major purposes of financial reporting consists in ensuring an informational basis that helps investors, creditors and other users of accounting data to overcome the uncertainty associated with the future cash flows of enterprises their financial activity relates to. At the same time, the accrual concept prevails in modern accounting, since it is theorized to mitigate the mismatching and timing problems of the unrefined cash ba-sis accounting. Hence, recognizing revenues and expenses in the period when they have occurred, and not when cash was received or paid out, should create a more relevant framework for decision making. The use of accrual accounting earnings as a summary measure of financial performance instead of the more primitive cash flows is therefore advocated by accounting standard setters. For instance, the Financial Accounting Stand-ard Board claims that: “Information about enterprise earnings and its components measured by accrual accounting generally provides a better indica-tion of enterprise performance than information about current cash receipts and pay-ments”. The FASB’s statement led to a rising discussion in the financial research on whether accounting earnings provide a more reliable picture of a company’s future operating cash flows than current operating cash flows themselves do. Hence, a major implication of the above quotation refers to the incremental power of accruals and its components in predicting future cash flows beyond the one contained into current operating cash flows. This debate represents a cornerstone in evaluating the information quality offered by the accrual accounting concept.
Download or read book The Predictive Ability and Usefulness of Accounting Operating Cash Flows written by Dennis Ridley and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evidence is provided of the usefulness of accounting cash flow (CF) data to investors and creditors by examining the predictive ability of quarterly operating cash flows. In this study, moving window spectral (MWS) analysis, a frequency domain approach, is applied to accounting time series data for the first time. This method is adopted because of its unique ability to capture trend and cyclical components in the data. Our results show that cash flows can be reliably predicted using aggregate data on a firm by firm basis. In addition, our results outperform the results previously reported in the accounting literature. If the FASB were to require CF disclosures on a segment basis, we believe further improvement in prediction would be possible, thereby enhancing the usefulness of reported CF data. This research provides insight into the properties of accounting time series data not possible from a strictly time domain analysis.
Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of Analysts Cash Flow Forecasts written by Mark L. DeFond and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the relatively recent and growing trend in analysts making operating cash flow forecasts. We find that cash flow forecasts are made for companies with accounting, operating and financing characteristics that are likely to make cash flows more helpful in interpreting earnings and assessing firm viability. Specifically, consistent with our expectations, we find that cash flow forecasts are more likely to be made for firms: (1) in industries with greater accounting choice heterogeneity; (2) with forecasted earnings losses;(3) with shorter operating cycles; (4) with greater capital intensity; and (5) with higher leverage. These findings suggest that market participants demand cash flow forecasts when cash flows are relatively more useful in assessing firm value. Supporting this explanation, we also find that analysts make cash flow forecasts when current cash flows have greater ability, and earnings have less ability, to predict future cash flows; when annual earnings have a lower association with stock returns; and when cash flow forecast errors are associated with stock returns around the earnings announcement date, but earnings forecast errors are not.
Download or read book Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting written by Timothy Jury and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-03 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the definitive guide to cash flow statement analysis and forecasting. It takes the reader from an introduction about how cash flows move within a business, through to a detailed review of the contents of a cash flow statement. This is followed by detailed guidance on how to restate cash flows into a template format. The book shows how to use the template to analyse the data from start up, growth, mature and declining companies, and those using US GAAP and IAS reporting. The book includes real world examples from such companies as Black and Decker (US), Fiat (Italy) and Tesco (UK). A section on cash flow forecasting includes full coverage of spreadsheet risk and good practice. Complete with chapters of particular interest to those involved in credit markets as lenders or counter-parties, those running businesses and those in equity investing, this book is the definitive guide to understanding and interpreting cash flow data.
Download or read book Cash Flow Forecasting written by Andrew Fight and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2005-10-12 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Budgets are like road maps -- they provide a direction for a corporates financial management. Balance sheets and statements of revenues also provide insights into how well a company is following that direction. But cash flow and cash flow forecasts are what guide the day-to-day itinerary for an organization. Budgets and cash flow are dynamic -- adjustments and changes can and should occur. If you understand what you are looking at, you can use cash flow to create better budgets and thus more accurate cash flow forecasting. Cash Flow Forecasting outlines the techniques required to undertake a detailed analysis of the cash flow dynamics of the business from both a historical and forward looking perspective. Cash Flow Forecasting explains how to: * Determine appropriate cash flow figures from pro forma financial statements * Interpret detailed cash flow forecasts and understand the difference between profit and cash flow * Conserve or generate cash in the short term * Evaluate different methods of project evaluation * Recognize the limitations of accounting information in valuing companies *Inspired by basic entry level training courses that have been developed by major international banks worldwide * Will enable students and those already in the finance profession to gain an understanding of the basic information and principles of cash flow forecasting * Includes questions with answers, study topics, practical "real world" examples and extensive bibliography
Download or read book Comparative Predictive Abilities of Earnings and Operating Cash Flows on Future Cash Flows written by Joseph Agana and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 6 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cash flow prediction is an essential component of economic decision making, particularly in investment and credit evaluation. This paper examines the comparative predictive ability of earnings and operating cash flows variables on future operating cash flows within a developing economy's setting. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method is used to develop regression models over the period of 2002 to 2012. Current operating cash flows, as proxy for future operating cash flows, are regressed on past one, two and three years of earnings and operating cash flows as predictors. Results from the regression analysis reveals earnings and operating cash flows are significant in predicting future operating cash flows but have different predictive powers with earnings providing a superior comparative predictive ability on future cash flows. The paper therefore concludes that earnings are a better predictor of future operating cash flows than historical operating cash flows itself.
Download or read book Cash Flow Analysis written by IntroBooks and published by IntroBooks. This book was released on 2018-02-19 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Predictive Ability of Current Earnings and Cash Flows written by Percy Gumbi and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research investigated the ability of current earnings and cash flows to predict future cash flows and future share prices. The investigation was conducted used financial information of JSE listed companies over a period between 2001 and 2011. The objectives of the research were to establish the predictive ability of current earnings and cash flows on future cash flows and share prices. This study was motivated by the findings of Kim and Kross (2005) where they consolidated the earlier findings by Collins et al. (1997) and Dechow et al. (1998). It was predetermined that the study would add to the body of knowledge in financial statements analysis and the application of earnings and cash flows as the predictive financial variables, Earnings are regarded as an essential measure of company of company's performance and cash flows from operations as a measure of the company's ability to generate cash flows from their operations. It was noted that investors do study and analyse these financial elements when investment decisions are made (Higgins, 2009: De Fond and Hung, 2003). It was found that earnings did not have the predictive ability on future cash flows but proved to possess high predictive power over future share prices. The results were not in agreement with the previous studied on the same subject. The average of R-square on current earnings ability to predict future cash flows were R2=0.27 and 0.38 in the long run and short run, respectively. The predictive ability on future share prices were R2=0.44 and 0.54 in the long and short run, respectively. Current cash flows on the hand indicated low predictive ability on future share price where the average R2=0.24 and 0.33 in the long and short run respectively. The predictive ability on current cash flows over future cash flows proved to be higher, which was not consistent with the previous researchers. The average R2 were 0.44 and 0.46 in the long and short run. It was noted that these financial elements proved to possess higher predictive abilities in the short run.
Download or read book Principles of Cash Flow Valuation written by Joseph Tham and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2004-02-23 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Principles of Cash Flow Valuation is the only book available that focuses exclusively on cash flow valuation. This text provides a comprehensive and practical, market-based framework for the valuation of finite cash flows derived from a set of integrated financial statements, namely, the income statement, balance sheet, and cash budget. The authors have distilled the essence of years of gathering academic wisdom in the study of cash flow analysis and the cost of capital. Their work should go a long way toward bridging the gap between the application of cost benefit analysis and the theory of capital budgeting. This book covers the basic concepts in market-based cash flow valuation. Topics include the tme value of money (TVM) and an introduction to cost of capital; basic review of financial statements and accounting concepts; construction of integrated pro-forma financial statements; derivation of free cash flows; use of the WACC in theory and in practice; estimating the WACC for non traded firms; calculating the terminal value beyond the planning period. It also revisits the theory for cost of capital and explains how cash flows are valued in reality. The ideas are illustrated using examples and a case study. The presentation is appropriate for a range of technical backgrounds. This text will be of interest to finance professionals as well as MBA and other graduate students in finance. * Provides the only exclusive treatment of cash flow valuation * Authors use examples and a case study to illustrate ideas * Presentation appropriate for a range of technical backgrounds: ideas are presented clearly, full exposition is also provided * Named among the Top 10 financial engineering titles by Financial Engineering News
Download or read book The Quality of Analysts Cash Flow Forecasts written by Dan Givoly and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines properties of analysts' cash flow forecasts and compares these properties with those exhibited by analysts' earnings forecasts. Our results indicate that analysts' cash flow forecasts are of a considerable lower quality than their earnings forecasts. They are less accurate and improve at a slower rate during the forecast period. Further, analysts' cash flow forecasts appear to be, in essence, a naiuml;ve extension of their earnings forecasts and provide no incremental information on expected changes in firms' working capital. Consistent with their low quality and in contrast to their earnings forecasts, analysts' forecasts of cash flows are of limited information content and are only weakly associated with stock price movements. Finally, a measure of expected accruals based on the difference between analysts' earnings and cash flow forecasts has a very low power in detecting earnings management.
Download or read book Understanding cash flow written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Do Core and Non Core Cash Flows from Operations Persist Differentially in Predicting Future Cash Flows written by Agnes Cheng and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the persistence of cash flow components (core and non-core cash flows) using a cash flow prediction model. By extending the Barth, Cram, and Nelson (2001) model, we examine the role of cash flow components in predicting future cash flows beyond that of accrual components. We propose a cash flow prediction model that decomposes cash flows from operations into core and non-core cash flow components that parallel the presentation and format of operating income from the income statement. Consistent with the AICPA and financial analysts' recommendations, and as predicted, we find that core and non-core cash flows defined in our paper are differentially persistent in predicting future cash flows; and these cash flow components enhance the in-sample predictive ability of cash flow prediction models. We also analyze the association of in-sample prediction errors with earnings, cash flow and accruals variability. We find that disaggregating cash flows improve in-sample prediction, especially for large firms with high cash flows and earnings variability.
Download or read book Do Analysts Cash Flow Forecasts Improve the Accuracy of Their Target Prices written by Noor Hashim and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts is ambiguous. For example, Call et al. (2009) show that issuing cash flow forecasts has important benefits for analysts' earnings forecasts, while Givoly et al. (2009) question the validity of this result, arguing that analysts' cash flow forecasts are simple extrapolations of their earnings forecasts and provide limited incremental information. More recently, Mohanram (2014) and Radhakrishnan and Wu (2014) show that the increasing incidence of cash flow forecasts has helped mitigate accruals mispricing. We contribute to the debate on the usefulness of analysts' cash flow forecasts and their effect on capital market outcomes by examining whether cash flow forecasts have incremental benefits over earnings for analysts' valuation outcomes. We find that analysts who are better at forecasting cash flows are better at forecasting target prices, even after controlling for the quality of their earnings forecasts. Our study provides confirmatory evidence on the sophistication of analysts' cash flow forecasts.
Download or read book Cash Flow Forecasting written by William A. Loscalzo and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1982 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Do Investors Fully Understand the Economic Implications of Cash Flows from Operations written by Mei Luo and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Predictive Ability of Annual Cash Flow Under Historical Cost and Constant Dollar Accounting microform written by Adam, Shiraz T. N and published by National Library of Canada. This book was released on 1984 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
