Download or read book Aspects of Risk Theory written by Jan Grandell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk theory, which deals with stochastic models of an insurance business, is a classical application of probability theory. The fundamental problem in risk theory is to investigate the ruin possibility of the risk business. Traditionally the occurrence of the claims is described by a Poisson process and the cost of the claims by a sequence of random variables. This book is a treatise of risk theory with emphasis on models where the occurrence of the claims is described by more general point processes than the Poisson process, such as renewal processes, Cox processes and general stationary point processes. In the Cox case the possibility of risk fluctuation is explicitly taken into account. The presentation is based on modern probabilistic methods rather than on analytic methods. The theory is accompanied with discussions on practical evaluation of ruin probabilities and statistical estimation. Many numerical illustrations of the results are given.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by S?ren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 621 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramr?Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber?Shiu functions and dependence.
Download or read book Risk Modelling in General Insurance written by Roger J. Gray and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-28 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A wide range of topics give students a firm foundation in statistical and actuarial concepts and their applications.
Download or read book Gerber Shiu Risk Theory written by Andreas E. Kyprianou and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-10-02 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the many and long-standing contributions of H. Gerber and E. Shiu, this book gives a modern perspective on the problem of ruin for the classical Cramér–Lundberg model and the surplus of an insurance company. The book studies martingales and path decompositions, which are the main tools used in analysing the distribution of the time of ruin, the wealth prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin. Recent developments in exotic ruin theory are also considered. In particular, by making dividend or tax payments out of the surplus process, the effect on ruin is explored. Gerber-Shiu Risk Theory can be used as lecture notes and is suitable for a graduate course. Each chapter corresponds to approximately two hours of lectures.
Download or read book Risk and Insurance written by Søren Asmussen and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-04-17 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a broad overview of the present state of insurance mathematics and some related topics in risk management, financial mathematics and probability. Both non-life and life aspects are covered. The emphasis is on probability and modeling rather than statistics and practical implementation. Aimed at the graduate level, pointing in part to current research topics, it can potentially replace other textbooks on basic non-life insurance mathematics and advanced risk management methods in non-life insurance. Based on chapters selected according to the particular topics in mind, the book may serve as a source for introductory courses to insurance mathematics for non-specialists, advanced courses for actuarial students, or courses on probabilistic aspects of risk. It will also be useful for practitioners and students/researchers in related areas such as finance and statistics who wish to get an overview of the general area of mathematical modeling and analysis in insurance.
Download or read book Modern Actuarial Risk Theory written by Rob Kaas and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-03 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern Actuarial Risk Theory contains what every actuary needs to know about non-life insurance mathematics. It starts with the standard material like utility theory, individual and collective model and basic ruin theory. Other topics are risk measures and premium principles, bonus-malus systems, ordering of risks and credibility theory. It also contains some chapters about Generalized Linear Models, applied to rating and IBNR problems. As to the level of the mathematics, the book would fit in a bachelors or masters program in quantitative economics or mathematical statistics. This second and.
Download or read book Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks written by Michel Denuit and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-05-01 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increasing complexity of insurance and reinsurance products has seen a growing interest amongst actuaries in the modelling of dependent risks. For efficient risk management, actuaries need to be able to answer fundamental questions such as: Is the correlation structure dangerous? And, if yes, to what extent? Therefore tools to quantify, compare, and model the strength of dependence between different risks are vital. Combining coverage of stochastic order and risk measure theories with the basics of risk management and stochastic dependence, this book provides an essential guide to managing modern financial risk. * Describes how to model risks in incomplete markets, emphasising insurance risks. * Explains how to measure and compare the danger of risks, model their interactions, and measure the strength of their association. * Examines the type of dependence induced by GLM-based credibility models, the bounds on functions of dependent risks, and probabilistic distances between actuarial models. * Detailed presentation of risk measures, stochastic orderings, copula models, dependence concepts and dependence orderings. * Includes numerous exercises allowing a cementing of the concepts by all levels of readers. * Solutions to tasks as well as further examples and exercises can be found on a supporting website. An invaluable reference for both academics and practitioners alike, Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks will appeal to all those eager to master the up-to-date modelling tools for dependent risks. The inclusion of exercises and practical examples makes the book suitable for advanced courses on risk management in incomplete markets. Traders looking for practical advice on insurance markets will also find much of interest.
Download or read book Risk Theory written by Hanspeter Schmidli and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-04-04 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of classical actuarial techniques, including material that is not readily accessible elsewhere such as the Ammeter risk model and the Markov-modulated risk model. Other topics covered include utility theory, credibility theory, claims reserving and ruin theory. The author treats both theoretical and practical aspects and also discusses links to Solvency II. Written by one of the leading experts in the field, these lecture notes serve as a valuable introduction to some of the most frequently used methods in non-life insurance. They will be of particular interest to graduate students, researchers and practitioners in insurance, finance and risk management.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by Yuliya Mishura and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-08 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ruin Probabilities: Smoothness, Bounds, Supermartingale Approach deals with continuous-time risk models and covers several aspects of risk theory. The first of them is the smoothness of the survival probabilities. In particular, the book provides a detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities for different risk models. Next, it gives some possible applications of the results concerning the smoothness of the survival probabilities. Additionally, the book introduces the supermartingale approach, which generalizes the martingale one introduced by Gerber, to get upper exponential bounds for the infinite-horizon ruin probabilities in some generalizations of the classical risk model with risky investments. - Provides new original results - Detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities, as well as possible applications of these results - An excellent supplement to current textbooks and monographs in risk theory - Contains a comprehensive list of useful references
Download or read book Modeling Measuring and Managing Risk written by Georg Ch Pflug and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2007 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first in the market to treat single- and multi-period risk measures (risk functionals) in a thorough, comprehensive manner. It combines the treatment of properties of the risk measures with the related aspects of decision making under risk.The book introduces the theory of risk measures in a mathematically sound way. It contains properties, characterizations and representations of risk functionals for single-period and multi-period activities, and also shows the embedding of such functionals in decision models and the properties of these models.
Download or read book Surplus Analysis of Sparre Andersen Insurance Risk Processes written by Gordon E. Willmot and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-12-21 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This carefully written monograph covers the Sparre Andersen process in an actuarial context using the renewal process as the model for claim counts. A unified reference on Sparre Andersen (renewal risk) processes is included, often missing from existing literature. The authors explore recent results and analyse various risk theoretic quantities associated with the event of ruin, including the time of ruin and the deficit of ruin. Particular attention is given to the explicit identification of defective renewal equation components, which are needed to analyse various risk theoretic quantities and are also relevant in other subject areas of applied probability such as dams and storage processes, as well as queuing theory. Aimed at researchers interested in risk/ruin theory and related areas, this work will also appeal to graduate students in classical and modern risk theory and Gerber-Shiu analysis.
Download or read book Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values written by Rolf-Dieter Reiss and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-21 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a self-contained introduction to parametric modeling, exploratory analysis and statistical interference for extreme values, as used in disciplines from hydrology to finance to environmental science. Updated and expanded by 100 pages.
Download or read book Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory written by Hans Bühlmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-15 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: "The huge literature in risk theory has been carefully selected and supplemented by personal contributions of the author, many of which appear here for the first time. The result is a systematic and very readable book, which takes into account the most recent developments of the field. It will be of great interest to the actuary as well as to the statistician . . ." -- Math. Reviews Vol. 43
Download or read book Probability for Risk Management written by Matthew J. Hassett and published by ACTEX Publications. This book was released on 2006 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by Soren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2000-07-24 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is a comprehensive treatment of classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramér-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (eg. for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation or periodicity. Special features of the book are the emphasis on change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas like queueing theory.
Download or read book Asymptotic Statistics in Insurance Risk Theory written by Yasutaka Shimizu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-21 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book begins with the fundamental large sample theory, estimating ruin probability, and ends by dealing with the latest issues of estimating the Gerber–Shiu function. This book is the first to introduce the recent development of statistical methodologies in risk theory (ruin theory) as well as their mathematical validities. Asymptotic theory of parametric and nonparametric inference for the ruin-related quantities is discussed under the setting of not only classical compound Poisson risk processes (Cramér–Lundberg model) but also more general Lévy insurance risk processes. The recent development of risk theory can deal with many kinds of ruin-related quantities: the probability of ruin as well as Gerber–Shiu’s discounted penalty function, both of which are useful in insurance risk management and in financial credit risk analysis. In those areas, the common stochastic models are used in the context of the structural approach of companies’ default. So far, the probabilistic point of view has been the main concern for academic researchers. However, this book emphasizes the statistical point of view because identifying the risk model is always necessary and is crucial in the final step of practical risk management.
Download or read book Lectures on Risk Theory written by Klaus D. Schmidt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1996 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "... Especially now, where from the side of mathematical finance interest is also shown for insurance-related products, a book like this one will definitely be instrumental in communicating the basic mathematical models to non-experts in insurance. I therefore welcome this book for its intended audience." P. Embrechts. Mathematical Reviews, Ann Arbor "... [The book] is useful as a detailed theoretical complement to one of the classical introductory texts on risk theory ...". M. Schweizer. Zentralblatt für Mathematik, Berlin "... The author's goals are clearly proclaimed at the outset, and they are pursued with persistence and integrity. The result is a book which is an integral whole, original in some respects, with interesting contributions. And no errors - not even a single misprint. I recommend it to every tutor of risk theory as a source of mathematically solid proofs and complete explorations of certain aspects of the subject." R. Norberg. Metrika, Heidelberg
