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Book Completing the Forecast

    Book Details:
  • Author : National Research Council
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release : 2006-10-09
  • ISBN : 0309180538
  • Pages : 124 pages

Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-10-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Book Forecasters Handbook

Download or read book Forecasters Handbook written by United States. National Weather Service and published by . This book was released on 19?? with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Estimating Soil Moisture and Tractionability Conditions for Strategic Planning

Download or read book Estimating Soil Moisture and Tractionability Conditions for Strategic Planning written by Charles Warren Thornthwaite and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Ionospheric Effects on Positioning of Vehicles at High Altitudes

Download or read book Ionospheric Effects on Positioning of Vehicles at High Altitudes written by Wolfgang Pfister and published by . This book was released on 1956 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Rotational Frequencies and Absorption Coefficients of Atmospheric Gases

Download or read book Rotational Frequencies and Absorption Coefficients of Atmospheric Gases written by S. N. Ghosh and published by . This book was released on 1956 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Air Force Surveys in Geophysics

Download or read book Air Force Surveys in Geophysics written by and published by . This book was released on 1956 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Variations of Atmospheric Transmissivity and Cloud Height at Newark

Download or read book Variations of Atmospheric Transmissivity and Cloud Height at Newark written by William C. Morton (III.) and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Methods of Artificial Fog Dispersal and Their Evaluation

Download or read book Methods of Artificial Fog Dispersal and Their Evaluation written by Christian E. Junge and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Development of Missile Design Wind Profiles for Patrick AFB

Download or read book Development of Missile Design Wind Profiles for Patrick AFB written by Norman Sissenwine and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Accuracy of Wind Determination from the Track of a Falling Object

Download or read book Accuracy of Wind Determination from the Track of a Falling Object written by Vincent E. Lally and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Behavior of Atmospheric Density Profiles

Download or read book Behavior of Atmospheric Density Profiles written by Norman Sissenwine and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Thermal Techniques for Dissipating Fog from Aircraft Runways

Download or read book Thermal Techniques for Dissipating Fog from Aircraft Runways written by Currie S. Downie and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: