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Book Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis

Download or read book Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis written by Anca M. Hanea and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-02-19 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book pulls together many perspectives on the theory, methods and practice of drawing judgments from panels of experts in assessing risks and making decisions in complex circumstances. The book is divided into four parts: Structured Expert Judgment (SEJ) current research fronts; the contributions of Roger Cooke and the Classical Model he developed; process, procedures and education; and applications. After an Introduction by the Editors, the first part presents chapters on expert elicitation of parameters of multinomial models; the advantages of using performance weighting by advancing the “random expert” hypothesis; expert elicitation for specific graphical models; modelling dependencies between experts’ assessments within a Bayesian framework; preventive maintenance optimization in a Bayesian framework; eliciting life time distributions to parametrize a Dirichlet process; and on an adversarial risk analysis approach for structured expert judgment studies. The second part includes Roger Cooke’s oration from 1995 on taking up his chair at Delft University of Technology; one of the editors reflections on the early decade of the Classical Model development and use; a current overview of the theory of the Classical Model, providing a deep and comprehensive perspective on its foundations and its application; and an interview with Roger Cooke. The third part starts with an interview with Professor Dame Anne Glover, who served as the Chief Scientific Advisor to the President of the European Commission. It then presents chapters on the characteristics of good elicitations by reviewing those advocated and applied; the design and development of a training course for SEJ; and on specific experiences with SEJ protocols with the intention of presenting the challenges and insights collected during these journeys. Finally, the fourth (and largest) part begins with some reflections from Willy Aspinall on his many experiences in applying the Classical Model in several application domains; it continues with related reflections on imperfect elicitations; and then it presents chapters with applications on medicines policy and management, supply chain cyber risk management, geo-political risks, terrorism and the risks facing businesses looking to internationalise.

Book Reliability Data Collection and Use in Risk and Availability Assessment

Download or read book Reliability Data Collection and Use in Risk and Availability Assessment written by Viviana Colombari and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International cooperation on reliability and accident data collection and processing, exchange of experience on actual uses of data and reliability engineering techniques is a major step in realising safer and more efficient industrial systems. This book provides an updated presentation of the activities in this field on a worldwide basis.

Book Statistics in Science

    Book Details:
  • Author : R. Cooke
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Release : 2012-12-06
  • ISBN : 9400906196
  • Pages : 229 pages

Download or read book Statistics in Science written by R. Cooke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An inference may be defined as a passage of thought according to some method. In the theory of knowledge it is customary to distinguish deductive and non-deductive inferences. Deductive inferences are truth preserving, that is, the truth of the premises is preserved in the con clusion. As a result, the conclusion of a deductive inference is already 'contained' in the premises, although we may not know this fact until the inference is performed. Standard examples of deductive inferences are taken from logic and mathematics. Non-deductive inferences need not preserve truth, that is, 'thought may pass' from true premises to false conclusions. Such inferences can be expansive, or, ampliative in the sense that the performances of such inferences actually increases our putative knowledge. Standard non-deductive inferences do not really exist, but one may think of elementary inductive inferences in which conclusions regarding the future are drawn from knowledge of the past. Since the body of scientific knowledge is increasing, it is obvious that the method of science must allow non-deductive as well as deductive inferences. Indeed, the explosive growth of science in recent times points to a prominent role for the former. Philosophers of science have long tried to isolate and study the non-deductive inferences in science. The inevitability of such inferences one the one hand, juxtaposed with the poverty of all efforts to identify them, constitutes one of the major cognitive embarrassments of our time.

Book Combining Pattern Classifiers

Download or read book Combining Pattern Classifiers written by Ludmila I. Kuncheva and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-08-13 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unified, coherent treatment of current classifier ensemble methods, from fundamentals of pattern recognition to ensemble feature selection, now in its second edition The art and science of combining pattern classifiers has flourished into a prolific discipline since the first edition of Combining Pattern Classifiers was published in 2004. Dr. Kuncheva has plucked from the rich landscape of recent classifier ensemble literature the topics, methods, and algorithms that will guide the reader toward a deeper understanding of the fundamentals, design, and applications of classifier ensemble methods. Thoroughly updated, with MATLAB® code and practice data sets throughout, Combining Pattern Classifiers includes: Coverage of Bayes decision theory and experimental comparison of classifiers Essential ensemble methods such as Bagging, Random forest, AdaBoost, Random subspace, Rotation forest, Random oracle, and Error Correcting Output Code, among others Chapters on classifier selection, diversity, and ensemble feature selection With firm grounding in the fundamentals of pattern recognition, and featuring more than 140 illustrations, Combining Pattern Classifiers, Second Edition is a valuable reference for postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners in computing and engineering.

Book Knowledge Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems

Download or read book Knowledge Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems written by Ignac Lovrek and published by Springer. This book was released on 2008-09-20 with total page 1079 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The three volume set LNAI 5177, LNAI 5178, and LNAI 5179, constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems, KES 2008, held in Zagreb, Croatia, in September 2008. The 316 revised papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected. The papers present a wealth of original research results from the field of intelligent information processing in the broadest sense; topics covered in the second volume are artificial intelligence driven engineering design optimization; biomedical informatics: intelligent information management from nanomedicine to public health; communicative intelligence; computational intelligence for image processing and pattern recognition; computational intelligence in human cancer research; computational intelligence techniques for Web personalization; computational intelligent techniques for bioprocess modelling, monitoring and control; intelligent computing for Grid; intelligent security techniques; intelligent utilization of soft computing techniques; reasoning-based intelligent systems: relevant reasoning for discovery and prediction; spatio-temporal database concept support for organizing virtual earth; advanced knowledge-based systems; chance discovery; innovation-oriented knowledge management platform; knowledge-based creativity support systems; knowledge-based interface systems; knowledge-based multi-criteria decision support; and knowledge-based systems for e-business.

Book Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks

Download or read book Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2001-06-27 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, w

Book Advanced Intelligent Computing Theories and Applications  With Aspects of Artificial Intelligence

Download or read book Advanced Intelligent Computing Theories and Applications With Aspects of Artificial Intelligence written by De-Shuang Huang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-30 with total page 701 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Conference on Intelligent Computing (ICIC) was formed to provide an annual forum dedicated to the emerging and challenging topics in artificial intel- gence, machine learning, pattern recognition, image processing, bioinformatics, and computational biology. It aims to bring together researchers and practitioners from both academia and industry to share ideas, problems, and solutions related to the m- tifaceted aspects of intelligent computing. ICIC 2010, held in Changsha, China, August 18–21, 2010, constituted the 6th - ternational Conference on Intelligent Computing. It built upon the success of ICIC 2009, ICIC 2008, ICIC 2007, ICIC 2006, and ICIC 2005, that were held in Ulsan, Korea, Shanghai, Qingdao, Kunming, and Hefei, China, respectively. This year, the conference concentrated mainly on the theories and methodologies as well as the emerging applications of intelligent computing. Its aim was to unify the picture of contemporary intelligent computing techniques as an integral concept that highlights the trends in advanced computational intelligence and bridges theoretical research with applications. Therefore, the theme for this conference was “Advanced Intelligent Computing Technology and Applications.” Papers focusing on this theme were solicited, addressing theories, methodologies, and applications in science and technology.

Book Mathematical Reviews

Download or read book Mathematical Reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Proceedings of the 2023 2nd International Conference on Urban Planning and Regional Economy  UPRE 2023

Download or read book Proceedings of the 2023 2nd International Conference on Urban Planning and Regional Economy UPRE 2023 written by Reza Lotfi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-08-14 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book. As a leading role in the global megatrend of scientific innovation, China has been creating a more and more open environment for scientific innovation, increasing the depth and breadth of academic cooperation, and building a community of innovation that benefits all. These endeavors have made new contribution to globalization and creating a community of shared future. To adapt to this changing world and China's fast development in this new era, 2023 2nd International Conference on Urban Planning and Regional Economy (UPRE 2023) is to be held on April 21-23, 2023 in Beijing, China. Urban planning can change the functional structure of a city. Urban planning plays a very important role in regional economic development. Urban planning contains various factors of urban economic development. Urban economic development can effectively improve the speed and quality of urban planning formulation and implementation. The two affect and interact with each other. The meeting will focus on "urban planning" and "regional economy", and discuss their interdependence, mutual promotion and mutual restriction. UPRE 2023 aims to build a platform for scholars to discuss the relationship between urban planning and economy, aims to promote the exchange of different cutting-edge research in the field of information and connection at home and abroad the most advanced academic resources. Conference topics include Traffic management and supply chain, regional policy and local economic transformation, Scenic spot development and tourism economy, Urban modernization and high-tech economy, Environmental protection and sustainable economy, Resource development and industrial structure.

Book Real World Applications of Game Theory and Optimization

Download or read book Real World Applications of Game Theory and Optimization written by Dun Han and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2024-08-16 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research topic centers on the practical application of game theory and optimization methods to address complex challenges in real-world contexts. At its core, game theory provides a framework for analyzing strategic interactions among rational decision-makers, while optimization techniques are designed to seek the most favorable outcomes. These tools have proven to be powerful assets across a wide range of domains, from economics and computer science to social sciences and engineering. The following objectives guide this exploration: (i) Understanding Game Theory and Optimization in Real-world Contexts: This objective involves investigating how these mathematical constructs are applied to model and resolve problems across various fields. (ii) Analyzing the Effectiveness of Game Theory and Optimization Techniques: This involves studying real-world case studies and practical applications with the goal of evaluating the performance and efficiency of these methods in practice. (iii) Identifying Potential Areas for Effective Application of Game Theory and Optimization: This objective aims to pinpoint sectors or disciplines that may significantly benefit from the application of these mathematical techniques. The goal of this Research Topic in Frontiers in Physics aims to produce a comprehensive understanding of the real-world applications of game theory and optimization, highlighting their practical impact and potential for future use. It will provide valuable insights for professionals and researchers working in the fields where these techniques can be applied and contribute to the body of knowledge in game theory and optimization. Potential topics include but are not limited to the following: 1. Economics and Business: How are game theory and optimization used to make strategic business decisions and to understand economic phenomena? 2. Computer Science: How do these techniques contribute to areas like network design, machine learning, and algorithm development? 3. Social Sciences: How can game theory and optimization help in understanding social dynamics, designing policies, and resolving conflicts? 4. Engineering and Operations Research: How are these techniques utilized in system design, process optimization, and decision-making?

Book Handbook of Pattern Recognition and Computer Vision

Download or read book Handbook of Pattern Recognition and Computer Vision written by C. H. Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1999 with total page 1045 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The very significant advances in computer vision and pattern recognition and their applications in the last few years reflect the strong and growing interest in the field as well as the many opportunities and challenges it offers. The second edition of this handbook represents both the latest progress and updated knowledge in this dynamic field. The applications and technological issues are particularly emphasized in this edition to reflect the wide applicability of the field in many practical problems. To keep the book in a single volume, it is not possible to retain all chapters of the first edition. However, the chapters of both editions are well written for permanent reference.

Book Data Science for Civil Engineering

Download or read book Data Science for Civil Engineering written by Rakesh K. Jain and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-05-10 with total page 251 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains use of data science-based techniques for modeling and providing optimal solutions to complex problems in civil engineering. It discusses civil engineering problems like air, water and land pollution, climate crisis, transportation infrastructures, traffic and travel modes, mobility services, and so forth. Divided into two sections, the first one deals with the basics of data science and essential mathematics while the second section covers pertinent applications in structural and environmental engineering, construction management, and transportation. Features: Details information on essential mathematics required to implement civil engineering applications using data science techniques. Discusses broad background of data science and its fundamentals. Focusses on structural engineering, transportation systems, water resource management, geomatics, and environmental engineering. Includes python programming libraries to solve complex problems. Addresses various real-world applications of data science based civil engineering use cases. This book aims at senior undergraduate students in Civil Engineering and Applied Data Science.

Book Data Mining with Decision Trees

Download or read book Data Mining with Decision Trees written by Lior Rokach and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first comprehensive book dedicated entirely to the field of decision trees in data mining and covers all aspects of this important technique. Decision trees have become one of the most powerful and popular approaches in knowledge discovery and data mining, the science and technology of exploring large and complex bodies of data in order to discover useful patterns. The area is of great importance because it enables modeling and knowledge extraction from the abundance of data available. Both theoreticians and practitioners are continually seeking techniques to make the process more efficient, cost-effective and accurate. Decision trees, originally implemented in decision theory and statistics, are highly effective tools in other areas such as data mining, text mining, information extraction, machine learning, and pattern recognition. This book invites readers to explore the many benefits in data mining that decision trees offer:: Self-explanatory and easy to follow when compacted; Able to handle a variety of input data: nominal, numeric and textual; Able to process datasets that may have errors or missing values; High predictive performance for a relatively small computational effort; Available in many data mining packages over a variety of platforms; Useful for various tasks, such as classification, regression, clustering and feature selection . Sample Chapter(s). Chapter 1: Introduction to Decision Trees (245 KB). Chapter 6: Advanced Decision Trees (409 KB). Chapter 10: Fuzzy Decision Trees (220 KB). Contents: Introduction to Decision Trees; Growing Decision Trees; Evaluation of Classification Trees; Splitting Criteria; Pruning Trees; Advanced Decision Trees; Decision Forests; Incremental Learning of Decision Trees; Feature Selection; Fuzzy Decision Trees; Hybridization of Decision Trees with Other Techniques; Sequence Classification Using Decision Trees. Readership: Researchers, graduate and undergraduate students in information systems, engineering, computer science, statistics and management.

Book Generalized combination rule for evidential reasoning approach and Dempster    Shafer theory of evidence

Download or read book Generalized combination rule for evidential reasoning approach and Dempster Shafer theory of evidence written by Yuan-Wei Du and published by Infinite Study. This book was released on with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Dempster–Shafer (DS) theory of evidence can combine evidence with one parameter. The evidential reasoning (ER) approach is an extension of DS theory that can combine evidence with two parameters (weights and reliabilities). However, it has three infeasible aspects: reliability dependence, unreliability effectiveness, and intergeneration inconsistency.

Book New Development of Neutrosophic Probability  Neutrosophic Statistics  Neutrosophic Algebraic Structures  and Neutrosophic Plithogenic Optimizations

Download or read book New Development of Neutrosophic Probability Neutrosophic Statistics Neutrosophic Algebraic Structures and Neutrosophic Plithogenic Optimizations written by Florentin Smarandache and published by Infinite Study. This book was released on 2022-09-01 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents state-of-the-art papers on new topics related to neutrosophic theories, such as neutrosophic algebraic structures, neutrosophic triplet algebraic structures, neutrosophic extended triplet algebraic structures, neutrosophic algebraic hyperstructures, neutrosophic triplet algebraic hyperstructures, neutrosophic n-ary algebraic structures, neutrosophic n-ary algebraic hyperstructures, refined neutrosophic algebraic structures, refined neutrosophic algebraic hyperstructures, quadruple neutrosophic algebraic structures, refined quadruple neutrosophic algebraic structures, neutrosophic image processing, neutrosophic image classification, neutrosophic computer vision, neutrosophic machine learning, neutrosophic artificial intelligence, neutrosophic data analytics, neutrosophic deep learning, and neutrosophic symmetry, as well as their applications in the real world.

Book Springer Handbook of Ocean Engineering

Download or read book Springer Handbook of Ocean Engineering written by Manhar R. Dhanak and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-23 with total page 1344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook is the definitive reference for the interdisciplinary field that is ocean engineering. It integrates the coverage of fundamental and applied material and encompasses a diverse spectrum of systems, concepts and operations in the maritime environment, as well as providing a comprehensive update on contemporary, leading-edge ocean technologies. Coverage includes an overview on the fundamentals of ocean science, ocean signals and instrumentation, coastal structures, developments in ocean energy technologies and ocean vehicles and automation. It aims at practitioners in a range of offshore industries and naval establishments as well as academic researchers and graduate students in ocean, coastal, offshore and marine engineering and naval architecture. The Springer Handbook of Ocean Engineering is organized in five parts: Part A: Fundamentals, Part B: Autonomous Ocean Vehicles, Subsystems and Control, Part C: Coastal Design, Part D: Offshore Technologies, Part E: Energy Conversion