Download or read book A Guided Simulation Methodology for Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Complex Systems written by Yunwei Hu and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Online Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Complex Marine Systems written by Tarannom Parhizkar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-26 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new approach to dynamic and online risk assessment of automated and autonomous marine systems, taking into account different environmental and operational conditions. The book presents lessons learnt from dynamic positioning incidents and accidents, and discusses the challenges of risk assessment of complex systems. The book begins by introducing dynamic and online risk assessment, before presenting automated and autonomous marine systems, as well as numerous dynamic positioning incidents. It then discusses human interactions with technology and explores how to quantify human error. Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment and online risk assessment are both considered fully, including case studies with the application of assisting operators in decision making in emergency situations. Finally, areas for future research are suggested. This practical volume offers tools and methodologies to help operators make better decisions and improve the safety of automated and autonomous marine systems. It provides a guideline for researchers and practitioners to perform dynamic probabilistic and online risk assessment, which also should be applicable to other complex systems outside the marine and maritime domain, such as nuclear power plants, chemical processes, autonomous transport systems, and space shuttles.
Download or read book Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems written by Luca Podofillini and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-09-03 with total page 730 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems contains the Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, held 7-10 September 2015 in Zurich, Switzerland. It includes about 570 papers accepted for presentation at the conference. These contributions focus on theories and methods in the area of risk, safety and
Download or read book Risk Modeling Assessment and Management written by Yacov Y. Haimes and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-08-03 with total page 714 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents systems-based theory, methodology, and applications in risk modeling, assessment, and management This book examines risk analysis, focusing on quantifying risk and constructing probabilities for real-world decision-making, including engineering, design, technology, institutions, organizations, and policy. The author presents fundamental concepts (hierarchical holographic modeling; state space; decision analysis; multi-objective trade-off analysis) as well as advanced material (extreme events and the partitioned multi-objective risk method; multi-objective decision trees; multi-objective risk impact analysis method; guiding principles in risk analysis); avoids higher mathematics whenever possible; and reinforces the material with examples and case studies. The book will be used in systems engineering, enterprise risk management, engineering management, industrial engineering, civil engineering, and operations research. The fourth edition of Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management features: Expanded chapters on systems-based guiding principles for risk modeling, planning, assessment, management, and communication; modeling interdependent and interconnected complex systems of systems with phantom system models; and hierarchical holographic modeling An expanded appendix including a Bayesian analysis for the prediction of chemical carcinogenicity, and the Farmer’s Dilemma formulated and solved using a deterministic linear model Updated case studies including a new case study on sequential Pareto-optimal decisions for emergent complex systems of systems A new companion website with over 200 solved exercises that feature risk analysis theories, methodologies, and application Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, Fourth Edition, is written for both undergraduate and graduate students in systems engineering and systems management courses. The text also serves as a resource for academic, industry, and government professionals in the fields of homeland and cyber security, healthcare, physical infrastructure systems, engineering, business, and more.
Download or read book Advances in Reliability Failure and Risk Analysis written by Harish Garg and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-08 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects select chapters on modern industrial problems related to uncertainties and vagueness in the expert domain of knowledge. The book further provides the knowledge related to application of various mathematical and statistical tools in these areas. The results presented in the book help the researchers and scientists in handling complicated projects in their domains. Useful to industrialists, academicians, researchers and students alike, the book aims to help managers and technical specialists in designing and implementation of reliability and risk programs as below: Ensure the system safety and risk informed asset management Follow a proper strategy to maintain the mechanical components of the system Schedule the proper actions throughout the product life cycle Understand the structure and cost of a complex system Plan the proper schedule to improve the reliability and life of the system Identify unwanted failures and set up preventive and correction action
Download or read book Risk Conscious Operations Management written by Prabhakar V. Varde and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-30 with total page 601 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents various concepts and applications related to risk-conscious operations management. It also provides an overview of the risk-based engineering – fundamental to the concept of risk-conscious operations management. It presents the reliability concept to support Dependency Modelling, which includes hardware systems structures and components for reliability improvement and risk reduction. The book further develops and builds attributes and model for risk-conscious culture – critical to characterize operational approach to risk and presents human factor modelling, where it works on developing an approach for human error precursor analysis. This book will be useful for students, researchers, academicians and professionals working on identifying risk and reliability issues in complex safety and mission critical systems. It will also be beneficial for industry risk-and-reliability experts and operational safety staff working in the complex engineering systems.
Download or read book Risk Analysis in Engineering written by Mohammad Modarres and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-27 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the author's 20 years of teaching, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends presents an engineering approach to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. The author assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the p
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 868 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Probabilistic Modeling in System Engineering written by Andrey Kostogryzov and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2018-09-26 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is intended for systems analysts, designers, developers, users, experts, as well as those involved in quality, risk, safety and security management, and, of course, scientists and students. The various sets of original and traditional probabilistic models and interesting results of their applications to the research of different systems are presented. The models are understandable and applicable for solving system engineering problems: to optimize system requirements, compare different processes, rationale technical decisions, carry out tests, adjust technological parameters, and predict and analyze quality and risks. The engineering decisions, scientifically proven by the proposed models and software tools, can provide purposeful, essential improvement of quality and mitigation of risks, and reduce the expense of operating systems. Models, methods, and software tools can also be used in education for system analysis and mathematical modeling on specializations, for example "systems engineering," "operations research," "enterprise management," "project management," "risk management," "quality of systems," "safety and security," "smart systems," "system of systems," etc.
Download or read book Advances in Risk Informed Technologies written by Prabhakar V. Varde and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024-01-07 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the latest research in the areas of development and application of risk-informed and risk-based technologies. The book discusses how advances in computational technologies, availability of accumulated experience and data on design, operations, maintenance and regulations, new insights in human factor modelling and development of new technologies, such as physics-of-failure modelling, prognostics and health management, have paved the way for implementation of risk and reliability tools and methods. The book will be useful for researchers, academicians, and engineers, particularly the field engineers, designers and regulators working on complex engineering systems.
Download or read book Advanced Concepts In Nuclear Energy Risk Assessment And Management written by Tunc Aldemir and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-04-25 with total page 554 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past 30 years, numerous concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of static modeling approaches such as the event-tree (ET)/fault-tree (FT) methodology to adequately account for the impact of process/hardware/software/firmware/human interactions on nuclear power plant safety assessment, and methodologies to augment the ET/FT approach have been proposed. Often referred to as dynamic probabilistic risk/safety assessment (DPRA/DPSA) methodologies, which use a time-dependent phenomenological model of system evolution along with a model of its stochastic behavior to model for possible dependencies among failure events. The book contains a collection of papers that describe at existing plant level applicable DPRA/DPSA tools, as well as techniques that can be used to augment the ET/FT approach when needed.
Download or read book Probabilistic Risk Assessment written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contains references to documents in the NASA Scientific and Technical (STI) Database.
Download or read book Choosing Safety written by Michael V. Dr Frank and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2010-09-30 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The technological age has seen a range of catastrophic and preventable failures, often as a result of decisions that did not appropriately consider safety as a factor in design and engineering. Through more than a dozen practical examples from the author‘s experience in nuclear power, aerospace, and other potentially hazardous facilities, Choosing Safety is the first book to bring together probabilistic risk assessment and decision analysis using real case studies. For managers, project leaders, engineers, scientists, and interested students, Michael V. Frank focuses on methods for making logical decisions about complex engineered systems and products in which safety is a key factor in design - and where failure can cause great harm, injury, or death.
Download or read book Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems written by Javier Faulin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-04-22 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems discusses the use of computer simulation-based techniques and algorithms to determine reliability and availability (R and A) levels in complex systems. The book: shares theoretical or applied models and decision support systems that make use of simulation to estimate and to improve system R and A levels, forecasts emerging technologies and trends in the use of computer simulation for R and A and proposes hybrid approaches to the development of efficient methodologies designed to solve R and A-related problems in real-life systems. Dealing with practical issues, Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems is designed to support managers and system engineers in the improvement of R and A, as well as providing a thorough exploration of the techniques and algorithms available for researchers, and for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students.
Download or read book Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling written by Oliver Ibe and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-05-22 with total page 515 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Markov processes are processes that have limited memory. In particular, their dependence on the past is only through the previous state. They are used to model the behavior of many systems including communications systems, transportation networks, image segmentation and analysis, biological systems and DNA sequence analysis, random atomic motion and diffusion in physics, social mobility, population studies, epidemiology, animal and insect migration, queueing systems, resource management, dams, financial engineering, actuarial science, and decision systems. Covering a wide range of areas of application of Markov processes, this second edition is revised to highlight the most important aspects as well as the most recent trends and applications of Markov processes. The author spent over 16 years in the industry before returning to academia, and he has applied many of the principles covered in this book in multiple research projects. Therefore, this is an applications-oriented book that also includes enough theory to provide a solid ground in the subject for the reader. - Presents both the theory and applications of the different aspects of Markov processes - Includes numerous solved examples as well as detailed diagrams that make it easier to understand the principle being presented - Discusses different applications of hidden Markov models, such as DNA sequence analysis and speech analysis.
Download or read book Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation written by Prince Boateng and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2017-04-28 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation.
Download or read book Formal Probabilistic Risk Assessment Using Theorem Proving with Applications in Power Systems written by Mohamed Wagdy Eldesouki Abdelghany and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The central inquiry in many safety-critical systems is to assess the probability of all possible risk consequences that can occur in a system and its subsystems. In this research, we use theorem proving to formalize Event Trees (ET), Cause Consequence Diagrams (CCD) and Functional Block Diagrams (FBD), which are efficient techniques for probabilistic risk assessment at system and subsystem levels. Our approach provides the reasoning support with verified mathematical formulations that can analyze multi-level ETs, FBDs for complex systems, Cause Consequence Diagrams (CCD) based on Fault Trees (FT) as well as on Reliability Block Diagrams (RBD), as a novel approach. Also, the proposed formalizations of ETs/CCDs/FBDs allowed us to accurately determine of reliability indices, such as System/Customer Average Interruption Frequency and Duration (SAIFI, SAIDI and CAIDI) at system and subsystem levels. Moreover, we develop FBD and ET Modeling and Analysis (FETMA) software, which provides user-friendly features and graphical interfaces for industrial planners/designers. We applied our methods and tools on several realistic case studies from the power systems sector, i.e., the standard IEEE 3/39/118-bus electrical power generation/transmission/distribution networks, Quebec-New England High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) transmission coupling system, multiple interconnected Micro-Grids, a nuclear power plant, transmission distance protection and a smart automated substation. Experimental results showed improvements compared to all existing reliability analysis methods in terms of scalability, expressiveness, accuracy and time.
