Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-12 with total page 785 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.

Download or read book Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models written by P. Fisher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Download or read book Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models by Parameterized Expectations written by Albert Marcet and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Rational Expectations Econometrics written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-09-05 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.

Download or read book Robustness written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-06-28 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

Download or read book The Dynamic Macroeconomic Effects of Public Capital written by Christophe Kamps and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-12-22 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the dynamic macroeconomic effects of public capital in industrialized countries. The issue of whether public capital is productive has received a great deal of recent attention. Yet, existing empirical analyses have been limited to a small set of countries. This book presents a new database that provides internationally comparable capital stock estimates for 22 OECD countries for the 1960-2001 period. Building on this database, the book estimates the dynamic effects of public capital using a variety of econometric methods. The results suggest that public capital is productive in OECD countries on average. The theoretical analysis based on a dynamic general equilibrium model shows that the effects of public capital depend crucially on the way the government chooses to finance additional spending.

Download or read book Dynamic Modelling and Control of National Economies 1989 written by N.M. Christodoulakis and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-06-28 with total page 599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Symposium aimed at analysing and solving the various problems of representation and analysis of decision making in economic systems starting from the level of the individual firm and ending up with the complexities of international policy coordination. The papers are grouped into subject areas such as game theory, control methods, international policy coordination and the applications of artificial intelligence and experts systems as a framework in economic modelling and control. The Symposium therefore provides a wide range of important information for those involved or interested in the planning of company and national economics.

Download or read book Real Business Cycles written by James Hartley and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 690 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.

Download or read book Numerical Methods in Economics written by Kenneth L. Judd and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2023-04-04 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To harness the full power of computer technology, economists need to use a broad range of mathematical techniques. In this book, Kenneth Judd presents techniques from the numerical analysis and applied mathematics literatures and shows how to use them in economic analyses. The book is divided into five parts. Part I provides a general introduction. Part II presents basics from numerical analysis on R^n, including linear equations, iterative methods, optimization, nonlinear equations, approximation methods, numerical integration and differentiation, and Monte Carlo methods. Part III covers methods for dynamic problems, including finite difference methods, projection methods, and numerical dynamic programming. Part IV covers perturbation and asymptotic solution methods. Finally, Part V covers applications to dynamic equilibrium analysis, including solution methods for perfect foresight models and rational expectation models. A website contains supplementary material including programs and answers to exercises.

Download or read book Computational Techniques for Econometrics and Economic Analysis written by D.A. Belsley and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is unlikely that any frontier of economics/econometrics is being pushed faster, further than that of computational techniques. The computer has become a tool for performing as well as an environment in which to perform economics and econometrics, taking over where theory bogs down, allowing at least approximate answers to questions that defy closed mathematical or analytical solutions. Tasks may now be attempted that were hitherto beyond human potential, and all the forces available can now be marshalled efficiently, leading to the achievement of desired goals. Computational Techniques for Econometrics and Economic Analysis is a collection of recent studies which exemplify all these elements, demonstrating the power that the computer brings to the economic analysts. The book is divided into four parts: 1 -- the computer and econometric methods; 2 -- the computer and economic analysis; 3 -- computational techniques for econometrics; and 4 -- the computer and econometric studies.

Download or read book Handbook of Macroeconomics written by John B. Taylor and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-12 with total page 3009 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological, and policy issues, including fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies to deal with crises, unemployment, and economic growth. As this volume shows, macroeconomics has undergone a profound change since the publication of the last volume, due in no small part to the questions thrust into the spotlight by the worldwide financial crisis of 2008. With contributions from the world's leading macroeconomists, its reevaluation of macroeconomic scholarship and assessment of its future constitute an investment worth making. - Serves a double role as a textbook for macroeconomics courses and as a gateway for students to the latest research - Acts as a one-of-a-kind resource as no major collections of macroeconomic essays have been published in the last decade - Builds upon Volume 1 by using its section headings to illustrate just how far macroeconomic thought has evolved

Download or read book Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling written by Peter B. Dixon and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-01-08 with total page 1886 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Top scholars synthesize and analyze scholarship on this widely used tool of policy analysis in 27 articles, setting forth its accomplishments, difficulties, and means of implementation. Though CGE modeling does not play a prominent role in top U.S. graduate schools, it is employed universally in the development of economic policy. This collection is particularly important because it presents a history of modeling applications and examines competing points of view. - Presents coherent summaries of CGE theories that inform major model types - Covers the construction of CGE databases, model solving, and computer-assisted interpretation of results - Shows how CGE modeling has made a contribution to economic policy

Download or read book General Equilibrium Analyses of Economic Policy written by Marc A. C. Hafstead and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2010 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation focuses on the consequences of labor market policies, environmental cap-and-trade policies, and monetary policy. These three types of economic policies are admittedly very distinct, but they are tied together by the type of analysis I employ to study these policies. For each, I develop a specific general equilibrium model aimed at highlighting the policy in question and use cutting-edge computational methods to numerically solve the model across an array of potential policies. In the first chapter, The Distributional Effects of Labor Adjustment Cost Policies, I introduce a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous plants and labor adjustment costs to explore both the aggregate and distributional effects of labor adjustment costs. I use the model to analyze the effects of policies that would repeal all or half of state-mandated firing costs in European countries. The model predicts that a full repeal of state-mandated firing costs in the average European country would increase aggregate labor productivity by 0.7%-6.2% while increasing the rate of job turnover by 65%-420%. In the second chapter, Emissions Allowance Allocation in Cap-and-Trade Policies, I present a version of "Impacts of Alternative Emissions Allowance Allocation Methods Under a Federal Cap-and-Trade Program", co-written with Lawrence H. Goulder and Michael Dworsky, published in the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Volume 60, Issue 3, November 2010, pages 161-181. To examine the implications of alternative allowance allocation designs for industry profits and GDP under a federal cap-and-trade program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, we employ a general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy with a unique treatment of capital dynamics that permits close attention to profit impacts. Effects on profits depend critically on the relative reliance on auctioning or free allocation of allowances. Freely allocating fewer than 15\% of the emissions allowances generally suffices to prevent profit losses in the most vulnerable U.S. industries. Freely allocating all of the allowances substantially overcompensates these industries. When emissions allowances are auctioned and the proceeds are employed to finance cuts in income tax rates, GDP costs are about 33 percent lower than when all the allowances are freely allocated. The results are robust to policies differing in stringency, the availability of offsets, and the opportunities for intertemporal trading of allowances. In the final chapter, I present \textit{Interbank Lending and Monetary Policy in a DSGE Model}, which was written with Josephine Smith. We build a DSGE model with heterogeneous banks and interbank lending to explore how monetary policy should respond to shocks in the interbank lending market. To do this, we build upon the Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist \citeyear{bgg1999} model of the financial accelerator by introducing a monopolistically competitive banking sector. The model is the first of its kind to include a monopolistically competitive banking sector, heterogeneous banks, and an interbank lending market. We find that the heterogeneous monopolistically competitive banking sector mitigates macroeconomic variance in the model relative to a perfectly competitive banking sector. Multiple banks that imperfectly compete with each other can help absorb shocks better than a single representative bank and mitigate the financial accelerator effect. We also find that financial supply side shocks, as measured by shocks to the productivity of bank loan production, have a much greater effect on the real economy than the demand-side financial shocks. In addition, we find that shocks to the ex-ante most productive banks have a larger effect on the real economy than shocks to the ex-ante least productive banks because the banks with high productivity (ex-ante) have a larger share of the financial market. Analyzing the effect of shocks to interbank lending rates (relative to the central bank policy rate), we find large macroeconomic effects of such policies. Finally, we find that a monetary policy interest rate rule that incorporates the financial sector can actually dampen the effects of traditional non-financial shocks such as productivity, government spending, and monetary policy shocks and leads to a significant decrease in business-cycle volatility.

Download or read book Macroeconomic Theory written by Michael Wickens and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-05 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomic Theory is the most up-to-date graduate-level macroeconomics textbook available today. This book truly offers something new by emphasizing the general equilibrium character of macroeconomics to explain effects across the whole economy, not just part. It is also the perfect resource for economists who need to brush up on the latest developments. Michael Wickens lays out the core ideas of modern macroeconomics and its links with finance. He presents the simplest general equilibrium macroeconomic model for a closed economy, and then gradually develops a comprehensive model of the open economy. Every important topic is covered, including growth, business cycles, fiscal policy, taxation and debt finance, current account sustainability, exchange-rate determination, and an up-to-date account of monetary policy through inflation targeting. Wickens addresses the interrelationships between macroeconomics and modern finance and shows how they affect stock, bond, and foreign-exchange markets. While the mathematics needed for this book is rigorous, the author describes fundamental concepts in a way that helps make the book self-contained and easy to use. Accessible, comprehensive, and wide-ranging, Macroeconomic Theory will become the standard text for students and is ideal for economists, particularly those in government, central and commercial banking, and financial investment. The most up-to-date macroeconomics textbook available today Web-based exercises with answers (June 2008) Emphasis on general equilibrium macroeconomics addresses the whole economy Latest advances in macroeconomics covered fully and completely Gives up-to-date account of monetary policy Covers modern finance Extensive mathematical appendix for at-a-glance easy reference

Download or read book Macroeconomic Theory written by Michael Wickens and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Suitable for students and researchers seeking coverage of the developments in macroeconomics, this title lays out the core ideas of modern macroeconomics and its links with finance. It presents the simplest general equilibrium macroeconomic model for a closed economy, and then gradually develops a comprehensive model of the open economy.

Download or read book NBER Reporter written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice written by Robert E. Lucas and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.