Download or read book Uncovering the Risk return Relation in the Stock Market written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "There is an ongoing debate in the literature about the apparent weak or negative relation between risk (conditional variance) and return (expected returns) in the aggregate stock market. We develop and estimate an empirical model based on the ICAPM to investigate this relation. Our primary innovation is to model and identify empirically the two components of expected returns--the risk component and the component due to the desire to hedge changes in investment opportunities. We also explicitly model the effect of shocks to expected returns on ex post returns and use implied volatility from traded options to increase estimation efficiency. As a result, the coefficient of relative risk aversion is estimated more precisely, and we find it to be positive and reasonable in magnitude. Although volatility risk is priced, as theory dictates, it contributes only a small amount to the time-variation in expected returns. Expected returns are driven primarily by the desire to hedge changes in investment opportunities. It is the omission of this hedge component that is responsible for the contradictory and counter-intuitive results in the existing literature"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.

Download or read book An Introduction to Risk and Return from Common Stocks written by Richard A. Brealey and published by MIT Press (MA). This book was released on 1969 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Unconverting the Risk return Relation in the Stock Market written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book High Returns from Low Risk written by Pim van Vliet and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-01-17 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Believing "high-risk equals high-reward" is holding your portfolio hostage High Returns from Low Risk proves that low-volatility, low-risk portfolios beat high-volatility portfolios hands down, and shows you how to take advantage of this paradox to dramatically improve your returns. Investors traditionally view low-risk stocks as safe but unprofitable, but this old canard is based on a flawed premise; it fails to see beyond the monthly horizon, and ignores compounding returns. This book updates the thinking and brings reality to modelling to show how low-risk stocks actually outperform high-risk stocks by an order of magnitude. Easy to read and easy to implement, the plan presented here will help you construct a portfolio that delivers higher returns per unit of risk, and explains how to achieve excellent investment results over the long term. Do you still believe that investors are rewarded for bearing risk, and that the higher the risk, the greater the reward? That old axiom is holding you back, and it is time to start seeing the whole picture. This book shows you, through deep historical simulation, how to reap the rewards of smarter investing. Learn how and why low-risk, low-volatility stocks beat the market Discover the formula that outperforms Greenblatt's Construct your own low-risk portfolio Select the right ETF or low-risk fund to manage your money Great returns and lower risk sound like a winning combination — what happens once everyone is doing it? The beauty of the low-risk strategy is that it continues to work even after the paradox is widely known; long-term investment success is possible for anyone who can shake off the entrenched wisdom and go low-risk. High Returns from Low Risk provides the proof, model and strategy to reign in your exposure while raking in the profit.

Download or read book Risk Return Relationship and Portfolio Management written by Raj S. Dhankar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-24 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers all aspects of modern finance relating to portfolio theory and risk–return relationship, offering a comprehensive guide to the importance, measurement and application of the risk–return hypothesis in portfolio management. It is divided into five parts: Part I discusses the valuation of capital assets and presents various techniques and models used in this context. Part II then addresses market efficiency and capital market models, particularly focusing on measuring market efficiency, which is a crucial factor in making correct investment decisions. It also analyzes the major capital market models like CAPM and APT to determine to what extent they are suitable for use in developing economies. Part III highlights the significance of risk–return analysis as a prerequisite for investment decisions, while Part IV examines the selection and performance appraisals of portfolios against the backdrop of the risk–return relationship. It also examines new tools such as the value-at-risk application for mutual funds and the applications of the price-to-earnings ratio in portfolio performance measurement. Lastly, Part V explores contemporary issues in finance, including the relevance of Islamic finance in the increasingly volatile global financial system.

Download or read book The Risk Return Relation in International Stock Markets written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indexes. In contrast with CAPM, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tradeoff in many countries after controlling for the (U.S.) consumption-wealth ratio. U.S. realized variance is also significantly related to future international stock market returns; more importantly, it always subsumes the information content of its local counterparts. Our results indicate that stock market variance is an important determinant of the equity premium.

Download or read book On the Risk Return Relation in International Stock Markets Forthcoming written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indices. In contrast with CAPM, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tradeoff in many countries after controlling for the (U.S.) consumption-wealth ratio. U.S. realized variance is also significantly related to future international stock market returns; more importantly, it always subsumes the information content of its local counterparts. Our results indicate that stock market variance is an important determinant of the equity premium.

Download or read book Is There a Risk and Return Relation written by Suzanne G.M. Fifield and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional finance theory posits that the relationship between the risk and return of stocks is positive. Furthermore, investment practice is often based on the central contention of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that high (low) beta stocks earn higher (lower) returns. However, this fundamental return and risk relationship is questioned by a several researchers who assert that the relationship is, in fact, negative. Consequently, a growing body of research examines the nature of the stock return-risk relationship using both market- and firm-level data. The results of this research are mixed. The purpose of this paper is to shed further light on this relationship by (i) examining both market- and firm-level price data; (ii) employing a battery of tests, including individual market, panel and quantile regressions; and (iii) analysing the nature of the relationship during periods of high and low volatility and in bull and bear markets. The results indicate that there is no single robust relationship between risk and return. Of note, our results suggest a positive relationship when returns are high and during bear markets. Furthermore, the finding of a positive relationship is stronger (i) at the market-level than the firm-level; and (ii) over long time periods. However, the analysis indicates that a negative relationship exists at low return levels, during bull markets and, more so, at the individual firm level. Overall, the results suggest that the risk-return relationship is switching in nature and is primarily driven by changing risk preferences. Notably, a positive relationship exists when macroeconomic risk plays a larger role.

Download or read book A Risk Return Relation in Stock Markets written by Napon Hongsakulvasu and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I propose a new semi-parametric GARCH-in-Mean model. Since many empirical papers have the mix results on the risk-return relation, the cause of problem may come from the misspecification of conditional mean equation or conditional variance equation or both of them. My model uses non-parametric estimation in conditional mean equation and semi-parametric estimation in conditional variance equation which allows the non-linear risk return relation in conditional mean equation and allows the non-linear relation between the volatility and the cumulative sum of exponentially weighted past returns. Three parameters on my model are GARCH parameter, the leverage effect parameter and leptokurtic parameter. I also extend my model to include four exogenous variables, dividend yield, term spread, default spread and momentum into conditional mean equation by using additive model which allows each variable to have non-linear relation with the return. An empirical study on S&P 500 suggests that risk has a small affect on market return. However, when four exogenous variables are added to the model, my model shows that the risk-return relation has a positive hump shape. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/155545

Download or read book Analyzing the Time Varying Stock Market Risk Return Relation written by C. N. V. Krishnan and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the stock market risk-return relation over the period from 1927 to 2005. We empirically implement the Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) using a cross-section of stock and bond portfolios, and allow for the market price of risk to be time-varying. We show that including bond portfolios in the estimation not only significantly changes the time-series estimates of the market price of risk, but also makes the correlation between conditional stock-market variance and the variance component of expected market return positive.

Download or read book There is a Risk return Tradeoff After All written by Eric Ghysels and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the ICAPM intertemporal relation between the conditional mean and the conditional variance of the aggregate stock market return. We introduce a new estimator that forecasts monthly variance with past daily squared returns %u2013 the Mixed Data Sampling (or MIDAS) approach. Using MIDAS, we find that there is a significantly positive relation between risk and return in the stock market. This finding is robust in subsamples, to asymmetric specifications of the variance process, and to controlling for variables associated with the business cycle. We compare the MIDAS results with tests of the ICAPM based on alternative conditional variance specifications and explain the conflicting results in the literature. Finally, we offer new insights about the dynamics of conditional variance.

Download or read book Understanding the Risk Return Relation written by Scott Cederburg and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ICAPM implies that the market's conditional expected return is proportional to its conditional variance and that the reward-to-risk ratio equals the representative investor's coefficient of relative risk aversion. Prior studies examine this relation using the stock market to proxy for aggregate wealth and find mixed results. We show, however, that stock-based tests suffer from low power and lead to biased estimates of the risk-return tradeoff when stocks are an imperfect market proxy. Tests designed to mitigate this bias by incorporating a more comprehensive measure of aggregate wealth produce large, positive estimates of the risk-aversion coefficient around seven to nine.

Download or read book Is There a Risk Return Tradeoff Evidence from High Frequency Data written by Turan G. Bali and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the intertemporal relation between risk and return for the aggregate stock market using high-frequency data. We use daily realized, GARCH, implied, and range-based volatility estimators to determine the existence and significance of a risk-return tradeoff for several stock market indices. We find a positive and statistically significant relation between the conditional mean and conditional volatility of market returns at the daily level. This result is robust to alternative specifications of the volatility process, across different measures of market return and sample periods, and after controlling for macroeconomic variables associated with business cycle fluctuations. We also analyze the risk-return relationship over time using rolling regressions, and find that the strong positive relation persists throughout our sample period. The market risk measures adopted in the paper add power to the analysis by incorporating valuable information, either by taking advantage of high frequency intraday data (in the case of realized, GARCH, and range volatility) or by utilizing the market's expectation of future volatility (in the case of implied volatility index).

Download or read book Stock Market Risk and Return written by Robert F. Whitelaw and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent empirical evidence suggests that expected stock returns are weakly, or even negatively, related to the volatility of stock returns at the market level, and that this relation varies substantially over time. This evidence contradicts the apparently reliable intuition that risk and return axe positively related and that stock market volatility is a good proxy for risk. This paper investigates the relation between volatility and expected returns in a general equilibrium, exchange economy. A relatively simple model, estimated using aggregate consumption data, is able to duplicate the salient features of the observed expected return/volatility relation. The key features of the model are the existence of two regimes with different consumption growth processes and time-varying transition probabilities between regimes. This structure generates time-varying correlations between stock returns and the marginal rate of substitution; thus inducing variability in the short-run relation between expected returns and volatility and a weakening of the long-run relation. These results highlight the perils of relying on intuition from static models. They also have important implications for the empirical modeling of returns.

Download or read book Applied International Finance II Second Edition written by Thomas J. O'Brien and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2017-08-16 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is the second of a three-volume set designed for use in a course in applied international corporate finance for managers and executives. This volume’s issue is how uncertain foreign exchange (FX) rate changes affect a firm’s ongoing cash flows and equity value, and what can be done in terms of hedging this risk using financial instruments. The accounting implications are also considered. Numerous examples of real-world companies are used. The volume contains a hypothetical case that ties the material together. The first volume reviews some basics of FX rates: Introduction to Foreign Exchange Rates, 2nd edition, Business Expert Press, 2016. The third volume deals with the estimation of the cost of capital for international operations and the evaluation of overseas investment proposals: Applied International Finance II: International Cost of Capital and Capital Budgeting, 2nd edition, Business Expert Press, 2017.

Download or read book Estimating the Intertemporal Risk return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital written by Luboš Pástor and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We reexamine the time-series relation between the conditional mean and variance of stock market returns. To proxy for the conditional mean return, we use the implied cost of capital, computed using analyst forecasts. The usefulness of this proxy is shown in simulations. In empirical analysis, we construct the time series of the implied cost of capital for the G-7 countries. We find strong support for a positive intertemporal mean-variance relation at both the country level and the world market level. Some of our evidence is consistent with international integration of the G-7 financial markets.

Download or read book Uncovering the Risk Return Relation in the Stock Market written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: