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Book Theory and Credibility

Download or read book Theory and Credibility written by Scott Ashworth and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-20 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A clear and comprehensive framework for bridging the widening gap between theorists and empiricists in social science The credibility revolution, with its emphasis on empirical methods for causal inference, has led to concerns among scholars that the canonical questions about politics and society are being neglected because they are no longer deemed answerable. Theory and Credibility stakes out an opposing view—presenting a new vision of how, working together, the credibility revolution and formal theory can advance social scientific inquiry. This authoritative book covers the conceptual foundations and practicalities of both model building and research design, providing a new framework to link theory and empirics. Drawing on diverse examples from political science, it presents a typology of the rich set of interactions that are possible between theory and empirics. This typology opens up new ways for scholars to make progress on substantive questions, and enables researchers from disparate traditions to gain a deeper appreciation for each other's work and why it matters. Theory and Credibility shows theorists how to create models that are genuinely useful to empirical inquiry, and helps empiricists better understand how to structure their research in ways that speak to theoretically meaningful questions.

Book A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications

Download or read book A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications written by Hans Bühlmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-11-13 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.

Book Calculating Credibility

    Book Details:
  • Author : Daryl G. Press
  • Publisher : Cornell University Press
  • Release : 2007
  • ISBN : 9780801474156
  • Pages : 244 pages

Download or read book Calculating Credibility written by Daryl G. Press and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Daryl G. Press uses historical evidence to answer two crucial questions: When a country backs down in a crisis, does its credibility suffer? How do leaders assess their adversaries' credibility? Press illuminates the decision-making processes behind events such as the crises in Europe that preceded World War II, the superpower showdowns over Berlin in the 1950s and 60s, and the Cuban Missile Crisis."--Page 4 of cover.

Book Introduction to Credibility Theory

Download or read book Introduction to Credibility Theory written by Thomas N. Herzog and published by . This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Scientific Credibility of Freud s Theories and Therapy

Download or read book The Scientific Credibility of Freud s Theories and Therapy written by Seymour Fisher and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 1985 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the puzzling phenomenon of new veiling practices among lower middle class women in Cairo, Egypt. Although these women are part of a modernizing middle class, they also voluntarily adopt a traditional symbol of female subordination. How can this paradox be explained? An explanation emerges which reconceptualizes what appears to be reactionary behavior as a new style of political struggle--as accommodating protest. These women, most of them clerical workers in the large government bureaucracy, are ambivalent about working outside the home, considering it a change which brings new burdens as well as some important benefits. At the same time they realize that leaving home and family is creating an intolerable situation of the erosion of their social status and the loss of their traditional identity. The new veiling expresses women's protest against this. MacLeod argues that the symbolism of the new veiling emerges from this tense subcultural dilemma, involving elements of both resistance and acquiescence.

Book Central Bank Strategy  Credibility  and Independence

Download or read book Central Bank Strategy Credibility and Independence written by Alex Cukierman and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1992 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a large body of Cukierman's research and integrates it with recent developments in the political economy of monetary policy.

Book Nuclear Deterrence Theory

    Book Details:
  • Author : Robert Powell
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release : 1990-03-30
  • ISBN : 9780521375276
  • Pages : 248 pages

Download or read book Nuclear Deterrence Theory written by Robert Powell and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-03-30 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applying advances in game theory to the study of nuclear deterrence, Robert Powell examines the foundations of deterrence theory. Game-theoretic analysis allows the author to explore some of the most complex and problematic issues in deterrence theory, including the effects of first-strike advantages, limited retaliation, and the number of nuclear powers in the international system on the dynamics of escalation.

Book Introduction to Credibility Theory

Download or read book Introduction to Credibility Theory written by Thomas N. Herzog and published by . This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text has been named as an approved reference in preparing for the SOA Exam C and the CAS Exam 4. Several chapters have been adopted as syllabus references for the SOA Group and Health specialty Design and Pricing Fellowship exam. Credibility modeling is a proven approach for analyzing unique product designs. This text presents a wide variety of credibility models in an easy-to-read style, and in so doing, traces the historical development of the subject. The Bayesian approach to credibility is emphasized. The text concentrates on basic statistical concepts, leaving more sophisticated theoretical concepts for a more advanced treatment elsewhere. It contains worked examples, a large number of end-of-chapter exercises and an extensive bibliography. Practical applications of credibility theory are presented in the Appendices. In the rapidly evolving healthcare environment, data credibility is more important than ever. The Fourth Edition of this text includes three case studies relating to healthcare issues. A separate solutions manual for the text exercises is also available.

Book The Credibility Challenge

Download or read book The Credibility Challenge written by Inken von Borzyskowski and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2019-06-15 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The key to the impact of international election support is credibility; credible elections are less likely to turn violent. So argues Inken von Borzyskowski in The Credibility Challenge, in which she provides an explanation of why and when election support can increase or reduce violence. Von Borzyskowski answers four major questions: Under what circumstances can election support influence election violence? How can election support shape the incentives of domestic actors to engage in or abstain from violence? Does support help reduce violence or increase it? And, which type of support—observation or technical assistance—is better in each instance? The Credibility Challenge pulls broad quantitative evidence and qualitative observations from Guyana, Liberia, Kenya, Sierra Leone, and Bangladesh to respond to these questions. Von Borzyskowski finds that international democracy aid matters for election credibility and violence; outside observers can exacerbate postelection violence if they cast doubt on election credibility; and technical assistance helps build electoral institutions, improves election credibility, and reduces violence. Her results advance research and policy on peacebuilding and democracy promotion in new and surprising ways.

Book Credibility Theory

Download or read book Credibility Theory written by Howard R. Waters and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Credibility of Sovereignty     The Political Fiction of a Concept

Download or read book The Credibility of Sovereignty The Political Fiction of a Concept written by Elia R.G. Pusterla and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-19 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book deeply analyses the bilateral relations between Switzerland and the European Union and their effect on the former's sovereignty in the context of Europeanisation. This touches on philosophical debates on the complexity of sovereignty. What sovereignty is at stake when talking about Swiss-EU relations? This issue not only faces the elusiveness of sovereignty as a concept, but also the proliferation of hypocrisy on its presence within states. The book encounters the deconstructionist hypothesis stating that there is nothing to worry about but the belief there is something to worry about. Derrida’s deconstruction of sovereignty allows indeed one to grasp the fictional essence of sovereignty based on the metaphysics of presence. The presence of self-positing sovereign ipseity is fictional since absent in the present, but spectrally present in the belief of its presence to come. Sovereignty is a matter of credibility, or the credible promise of a normative statement to come. Hence, the book challenges the realist/neorealist argument stating that states are credibly sovereign until proven otherwise and explains that the debate on state sovereignty calls for the unveiling of this hypocritical epistemology cunningly disguised as an objective presence. Swiss-EU relations thus become the cornerstone to not only theorise but also test sovereignty and deconstruct the two ontological and epistemological sides of the same coin, or the modern hypocrisy of sovereignty. This deconstruction constitutes the very problématique of any attempt to understand whether and how a state can be sovereign and solve the problem as to how to neutralise the différance and identify the difference between credible and incredible claims of sovereignty. This problématique connects the theory and practice of sovereignty innovatively, providing positivist evidence on the arguable credibility of the Swiss claim of sovereignty and confirming the presence of a theological dimension within politics.

Book Online Credibility and Digital Ethos  Evaluating Computer Mediated Communication

Download or read book Online Credibility and Digital Ethos Evaluating Computer Mediated Communication written by Folk, Moe and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2012-12-31 with total page 461 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Digital technology plays a vital role in today's need for instant information access. The simplicity of acquiring and publishing online information presents new challenges in establishing and evaluating online credibility. Online Credibility and Digital Ethos: Evaluating Computer-Mediated Communication highlights important approaches to evaluating the credibility of digital sources and techniques used for various digital fields. This book brings together research in computer mediated communication along with the affects digital culture and online credibility.

Book Thinking Clearly with Data

Download or read book Thinking Clearly with Data written by Ethan Bueno de Mesquita and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-11-16 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An engaging introduction to data science that emphasizes critical thinking over statistical techniques An introduction to data science or statistics shouldn’t involve proving complex theorems or memorizing obscure terms and formulas, but that is exactly what most introductory quantitative textbooks emphasize. In contrast, Thinking Clearly with Data focuses, first and foremost, on critical thinking and conceptual understanding in order to teach students how to be better consumers and analysts of the kinds of quantitative information and arguments that they will encounter throughout their lives. Among much else, the book teaches how to assess whether an observed relationship in data reflects a genuine relationship in the world and, if so, whether it is causal; how to make the most informative comparisons for answering questions; what questions to ask others who are making arguments using quantitative evidence; which statistics are particularly informative or misleading; how quantitative evidence should and shouldn’t influence decision-making; and how to make better decisions by using moral values as well as data. Filled with real-world examples, the book shows how its thinking tools apply to problems in a wide variety of subjects, including elections, civil conflict, crime, terrorism, financial crises, health care, sports, music, and space travel. Above all else, Thinking Clearly with Data demonstrates why, despite the many benefits of our data-driven age, data can never be a substitute for thinking. An ideal textbook for introductory quantitative methods courses in data science, statistics, political science, economics, psychology, sociology, public policy, and other fields Introduces the basic toolkit of data analysis—including sampling, hypothesis testing, Bayesian inference, regression, experiments, instrumental variables, differences in differences, and regression discontinuity Uses real-world examples and data from a wide variety of subjects Includes practice questions and data exercises

Book Nonlife Actuarial Models

Download or read book Nonlife Actuarial Models written by Yiu-Kuen Tse and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-17 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This class-tested undergraduate textbook covers the entire syllabus for Exam C of the Society of Actuaries (SOA).

Book Credibility

Download or read book Credibility written by Paul Markham Kahn and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book An Integrated Approach to Communication Theory and Research

Download or read book An Integrated Approach to Communication Theory and Research written by Don W. Stacks and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-04-08 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides an overview of communication study, offering theoretical coverage of the broad scope of communication study as well as integrating theory with research. To explicate the integration process, the chapter contributors -- experts in their respective areas -- offer samples in the form of hypothetical studies, published studies, or unpublished research, showing how theory and research are integrated in their particular fields. The book will appeal to graduate students and faculty members who want a thorough overview of not only the field, but also sample research stemming from its various component parts.

Book Science In Public

    Book Details:
  • Author : Jane Gregory
  • Publisher : Basic Books
  • Release : 2000-09-07
  • ISBN : 0465024505
  • Pages : 318 pages

Download or read book Science In Public written by Jane Gregory and published by Basic Books. This book was released on 2000-09-07 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does the general public need to understand science? And if so, is it scientists' responsibility to communicate? Critics have argued that, despite the huge strides made in technology, we live in a "scientifically illiterate" society--one that thinks about the world and makes important decisions without taking scientific knowledge into account. But is the solution to this "illiteracy" to deluge the layman with scientific information? Or does science news need to be focused around specific issues and organized into stories that are meaningful and relevant to people's lives? In this unprecedented, comprehensive look at a new field, Jane Gregory and Steve Miller point the way to a more effective public understanding of science in the years ahead.