Download or read book The Size of the Permanent Component of Asset Pricing Kernels written by Fernando Alvarez and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive a lower bound for the size of the permanent component of asset pricing kernels. The bound is based on return properties of long-term zero-coupon bonds, risk-free bonds, and other risky securities. We find the permanent component of the pricing kernel to be very large; its volatility is about 100% of the volatility of the stochastic discount factor. This result implies that, if the pricing kernel is a function of consumption, innovations to consumption need to have permanent effects.
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Download or read book Asset Pricing written by John H. Cochrane and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-11 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.
Download or read book Conditional Nonlinear Asset Pricing Kernels and the Size and Book to market Effects written by Stephen Dean Burke and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book NBER Reporter written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Asset Pricing Theory written by Claus Munk and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2013-04-18 with total page 598 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book presents models for the pricing of financial assets such as stocks, bonds, and options. The models are formulated and analyzed using concepts and techniques from mathematics and probability theory. It presents important classic models and some recent 'state-of-the-art' models that outperform the classics.
Download or read book Asset Pricing A Structural Theory And Its Applications written by Bing Cheng and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-07-21 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern asset pricing models play a central role in finance and economic theory and applications. This book introduces a structural theory to evaluate these asset pricing models and throws light on the existence of Equity Premium Puzzle. Based on the structural theory, some algebraic (valuation-preserving) operations are developed in asset spaces and pricing kernel spaces. This has a very important implication leading to practical guidance in portfolio management and asset allocation in the global financial industry. The book also covers topics, such as the role of over-confidence in asset pricing modeling, relationship of the portfolio insurance with option and consumption-based asset pricing models, etc.
Download or read book Essays on Asset Pricing and Financial Institutions written by Patrick Christian Kiefer and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasts of risk prices at alternative time scales can be used to consolidate history dependence in asset return time series. The resulting Markovian structure identifies a martingale component in the latent transition dynamics. I apply the model to U.S. stock markets and find the concentration of return volatility on the martingale component - the spectral gap - is countercyclical, and predicts annual market returns out-of-sample (o.o.s.) with an R-squared of 10.8%. Value (HML) predictability is concave and front-heavy, peaking at a one-year 14.7% o.o.s. R-squared. In contrast, the momentum predictability term structure is convex, insignificant on the short end, but accelerates to 31.4% o.o.s. R-squared at the three-year horizon. I form timing portfolios to investigate the risk content of the aggregate forecasts. Incremental gains from timing value are compensation for bearing systematic shocks to time-varying expected returns. Exposure to the market timing portfolio is cross-sectionally priced, while gains from timing size (SMB) are not. The findings provide new restrictions for parametric asset pricing theories. Incomplete human capital markets induce unexpected rebalancing costs that are mitigated by a bank. Ex-ante, the bank exchanges risky endowments for demandable liabilities. An ex-post withdrawal corresponds to exercising a put option on the market, used to resolve an unexpected portfolio choice problem. Portfolio choice opens a risk aversion channel that distinguishes our predictions from Diamond and Dybvig (1983) and related models. In these models, deposits resolve consumption-timing tensions by accommodating the investor's intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES). The inclusion of risk-based incentives allow us to characterize the endogenous link between the intermediary balance sheet and the preference-based pricing kernel. Moreover, ex-post rebalancing incentives relax enforcement problems for ex-ante optimal policies in incomplete markets. This provides a justification for the coexistence of intermediation and market institutions.
Download or read book Machine Learning in Asset Pricing written by Stefan Nagel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A groundbreaking, authoritative introduction to how machine learning can be applied to asset pricing Investors in financial markets are faced with an abundance of potentially value-relevant information from a wide variety of different sources. In such data-rich, high-dimensional environments, techniques from the rapidly advancing field of machine learning (ML) are well-suited for solving prediction problems. Accordingly, ML methods are quickly becoming part of the toolkit in asset pricing research and quantitative investing. In this book, Stefan Nagel examines the promises and challenges of ML applications in asset pricing. Asset pricing problems are substantially different from the settings for which ML tools were developed originally. To realize the potential of ML methods, they must be adapted for the specific conditions in asset pricing applications. Economic considerations, such as portfolio optimization, absence of near arbitrage, and investor learning can guide the selection and modification of ML tools. Beginning with a brief survey of basic supervised ML methods, Nagel then discusses the application of these techniques in empirical research in asset pricing and shows how they promise to advance the theoretical modeling of financial markets. Machine Learning in Asset Pricing presents the exciting possibilities of using cutting-edge methods in research on financial asset valuation.
Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1992 written by Olivier Blanchard and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1992 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the seventh in a series of annuals from the National Bureau of Economic Research that are designed to stimulate research on problems in applied economics, to bring frontier theoretical developments to a wider audience, and to accelerate the interaction between analytical and empirical research in macroeconomics. Contents What Shall We Do Today? Goals and Signposts in the Operation of Monetary Policy, Ben S. Bernanke and Frederic S. Mishkin - A Tale of Two Cities: Factor Accumulation and Technical Change in Hong Kong and Singapore, Alwyn Young - International Trade and the Wage Structure, Steven J. Davis - Imperfect Information and Macroeconomic Analysis, Joseph E. Stiglitz and Bruce Greenwald - Asset Pricing Lessons for Macroeconomics, Lars P. Hansen and John H. Cochrane - Postmortem on the Debt Crisis, Daniel Cohen
Download or read book Approximating the Asset Pricing Kernel written by David A. Chapman and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests a simple consumption-based asset pricing model by approximating the true asset pricing kernel using low-order orthonormal polynomials based on the model's state variables. Approximated kernels based solely on next period's consumption growth are not rejected by overall measures of model fit, but they produce statistically and economically large pricing errors. Approximated kernels that are based on two quarters of future consumption growth and technology shocks have substantially improved overall fit. In particular, the best of these kernels are capable of eliminating the small firm effect.
Download or read book Essays on Risk Sharing in Economies with Limited Commitment written by Hanno Lustig and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Aanwinsten van de Centrale Bibliotheek Queteletfonds written by Bibliothèque centrale (Fonds Quetelet) and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 932 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Equity Returns and the Role of Housing as a Collateral Asset written by Stijn van Nieuwerburgh and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Cointegration Causality and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Download or read book Mortality Inequality and Race in American Cities and States written by Angus Deaton and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A number of studies have found that mortality rates are positively correlated with income inequality across the cities and states of the US. We argue that this correlation is confounded by the effects of racial composition. Across states and MSAs, the fraction of the population that is black is positively correlated with average white incomes, and negatively correlated with average black incomes. Between-group income inequality is therefore higher where the fraction black is higher, as is income inequality in general. Conditional on the fraction black, neither city nor state mortality rates are correlated with income inequality. Mortality rates are higher where the fraction black is higher, not only because of the mechanical effect of higher black mortality rates and lower black incomes, but because white mortality rates are higher in places where the fraction black is higher. This result is present within census regions, and for all age groups and both sexes (except for boys aged 1 9). It is robust to conditioning on income, education, and (in the MSA results) on state fixed effects, and cannot plausibly be attributed to variations in the local provision of health care.
