Download or read book The Role of Mapping Typological Uncertainty in Decision Making written by Robert Roth and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Influence of Uncertainty Visualization on Decision Making written by Stephanie Ann Deitrick and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Visual Perspectives and Decision Making in Geospatial Uncertainty written by Jennifer Mason and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation addresses visual perspectives and decision-making in geospatial uncertainty and fills a gap in current research by presenting three articles in a holistic approach spanning different areas of the field. The first paper in the dissertation presents an overview of the entire field of geospatial uncertainty visualization through the creation of a typology and its visualization - the visual summary. The typology and its visualization were developed and refined based on feedback from other experts in the field, highlights smaller research domains within the entire realm and shows some of the major relationships between them. The overall usefulness of the visual summary can be shown in its ability to be used to summarize both individual papers at a glance as well as summarize the entire field. This visual summary extends current existing approaches to taxonomies by allowing users a quick visual overview of relevant topics in a research area at a glance. The second paper, an introductory article for a special issue on visually-supported reasoning under uncertainty, utilizes the visual summary as shown in paper one to show both the typology and the utility of its graphic representation for quickly summarizing each article within the field as a whole and also showing their unique contributions to the different sub-domains. It also allows for direct comparison between the three articles published in the special issue and visual identification of research topics not covered from the field.The final paper looks at various factors including individual differences and different map characteristics to identify their relationship in making evacuation decisions. This was conducted through an iterative process in which results from the first study informed the two subsequent studies to compose a more synergistic and comprehensive understanding of decision-making under uncertainty for an approaching hurricane. Study one showed that having more certainty in flooding correlated to higher evacuation rates with marginal significance. Participants also paid attention to the flood height category, stating they would choose to evacuate most in the highest flood height zone closest to the ocean and least in the lowest blue flood height zone found farthest from the ocean. Evacuation rates were also higher overall in a mild flood scenario over a more severe scenario. This led to exploring the maps further and finding that by using real data, the mild flood scenario a lower flood height zone was adjacent to the ocean instead of the highest flood height zone, potentially influencing the results. In study two, the maps in the mild flood scenario were redrawn to close the gap in the highest flood zone so that only this zone occurred adjacent to the ocean. The data showed that participants again evacuate more in the higher flood zones and mild flood scenarios. Study three attempted to disentangle how distance to the ocean and the flood height zones impacted decisions. The results revealed that participants chose to evacuate more when closer to the flood source (i.e. ocean), and once farther from the source, they use flood height as a strategy for choosing when to evacuate.
Download or read book Experimental Analysis of Consistency in Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by J. Mattison Narramore and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Exploring the Role Data driven Decision making Under Uncertainty written by Munyaradzi James Hove and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision making requires managers to carefully analyse the business environment and make sense of existing information in a bid to direct and influence particular courses of action for organisations. However, there is complexity of this process in uncertainty, such as that exemplified by the year 2020 due to the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Within this context of uncertainty, and given the proliferation of big data, the role of data-driven decision-making under uncertainty is yet to be established. This research explored the role of data-driven decision-making under uncertainty, including the preconditions for, enablers and functional benefits thereof. This research was a qualitative study through 10 in-depth interviews with South African senior managers, who made use of data to support their decision-making processes. The understanding of the role of data-driven decision-making was explored using thematic analysis. The researcher presents an integrated model of the data-driven decision-making process under uncertainty, that can be adopted by organisations and decision-makers faced with uncertainty, in need of improved rationality, enhanced objectivity and more accurate probability modelling under uncertainty. This integrated model outlines key preconditions for data-driven decisioning under uncertainty and the challenges categorised as organisation specific, external to the organisation, inherent to the data and data management practices. The integrated model also outlines key enablers for data-driven decisioning under uncertainty as well as the perceived benefits, pivoting between strategic and application benefits.
Download or read book Adapting to an Uncertain Climate written by Tiago Capela Lourenço and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-04-14 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change highlights the challenges for long-term policy making in the face of persistent and irreducible levels of uncertainties. It calls for the development of flexible approaches, innovative governance and other elements that contribute to effective and adaptive decision-making. Exploring these new approaches is also a challenge for those involved in climate research and development of adaptation policy. The book provides a dozen real-life examples of adaptation decision making in the form of case studies: · Water supply management in Portugal, England and Wales and Hungary · Flooding, including flood risk in Ireland, coastal flooding and erosion in Southwest France, and flood management in Australia’s Hutt River region · Transport and utilities, including the Austrian Federal railway system, public transit in Dresden, and Québec hydro-electric power · Report examining communication of large numbers of climate scenarios in Dutch climate adaptation workshops.
Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Download or read book Mapping Soil Typologies written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For many applications of modelling environmental conditions or processes soil characteristics are needed in form of spatial data ready to be integrated in a GIS. A source of uniform data on characteristics of European soils is available from the European Soil Database (ESDB) of the European Soil Bureau. The soil information was collected by participating national institutions and underwent an extensive process of harmonizing the thematic content of recording the soil characteristics and ensuring spatial continuity along boundaries. In the database a many-to-1 link is used to relate soil characteristics to the geographic .layer. Thus, considerably effort is required to represent specific soil characteristics in a single spatial layer. In this evaluation of the ESDB an attempt was made to position the soil typological units within the spatial units. The approach followed in this study for the spatial disaggregation of typological units was to link the data from the soil typology table with thematically corresponding ancillary spatial data. For the spatial allocation a multi-criteria analysis within the framework of a spatial decision support system (sDSS) was used. This approach allows generating single raster layers for any of the soil characteristics, independently of the data type. This greatly simplifies the mapping of soil characteristics and allows the use of the complete pool of information available in the ESDB. However, in the absence of an estimation of uncertainties in the source data issues of model uncertainties remain to be addressed.
Download or read book Thematic Cartography and Geovisualization written by Terry A. Slocum and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-08-18 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive and well-established cartography textbook covers the theory and the practical applications of map design and the appropriate use of map elements. It explains the basic methods for visualizing and analyzing spatial data and introduces the latest cutting-edge data visualization techniques. The fourth edition responds to the extensive developments in cartography and GIS in the last decade, including the continued evolution of the Internet and Web 2.0; the need to analyze and visualize large data sets (commonly referred to as Big Data); the changes in computer hardware (e.g., the evolution of hardware for virtual environments and augmented reality); and novel applications of technology. Key Features of the Fourth Edition: Includes more than 400 color illustrations and it is available in both print and eBook formats. A new chapter on Geovisual Analytics and individual chapters have now been dedicated to Map Elements, Typography, Proportional Symbol Mapping, Dot Mapping, Cartograms, and Flow Mapping. Extensive revisions have been made to the chapters on Principles of Color, Dasymetric Mapping, Visualizing Terrain, Map Animation, Visualizing Uncertainty, and Virtual Environments/Augmented Reality. All chapters include Learning Objectives and Study Questions. Provides more than 250 web links to online content, over 730 references to scholarly materials, and additional 540 references available for Further Reading. There is ample material for either a one or two-semester course in thematic cartography and geovisualization. This textbook provides undergraduate and graduate students in geoscience, geography, and environmental sciences with the most valuable up-to-date learning resource available in the cartographic field. It is a great resource for professionals and experts using GIS and Cartography and for organizations and policy makers involved in mapping projects.
Download or read book Guide to Geography Programs in the Americas written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 708 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making written by Joseph V. Cohn and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-09-19 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In our increasingly globally interconnected world, understanding and appreciating the sociocultural context within which individuals make their decisions is critical to developing successful partnerships. The collection of chapters in this volume illustrates how advances in information and social media technologies, as well as modeling and simulation tools, combined with the social sciences, can be leveraged to better understand how sociocultural context influences decision making. The chapters in this volume were contributed by leading experts from academia, industry, and government and provide: Insights into cross-cultural decision making based on recent international events, with grounding in an historical context Discussions of cutting-edge modeling techniques used today by professionals across multiple organizations and agencies Descriptions of specific cross-cultural decision making tools designed for use by laypeople and professionals Case studies on the role of cross-cultural decision making grounded in current events and (in many cases) military applications.
Download or read book Routledge Handbook of Ecosystem Services written by Marion Potschin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-01-22 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The idea that nature provides services to people is one of the most powerful concepts to have emerged over the last two decades. It is shaping our understanding of the role that biodiverse ecosystems play in the environment and their benefits for humankind. As a result, there is a growing interest in operational and methodological issues surrounding ecosystem services amongst environmental managers, and many institutions are now developing teaching programmes to equip the next generation with the skills needed to apply the concepts more effectively. This handbook provides a comprehensive reference text on ecosystem services, integrating natural and social science (including economics). Collectively the chapters, written by the world's leading authorities, demonstrate the importance of biodiversity for people, policy and practice. They also show how the value of ecosystems to society can be expressed in monetary and non-monetary terms, so that the environment can be better taken into account in decision making. The significance of the ecosystem service paradigm is that it helps us redefine and better communicate the relationships between people and nature. It is shown how these are essential to resolving challenges such as sustainable development and poverty reduction, and the creation of a green economy in developing and developed world contexts.
Download or read book Science for Policy written by Ângela Guimarães Pereira and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essays deal with policy issues relating to environment governance in a situation where relevant scientific knowledge is uncertain and contextual. Recent debates in the context include climate change, genetically modified foods, and sustainable development. When stakes are high and decisions are urgent, new approaches are required for knowledge production and policy making.Divided into five parts, the volume features: I. methodological perspectives; II. GMO policies covering bio-safety laws; III. climate change policy; IV. energy policy: nuclear waste, corporate energy strategies; V. sustainable development: assessment tools, S&T Policymaking, and water governance.
Download or read book Use of Earth Observations for Actionable Decision Making in the Developing World written by Niall Patrick Hanan and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2021-01-13 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Simulation written by Johannes Lenhard and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-16 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the historical roots and evolution of simulation from an epistemological, institutional and technical perspective. Rich case studies go far beyond documentation of simulation’s capacity for application in many domains; they also explore the "functional" and "structural" debate that continues to traverse simulation thought and action. This book is an essential contribution to the assessment of simulation as scientific instrument.
Download or read book Managing Uncertainty in Crisis written by Xiaoli Lu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-07 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book studies the variety of organizational strategies selected to cope with critical uncertainties during crises. This research formulates and applies an institutional sense-making model to explain the selection of strategies for coping with uncertainties during crises to answer the question why some organizations select a rule-based strategy to cope with uncertainties, whereas others pursue a more ad hoc-based strategy. It finds that the level of institutionalization does not affect strategy selection in the initial phase of responding to crises; that three rigidity effects can be identified in the selection of sense-making strategies once organizations have faced the failure of their selected strategies; that discontinuities in the feedback loop of sense-making do not necessarily move organizations to switch their sense-making strategies, but interact with institutionalization to contribute to switching sense-making strategies. This book bridges the gap between institutional thinking and crisis management theorizing. A major step forward in the world of crisis management studies! ——Professor Arjen Boin, Leiden University, the Netherlands In a world of increasingly complex, sociotechnical systems interacting in high-risk environments, Professor Lu’s analysis of how organizations manage uncertainty is both timely and profound. ——Professor Louise K. Comfort, Director, Center for Disaster Management, University of Pittsburgh, USA Prof. Lu greatly enhances our understanding of how organizations cope with uncertainty and make sense of their challenges under the pressures of catastrophe. ——Dr. Arnold M. Howitt, Faculty Co-Director, Program on Crisis Leadership, Harvard Kennedy School, USA This book provides not only a theory of crisis management but also a key concept around which research and practice can be conducted. ——Professor Naim Kapucu, Director of School of Public Administration, University of Central Florida, USA A generic institutional model for analyzing and managing hazards, disasters and crises worldwide. ——Professor Joop Koppenjan, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands This book has done an excellent job in opening the black box of how organizations make sense of the crisis situations they face and develop strategies to respond. It should be read by all of us who wish for a peaceful and safe world. ——Professor Lan Xue, Dean of School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, China
Download or read book Models in Environmental Regulatory Decision Making written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2007-08-25 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many regulations issued by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) are based on the results of computer models. Models help EPA explain environmental phenomena in settings where direct observations are limited or unavailable, and anticipate the effects of agency policies on the environment, human health and the economy. Given the critical role played by models, the EPA asked the National Research Council to assess scientific issues related to the agency's selection and use of models in its decisions. The book recommends a series of guidelines and principles for improving agency models and decision-making processes. The centerpiece of the book's recommended vision is a life-cycle approach to model evaluation which includes peer review, corroboration of results, and other activities. This will enhance the agency's ability to respond to requirements from a 2001 law on information quality and improve policy development and implementation.
