Download or read book GRASPED Decision Dynamics written by Steven Brough and published by GRASPED Digital. This book was released on 2024-02-16 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "GRASPED Decision Dynamics" presents a nuanced exploration of enhancing decision-making speed without sacrificing accuracy. It dives into strategies for practicing quick decision-making in low-pressure situations, drawing parallels with professional athletes' training methods. The book offers insights into creating decision-making drills, the power of self-feedback, and the importance of commitment to choices. It also addresses rational decision-making by removing emotions from the equation and simplifies decision-making processes through practical methods like the Coin Flip Approach. The unique selling proposition of "GRASPED Decision Dynamics" is its comprehensive approach to accelerating decision-making processes across various contexts. It uniquely combines psychological insights, practical exercises, and real-world applications to empower readers to make swift, effective decisions. By focusing on both the mechanics of quick decision-making and the mental resilience needed to commit to those decisions, this book stands out as an essential guide for anyone looking to enhance their decision-making skills in personal and professional spheres. "GRASPED Decision Dynamics" starts with an invitation to readers to evaluate their decision-making processes, highlighting the benefits of making quicker, yet informed decisions. It lays the foundation for understanding the importance of swift decision-making in enhancing efficiency and productivity in one's personal and professional life.
Download or read book Dynamic Economic Decision Making written by John E. Silvia and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-09 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive analysis of the macroeconomic and financial forces altering the economic landscape Financial decision-making requires one to anticipate how their decision will not only affect their business, but also the economic environment. Unfortunately, all too often, both private and public sector decision-makers view their decisions as one-off responses and fail to see their decisions within the context of an evolving decision-making framework. In Decision-Making in a Dynamic Economic Setting, John Silvia, Chief Economist of Wells Fargo and one of the top 5 economic forecasters according to Bloomberg News and USA Today, skillfully puts this discipline in perspective. Details realistic, decision-making approaches and applications under a broad set of economic scenarios Analyzes monetary policy and addresses the impact of financial regulations Examines business cycles and how to identify economic trends, how to deal with uncertainty and manage risk, the building blocks of growth, and strategies for innovation Decision-Making in a Dynamic Economic Setting details the real-world application of economic principles and financial strategy in making better business decisions.
Download or read book Dynamics of decision making from evidence to preference and belief written by Erica Yu and published by Frontiers E-books. This book was released on 2014-10-24 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the core of the many debates throughout cognitive science concerning how decisions are made are the processes governing the time course of preference formation and decision. From perceptual choices, such as whether the signal on a radar screen indicates an enemy missile or a spot on a CT scan indicates a tumor, to cognitive value-based decisions, such as selecting an agreeable flatmate or deciding the guilt of a defendant, significant and everyday decisions are dynamic over time. Phenomena such as decoy effects, preference reversals and order effects are still puzzling researchers. For example, in a legal context, jurors receive discrete pieces of evidence in sequence, and must integrate these pieces together to reach a singular verdict. From a standard Bayesian viewpoint the order in which people receive the evidence should not influence their final decision, and yet order effects seem a robust empirical phenomena in many decision contexts. Current research on how decisions unfold, especially in a dynamic environment, is advancing our theoretical understanding of decision making. This Research Topic aims to review and further explore the time course of a decision - from how prior beliefs are formed to how those beliefs are used and updated over time, towards the formation of preferences and choices and post-decision processes and effects. Research literatures encompassing varied approaches to the time-scale of decisions will be brought into scope: a) Speeded decisions (and post-decision processes) that require the accumulation of noisy and possibly non-stationary perceptual evidence (e.g., randomly moving dots stimuli), within a few seconds, with or without temporal uncertainty. b) Temporally-extended, value-based decisions that integrate feedback values (e.g., gambling machines) and internally-generated decision criteria (e.g., when one switches attention, selectively, between the various aspects of several choice alternatives). c) Temporally extended, belief-based decisions that build on the integration of evidence, which interacts with the decision maker's belief system, towards the updating of the beliefs and the formation of judgments and preferences (as in the legal context). Research that emphasizes theoretical concerns (including optimality analysis) and mechanisms underlying the decision process, both neural and cognitive, is presented, as well as research that combines experimental and computational levels of analysis.
Download or read book The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation written by Brian Skyrms and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brian Skyrms constructs a theory of "dynamic deliberation" and uses it to investigate rational decisionmaking in cases of strategic interaction. This illuminating book will be of great interest to all those in many disciplines who use decision theory and game theory to study human behavior and thought. Skyrms begins by discussing the Bayesian theory of individual rational decision and the classical theory of games, which at first glance seem antithetical in the criteria used for determining action. In his effort to show how methods for dealing with information feedback can be productively combined, the author skillfully leads us through the mazes of equilibrium selection, the Nash equilibria for normal and extensive forms, structural stability, causal decision theory, dynamic probability, the revision of beliefs, and, finally, good habits for decision. The author provides many clarifying illustrations and a handy appendix called "Deliberational Dynamics on Your Personal Computer." His powerful model has important implications for understanding the rational origins of convention and the social contract, the logic of nuclear deterrence, the theory of good habits, and the varied strategies of political and economic behavior.
Download or read book Dynamic Decisions written by Timothy Michael Shea and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The science of decision-making is dominated by tasks which constrain decisions to occur in fixed intervals of time with minimal movement of the body or environment. While these constraints have proven useful for understanding perceptual and response competition, they do not reflect the natural temporal structure of decision-making. To understand how we make decisions, we must understand how the environment, the body, and the brain interact in time. The environment both affords and constrains choice. The body reifies choice through movement, or the lack thereof. The brain maps the dynamics of the environment onto the dynamics of the body. From the interactions between brain, body, and environment, decisions emerge. This poses a challenge for understanding decision-making: does one fix the environment and body to study the mechanisms of the brain? Ignore the body and brain to study the nature of the environment? Or even cut away the brain and environment to study the movement of the body? The challenge is how to ground an understanding of decisions without reducing the essential complexity of the subject. Although no response to this challenge will be fully satisfying, in this dissertation I will describe a variety of research spanning the disciplines of cognitive and computational neuroscience, behavioral psychology, ecology, and artificial intelligence with the goal of generating new insights into decision-making. The research presented in this dissertation broadly falls under a perspective I refer to as dynamic decisions. The dynamic decisions perspective is informed by the following two observations. 1) The consequences of decisions often demand high accuracy, yet neural processes tend to be fairly noisy. This is reflected by speed-accuracy trade offs for many kinds of decisions, where longer delays reduce errors. Delaying or stopping undesirable actions is therefore an essential component of accurate decision-making. 2) Decisions are reified through actions of the body, rather than purely mental or neural commitments. Thus, the relationships between decision alternatives and ongoing actions, or even simulated actions, of the body are an important influence on decision-making. Given these two principles, I argue that the outcome of a decision is determined by when the decision is executed, and the study of decision dynamics offers viable routes to integrate environment, body, and brain.
Download or read book Dynamic Perspectives on Managerial Decision Making written by Herbert Dawid and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-15 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume collects research papers addressing topical issues in economics and management with a particular focus on dynamic models which allow to analyze and foster the decision making of firms in dynamic complex environments. The scope of the contributions ranges from daily operational challenges firms face to strategic choices in dynamic industry environments and the analysis of optimal growth paths. The volume also highlights recent methodological developments in the areas of dynamic optimization, dynamic games and meta-heuristics, which help to improve our understanding of (optimal) decision making in a fast evolving economy.
Download or read book Introduction to Decision Dynamics Second Order Games and Habitual Domains written by P. L. Yu and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Decision Dynamics written by Dilip Patil and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2024-05-15 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The only thing worse than being blind is having sight but no vision." - Helen Keller. Are you ready to see your leadership challenges with new eyes? " DECISION DYNAMICS," the latest transformative entry in the acclaimed "LEADERSHIP TRANSFORMED" series. This book is a deep dive into the art and science of decision-making that will challenge you to rethink how you lead and make strategic choices. What will you discover? Unlock the Psychology of Decision-Making: Learn how decisions are made and how to improve them. Understand the common pitfalls of decision biases and how to avoid them using a blend of intuition and analysis. Master Problem-Solving Strategies: Navigate complex problems with ease. Enhance your ability to tackle challenges head-on, from identifying issues to implementing solutions. Harness Data-Driven Insights: Leverage analytics and data to make informed decisions that align with your strategic goals. Cultivate Ethical Leadership: Make decisions that are effective, ethically sound, and aligned with your values. Empower Teams for Better Outcomes: Discover how to foster an environment where collaborative decision-making thrives. Decision Dynamics offers a meticulous blend of theory and practical tools, including: Scenario analysis exercises Decision-making simulations SWOT analysis templates Risk assessment frameworks And much more! Who should read this book? Whether you are a seasoned executive seeking to refine your strategic decisions, a mid-level manager aiming to improve your team's effectiveness, or an emerging leader building your decision-making arsenal, Decision Dynamics will equip you with the tools and insights needed to succeed. Join us on this journey to transform your decision-making skills and elevate your leadership to new heights. Your next big decision starts here! Are you ready to make decisions that solve problems, drive growth, and inspire your team? If yes, Decision Dynamics is your indispensable guide to becoming the visionary leader you aspire to be.
Download or read book Decision Dynamics Persuasion and Negotiation written by P. L. Yu and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are four elements in decision making: the set of possible alternatives, the criteria for good decisions, the possible outcomes of each possible alternative in terms of the criteria and the preference for the outcomes in terms of the criteria. These four elements grow and vary with the time. The decision process stops when one or several alternatives are found to be optimal, satisfactory and the benefit of further search cannot justify the cost or pain of further search for information. This observation of decision dynamics makes it possible to capture the essence of complicated dynamic multicriteria decision making. It also supplies a framework to study the fascinating and mysterious concepts of persuasion and negotiation. Effective rules for persuasion and negotiation are discussed with examples. It is pointed out that the present for negotiation is quite different from that of classical game theory. In this setting, realistic negotiation or bargaining processes can be incorporated.
Download or read book Discrete Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making written by Sally Brailsford and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-31 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, there has been a growing debate, particularly in the UK and Europe, over the merits of using discrete-event simulation (DES) and system dynamics (SD); there are now instances where both methodologies were employed on the same problem. This book details each method, comparing each in terms of both theory and their application to various problem situations. It also provides a seamless treatment of various topics--theory, philosophy, detailed mechanics, practical implementation--providing a systematic treatment of the methodologies of DES and SD, which previously have been treated separately.
Download or read book Neuronal Dynamics written by Wulfram Gerstner and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-24 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This solid introduction uses the principles of physics and the tools of mathematics to approach fundamental questions of neuroscience.
Download or read book The Dynamic Decision Maker written by Michael J. Driver and published by iUniverse. This book was released on 1998 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The insights offered in this book are intended to guarantee the reader a more successful career. It is written especially for managers and executives whose jobs require managing people successfully, but it is also written for anyone who must make decisions that involve other people. The authors discuss the decision styles and habits that people form and how to change decision-making habits where necessary. The models and techniques for decision making presented here have been used throughout the world in all kinds of businesses and government agencies. Decision style concepts can benefit anyone, from a new management trainee or MBA student to the CEO of a large firm.
Download or read book CIO written by and published by . This book was released on 2004-08-01 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Decision Dilemma written by Dr. Alex Winslow and published by eBookIt.com. This book was released on 2024-08-16 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Journey Through the Science of Choices Have you ever found yourself paralyzed by the sheer number of decisions you face each day? From trivial choices to life-altering ones, our lives are a constant stream of decisions. Delve deep into the fascinating world of decision-making and discover the hidden mechanisms that drive your choices. "The Decision Dilemma: Unraveling the Science of Choices" invites you on an exploratory odyssey through the intricacies of the human mind and its decision-making prowess. Whether you're curious about the neurological foundations of your choices or how emotions sway your decisions, this comprehensive guide illuminates the complexity behind every choice. Imagine understanding the principles behind cognitive biases like the anchoring effect and confirmation bias, helping you to recognize and overcome inherent mental shortcuts that often lead to flawed decisions. See how social influences, from peer pressure to groupthink dynamics, subtly shape your choices, often without you realizing it. In times of crisis or uncertainty, learn how to harness effective decision strategies. Discover the art of strategic planning in business decisions, explore ethical frameworks for moral dilemmas, and grasp the impactful role of digital tools and AI in modern decision making. Want to break bad habits or improve your long-term planning? This book offers practical cognitive-behavioral strategies to enhance your decision-making skills. Chapter by chapter, this insightful text demystifies the processes and influences on decision making, offering you the tools to build better habits, make more informed choices, and ultimately lead a more fulfilling life. Take the first step towards mastering the art of decision making – your future self will thank you.
Download or read book Mindful Choices written by Alex R. Thompson and published by tredition. This book was released on 2024-03-04 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In "Mindful Choices: Navigating Life's Crossroads with Confidence," Alex R. Thompson embarks on a transformative journey into the heart of decision-making. This enlightening guide illuminates the intricate dance between the logical mind and the intuitive heart, offering readers a compass to traverse life's myriad choices with grace and certainty. Thompson's insights delve into the psychology behind our decisions, equipping you with the tools to understand your own decision-making processes and to make choices that align with your deepest values and goals. Through a blend of compelling anecdotes, scientific research, and practical strategies, "Mindful Choices" empowers you to lead a life marked by purpose, clarity, and confidence, no matter the complexity of the crossroads you face.
Download or read book Dynamic Decision Making in Chess written by Boris GELFAND and published by . This book was released on 2017-08-02 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Dynamic Decision Making in Chess former World Championship Challenger Boris Gelfand continues his investigation into decision-making at the top level, discussing some of his best games as well as his worst slips, giving the reader a unique insight into the mind of a world-class grandmaster.
Download or read book Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making written by Stephan Meisel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-23 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The availability of today’s online information systems rapidly increases the relevance of dynamic decision making within a large number of operational contexts. Whenever a sequence of interdependent decisions occurs, making a single decision raises the need for anticipation of its future impact on the entire decision process. Anticipatory support is needed for a broad variety of dynamic and stochastic decision problems from different operational contexts such as finance, energy management, manufacturing and transportation. Example problems include asset allocation, feed-in of electricity produced by wind power as well as scheduling and routing. All these problems entail a sequence of decisions contributing to an overall goal and taking place in the course of a certain period of time. Each of the decisions is derived by solution of an optimization problem. As a consequence a stochastic and dynamic decision problem resolves into a series of optimization problems to be formulated and solved by anticipation of the remaining decision process. However, actually solving a dynamic decision problem by means of approximate dynamic programming still is a major scientific challenge. Most of the work done so far is devoted to problems allowing for formulation of the underlying optimization problems as linear programs. Problem domains like scheduling and routing, where linear programming typically does not produce a significant benefit for problem solving, have not been considered so far. Therefore, the industry demand for dynamic scheduling and routing is still predominantly satisfied by purely heuristic approaches to anticipatory decision making. Although this may work well for certain dynamic decision problems, these approaches lack transferability of findings to other, related problems. This book has serves two major purposes: ‐ It provides a comprehensive and unique view of anticipatory optimization for dynamic decision making. It fully integrates Markov decision processes, dynamic programming, data mining and optimization and introduces a new perspective on approximate dynamic programming. Moreover, the book identifies different degrees of anticipation, enabling an assessment of specific approaches to dynamic decision making. ‐ It shows for the first time how to successfully solve a dynamic vehicle routing problem by approximate dynamic programming. It elaborates on every building block required for this kind of approach to dynamic vehicle routing. Thereby the book has a pioneering character and is intended to provide a footing for the dynamic vehicle routing community.
