Download or read book Testing for Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance and the Ex Post Verification Problem written by Vassilios Babalos and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present study examines a series of performance measures as an attempt to resolve the ex post verification problem. These measures are employed to test the performance persistence hypothesis of domestic equity funds in Greece, during the period 1998-2004. Correctly adjusting for risk factors and documented portfolio strategies explains a significant part of the reported persistence. The intercept of the augmented Carhart regression is proposed as the most appropriate performance measure. Using this measure, weak evidence for persistence, only before 2001, is documented. The growth of the fund industry, the direction of flows to past winners and the integration in the international financial system are suggested to be the reasons for the absence of performance persistence.
Download or read book Testing for Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance and the Ex Post Verification Problem written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asset Allocation Strategies for Mutual Funds written by Giuseppe Galloppo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-07-24 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an overview of the best-working strategies in the field of equity and fixed income mutual fund-based portfolio management. This timely research considers different market conditions, such as global financial crises, across various geographical regions such as the USA and Europe. Combining academic and practical findings, the author presents a practitioner perspective on mutual fund-based portfolio strategies, appealing not only to finance scholars but also professionals within the asset management industry. This book synthesizes a large part of the academic research to date on the mutual fund industry by drawing from the most widely cited academic journals. The author makes a systematic use of numerical examples to facilitate the understanding of Investment themes organized around several important topics: size, diversification, flows, active management, volatility, performance persistence and rating.
Download or read book Progress in Intelligent Decision Science written by Tofigh Allahviranloo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-01-29 with total page 992 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains the topics of artificial intelligence and deep learning that do have much application in real-life problems. The concept of uncertainty has long been used in applied science, especially decision making and a logical decision must be made in the field of uncertainty or in the real-life environment that is formed and combined with vague concepts and data. The chapters of this book are connected to the new concepts and aspects of decision making with uncertainty. Besides, other chapters are involved with the concept of data mining and decision making under uncertain computations.
Download or read book Eliminating Look Ahead Bias in Evaluating Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by Jenke ter Horst and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Performance persistence studies typically suffer from ex-post conditioning biases. As stressed by Carhart (1997a) and Carpenter and Lynch (1999), standard methods of analysis on a survivorship free sample are subject to look-ahead biases. In this paper, we show how one can easily correct for look-ahead bias using weights based on probit regressions.First, we model how survival probabilities depend upon historical returns, fund age and aggregate economy-wide shocks, using two samples of US based 'income' and 'growth' funds. Subsequently, we employ a Monte Carlo study to analyze the size and shape of the look-ahead bias in performance persistence that arise when a survivorship free sample is used with standard techniques. In particular, we show that look-ahead bias induces a spurious U-shaped pattern in performance persistence. Finally, we demonstrate how a weighting procedure based upon probit regressions can be used to correct for this bias. In this way, we obtain look-ahead bias-corrected estimates of abnormal performance relative to a one-factor and the Carhart (1997b) four-factor model, as well as its persistence. The results suggest that in this sample, look-ahead bias is of minor importance and does not seriously affect estimates of persistence. Our bias-corrected results closely correspond to the findings of Carhart (1997b), implying that there is no evidence on a risk-adjusted basis for persistence in performance.
Download or read book Multinational Finance Journal written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The use of semivariance in the evaluation of ex post mutual fund performance written by Carl Lynn Ernst and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Is There Long Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I analyze long-term performance persistence for a sample of 6525 US equity mutual funds between 1970 and 2013. I test for evidence of five-year performance persistence by using a non-parametric method involving the construction of contingency tables. I also apply a parametric cross-sectional regression of fund performance on past fund performance. I conduct the tests with four different performance measures, namely continuous returns, Jensen's alphas, Four Factor alphas and Sharpe Ratios. I find evidence for performance persistence across all performance measures and with both methodologies. Four Factor alphas show the most significant evidence. The observed persistence is to a great extent driven by funds that consistently perform below or equal to the median of their peers during the analyzed time periods. Performance persistence is especially pronounced during periods where the market shows a sustained upward or downward trend. The results are robust for longer time horizons up to ten years. I find reversals in performance to occur especially when the testing period is to a large extent characterized by a sharp negative market movement, such as the aftermath of the technology bubble in the early years of the 21st century. Past performance over longer time periods can therefore be considered for the evaluation of a long-term investment in a mutual fund, but should not be used as a standalone criterion.
Download or read book The Persistence of Mutual Funds Performance written by Dimitris Kenourgios and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the past performances of mutual funds as a criterion for investors' future choices. In particular, it examines if mutual funds (which invested in the U.K. stock market) that have presented the highest return through one or two years continue the same high performances through the future years. We start our analysis by calculating the annually returns of all funds and the Jensen's measure of performance (in the context of CAPM). Moreover, we test persistence by constructing two-way tables showing the successful performance over successive two-year and one year period. Afterwards, we simulate a strategy of investing in the top performing mutual funds during the preceding two years. We conclude that in 1990s persistence is weak. We do not find strong evidence that past returns provide information about future returns. As most of the results in relevant studies, our results may be subject to survivorship bias, because we do not include in our sample funds that have ceased to exist or merged or started their operation after 1990 (they do not have complete observations).
Download or read book Hedge Fund Alpha written by John M. Longo and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hedge funds are perhaps the hottest topic in finance today, but little material of substance to date has been written on the topic. Most books focus on how to set up a hedge fund and the basic strategies, while few to none focus on what matters most: generating and understanding investment performance. This book takes an exclusive look at the latter, including an analysis of the areas that are most likely to generate strong investment returns OCo namely, the emerging markets of Brazil, Russia, India and China. The book will be invaluable to not only financial professionals, but anyone interested in learning about hedge funds and their future.
Download or read book The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence written by Andrew Ang and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2011 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) asserts that, at all times, the price of a security reflects all available information about its fundamental value. The implication of the EMH for investors is that, to the extent that speculative trading is costly, speculation must be a loser's game. Hence, under the EMH, a passive strategy is bound eventually to beat a strategy that uses active management, where active management is characterized as trading that seeks to exploit mispriced assets relative to a risk-adjusted benchmark. The EMH has been refined over the past several decades to reflect the realism of the marketplace, including costly information, transactions costs, financing, agency costs, and other real-world frictions. The most recent expressions of the EMH thus allow a role for arbitrageurs in the market who may profit from their comparative advantages. These advantages may include specialized knowledge, lower trading costs, low management fees or agency costs, and a financing structure that allows the arbitrageur to undertake trades with long verification periods. The actions of these arbitrageurs cause liquid securities markets to be generally fairly efficient with respect to information, despite some notable anomalies.
Download or read book Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth written by Andreas Fagereng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-27 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their financial assets (a standard deviation of 14%) and on their net worth (a standard deviation of 8%). Second, heterogeneity in returns does not arise merely from differences in the allocation of wealth between safe and risky assets: returns are heterogeneous even within asset classes. Third, returns are positively correlated with wealth: moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the financial wealth distribution increases the return by 3 percentage points - and by 17 percentage points when the same exercise is performed for the return to net worth. Fourth, wealth returns exhibit substantial persistence over time. We argue that while this persistence partly reflects stable differences in risk exposure and assets scale, it also reflects persistent heterogeneity in sophistication and financial information, as well as entrepreneurial talent. Finally, wealth returns are (mildly) correlated across generations. We discuss the implications of these findings for several strands of the wealth inequality debate.
Download or read book On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills written by Roy Henriksson and published by . This book was released on 2023-07-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Portfolio Performance Evaluation written by George O. Aragon and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2008 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a review of the methods for measuring portfolio performance and the evidence on the performance of professionally managed investment portfolios. Traditional performance measures, strongly influenced by the Capital Asset Pricing Model of Sharpe (1964), were developed prior to 1990. We discuss some of the properties and important problems associated with these measures. We then review the more recent Conditional Performance Evaluation techniques, designed to allow for expected returns and risks that may vary over time, and thus addressing one major shortcoming of the traditional measures. We also discuss weight-based performance measures and the stochastic discount factor approach. We review the evidence that these newer measures have produced on selectivity and market timing ability for professional managed investment funds. The evidence includes equity style mutual funds, pension funds, asset allocation style funds, fixed income funds and hedge funds.
Download or read book Performance Measurement in Finance written by John Knight and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-07-10 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The distinction between out-performance of an Investment fund or plan manager vs rewards for taking risks is at the heart of all discussions on Investment fund performance measurement of fund managers. This issue is not always well-understood and the notion of risk adjusting performance is not universally accepted. Performance Measurement in Finance addresses this central issue. The topics covered include evaluation of investment fund management, evaluation of the investment fund itself, and stock selection performance. The book also surveys and critiques existing methodologies of performance measurement and covers new innovative approaches to performance measurement. The contributors to the text include both academics and practitioners providing comprehensive coverage of the topic areas. Performance Measurement in Finance is all about how to effectively measure financial performance of the fund manager and investment house managers, what measures need to be put in place and technically what works and what doesn't. It covers risk, and what's acceptable and what isn't, how, in short, to manage risk. Includes practical information to enable Investment/Portfolio Managers to understand and evaluate fund managers, the funds themselves, and Investment firms Provides a full overview of the topic as well as in-depth technical analysis
Download or read book Manager Selection written by Scott Stewart and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Manager selection is a critical step in implementing any investment program. Investors hire portfolio managers to act as their agents, and portfolio managers are then expected to perform to the best of their abilities and in the investors' best interests. Investors must practice due diligence when selecting portfolio managers. They need to not only identify skillful managers, but also determine the appropriate weights to assign to those managers. This book is designed to help investors improve their ability to select managers. Achieving this goal includes reviewing techniques for hiring active, indexed, and alternative managers; highlighting strategies for setting portfolio manager weights and monitoring current managers; and considering the value of quantitative and qualitative methods for successful manager selection.
Download or read book Behavioral Corporate Finance written by Hersh Shefrin and published by College Ie Overruns. This book was released on 2017-04-16 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
