Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1970 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.
Download or read book Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Pankaj M. Madhani and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In today's business environment, traditional capital budgeting methods are no longer adequate to reflect the dynamic world of new economy. The typical project appraisal methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)-based measures like Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). However, they exhibit weaknesses in dealing with uncertainty, complexity and flexibility. Real options are very powerful method for evaluating project under uncertainty. Real options approach is a method of evaluating project investment decisions in an uncertain business environment.
Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Uwe Götze and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-03-18 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to investment appraisal and presents a range of methods and models, some of which are not widely known, or at least not well covered by other textbooks. Each approach is thoroughly described, evaluated and illustrated using examples, with its assumptions and limitations analyzed in terms of their implications for investment decision-making practice. Investment decisions are of vital importance to all companies. Getting these decisions right is crucial but, due to a complex and dynamic business environment, this remains a challenging management task. Effective appraisal methods are valuable tools in supporting investment decision-making. As organisations continue to seek a competitive edge, it is increasingly important that management accountants and strategic decision-makers have a sound knowledge of these tools.
Download or read book Forecasting Uncertainty and Public Project Appraisal written by Jock R. Anderson and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A measure of the probability of commodity price forecasts is not necessary for most project analysis, but it does give users a realistic view of the forecast's precision -- and imposes a useful discipline on the forecaster.
Download or read book Technological Risk Assessment written by P.F. Ricci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1984-04-30 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Study Institute on Technological Risk Assessment, Erice, Sicily, Italy, May 20-31, 1981
Download or read book Appraisal and Selection of Projects written by Utpal K. Ghosh and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-09-22 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project appraisal is the process of assessing the viability of a project in a systemic way at its initial ‘idea’ stage when information is minimal, but the decision, whether to go ahead with the project, is important. This book deals with the principles and practice of such appraisal process. It covers all the financial and economic aspects, including market and technical analysis, environmental appraisal, life cycle costing and SWOT analysis. This book starts with the basics of the subject followed by analysis of the project proposals from different perspectives for ascertaining their viabilities, including a brief discussion on uncertainty and risk analysis, important tools, and techniques. This book covers projects in almost all domains, such as engineering, management, medical science and so forth. Focuses on all possible aspects of project appraisal and selection Emphasizes differences from public and private projects in terms of financial and economic evaluations Provides step-by-step methods of analysis of multiple issues involved in the initial appraisal of projects Includes sections on ‘lessons learned' and 'learning from experience’ illustrating applications of the process and implications Covers feasibility analysis, including both technical aspects and financial evaluation This book is aimed at professionals, graduate students in civil and industrial engineering, business management, project management, project appraisal, including entrepreneurs for their start-up projects. Utpal K. Ghosh is a Chartered Engineer, a Fellow of the Institution of Engineers (India), a Member of the Institution of Civil Engineers (UK) and a Member of the Institution of Structural Engineers (UK).
Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Uwe Götze and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-22 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a range of investment appraisal methods and models to help readers make good investment decisions. Each approach is thoroughly described, evaluated, and illustrated using examples, with its assumptions and limitations analyzed in terms of their implications for investment decision-making practice. Getting investment decisions right is crucial but due to a complex and dynamic business environment this remains a challenging management task.
Download or read book Engineering Project Appraisal written by Martin Rogers and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-03 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In most cases of civil engineering development, a range of alternative schemes meeting project goals are feasible, so some form of evaluation must be carried out to select the most appropriate to take forward. Evaluation criteria usually include the economic, environmental and social contexts of a project as well as the engineering challenges, so engineers must be familiar with the processes and tools used. The second edition of Engineering Project Appraisal equips students with the understanding and analytical tools to carry out effective appraisals of alternative development schemes, using both economic and non-economic criteria. The building blocks of economic appraisal are covered early, leading to techniques such as net present worth, internal rate of return and annual worth. Cost Benefit Analysis is dealt with in detail, together with related methods such as Cost Effectiveness and the Goal Achievement Matrix. The text also details three multi-criteria models which have proved useful in the evaluation of proposals in the transportation, solid waste, energy and water resources fields: the Simple Additive Weighting (SAW) Model, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique and Concordance Analysis. There is a full discussion dealing with risk and uncertainty in these models. With many worked examples and case studies, Engineering Project Appraisal is an essential text for both undergraduate and postgraduate students on professional civil engineering courses, and it is expected that students on planning and construction management courses will find it a valuable addition to their reading.
Download or read book Appraisal Risk and Uncertainty written by Nigel J. Smith and published by Thomas Telford. This book was released on 2003-11-28 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Projects need to achieve strategic goals and to that end must work in different levels of uncertainty. Engineers must be aware of methods to operate in ambiguous situations. This book offers one of the first integrated approaches to these three topics based on the views of experts in these disciplines.
Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainity written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Fundamentals of Investment Appraisal written by Martina Röhrich and published by Oldenbourg Verlag. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to make sound investment decisions: This book is based on long-term experience with students, especially at the School of International Business of Bremen University of Applied Sciences. For a better understanding, a case study is constructed to illustrate all methods discussed. Written in an easily understood style it focuses on the reality of student life as well as of practitioners. The goal of the book is to pace a sure way through the variety of methods. Mathematical basics are specifically explained in detail. This book shows clearly why there are different methods in investment appraisal and on where to focus in a given situation. As all methods are introduced by the same case study, it is easy to compare and evaluate the results. The statements in the text are further consolidated by abstracts and evaluations of each of the methods. Exercises with extensive solutions will lead to the confidence which is necessary for an ease of handling the investment appraisal techniques and for a good preparation for students’ exams. German and international students at universities and other institutions of higher education will find this book an excellent systematic preparation for their exams. It is also directed toward members of the general public who need expert guidance in making professional investment decisions. Due to the increasing mobility of students and the internationalisation of many economic or business curricula, not only do German students tend to study more abroad, but also foreign students tend to study more in Germany. In German universities the number of courses in the English language is also increasing. That is why I have written this text in English. A companion volume in German, entitled ‘Grundlagen der Investitionsrechnung: Eine Darstellung anhand einer Fallstudie’ is also available. In both textbooks the pages are constructed identically. Using both textbooks simultaneously will help those students who still lack the necessary business vocabulary in the respective language to reasonably follow a class in English or German. This book clearly closes an existing gap in the literature. This is the first book in English about capital expenditure budgeting in the sense as it is usually taught in German higher education institutions. As a result international students now have literature covering the contents of a course in investment appraisal in the form of an easy-to-read case study with easily understood graphics and notations.
Download or read book Taxmann s Project Appraisal Management Case Study based Text explaining all aspects of a Project from Inception to Implementation for Professionals Entrepreneurs written by Prof. Rashmi Agrawal & Dr. Yogieta S Mehra and published by Taxmann Publications Private Limited. This book was released on 2021-06-17 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a comprehensive & well-illustrated textbook on ‘Project Appraisal & Management’. It provides comprehensive coverage of the prescribed syllabus at both postgraduate and undergraduate level of all major universities of India. This book will be helpful for postgraduate and undergraduate courses in Management and specifically for the students of MBA/M.Com./BMS/BBA/Generic Paper of B.Com. (Hons.) The Present Publication is the Reprint June 2021 Edition, authored by Prof. Rashmi Agarwal & Dr. Yogieta S. Mehra, with the following noteworthy features: · [Case Studies] Each chapter begins and ends with a real Case Study, (both successful & failed ones are included) for illustrating the application of theoretical aspects in practical corporate life · [Ready Reckoner] for professionals, budding entrepreneurs, dreamers, and start-up enthusiast · [Questions] for review are provided at the end of every chapter · [Illustrations] in every chapter to explain the concepts in a lucid manner · [Checklists] for starting a New Business and preparation of Project Reports & Business Plan The flow of the book is as follows: · Chapters 1 – 4 provides the entire ‘feasibility analysis’ to assess the viability of a project · Chapters 5 – 7 are focused on impact analysis, i.e., economic, environmental & social analysis · Chapters 9 – 11 are dedicated to all the probable entrepreneurs who seek to know more about the essentials for starting a new venture The contents of the book are as follows: · An Introduction to Project Appraisal o Project Appraisal: An Introduction o Project Appraisal Process: Steps o Project Appraisal Methodology o Project Life Cycle o Origin of Project Appraisal o Development Planning and Project Appraisal · Identification of Investment Opportunities and Market Analysis o Case Study: Patanjali Ayurved o Introduction – Market Analysis o Business Ideas o Market Feasibility Analysis o Understanding the Market o Estimating Market Size o Industry Structure o Managing Competition o Forecasting Market Growth o Develop the Sales and Marketing Plan o Digital Marketing: The New Frontier · Technical Analysis o Case Study: A Techpreneur’s Guide to Success – Shiv Nadar o Introduction – Technical Analysis o Technical Appraisal Decision Tool of the Project o The Lender’s Analysis o Key Aspects of Technology o Impact of Technology on Management of Firms · Investment Appraisal: Introduction and Techniques o Case Study: Why the King of Good Times Flew Away o Introduction – Financial Analysis o Investment Decisions & Development Planning o Financial Feasibility Analysis o Investment Decision Criteria o Concept of Time in Financial Appraisal o Investment Decision Techniques o Inter-Relationship Between NPV, BCR and IRR o Financial Feasibility Analysis o Types of Contracts o Lender’s Perspective: Appraisal of Financial Viability · Economic Analysis o Case Study: Solar Parks o Introduction: Economic Analysis o Objectives of Economic Analysis o Rationale of Social Cost-Benefit Analysis o Direct and Indirect Cost and Benefits o Shadow Price o Choice of Discount Rate o Dealing with Uncertainty o Efficiency and Equity in Project Appraisal o Institutional Framework o UNIDO Method for Social Cost-Benefit Analysis o Little Mirrlees Approach for SCBA o Indian Scenario · Environmental Analysis o Case Study: EIA of Building a Hospital Project o Introduction – Environment Analysis o Physical Manifestation of Environment Degradation o Environmental Attributes for a Project o Environment Impact Assessment o EIA and Project Life Cycle o Environmental Considerations and Discount Rate o Economic Valuation of Natural Resources o Resource Allocation o Approaches for Value Measurements · Socio-Economic Analysis o Case Study: Patna Ghats o Introduction – Social Impact Assessment o Environmental and Social Impact Assessment o Progress of SIA o Principles for Social Impact Assessment o Social Impact Assessment Methods and Tools o The SIA Process and Report o Advantages – Social Impact Assessment · Risk and Sensitivity Analysis o Case Study PAYTM: Vijay Shekhar Sharma o Introduction – Risk and Uncertainty Analysis o Uncertainty Analysis o Risk Analysis o Project Selection under Risk o Monitoring and Control of Investment Projects · Entrepreneurship Case Study: Kent RO o Introduction: Entrepreneurship o Entrepreneurship Model and Traits o Theoretical Approaches of Entrepreneurship o Entrepreneurship: The Global Scenario · New Venture: Elements for Success o Case Study: Naturally Sweet Success Story o Introduction o Creativity o Motivation for Creative Ideas and Entrepreneurship o Barriers to Creativity o Techniques to Enhance Creativity o Strategic Planning and the Entrepreneur o Franchising · Formation of a New Venture o Introduction o Financing Options for a New Venture o What is a Start-up o Checklist for Starting New Business in India o Government Initiatives for Start-ups in India o Checklist for Preparation of Project Reports and Business Plan
Download or read book Evaluating real options as a means for investment appraisal under uncertainty and its degree of utilisation by companies written by Andreas Würfel and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2003-10-13 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: This paper evaluates the real options approach (ROA) as a means for appraising capital investments under uncertainty. Globalisation and growing competitiveness have led to an increase in uncertainty with regard to companies decision making. Flexibility to react to this uncertainty has become more important. The question arises whether there is a need for a further investment appraisal technique or whether traditional techniques can cope with that. A growing literature about real options shows that traditional investment appraisal techniques do not value flexibility. That is why ROA has become more important within recent years. However, the degree of its utilisation by companies seems to be rather low. Three possible reasons for that are examined: ROA is not well-known by companies, especially small- and medium-sized enterprises. ROA is only limitedly applicable. ROA is too difficult to use. After traditional investment appraisal techniques have been outlined, the real options approach is illustrated by means of a case study. The possible range of application is assessed by reviewing the literature. A survey was conducted to check whether companies know about or apply that technique, and to identify the tools used by companies. This study shows that while the range of possible applications of real options is rather vast, ROA is rarely known by German and British companies and barely applied. One reason might be, that most books and articles are of rather academic nature. This seems to have been realised since books with a focus on practical application have been published recently. The complexity of ROA seems to be a further reason for its low degree of utilisation. Companies tend to use simpler but more comprehensible techniques although these methods have some major drawbacks. However, business science should not end in itself but serve businesses. Therefore, further emphasis has to be put on making real options approachable for practitioners. Inhaltsverzeichnis:Table of Contents: I.Abstract2 II.Acknowledgements3 III.Table of Contents4 IV.List of Figures7 V.List of Abbreviations8 1.Introduction9 2.Characteristics of Investment Decisions11 2.1What Is a Capital Investment?11 2.2Risk and Uncertainty12 3.Tools for Investment Appraisals15 3.1Static Methods15 3.2Discounted Cash Flow Approaches (Dynamic)17 3.3Approaches Which Try to Deal With Risk20 4.The Real Options Approach24 4.1Why Use Real Options to [...]
Download or read book Handling Severe Uncertainty in Strategic Project Appraisal written by and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Evaluation in Project Appraisal written by Tarek H. Selim and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this article is to outline various cost-benefit financial evaluation methods for use in project appraisal with regard to private capital investment projects with the inclusion of uncertainty and risk allowance factors in determining the net expected financial return from a given capital investment project. Two factor allowances for uncertainty have been used: the first deals with uncertain future benefit and cost streams and utilizes linear approximations for non-linear continuous functions of random variables using the inverse-transformation technique and the invariance method of maximum likelihood estimation, while the second is a von-Neumann covariance risk factor controlling for the project's external environment. Results yield two general indicators of important use in project evaluation: value and net value-added, the former being an indicator of project feasibility while the latter an indicator for investment profitability.
Download or read book Strategic Project Risk Appraisal and Management written by Elaine Harris and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-05-15 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Success in business depends on two broad management skills: 'doing the right thing' (choosing the right projects) and 'doing things right' (good project management). This book examines the challenges that managers face in assessing the likely risks and benefits that need to be taken into account when choosing projects. It then explores the strategic level risks that will need to be dealt with in managing those projects and suggests risk management strategies. In so doing, it makes a rare but important link between strategic level appraisal of project opportunities and project risk management. Many projects have similar characteristics that are common to a number of projects experienced by the same or other organizations. Elaine Harris shows how the use of a project typology can guide project risk management by identifying common risks shared by projects of each type. Her cutting edge research will help advanced project practitioners and researchers in projects and risk management to develop a risk management strategy that is better suited to the context of their projects and one that is flexible enough to develop and adapt once the project decision has been taken and the real-world of project management and delivery begins.
