Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control International Finance and Debt Crises written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2006-04-06 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the interaction between equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt, endogenous optimal growth and current account balances, in a world of uncertainty. The theoretical parts result from interdisciplinary research between economics and applied mathematics. From the economic theory and the mathematics of stochastic optimal control the author derives benchmarks for the optimal debt and equilibrium real exchange rate in an environment where both thereturn on capital and the real rate of interest are stochastic variables. The theoretically derived equilibrium real exchange rate - the "natural real exchange rate" NATREX - is where the real exchange rate is heading. These benchmarks are applied to answer the following questions.* What is a theoretically based empirical measure of a "misaligned" exchange rate that increases the probability of a significant depreciation or a currency crisis?* What is a theoretically based empirical measure of an "excess" debt that increases the probability of or a debt crisis?* What is the interaction between an excess debt and a misaligned exchange rate?The theory is applied to evaluate the Euro exchange rate, the exchange rates of the transition economies, the sustainability of U.S. current account deficits, and derives warning signals of the Asian crises and debt crises in emerging markets.
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control and the U S Financial Debt Crisis written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-30 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC)—a mathematical theory concerned with minimizing a cost (or maximizing a payout) pertaining to a controlled dynamic process under uncertainty—has proven incredibly helpful to understanding and predicting debt crises and evaluating proposed financial regulation and risk management. Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis analyzes SOC in relation to the 2008 U.S. financial crisis, and offers a detailed framework depicting why such a methodology is best suited for reducing financial risk and addressing key regulatory issues. Topics discussed include the inadequacies of the current approaches underlying financial regulations, the use of SOC to explain debt crises and superiority over existing approaches to regulation, and the domestic and international applications of SOC to financial crises. Principles in this book will appeal to economists, mathematicians, and researchers interested in the U.S. financial debt crisis and optimal risk management.
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control International Finance Debt written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control International Finance and Debt written by Wendell Helms Fleming and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control Approach to International Finance Foreign Debt written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control International Finance and Debt Crises written by Jerome L. Stein and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2006-04-06 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the interaction between equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt, endogenous optimal growth and current account balances, in a world of uncertainty. The theoretical parts result from interdisciplinary research between economics and applied mathematics. From the economic theory and the mathematics of stochastic optimal control the author derives benchmarks for the optimal debt and equilibrium real exchange rate in an environment where both the return on capital and the real rate of interest are stochastic variables. The theoretically derived equilibrium real exchange rate - the "natural real exchange rate" NATREX - is where the real exchange rate is heading. These benchmarks are applied to answer the following questions. * What is a theoretically based empirical measure of a "misaligned" exchange rate that increases the probability of a significant depreciation or a currency crisis? * What is a theoretically based empirical measure of an "excess" debt that increases the probability of or a debt crisis? * What is the interaction between an excess debt and a misaligned exchange rate? The theory is applied to evaluate the Euro exchange rate, the exchange rates of the transition economies, the sustainability of U.S. current account deficits, and derives warning signals of the Asian crises and debt crises in emerging markets.
Download or read book Application of Stochastic Optimal Control to Financial Market Debt Crises written by Jerome L. Stein and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Stochastic Optimal Control Approach to International Finance and Foreign Debt written by Wendell Helms Fleming and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control and the U S Financial Debt Crisis written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-30 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC)—a mathematical theory concerned with minimizing a cost (or maximizing a payout) pertaining to a controlled dynamic process under uncertainty—has proven incredibly helpful to understanding and predicting debt crises and evaluating proposed financial regulation and risk management. Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis analyzes SOC in relation to the 2008 U.S. financial crisis, and offers a detailed framework depicting why such a methodology is best suited for reducing financial risk and addressing key regulatory issues. Topics discussed include the inadequacies of the current approaches underlying financial regulations, the use of SOC to explain debt crises and superiority over existing approaches to regulation, and the domestic and international applications of SOC to financial crises. Principles in this book will appeal to economists, mathematicians, and researchers interested in the U.S. financial debt crisis and optimal risk management.
Download or read book Stochastic Optimal Control Modeling of Debt Crises written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Country Debt Risk written by Wendell H. Fleming and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data on the credit rating of bonds issued in the first half of the 1990s suggest that investors in emerging market securities paid little attention to credit risk, or that they were comfortable with the high level of credit risk that they were incurring. The literature in international finance concerning inter-temporal optimization in discrete time makes assumptions that imply certainty equivalence. Example: If the expected productivity of capital is a constant that exceeds the interest rate, investment and debt are maximal. There is a need for a "paradigm shift" that involves greater analytic emphasis on the risks associated with the reliance on short-term debt for otherwise creditworthy borrowers. Using stochastic optimal control techniques, we develop a paradigm for risk management, with the constraint that there be no default on short- term foreign currency denominated debt. We solve for the constrained optimal investment and external debt in both a finite horizon discrete time and an infinite horizon continuous time context. We thereby derive benchmarks to compare the actual with the constrained optimal debt. The probability of default/rescheduling increases when our constrained optimality conditions are violated. The main reason for a deviation between the actual debt and the optimal debt is the moral hazard that has been stressed in the literature on crises. The government provides implicit insurance that induces firms to ignore/underemphasize risk. Bubbles tend to occur. However, when the shocks occur, the government cannot fulfill its commitments.
Download or read book Optimal Debt and Endogenous Growth in Models of International Finance written by Jerome L. Stein and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the bond rating agencies did not anticipate the crises in Asia 1997-98 and in Argentina 2001. With this statement in mind, we consider some multi-stage inter-temporal stochastic optimisation models in international finance that imply theoretically founded and empirically measurable Early Warning Signals. The mathematical technique is dynamic programming/stochastic optimal control (DP/SOC). The variables of interest are the optimal foreign debt, consumption, capital and the growth rate of GDP. They are used as benchmarks of economic performance. By comparing the actual debt to the optimal debt we derive a measure of the sustainability of the debt and vulnerability to default problems. The two sources of uncertainty - the productivity of capital and the real interest rate on the foreign debt - are modeled as stochastic processes. Specific applications of the DP/SOC techniques are given for country defaults in Asia and Latin America, and the US current account deficits.
Download or read book Debt Risk and Liquidity in Futures Markets written by Barry Goss and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-09-17 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Including contributions from Jerome Stein and Guay Lim, this book explores debt and liquidity in finance. In three parts it covers developing country debt and currency crises, risk, and risk management in futures markets and liquidity.
Download or read book The Eurozone Crisis and the Future of Europe written by Rajeesh Kumar and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-11 with total page 487 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors uncover the roots of the eurozone crisis, focusing on how this can be solved against the backdrop of a very deep financial and economic crisis and its strong social impact. Looking at the impact of the financial crisis on the eurozone, they explore the European Union's recent and future developments.
Download or read book Stochastic Control written by Chris Myers and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2010-08-17 with total page 663 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty presents significant challenges in the reasoning about and controlling of complex dynamical systems. To address this challenge, numerous researchers are developing improved methods for stochastic analysis. This book presents a diverse collection of some of the latest research in this important area. In particular, this book gives an overview of some of the theoretical methods and tools for stochastic analysis, and it presents the applications of these methods to problems in systems theory, science, and economics.
Download or read book Mathematics of Finance written by George Yin and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2004 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contains papers based on talks given at the first AMS-IMS-SIAM Joint Summer Research Conference on Mathematics of Finance held at Snowbird. This book includes such topics as modeling, estimation, optimization, control, and risk assessment and management. It is suitable for students interested in mathematical finance.
Download or read book International Finance and Open Economy Macroeconomics written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-12 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This rigorous textbook tames technicalities and makes even the most complex models accessible to students. Its unique two-tier structure makes the book attractive for undergraduates, graduates and researchers alike. In fact, the coverage is primarily directed to undergraduate students and is mainly confined to graphic analysis and to some elementary algebra. Further, each chapter has its own mathematical appendix, in which (i) the topics treated in the text are examined at a level suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates and researchers, and (ii) generalizations and/or topics not treated in the text (including some at the cutting edge of research) are formally examined. The new edition has been thoroughly revised and updated to reflect the latest research on international finance. This book deals with the financial side of international economics and covers all aspects of international finance. There are many books and articles by exponents of alternative points of view. I know of no other book that provides the scope, balance, objectivity and rigor of this book. the late Professor Jerome L. Stein, Brown University This book is a second edition of a volume on international finance first published in 2001. Like Giancarlo’s other books in International Economics, this book is organised as a two-books-in-one by distributing the material between text and appendices. The text provides coverage suitable for an undergraduate course while the mathematical appendices provide coverage of the topics at the frontier of the discipline and suitable for advanced undergraduate or graduate students in an international finance and international macroeconomics course. This edition updates the earlier volume and covers all the classic topics as well as the more recent advances in the theory and modelling of international finance. It includes some discussion of the empirical testing of these theories and where appropriate reference to the extensive empirical literature is also provided. This book is a valuable addition to the bookshelf of any serious International Finance Scholar and provides a treasure chest of material for any quality international finance course. Professor Pasquale M Sgro, Deakin University Giancarlo Gandolfo is one of the profession's most gifted textbook authors on mathematical modeling and international economics. His revised International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics is remarkable for its scope and clarity. The book covers the older and intertemporal approaches, and topics that are usually left out of graduate treatments (the chapter on balance-of-payments accounting is a gem). Gandolfo's two-tier approach of first developing topics with graphs and basic algebra and then providing rigorous mathematics for each topic makes the book ideal for advanced undergraduate and graduate classes. Professor Michael D. Goldberg, University of New Hampshire
