Download or read book Smoothing Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series written by Robert Goodell Brown and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2004-01-01 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer application techniques are applied to routine short-term forecasting and prediction in this classic of operations research. The text begins with a consideration of data sources and sampling intervals, progressing to discussions of time series models and probability models. An extensive overview of smoothing techniques surveys the mathematical techniques for periodically raising the estimates of coefficients in forecasting problems. Sections on forecasting and error measurement and analysis are followed by an exploration of alternatives and the applications of the forecast to specific problems, and a treatment of the handling of systems design problems ranges from observed data to decision rules. 1963 ed.
Download or read book Smoothing Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series written by Robert Grover Brown and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting Discrete Time Series Data by the Exponential Smoothing Process written by Harry E. Norwood and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting and Time Series Analysis written by Douglas C. Montgomery and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1990 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This practical, user-oriented second edition describes how to use statistical modeling and analysis methods for forecasting and prediction problems. Statistical and mathematical terms are introduced only as they are needed, and every effort has been made to keep the mathematical and statistical prerequisites to a minimum. Every technique that is introduced is illustrated by fully worked numerical examples. Not only is the coverage of traditional forecasting methods greatly expanded in this new edition, but a number of new techniques and methods are covered as well.
Download or read book Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting written by Douglas C. Montgomery and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-03-30 with total page 672 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the First Edition "…[t]he book is great for readers who need to applythe methods and models presented but have little background inmathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time SeriesAnalysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents theunderlying theories of time series analysis that are needed toanalyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- tomedium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals inengineering statistics, the Second Edition featuresdiscussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies aswell as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting.Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, SecondEdition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including healthcare, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®,and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecastingtechniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporaldata analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum withapplications as well as transfer and intervention modelfunctions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint®slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, SecondEdition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate andgraduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book isalso an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers whoneed to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.
Download or read book Smooting Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series written by and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Introductory Time Series with R written by Paul S.P. Cowpertwait and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-28 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives you a step-by-step introduction to analysing time series using the open source software R. Each time series model is motivated with practical applications, and is defined in mathematical notation. Once the model has been introduced it is used to generate synthetic data, using R code, and these generated data are then used to estimate its parameters. This sequence enhances understanding of both the time series model and the R function used to fit the model to data. Finally, the model is used to analyse observed data taken from a practical application. By using R, the whole procedure can be reproduced by the reader. All the data sets used in the book are available on the website http://staff.elena.aut.ac.nz/Paul-Cowpertwait/ts/. The book is written for undergraduate students of mathematics, economics, business and finance, geography, engineering and related disciplines, and postgraduate students who may need to analyse time series as part of their taught programme or their research.
Download or read book Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing written by Rob Hyndman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-06-19 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exponential smoothing methods have been around since the 1950s, and are still the most popular forecasting methods used in business and industry. However, a modeling framework incorporating stochastic models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection, was not developed until recently. This book brings together all of the important new results on the state space framework for exponential smoothing. It will be of interest to people wanting to apply the methods in their own area of interest as well as for researchers wanting to take the ideas in new directions. Part 1 provides an introduction to exponential smoothing and the underlying models. The essential details are given in Part 2, which also provide links to the most important papers in the literature. More advanced topics are covered in Part 3, including the mathematical properties of the models and extensions of the models for specific problems. Applications to particular domains are discussed in Part 4.
Download or read book Real time Monitoring and Operational Control of Drinking Water Systems written by Vicenç Puig and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-05-18 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a set of approaches for the real-time monitoring and control of drinking-water networks based on advanced information and communication technologies. It shows the reader how to achieve significant improvements in efficiency in terms of water use, energy consumption, water loss minimization, and water quality guarantees. The methods and approaches presented are illustrated and have been applied using real-life pilot demonstrations based on the drinking-water network in Barcelona, Spain. The proposed approaches and tools cover: • decision-making support for real-time optimal control of water transport networks, explaining how stochastic model predictive control algorithms that take explicit account of uncertainties associated with energy prices and real demand allow the main flow and pressure actuators—pumping stations and pressure regulation valves— and intermediate storage tanks to be operated to meet demand using the most sustainable types of source and with minimum electricity costs;• decision-making support for monitoring water balance and distribution network quality in real time, implementing fault detection and diagnosis techniques and using information from hundreds of flow, pressure, and water-quality sensors together with hydraulic and quality-parameter-evolution models to detect and locate leaks in the network, possible breaches in water quality, and failures in sensors and/or actuators;• consumer-demand prediction, based on smart metering techniques, producing detailed analyses and forecasts of consumption patterns, providing a customer communications service, and suggesting economic measures intended to promote more efficient use of water at the household level. Researchers and engineers working with drinking-water networks will find this a vital support in overcoming the problems associated with increased population, environmental sensitivities and regulation, aging infrastructures, energy requirements, and limited water sources.
Download or read book Financial and Insurance Formulas written by Tomas Cipra and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-16 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial and insurance calculations become more and more frequent and helpful for many users not only in their profession life but sometimes even in their personal life. Therefore a survey of formulas of ?nancial and insurance mathematics that can be applied to such calculations seems to be a suitable aid. In some cases one should use instead of the term formula more suitable terms of the type method, p- cedure or algorithm since the corresponding calculations cannot be simply summed up to a single expression, and a verbal description without introducing complicated symbols is more appropriate. The survey has the following ambitions: • The formulas should be applicable in practice: it has motivated their choice for this survey ?rst and foremost. On the other hand it is obvious that by time one puts to use in practice seemingly very abstract formulas of higher mathematics, e.g. when pricing ?nancial derivatives, evaluating ?nancial risks, applying accou- ing principles based on fair values, choosing alternative risk transfers ARL in insurance, and the like. • The formulas should be error-free (though such a goal is not achievable in full) since in the ?nancial and insurance framework one publishes sometimes in a h- tic way various untried formulas and methods that may be incorrect. Of course, the formulas are introduced here without proofs because their derivation is not the task of this survey.
Download or read book Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-06-08 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.
Download or read book Monthly Weather Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book XV International Scientific Conference INTERAGROMASH 2022 written by Alexey Beskopylny and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-02-04 with total page 3287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book contains proceedings of the XV International Scientific Conference INTERAGROMASH 2022, Rostov-on-Don, Russia. The agro-industrial complex is the most extensive and vital industry. It is rapidly developing by introducing the latest technologies and automating various processes necessary for the functioning of this area. The book is dedicated to engineering technologies of precision farming and agricultural robotics. It includes studies on natural resources variability, sustainable soil management, Agro Big Data, Internet of Things, software and mobile apps for precision agriculture, smart weather for precision agriculture, simulations models and decision support systems, expert systems, DGPS, soil physical and chemical characteristic sensors, machinery, etc. Different types of agricultural robots are presented in the book: autonomous fruit picking robots, farming bots that can seed and water plants, test the soil and remove weeds, completely autonomous robot for ecological and economical ultra-high precision spraying and weeding, harvesting robots with the special vision systems that can “see” fruits and understand whether they're ripe and ready to pick, and others. Also, the book covers advances in agricultural biotechnology in such areas of research as crop production improvement practices, genetic modification, as well as microbial biotechnology in agriculture, etc. The book is aimed for scientists, researchers, and graduate students. It is also useful for representatives of regional authorities, as it gives an idea of existing high-tech solutions for agriculture. The book is written and edited by international researchers, academics, and experts in the corresponding research areas.
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by ︠I︡Uriĭ Vasilʹevich Chuev and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Jurij Vasil'evic Cuev and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Artificial Higher Order Neural Networks for Economics and Business written by Zhang, Ming and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2008-07-31 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book is the first book to provide opportunities for millions working in economics, accounting, finance and other business areas education on HONNs, the ease of their usage, and directions on how to obtain more accurate application results. It provides significant, informative advancements in the subject and introduces the HONN group models and adaptive HONNs"--Provided by publisher.
Download or read book Science in Management written by C. S. Chedzey and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-17 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1970. Management consultants in the United Kingdom are often accused of cloaking their activities in secrecy. The confidential nature of consulting work often precludes the publication of case examples and it is only occasionally that press reports appear summarizing particular studies. Consulting firms, however, are in the unique position of gaining experience over the whole range of industry, commerce and government, and consequently have a full opportunity for spear-heading new developments and gathering technical know-how of wide value to managers. Science in Management outlines the methods used by a consulting firm specializing in operational research and computer science and describes numerous case examples taken from a wide range of industries and from the public sector. These examples cover tactical problems, problems which overlap functional boundaries within a company and a few major projects of a strategic nature. The aim of the twenty contributors has been to explain in relatively simple terms, some of the more important techniques and to illustrate by practical examples, the wide scope of the management science approach at all problem levels. The book will be helpful to all those seeking to apply science in management. It is written primarily for managers and those studying modern management methods, but parts of the book will be of interest to specialists as well.
