Download or read book Second Thoughts on Second Moments written by Arturo J. Galindo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1998 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: June 1998 The evidence is broadly supportive of an asset view of speculative attacks and the importance of the variance of monetary aggregates in predicting currency crises, but it cast some doubt on existing theories. The literature on speculative attacks has been given new impetus by the collapse of the European currency arrangements beginning in 1992, by the Mexican peso crisis and after-effects in 1994, and most recently by speculative attacks across Asia. One strand of this literature stresses the importance of imbalances in stocks of monetary and financial aggregates rather than traditional flow factors, arguing that massive, volatile capital flows have become a dominant feature of the global landscape, and that exchange-rate levels and current accounts have not proved convincing as proximate causes of crises. Galindo and Maloney test two popular asset-based models of speculative attacks-Krugman and Rotemberg (1992) and Calvo and Mendoza (1995)-especially their emphasis on the second moments of monetary aggregates. Analyzing monthly panels of appropriate countries in three regions, they find evidence for the importance of money/reserve ratios predicted by both models, and their variance as predicted by Calvo and Mendoza. But the variance of velocity does not appear to be important, casting some doubt on the Krugman-Rotemberg target zone framework and the interpretation of the Calvo-Mendoza results. This paper-a product of the Poverty and Economic Management Unit of the Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of a larger effort in the region to understand the determinants of macroeconomic instability. William Maloney may be contacted at [email protected].
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Lynn Berger and published by Henry Holt and Company. This book was released on 2021-04-20 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A lovely, searching meditation on second children—on whether to have one and what it means to be one—that seamlessly weaves pieces of art and culture on the topic with scientific research and personal anecdotes The decision to have more than one child is at least as consuming as the decision to have a child at all—and yet for all the good books that deliberate on the choice of becoming a parent, there is far less writing on the choice of becoming a parent of two, and all the questions that arise during the process. Is there any truth in the idea of character informed by birth order, or the loneliness of only children? What is the reality of sibling rivalry? What might a parent to one, or two, come to regret? Lynn Berger is here to fill that gap with the curious, reflective Second Thoughts. Grounded in autobiography and full of considered allusion, careful investigation and generous candor, it’s an exploration specifically dedicated to second children and their particular, too often forgotten lot. Warm and wise, intimate and universal at once, it’s a must read for parents-to-be and want-to-be, parents of one, parents of two or more, and second children themselves.
Download or read book On Second Thought written by Wray Herbert and published by Crown. This book was released on 2011-09-06 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our lives are composed of millions of choices, ranging from trivial to life-changing and momentous. Luckily, our brains have evolved a number of mental shortcuts, biases, and tricks that allow us to quickly negotiate this endless array of decisions. We don’t want to rationally deliberate every choice we make, and thanks to these cognitive rules of thumb, we don’t need to. Yet these hard-wired shortcuts, mental wonders though they may be, can also be perilous. They can distort our thinking in ways that are often invisible to us, leading us to make poor decisions, to be easy targets for manipulators…and they can even cost us our lives. The truth is, despite all the buzz about the power of gut-instinct decision-making in recent years, sometimes it’s better to stop and say, “On second thought . . .” The trick, of course, lies in knowing when to trust that instant response, and when to question it. In On Second Thought, acclaimed science writer Wray Herbert provides the first guide to achieving that balance. Drawing on real-world examples and cutting-edge research, he takes us on a fascinating, wide-ranging journey through our innate cognitive traps and tools, exposing the hidden dangers lurking in familiarity and consistency; the obstacles that keep us from accurately evaluating risk and value; the delusions that make it hard for us to accurately predict the future; the perils of the human yearning for order and simplicity; the ways our fears can color our very perceptions . . . and much more. Along the way, Herbert reveals the often-bizarre cross-connections these shortcuts have secretly ingrained in our brains, answering such questions as why jury decisions may be shaped by our ancient need for cleanliness; what the state of your desk has to do with your political preferences; why loneliness can literally make us shiver; how drawing two dots on a piece of paper can desensitize us to violence… and how the very typeface on this page is affecting your decision about whether or not to buy this book. Ultimately, On Second Thought is both a captivating exploration of the workings of the mind and an invaluable resource for anyone who wants to learn how to make smarter, better judgments every day.
Download or read book On Second Thought written by Kristan Higgins and published by HQN Books. This book was released on 2017-01-31 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: New York Times–Bestselling Author: “Emotional depth is seared into every page along with wry banter, bringing readers to tears and smiles.” —Library Journal (starred review) Ainsley O’Leary is so ready to get married—she’s even found the engagement ring her boyfriend has stashed away. What she doesn’t anticipate, after eleven years together during which she nursed him through cancer, is being blindsided by a breakup that he chronicles in a blog . . . which (of course) goes viral. Devastated and humiliated, Ainsley moves in with her older half sister, Kate, who’s struggling with a sudden loss of her own in upstate New York. Kate’s always been the poised, self-assured sister, but becoming a newlywed—and a widow—in the space of four months overwhelms her. Though the sisters were never close, she starts to confide in Ainsley, especially when she learns her late husband was keeping a secret from her. Despite the murky blended-family dynamic that’s always separated them, Ainsley’s and Kate’s heartaches will bind their summer together as they come to terms with the inevitable imperfection of relationships and family—and the possibility of one day finding love again . . . . “Higgins’s page-turner highlights both the complexity of family relationships and the intense power of love.” —Publishers Weekly “A captivating read about two sisters dealing with love, loss and new beginnings. What sets this book apart is how one event changes both women’s lives. Kate is refreshingly frank in her inner monologue, and Ainsley is charmingly self-aware and wry.” —RT Book Reviews, 5 stars (Top Pick) “Higgins’ complex, witty characters will seem like close friends, and readers will savor each and every page . . . [Higgins is a] women’s-fiction star.” —Booklist (starred review)
Download or read book Second Thoughts Sociology Challenges Conventional Wisdom written by Janet M. Ruane and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2011-06-07 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do birds of a feather flock together or do opposites attract? Does haste make waste or should you strike while the iron is hot? Adages like these—or conventional wisdoms—shape our social life. This Fifth Edition of Second Thoughts reviews several popular beliefs and notes how such adages cannot be taken at face value. This unique text encourages students to step back and sharpen their analytic focus with 24 essays that use social research to expose the gray areas of commonly held beliefs, revealing the complexity of social reality and sharpening students’ sociological vision.
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Niklas Asker and published by Top Shelf Productions. This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Jess is a novelist without a novel. John is a photographer running away to New York. Though it only lasts a moment, their brief encounter in Stansted Airport will transform both their lives. How do you measure the distance between satisfaction and settling? At what point does wishful thinking take on a life of its own? In 'Second thoughts,' the clean, emotional ink-work of Swedish newcomer Niklas Asker guides two characters, in two worlds, through modern city life and love. Reality and fiction overlap in this haunting, deceptive, and inspiring graphic novel about the lives we imagine for ourselves, the lives we imagine for others, and the lives we ultimately must live"--P. [4] of cove
Download or read book Second Thoughts and the Epistemological Enterprise written by Hilary Kornblith and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-03-11 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What happens when we have second thoughts about the epistemic standing of our beliefs, when we stop to check on beliefs which we have already formed or hypotheses which we have under consideration? In the essays collected in this volume, Hilary Kornblith considers this and other questions about self-knowledge and the nature of human reason. The essays draw extensively on work in social psychology to illuminate traditional epistemological issues: in contrast with traditional Cartesian approaches to these issues, Kornblith engages with empirically motivated skeptical problems, and shows how they may be constructively addressed in practical and theoretical terms. As well as bringing together ten previously published essays, the volume contains two entirely new pieces that engage with ideas of self and rational nature. Kornblith's approach lays the foundations for further development in epistemology that will benefit from advances in our understanding of human psychology.
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Janet M. Ruane and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2014-08-21 with total page 567 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Co-authored by Karen A. Cerulo, the Eastern Sociological Society’s Robin L. Williams Lecturer for 2013-2014 Do birds of a feather flock together or do opposites attract? Is honesty the best policy? Are children our most precious commodity? Is education the great equalizer? Adages like these shape our social life. This Sixth Edition of Second Thoughts reviews several popular beliefs and notes how these conventional wisdoms cannot be taken at face value, but instead require careful second thoughts. This unique text encourages students to step back and sharpen their analytic focus with 25 essays that use social research to expose the gray areas of commonly held beliefs, revealing the complexity of social reality and sharpening students’ sociological vision.
Download or read book Second Thoughts about the Second Coming written by Ronald J. Allen and published by Presbyterian Publishing Corp. This book was released on 2023-02-28 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Various ideas float around about the subject of last things, leading many Christians to conclude that they don’t know what to think about the subject. Yet at the core of the Christian doctrine of last things lies two simple and complementary hopes: that God ever and always offers hope for our individual futures and for the future of the whole world. In this helpful book, Allen and Cornwall explain how we don’t have to subscribe to sensationalist theories or sketchy interpretations to believe in Christian hope. They walk the reader through the central biblical teachings on last things and then show the ways the church has interpreted those teachings throughout the centuries. In a respectful way, the authors demonstrate that end-time beliefs centered on the Rapture came into existence only recently, and they then offer several more life-affirming, contemporary interpretations as alternatives. The book includes a study guide and web-based appendixes designed to help pastors develop both topical and lectionary-based sermon series on Christian hope.
Download or read book Ellie Andrews Has Second Thoughts written by Ruth Saberton and published by Orion. This book was released on 2011-05-12 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does a bride-to-be ever know for certain that she's chosen the right man? 'You won't put it down' CLOSER 'Ellie Andrews Has Second Thoughts is breathlessly wonderful from start to finish, with characters you'll adore and a story you won't want to end' Miranda Dickinson 'I absolutely loved Ellie. Seriously loved her, and that's what Ruth Saberton does best, she gives us a heroine to root for' CHICKLIT REVIEWS Ellie Andrews is finally getting married. Or she will be if she drinks enough champagne to pluck up the courage for her trip down the aisle. The problem is that after months spent bickering over menus and table placements, Ellie's never felt more distant from the man she's supposed to be spending the rest of her life with. As last minute nerves take hold, a night of soul-searching sees Ellie reflecting back on old flames in a bid to reassure herself she's making the right decision. There's Rupert - adoring but dull; Jay - the teenage crush; Marcus - sexy but toxic; and Xander - a true friend. But as the sun rises and the ceremony looms ever closer, Ellie is still unsure if she's doing the right thing. Then an unexpected encounter turns her world upside down. Should she take a chance? Or should she stick with the choices she's made? As Ellie makes her way to the church, only one question remains: who will be waiting for her at the altar?
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Margot Dalton and published by MIRA. This book was released on 1998 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everybody's guilty of something, and now somebody's guilty of murder.
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Jacob Ham and published by . This book was released on 2019-06-16 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In life, there are often things that we say, then instantly regret. The real damage is caused by the thoughts and opinions that we keep to ourselves. We can start to overthink and attack our own mind about what people think or how they will react. At the age of 20, I started writing a small book based on my past and ongoing experiences with facing depression, anxiety and the stigmas of having ADHD. It is a mixture of fighting myself and fighting others. This is not a novel, but at the same time, it is not a journal. It is my way of venting about getting bullied during secondary school and how I turned the negative comments from people, that tore me down into a motivational tool. Essentially becoming this thing that now lights a fire under my arse, every single day to prove them wrong. It is important for young people to know that they should not give up and never let someone destroy their dreams, no matter how loud the words of the devil on their shoulder becomes. I guess the reason I am writing this is to tell you to use your voice for good and to create change.This is all real, and it is all my story, there is a lot of conflict intertwined with the fears and insecurities about writing my first book. There is some excitement, positivity and emotion. There is a lot of reflecting on the good and bad, it is all part of a journey. This is my message to that kid in Year 9 who has nobody, it is my message to the people that I am thankful for, who continue to pick me up when I am down and are equally there when I am high. In a way, it is also for those that doubted me and sparked rumours which made me feel worthless. This is just a book filled with some things I say to get them off my chest. This is what happens when someone with ADHD actually thinks before following a random urge. On second thought it is me thinking about things from different perspectives while trying to put the puzzle together.
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Richard Down and published by . This book was released on 1872 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Divorce Busting written by Michele Weiner Davis and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 1993-02 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A step-by-step approach to making your marriage loving again.
Download or read book The 5 Second Rule written by Mel Robbins and published by Savio Republic . This book was released on 2017-02-28 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Throughout your life, you've had parents, coaches, teachers, friends, and mentors who have pushed you to be better than your excuses and bigger than your fears. What if the secret to having the confidence and courage to enrich your life and work is simply knowing how to push yourself? Using the science habits, riveting stories and surprising facts from some of the most famous moments in history, art and business, Mel Robbins will explain the power of a "push moment." Then, she'll give you one simple tool you can use to become your greatest self. It take just five seconds to use this tool, and every time you do, you'll be in great company. More than 8 million people have watched Mel's TEDx Talk, and executives inside of the world's largest brands are using the tool to increase productivity, collaboration, and engagement. In The 5 Second Rule, you'll discover it takes just five seconds to: Become confident Break the habit of procrastination and self-doubt Beat fear and uncertainty Stop worrying and feel happier Share your ideas with courage The 5 Second Rule is a simple, one-size-fits-all solution for the one problem we all face—we hold ourselves back. The secret isn't knowing what to do—it's knowing how to make yourself do it. p.p1 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 12.0px Arial}
Download or read book Shoes Outside the Door written by Michael Downing and published by Counterpoint LLC. This book was released on 2001 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A history of the people who established the first Buddhist monastery outside of Asia.
Download or read book Second Thoughts written by Marc Bungenberg and published by Cigi. This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the first international investment agreement was negotiated nearly six decades ago, developed countries have sought to protect their investors against the possible failure of host countries (usually a developing country) to respect treaty standards. The North American Free Trade Agreement and the European Energy Charter, both dating from 1994, marked the first instances of developed countries signing an agreement containing provisions for investor-state arbitration (ISA) between themselves. Since then, ISA has become a standard feature of international investment agreements, even as the chorus of protest against ISA from civil society groups (and some nations) has grown louder. Second Thoughts gathers the reflections of fourteen international investment experts, examining experiences of ISA in Canada and various parts of the world, and asking whether ISA is appropriate between developed democracies.