EBookClubs

Read Books & Download eBooks Full Online

EBookClubs

Read Books & Download eBooks Full Online

Book Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions written by Barend Abeln and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-02-13 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seasonality in economic time series can "obscure" movements of other components in a series that are operationally more important for economic and econometric analyses. In practice, one often prefers to work with seasonally adjusted data to assess the current state of the economy and its future course. This book presents a seasonal adjustment program called CAMPLET, an acronym of its tuning parameters, which consists of a simple adaptive procedure to extract the seasonal and the non-seasonal component from an observed series. Once this process is carried out, there will be no need to revise these components at a later stage when new observations become available. The authors describe the main features of CAMPLET, evaluate the outcomes of CAMPLET and X-13ARIMA-SEATS in a controlled simulation framework using a variety of data generating processes, and illustrate CAMPLET and X-13ARIMA-SEATS with three time series: US non-farm payroll employment, operational income of Ahold and real GDP in the Netherlands. Furthermore they show how CAMPLET performs under the COVID-19 crisis, and its attractiveness in dealing with daily data. This book appeals to scholars and students of econometrics and statistics, interested in the application of statistical methods for empirical economic modeling.

Book Estimating Current Trend and Growth Rates in Seasonal Time Series

Download or read book Estimating Current Trend and Growth Rates in Seasonal Time Series written by George E. P. Box and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The importance of appropriate stochastic models in choosing efficient methods of statistical analysis is discussed. The fitting to data of Seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average models is described and it is shown how trend may be estimated in an appropriate class of models of this kind. The procedure is illustrated for a model fitted to a money supply series published by the Federal Reserve Board. Error limits are calculated. In a series of appendices the properties of the adaptive coefficients which determine the trend estimates are derived. (Author).

Book The Foundations of Econometrics

Download or read book The Foundations of Econometrics written by Swamy. P. A. V. B. and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Seasonal Adjustment as a Practical Problem

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment as a Practical Problem written by F. A. G. den Butter and published by North Holland. This book was released on 1991 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presented in this book is the theory and the practice of seasonal adjustment of economic series from the viewpoint of economic policy design. The book offers the economist and practical statistician the opportunity to acquire new and important analytical insights as well as practical tools. Moreover, it discusses the historical development of the practice of seasonal adjustment as applied for policy analysis with Persons in the early twenties, via Zaycoff and Mendershausen in the thirties, through present day modelling with the aid of Kalman filters. Each method treated is empirically illustrated while a comparative analysis is made to assess the appropriateness of the various methods.

Book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend Cycle Estimation

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend Cycle Estimation written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-20 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.

Book Seasonal Adjustment of Daily Time Series

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment of Daily Time Series written by Daniel Ollech and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Economic Indicators

Download or read book Economic Indicators written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Report to Federal Statistical Agencies

Download or read book Report to Federal Statistical Agencies written by United States. Office of Management and Budget. Statistical Policy Division and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Supplement to Economic Indicators

Download or read book Supplement to Economic Indicators written by and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Survey of Current Business

Download or read book Survey of Current Business written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 562 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: