Download or read book Patterns of Scalable Bayesian Inference written by Elaine Angelino and published by . This book was released on 2016-11-17 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Identifies unifying principles, patterns, and intuitions for scaling Bayesian inference. Reviews existing work on utilizing modern computing resources with both MCMC and variational approximation techniques. From this taxonomy of ideas, it characterizes the general principles that have proven successful for designing scalable inference procedures.

Download or read book Scaling Bayesian Inference written by Jonathan Hunter Huggins and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian statistical modeling and inference allow scientists, engineers, and companies to learn from data while incorporating prior knowledge, sharing power across experiments via hierarchical models, quantifying their uncertainty about what they have learned, and making predictions about an uncertain future. While Bayesian inference is conceptually straightforward, in practice calculating expectations with respect to the posterior can rarely be done in closed form. Hence, users of Bayesian models must turn to approximate inference methods. But modern statistical applications create many challenges: the latent parameter is often high-dimensional, the models can be complex, and there are large amounts of data that may only be available as a stream or distributed across many computers. Existing algorithm have so far remained unsatisfactory because they either (1) fail to scale to large data sets, (2) provide limited approximation quality, or (3) fail to provide guarantees on the quality of inference. To simultaneously overcome these three possible limitations, I leverage the critical insight that in the large-scale setting, much of the data is redundant. Therefore, it is possible to compress data into a form that admits more efficient inference. I develop two approaches to compressing data for improved scalability. The first is to construct a coreset: a small, weighted subset of our data that is representative of the complete dataset. The second, which I call PASS-GLM, is to construct an exponential family model that approximates the original model. The data is compressed by calculating the finite-dimensional sufficient statistics of the data under the exponential family. An advantage of the compression approach to approximate inference is that an approximate likelihood substitutes for the original likelihood. I show how such approximate likelihoods lend them themselves to a priori analysis and develop general tools for proving when an approximate likelihood will lead to a high-quality approximate posterior. I apply these tools to obtain a priori guarantees on the approximate posteriors produced by PASS-GLM. Finally, for cases when users must rely on algorithms that do not have a priori accuracy guarantees, I develop a method for comparing the quality of the inferences produced by competing algorithms. The method comes equipped with provable guarantees while also being computationally efficient.

Download or read book Large Scale Inference written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-11-29 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in a new age for statistical inference, where modern scientific technology such as microarrays and fMRI machines routinely produce thousands and sometimes millions of parallel data sets, each with its own estimation or testing problem. Doing thousands of problems at once is more than repeated application of classical methods. Taking an empirical Bayes approach, Bradley Efron, inventor of the bootstrap, shows how information accrues across problems in a way that combines Bayesian and frequentist ideas. Estimation, testing and prediction blend in this framework, producing opportunities for new methodologies of increased power. New difficulties also arise, easily leading to flawed inferences. This book takes a careful look at both the promise and pitfalls of large-scale statistical inference, with particular attention to false discovery rates, the most successful of the new statistical techniques. Emphasis is on the inferential ideas underlying technical developments, illustrated using a large number of real examples.

Download or read book Bayesian inference with INLA written by Virgilio Gomez-Rubio and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-02-20 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) is a recent computational method that can fit Bayesian models in a fraction of the time required by typical Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. INLA focuses on marginal inference on the model parameters of latent Gaussian Markov random fields models and exploits conditional independence properties in the model for computational speed. Bayesian Inference with INLA provides a description of INLA and its associated R package for model fitting. This book describes the underlying methodology as well as how to fit a wide range of models with R. Topics covered include generalized linear mixed-effects models, multilevel models, spatial and spatio-temporal models, smoothing methods, survival analysis, imputation of missing values, and mixture models. Advanced features of the INLA package and how to extend the number of priors and latent models available in the package are discussed. All examples in the book are fully reproducible and datasets and R code are available from the book website. This book will be helpful to researchers from different areas with some background in Bayesian inference that want to apply the INLA method in their work. The examples cover topics on biostatistics, econometrics, education, environmental science, epidemiology, public health, and the social sciences.

Download or read book Scalable and Efficient Probabilistic Topic Model Inference for Textual Data written by Måns Magnusson and published by Linköping University Electronic Press. This book was released on 2018-04-27 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic topic models have proven to be an extremely versatile class of mixed-membership models for discovering the thematic structure of text collections. There are many possible applications, covering a broad range of areas of study: technology, natural science, social science and the humanities. In this thesis, a new efficient parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo inference algorithm is proposed for Bayesian inference in large topic models. The proposed methods scale well with the corpus size and can be used for other probabilistic topic models and other natural language processing applications. The proposed methods are fast, efficient, scalable, and will converge to the true posterior distribution. In addition, in this thesis a supervised topic model for high-dimensional text classification is also proposed, with emphasis on interpretable document prediction using the horseshoe shrinkage prior in supervised topic models. Finally, we develop a model and inference algorithm that can model agenda and framing of political speeches over time with a priori defined topics. We apply the approach to analyze the evolution of immigration discourse in the Swedish parliament by combining theory from political science and communication science with a probabilistic topic model. Probabilistiska ämnesmodeller (topic models) är en mångsidig klass av modeller för att estimera ämnessammansättningar i större corpusar. Applikationer finns i ett flertal vetenskapsområden som teknik, naturvetenskap, samhällsvetenskap och humaniora. I denna avhandling föreslås nya effektiva och parallella Markov Chain Monte Carlo algoritmer för Bayesianska ämnesmodeller. De föreslagna metoderna skalar väl med storleken på corpuset och kan användas för flera olika ämnesmodeller och liknande modeller inom språkteknologi. De föreslagna metoderna är snabba, effektiva, skalbara och konvergerar till den sanna posteriorfördelningen. Dessutom föreslås en ämnesmodell för högdimensionell textklassificering, med tonvikt på tolkningsbar dokumentklassificering genom att använda en kraftigt regulariserande priorifördelningar. Slutligen utvecklas en ämnesmodell för att analyzera "agenda" och "framing" för ett förutbestämt ämne. Med denna metod analyserar vi invandringsdiskursen i Sveriges Riksdag över tid, genom att kombinera teori från statsvetenskap, kommunikationsvetenskap och probabilistiska ämnesmodeller.

Download or read book Large Scale Variational Bayesian Inference with Applications to Image Deblurring written by Brian Jonathan Verbaken and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Bayesian Inference for Structured Additive Regression Models for Large scale Problems with Applications to Medical Imaging written by Paul Schmidt and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis written by George E. P. Box and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-01-25 with total page 610 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Its main objective is to examine the application and relevance of Bayes' theorem to problems that arise in scientific investigation in which inferences must be made regarding parameter values about which little is known a priori. Begins with a discussion of some important general aspects of the Bayesian approach such as the choice of prior distribution, particularly noninformative prior distribution, the problem of nuisance parameters and the role of sufficient statistics, followed by many standard problems concerned with the comparison of location and scale parameters. The main thrust is an investigation of questions with appropriate analysis of mathematical results which are illustrated with numerical examples, providing evidence of the value of the Bayesian approach.

Download or read book Bayesian Inference on Complicated Data written by Niansheng Tang and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2020-07-15 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Due to great applications in various fields, such as social science, biomedicine, genomics, and signal processing, and the improvement of computing ability, Bayesian inference has made substantial developments for analyzing complicated data. This book introduces key ideas of Bayesian sampling methods, Bayesian estimation, and selection of the prior. It is structured around topics on the impact of the choice of the prior on Bayesian statistics, some advances on Bayesian sampling methods, and Bayesian inference for complicated data including breast cancer data, cloud-based healthcare data, gene network data, and longitudinal data. This volume is designed for statisticians, engineers, doctors, and machine learning researchers.

Download or read book Robust Bayesian Inference on Scale Parameters written by Carmen Fernández and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Bayesian Regression Modeling with INLA written by Xiaofeng Wang and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-01-29 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INLA stands for Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations, which is a new method for fitting a broad class of Bayesian regression models. No samples of the posterior marginal distributions need to be drawn using INLA, so it is a computationally convenient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), the standard tool for Bayesian inference. Bayesian Regression Modeling with INLA covers a wide range of modern regression models and focuses on the INLA technique for building Bayesian models using real-world data and assessing their validity. A key theme throughout the book is that it makes sense to demonstrate the interplay of theory and practice with reproducible studies. Complete R commands are provided for each example, and a supporting website holds all of the data described in the book. An R package including the data and additional functions in the book is available to download. The book is aimed at readers who have a basic knowledge of statistical theory and Bayesian methodology. It gets readers up to date on the latest in Bayesian inference using INLA and prepares them for sophisticated, real-world work. Xiaofeng Wang is Professor of Medicine and Biostatistics at the Cleveland Clinic Lerner College of Medicine of Case Western Reserve University and a Full Staff in the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences at Cleveland Clinic. Yu Ryan Yue is Associate Professor of Statistics in the Paul H. Chook Department of Information Systems and Statistics at Baruch College, The City University of New York. Julian J. Faraway is Professor of Statistics in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at the University of Bath.

Download or read book Uniform Scale Mixture Models with Applications to Bayesian Inference written by Zhaohui Zin and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Advances in Bayesian Inference and Stable Optimization for Large scale Machine Learning Problems written by Francois Johannes Fagan and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Chapter 5 we propose two such methods for softmax regression. The first is an implementation of Implicit SGD (ISGD), a stable but difficult to implement SGD method, and the second is a new SGD method specifically designed for optimizing a double-sum formulation of the softmax. Both methods comprehensively outperform the previous state-of-the-art on seven real world datasets. Inspired by the success of ISGD on the softmax, we investigate its application to neural networks in Chapter 6. In this chapter we present a novel layer-wise approximation of ISGD that has efficiently computable updates. Experiments show that the resulting method is more robust to high learning rates and generally outperforms standard backpropagation on a variety of tasks.

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Wavelet Based Models written by Peter Müller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents an overview of Bayesian methods for inference in the wavelet domain. The papers in this volume are divided into six parts: The first two papers introduce basic concepts. Chapters in Part II explore different approaches to prior modeling, using independent priors. Papers in the Part III discuss decision theoretic aspects of such prior models. In Part IV, some aspects of prior modeling using priors that account for dependence are explored. Part V considers the use of 2-dimensional wavelet decomposition in spatial modeling. Chapters in Part VI discuss the use of empirical Bayes estimation in wavelet based models. Part VII concludes the volume with a discussion of case studies using wavelet based Bayesian approaches. The cooperation of all contributors in the timely preparation of their manuscripts is greatly recognized. We decided early on that it was impor tant to referee and critically evaluate the papers which were submitted for inclusion in this volume. For this substantial task, we relied on the service of numerous referees to whom we are most indebted. We are also grateful to John Kimmel and the Springer-Verlag referees for considering our proposal in a very timely manner. Our special thanks go to our spouses, Gautami and Draga, for their support.

Download or read book Applied Multivariate Analysis written by S. James Press and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2012-09-05 with total page 706 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Geared toward upper-level undergraduates and graduate students, this two-part treatment deals with the foundations of multivariate analysis as well as related models and applications. Starting with a look at practical elements of matrix theory, the text proceeds to discussions of continuous multivariate distributions, the normal distribution, and Bayesian inference; multivariate large sample distributions and approximations; the Wishart and other continuous multivariate distributions; and basic multivariate statistics in the normal distribution. The second half of the text moves from defining the basics to explaining models. Topics include regression and the analysis of variance; principal components; factor analysis and latent structure analysis; canonical correlations; stable portfolio analysis; classifications and discrimination models; control in the multivariate linear model; and structuring multivariate populations, with particular focus on multidimensional scaling and clustering. In addition to its value to professional statisticians, this volume may also prove helpful to teachers and researchers in those areas of behavioral and social sciences where multivariate statistics is heavily applied. This new edition features an appendix of answers to the exercises.

Download or read book Multiscale Modeling written by Marco A.R. Ferreira and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-07-27 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This highly useful book contains methodology for the analysis of data that arise from multiscale processes. It brings together a number of recent developments and makes them accessible to a wider audience. Taking a Bayesian approach allows for full accounting of uncertainty, and also addresses the delicate issue of uncertainty at multiple scales. These methods can handle different amounts of prior knowledge at different scales, as often occurs in practice.