Download or read book Ruin Probabilities 2nd Edition written by Soren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010-09-09 with total page 621 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramér-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber-Shiu functions and dependence.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by S?ren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 621 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramr?Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber?Shiu functions and dependence.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities 2nd Edition written by Soren Asmussen and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2010-09-14 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramér-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber-Shiu functions and dependence.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by Yuliya Mishura and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-08 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ruin Probabilities: Smoothness, Bounds, Supermartingale Approach deals with continuous-time risk models and covers several aspects of risk theory. The first of them is the smoothness of the survival probabilities. In particular, the book provides a detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities for different risk models. Next, it gives some possible applications of the results concerning the smoothness of the survival probabilities. Additionally, the book introduces the supermartingale approach, which generalizes the martingale one introduced by Gerber, to get upper exponential bounds for the infinite-horizon ruin probabilities in some generalizations of the classical risk model with risky investments. - Provides new original results - Detailed investigation of the continuity and differentiability of the infinite-horizon and finite-horizon survival probabilities, as well as possible applications of these results - An excellent supplement to current textbooks and monographs in risk theory - Contains a comprehensive list of useful references
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by Soren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2000-07-24 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is a comprehensive treatment of classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramér-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (eg. for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation or periodicity. Special features of the book are the emphasis on change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas like queueing theory.
Download or read book Ruin Probabilities written by S?ren Asmussen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2000 with total page 399 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The text is a treatment of classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramer-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (for example, for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation or periodicity. Special features of the book are the emphasis on change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas like queueing theory.
Download or read book Aspects of Risk Theory written by Jan Grandell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk theory, which deals with stochastic models of an insurance business, is a classical application of probability theory. The fundamental problem in risk theory is to investigate the ruin possibility of the risk business. Traditionally the occurrence of the claims is described by a Poisson process and the cost of the claims by a sequence of random variables. This book is a treatise of risk theory with emphasis on models where the occurrence of the claims is described by more general point processes than the Poisson process, such as renewal processes, Cox processes and general stationary point processes. In the Cox case the possibility of risk fluctuation is explicitly taken into account. The presentation is based on modern probabilistic methods rather than on analytic methods. The theory is accompanied with discussions on practical evaluation of ruin probabilities and statistical estimation. Many numerical illustrations of the results are given.
Download or read book Issues in Logic Probability Combinatorics and Chaos Theory 2013 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2013-05-01 with total page 1039 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in Logic, Probability, Combinatorics, and Chaos Theory: 2013 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ book that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Approximation Theory. The editors have built Issues in Logic, Probability, Combinatorics, and Chaos Theory: 2013 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Approximation Theory in this book to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Logic, Probability, Combinatorics, and Chaos Theory: 2013 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.
Download or read book Non Life Insurance Linked Securities Risk and Pricing Analysis written by Thomas Nowak and published by VVW GmbH. This book was released on 2014-09-25 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unter Insurance-Linked Securities (ILS) versteht man innovative Finanzprodukte, welche Versicherungsrisiken aus den eng abgegrenzten Märkten der Erst- und Rückversicherungswirtschaft herauslösen und mittels Verbriefung auf Kapitalmärkten handelbar machen. Durch ILS erhalten Investoren die Möglichkeit, für die Bereitstellung von Deckungskapital in Versicherungsrisiken zu investieren und im Gegenzug eine Versicherungsprämie zu erhalten. Hierbei verfolgt das Werk zwei Ziele. Zum Einen, die Durchführung einer genauen Analyse der zugrunde liegenden Zahlungsströme, der beworbenen Eigenschaften und jener Risiken, welche mit einer Investition in ILS verbunden sind. Zum Anderen, die Überprüfung der Anwendbarkeit und Passgenauigkeit vorgeschlagener versicherungsmathematischer und marktorientierter Bewertungsverfahren für ILS sowie die Unterbreitung möglicher Vorschläge für Bewertungsverfahren. Da ILS regelmäßig dazu verwendet werden Extremrisiken zu verbriefen, werden beide Untersuchungen unter expliziter Berücksichtigung der statistischen Eigenschaften von Extremrisiken durchgeführt. Im Ergebnis lässt sich festhalten, dass ILS Investitionen mit eigenen Spezifika darstellen. Investoren sollten diese kennen und berücksichtigen. Dies gilt gerade vor dem Hintergrund der stetig steigenden Zahl von ILS, welche insbesondere in den Zeiten der Niedrigzinsphase als attraktives Investment gesehen werden. Das Buch richtet sich an Investoren und Interessierte, die sich über ILS als Investitionen und deren Bewertung informieren möchten.
Download or read book Will You Be Alive 10 Years from Now written by Paul J. Nahin and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of stimulating probability puzzles from bestselling math writer Paul Nahin What are the chances of a game-show contestant finding a chicken in a box? Is the Hanukkah dreidel a fair game? Will you be alive ten years from now? These are just some of the one-of-a-kind probability puzzles that acclaimed popular math writer Paul Nahin offers in this lively and informative book. Nahin brings probability to life with colorful and amusing historical anecdotes as well as an electrifying approach to solving puzzles that illustrates many of the techniques that mathematicians and scientists use to grapple with probability. He looks at classic puzzles from the past--from Galileo's dice-tossing problem to a disarming dice puzzle that would have astonished even Newton—and also includes a dozen challenge problems for you to tackle yourself, with complete solutions provided in the back of the book. Nahin then presents twenty-five unusual probability puzzlers that you aren't likely to find anywhere else, and which range in difficulty from ones that are easy but clever to others that are technically intricate. Each problem is accompanied by an entertaining discussion of its background and solution, and is backed up by theory and computer simulations whenever possible in order to show how theory and computer experimentation can often work together on probability questions. All the MATLAB® Monte Carlo simulation codes needed to solve the problems computationally are included in the book. With his characteristic wit, audacity, and insight, Nahin demonstrates why seemingly simple probability problems can stump even the experts.
Download or read book Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values written by Rolf-Dieter Reiss and published by Birkhäuser. This book was released on 2013-10-14 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The statistical analysis of extreme data is important for various disciplines, including hydrology, insurance, finance, engineering and environmental sciences. This book provides a self-contained introduction to the parametric modeling, exploratory analysis and statistical interference for extreme values. The entire text of this third edition has been thoroughly updated and rearranged to meet the new requirements. Additional sections and chapters, elaborated on more than 100 pages, are particularly concerned with topics like dependencies, the conditional analysis and the multivariate modeling of extreme data. Parts I–III about the basic extreme value methodology remain unchanged to some larger extent, yet notable are, e.g., the new sections about "An Overview of Reduced-Bias Estimation" (co-authored by M.I. Gomes), "The Spectral Decomposition Methodology", and "About Tail Independence" (co-authored by M. Frick), and the new chapter about "Extreme Value Statistics of Dependent Random Variables" (co-authored by H. Drees). Other new topics, e.g., a chapter about "Environmental Sciences", (co--authored by R.W. Katz), are collected within Parts IV–VI.
Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.
Download or read book A First Course in Stochastic Models written by Henk C. Tijms and published by John Wiley and Sons. This book was released on 2003-07-22 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of applied probability has changed profoundly in the past twenty years. The development of computational methods has greatly contributed to a better understanding of the theory. A First Course in Stochastic Models provides a self-contained introduction to the theory and applications of stochastic models. Emphasis is placed on establishing the theoretical foundations of the subject, thereby providing a framework in which the applications can be understood. Without this solid basis in theory no applications can be solved. Provides an introduction to the use of stochastic models through an integrated presentation of theory, algorithms and applications. Incorporates recent developments in computational probability. Includes a wide range of examples that illustrate the models and make the methods of solution clear. Features an abundance of motivating exercises that help the student learn how to apply the theory. Accessible to anyone with a basic knowledge of probability. A First Course in Stochastic Models is suitable for senior undergraduate and graduate students from computer science, engineering, statistics, operations resear ch, and any other discipline where stochastic modelling takes place. It stands out amongst other textbooks on the subject because of its integrated presentation of theory, algorithms and applications.
Download or read book Semi Markov Risk Models for Finance Insurance and Reliability written by Jacques Janssen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-15 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everyone working in related fields from applied mathematicians to statisticians to actuaries and operations researchers will find this a brilliantly useful practical text. The book presents applications of semi-Markov processes in finance, insurance and reliability, using real-life problems as examples. After a presentation of the main probabilistic tools necessary for understanding of the book, the authors show how to apply semi-Markov processes in finance, starting from the axiomatic definition and continuing eventually to the most advanced financial tools.
Download or read book Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes written by Frank Beichelt and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 562 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition presents a self-contained introduction to elementary probability theory and stochastic processes with a special emphasis on their applications in science, engineering, finance, computer science, and operations research. It covers the theoretical foundations for modeling time-dependent random phenomena in these areas and illustrates applications through the analysis of numerous practical examples. The author draws on his 50 years of experience in the field to give your students a better understanding of probability theory and stochastic processes and enable them to use stochastic modeling in their work. New to the Second Edition Completely rewritten part on probability theory—now more than double in size New sections on time series analysis, random walks, branching processes, and spectral analysis of stationary stochastic processes Comprehensive numerical discussions of examples, which replace the more theoretically challenging sections Additional examples, exercises, and figures Presenting the material in a student-friendly, application-oriented manner, this non-measure theoretic text only assumes a mathematical maturity that applied science students acquire during their undergraduate studies in mathematics. Many exercises allow students to assess their understanding of the topics. In addition, the book occasionally describes connections between probabilistic concepts and corresponding statistical approaches to facilitate comprehension. Some important proofs and challenging examples and exercises are also included for more theoretically interested readers.
Download or read book The Theory of Probability written by Santosh S. Venkatesh and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 830 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From classical foundations to modern theory, this comprehensive guide to probability interweaves mathematical proofs, historical context and detailed illustrative applications.
Download or read book Modern Actuarial Risk Theory written by Rob Kaas and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-17 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern Actuarial Risk Theory contains what every actuary needs to know about non-life insurance mathematics. It starts with the standard material like utility theory, individual and collective model and basic ruin theory. Other topics are risk measures and premium principles, bonus-malus systems, ordering of risks and credibility theory. It also contains some chapters about Generalized Linear Models, applied to rating and IBNR problems. As to the level of the mathematics, the book would fit in a bachelors or masters program in quantitative economics or mathematical statistics. This second and much expanded edition emphasizes the implementation of these techniques through the use of R. This free but incredibly powerful software is rapidly developing into the de facto standard for statistical computation, not just in academic circles but also in practice. With R, one can do simulations, find maximum likelihood estimators, compute distributions by inverting transforms, and much more.
