Download or read book Real Time Distribution of Stochastic Discount Factors written by Fousseni Chabi-Yo and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I use option prices to infer real-time moments of stochastic discount factors (SDFs). The moments are estimated, from daily SP 500 index option data, in real time, without relying on past observations. These moments are forward-looking and significantly predict the market excess return. The theory suggests that the SDF variance (kurtosis) is positively priced while the SDF skewness is negatively priced in the cross section of returns. A cross-sectional analysis shows that the price of risks associated with the moments of the SDF are economically and statistically significant after controlling for a comprehensible set of economic variables.
Download or read book Asset Pricing written by John H. Cochrane and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-11 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.
Download or read book Bounds on the Autocorrelation of Admissible Stochastic Discount Factors written by Stéphane Chrétien and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show how to use asset market data to restrict the admissible region for the first-order autocorrelation of the stochastic discount factor (SDF). We interpret this statistic as a measure of a model's economic time variation across two periods. Estimating bounds for nominal and real SDFs at monthly and quarterly frequencies, we find that the admissible autocorrelations are significantly negative, but greater than -0.02, implying that the bounds impose a strong restriction on candidate SDFs. We illustrate the relevancy of these findings by showing that some widely used consumption-based models are misspecified with respect to the autocorrelation bound. Finally, we examine the implications of our results for the admissibility of linear factor models and the appropriateness of empirical pricing factors.
Download or read book Modern Energy Markets written by Maria Kopsakangas-Savolainen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-04-02 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Energy has moved to the forefront in terms of societal and economic development. Modern Energy Markets is a comprehensive, economically oriented, exploration of modern electricity networks from production and distribution to deregulation and liberalization processes. Updating previous work by the authors, different aspects are considered resulting in a complete and detailed picture of the systems and characteristics of modern electricity markets. Modern Energy Markets provides clear detail whilst encompassing a broad scope of topics and includes: •A method to model energy production systems including the main characteristics of future demand side management, •Different applications of this model in nuclear and renewable energy scenarios, •An analysis of Real-Time Pricing of electricity and its potential effects across the market, and, •A discussion of the need for regulation in an easily monopolized industry. Engineering and Economics students alike will find that Modern Energy Markets is a succinct and informative resource, as will researchers interested in environmental and energy issues. The inclusion of timely and relevant issues related to economic decision will also be of value to industry and civil officials.
Download or read book Naval Research Logistics Quarterly written by and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 1180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Economics written by Chris Jones and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2008-01-24 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides an excellent introduction to the basic classical finance model where financial assests are a veil over the real economy.
Download or read book Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance written by Masaaki Kijima and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2002-07-29 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, modeling financial uncertainty using stochastic processes has become increasingly important, but it is commonly perceived as requiring a deep mathematical background. Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance shows that this is not necessarily so. It presents the theory of discrete stochastic processes and their applications in finance in an accessible treatment that strikes a balance between the abstract and the practical. Using an approach that views sophisticated stochastic calculus as based on a simple class of discrete processes-"random walks"-the author first provides an elementary introduction to the relevant areas of real analysis and probability. He then uses random walks to explain the change of measure formula, the reflection principle, and the Kolmogorov backward equation. The Black-Scholes formula is derived as a limit of binomial model, and applications to the pricing of derivative securities are presented. Another primary focus of the book is the pricing of corporate bonds and credit derivatives, which the author explains in terms of discrete default models. By presenting important results in discrete processes and showing how to transfer those results to their continuous counterparts, Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance imparts an intuitive and practical understanding of the subject. This unique treatment is ideal both as a text for a graduate-level class and as a reference for researchers and practitioners in financial engineering, operations research, and mathematical and statistical finance.
Download or read book Measuring Time varying Economic Fears with Consumption based Stochastic Discount Factors written by Belén Nieto and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Download or read book New Frontiers in Economics written by Michael Szenberg and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-09-06 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading economists analyze the new directions that subdisciplines of economics have taken in the face of modern economic challenges. These essays represent invention and discovery in the areas of information, macroeconomics and public policies, international trade and development, finance, business, contracts, law, gaming, and government, as these areas of study evolve through the different phases of the scientific process. They offer a wealth of factual information on the current state of the economy. Theoretical and empirical innovations conceptualize reality and values in different ways from their predecessors. Together the essays offer the reader a balanced look at the various fields, approaches, and dimensions that comprise future directions in economic theory, research, and practice. The extensive introduction by the editors not only summarizes and reviews the implications of the contributions presented in the volume, but also examines how scientific progress takes place, with special reference to economics and finance.
Download or read book Real Options Analysis Course written by Johnathan Mun and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-04-15 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Real Options Analysis Course "Dr. Mun's latest book is a logical extension of the theory and application presented in Real Options Analysis. More specifically, the Real Options Analysis Course presents numerous real options examples and provides the reader with step-by-step problem-solving techniques. After having read the book, readers will better understand the underlying theory and the opportunities for applying real option theory in corporate decision-making." -Chris D. Treharne, President, Gibraltar Business Appraisals, Inc. "This text provides an excellent follow up to Dr. Mun's first book, Real Options Analysis. The cases in Real Options Analysis Course provide numerous examples of how the use of real options and the Real Options Analysis Toolkit software can assist in the valuation of strategic and managerial flexibility in a variety of arenas." -Charles T. Hardy, PhD, Chief Financial Officer & Director of Business Development, Panorama Research, Inc. "Most of us come to real options from the perspective of our own areas of expertise. Mun's great skill with this book is in making real options analysis understandable, relevant, and immediately applicable to the field within which you are working." -Robert Fourt, Partner, Gerald Eve (UK) "Mun provides a practical step-by-step guide to applying simulation and real options analysis-invaluable to those of us who are no longer satisfied with conventional valuation approaches alone." -Fred Kohli, Head of Portfolio Management, Syngenta Crop Protection Ltd. (Switzerland)
Download or read book Managerial Planning written by Charles S. Tapiero and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-17 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1977. Management is a dynamic process reflected in three essential functions: management of time, change and people. The book provides a bridging gap between quantitative theories imbedded in the systems approach and managerial decision-making over time and under risk. The conventional wisdom that management is a dynamic process is rendered operational. This title will be of interest to students of business studies and management.
Download or read book Macroeconomic Analysis written by Dirk Niepelt and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-12-31 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A concise but rigorous and thorough introduction to modern macroeconomic theory. This book offers an introduction to modern macroeconomic theory. It is concise but rigorous and broad, covering all major areas in mainstream macroeconomics today and showing how macroeconomic models build on and relate to each other. The self-contained text begins with models of individual decision makers, proceeds to models of general equilibrium without and with friction, and, finally, presents positive and normative theories of economic policy. After a review of the microeconomic foundations of macroeconomics, the book analyzes the household optimization problem, the representative household model, and the overlapping generations model. It examines risk and the implications for household choices and macroeconomic outcomes; equilibrium asset returns, prices, and bubbles; labor supply, growth, and business cycles; and open economy issues. It introduces frictions and analyzes their consequences in the labor market, financial markets, and for investment; studies money as a unit of account, store of value, and medium of exchange; and analyzes price setting in general equilibrium. Turning to government and economic policy, the book covers taxation, debt, social security, and monetary policy; optimal fiscal and monetary policies; and sequential policy choice, with applications in capital income taxation, sovereign debt and default, politically motivated redistribution, and monetary policy biases. Macroeconomic Analysis can be used by first-year graduate students in economics and students in master's programs, and as a supplemental text for advanced courses.
Download or read book Pricing Derivative Securities written by Eliezer Z. Prisman and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2000-09-14 with total page 788 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CD-ROM contains: MAPLE student version 5.0; online version of text; MATLAB GUI; IDEAL software (embedded in online text).
Download or read book Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty written by Svetlana Boyarchenko and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-08-26 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems. The monograph will teach the reader to apply the technique to many problems in economics and finance, including new ones. From the technical point of view, the method can be characterized as option pricing via the Wiener-Hopf factorization.
Download or read book Stochastic Discount Factors SDFs and the Equity Premium Puzzle Under a Power Utility Specification written by German Forero Laverde and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article analyses the stochastic discount factor (SDF) both from the equilibrium perspective, where it appears as a marginal rate of substitution, and from the arbitrage perspective, where it appears as the Radon - Nikodym derivative which allows for a change in the probability measurable space. Its study entails the use of a power utility function, deriving the marginal rate of substitution and the application of the model to Colombian time series. As a result, we confirm the existence of the equity premium puzzle.
Download or read book The Stochastic Discount Factor and the Generalized Method of Moments written by Eni Koci and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: The fundamental theorem of asset pricing in finance states that the price of any asset is its expected discounted payoff. Ideally, the payoff is discounted by a factor, which depends on parameters present in the market, and it should be unique, in the sense that financial derivatives should be able to be priced using the same discount factor. In theory, risk neutral valuation implies the existence of a positive random variable, which is called the stochastic discount factor and is used to discount the payoffs of any asset. Apart from asset pricing another use of stochastic discount factor is to evaluate the performance of the of hedge fund managers. Among many methods used to evaluate the stochastic discount factor, generalized method of moments has become very popular. In this paper we will see how generalized method of moments is used to evaluate the stochastic discount factor on linear models and the calculation of stochastic discount factor using generalized method of moments for the popular model in finance CAPM.
