Download or read book How to Decide written by Annie Duke and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2020-10-13 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut. What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive? Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn: • To identify and dismantle hidden biases. • To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek. • To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions. • When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance. • To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values. Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.

Download or read book Tools for Decision Making written by David N. Ammons and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2008-10-17 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Known for encouraging step-by-step problem solving and for connecting techniques to real-world scenarios, David Ammons’ Tools for Decision Making covers a wide range of local government practices—from the foundational to the advanced. Brief and readable, each chapter opens with a problem in a hypothetical city and then introduces a tool to address it. Thoroughly updated with new local government examples, the second edition also incorporates chapters devoted to such additional techniques as sampling analysis, sensitivity analysis, financial condition analysis, and forecasting via trend analysis. Numerous tables, figures, exhibits, equations, and worksheets walk readers through the application of tools, and boxed features throughout each chapter present other uses for techniques, helpful online resources, and common errors. A handy guide for students and an invaluable resource and reference for practitioners.

Download or read book Decision Making and Problem Solving in Management written by Robert H. Vaughn and published by Ingram. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision making and problem solving play an important part of everyone¿s business and personal life. This book has been written with an intentionally practical focus to help you carry out these tasks in a logical and orderly fashion. Supervisors and small businessmanagers, as well as students can this book begins with the conceptual structures by which decisions are made and problems are solved. The last four chapters provide over two dozen easy to use tools with specific, step-by-step directions and examples. It will become a well used addition to your desktop reference library. Though you will run across many versions of these tools in MBA programs, this book relegates all of the complex statistical formulae to an appendix, where they can be referenced when needed. With its light touch and easy-to-follow style, this book can be used for introductory programs on decision making and problem solving, as a supplement to a more general supervision or principles of management course, or simply as a reference for the practicing manager.

Download or read book Decide Deliver written by Marcia W. Blenko and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: -Identify your critical decisions. Focus on those that matter most to your company's performance. --

Download or read book Decision Trees for Decision Making written by John F. Magee and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Progressive Decision Making Tools and Applications in Project and Operation Management written by Mohammad Yazdi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book HBR s 10 Must Reads on Making Smart Decisions with featured article Before You Make That Big Decision by Daniel Kahneman Dan Lovallo and Olivier Sibony written by Harvard Business Review and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2013-03-05 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn why bad decisions happen to good managers—and how to make better ones. If you read nothing else on decision making, read these 10 articles. We’ve combed through hundreds of articles in the Harvard Business Review archive and selected the most important ones to help you and your organization make better choices and avoid common traps. Leading experts such as Ram Charan, Michael Mankins, and Thomas Davenport provide the insights and advice you need to: Make bold decisions that challenge the status quo Support your decisions with diverse data Evaluate risks and benefits with equal rigor Check for faulty cause-and-effect reasoning Test your decisions with experiments Foster and address constructive criticism Defeat indecisiveness with clear accountability

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Decision Making and Decision Support Technologies written by Adam, Frederic and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 1019 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As effective organizational decision making is a major factor in a company's success, a comprehensive account of current available research on the core concepts of the decision support agenda is in high demand by academicians and professionals. Through 110 authoritative contributions by over 160 of the world's leading experts the Encyclopedia of Decision Making and Decision Support Technologies presents a critical mass of research on the most up-to-date research on human and computer support of managerial decision making, including discussion on support of operational, tactical, and strategic decisions, human vs. computer system support structure, individual and group decision making, and multi-criteria decision making.

Download or read book Holistic Management written by Allan Savory and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 652 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Increasingly sophisticated technology and an ever-expand-ing base of knowledge have not been enough to allow humans to halt the worldwide progression of environmental degradation. Extensive fieldwork in both Africa and the United States convinced Allan Savory that neither the forces of nature nor commonly blamed culprits -- overpopulation, poor farming practices, lack of financial support -- were causing the decline of once-healthy ecosystems. He also noted that once land has become degraded, leaving it alone seldom helps revitalize it. Savory eventually came to realize that on the most fundamental level, environmental problems are caused by human management decisions, and only through wholesale changes in the way decisions are made can functioning ecosystems be restored. In response to that startling discovery, Savory began to develop a revolutionary new approach to decision-making and management. Known initially as Holistic Resource Management, and now as simply Holistic Management, it considers humans, their economies, and the environment as inseparable. It includes a common-sense decision-making framework that requires no specialized knowledge or elaborate technology to utilize, and is applicable in any environment or management situation. At the heart of the approach lies a simple testing process that enables people to make decisions that simultaneously consider economic, social, and environmental realities, both short- and long-term.Holistic Management is a newly revised and updated edition of Holistic Resource Management (Island Press, 1988), which was the first book-length treatment of Savory's decision-making framework and how it could be applied. A decade of trial-and-error implementation has strengthened and clarified the book's ideas, and has expanded the scope of the process to include all manner of decisions and management situations, not just those that relate to land and resource management.Holistic Management has been practiced by thousands of people around the world to profitably restore and promote the health of their land through practices that mimic nature, and by many others who have sought a more rewarding personal or family life. This book is an essential handbook for anyone involved with land management and stewardship -- ranchers, farmers, resource managers, and others -- and a valuable guide for all those seeking to make better decisions within their organizations or in any aspect of their personal lives.

Download or read book The Great Mental Models Volume 1 written by Shane Parrish and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2024-10-15 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.

Download or read book Management Decision Making written by George E. Monahan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-08-17 with total page 760 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CD-ROM contains: Crystal Ball -- TreePlan -- AnimaLP -- Queue -- ExcelWorkbooks.

Download or read book The Leading Practice of Decision Making in Modern Business Systems written by Elena G. Popkova and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-12-02 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Concentrating on the Russian model, this book reflects the leading practical experience of decision making in modern business systems and presents innovative technologies and perspectives to optimize this process.

Download or read book Judgment in Managerial Decision Making written by Max H. Bazerman and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2001-07-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Author is a leading theorist in negotiation and decision-making.

Download or read book Decision Management Systems written by James Taylor and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2011-10-13 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A very rich book sprinkled with real-life examples as well as battle-tested advice.” —Pierre Haren, VP ILOG, IBM "James does a thorough job of explaining Decision Management Systems as enablers of a formidable business transformation.” —Deepak Advani, Vice President, Business Analytics Products and SPSS, IBM Build Systems That Work Actively to Help You Maximize Growth and Profits Most companies rely on operational systems that are largely passive. But what if you could make your systems active participants in optimizing your business? What if your systems could act intelligently on their own? Learn, not just report? Empower users to take action instead of simply escalating their problems? Evolve without massive IT investments? Decision Management Systems can do all that and more. In this book, the field’s leading expert demonstrates how to use them to drive unprecedented levels of business value. James Taylor shows how to integrate operational and analytic technologies to create systems that are more agile, more analytic, and more adaptive. Through actual case studies, you’ll learn how to combine technologies such as predictive analytics, optimization, and business rules—improving customer service, reducing fraud, managing risk, increasing agility, and driving growth. Both a practical how-to guide and a framework for planning, Decision Management Systems focuses on mainstream business challenges. Coverage includes Understanding how Decision Management Systems can transform your business Planning your systems “with the decision in mind” Identifying, modeling, and prioritizing the decisions you need to optimize Designing and implementing robust decision services Monitoring your ongoing decision-making and learning how to improve it Proven enablers of effective Decision Management Systems: people, process, and technology Identifying and overcoming obstacles that can derail your Decision Management Systems initiative

Download or read book Rethinking Decision Making Strategies and Tools written by Maria Palazzo and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2024-02-16 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Readers will be enabled to compare, contrast and comprehend how the ‘decision making strategies and tools’ from different lenses are delivered in different parts of the world. The text includes an interesting mix of theory, primary research findings, and practice that will appeal to students, academics, and practitioners alike.

Download or read book Thinking in Bets written by Annie Duke and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2019-05-07 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

Download or read book Management Decision Making Big Data and Analytics written by Simone Gressel and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2020-10-12 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accessible and concise, this exciting new textbook examines data analytics from a managerial and organizational perspective and looks at how they can help managers become more effective decision-makers. The book successfully combines theory with practical application, featuring case studies, examples and a ‘critical incidents’ feature that make these topics engaging and relevant for students of business and management. The book features chapters on cutting-edge topics, including: • Big data • Analytics • Managing emerging technologies and decision-making • Managing the ethics, security, privacy and legal aspects of data-driven decision-making The book is accompanied by an Instructor’s Manual, PowerPoint slides and access to journal articles. Suitable for management students studying business analytics and decision-making at undergraduate, postgraduate and MBA levels.