Download or read book Modelling Long Maturity Forward Rates with Overshooting written by Andrew P. Carverhill and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is natural to assume that interest rates mean-revert, and natural consequence of this is that long forward rates are asymptotically constant. However, from US Treasury STRIPs data, forward rates slope increasingly downwards, and do not attenuate in volatility, as maturity increases beyond about 15 years.We fit an equilibrium model which reconciles this behavior with mean reversion. The key is to extract a latent factor, which the forward rate follows, but overshoots, causing mean reversion on a time scale in terms of weeks. This allows the forward rates to mean revert over the long term in the objective measure but not in the risk neutral measure. We show that this mean reversion can in principle be exploited for profit.Our model falls into the Essentially Affine class. We finally set our analysis in the context of similar models for shorter maturities, and discuss applications to managing positions in long maturity bonds and associated derivatives.

Download or read book Modelling Long Maturity Interest Rates written by Andrew P. Carverhill and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is natural to assume that interest rates mean-revert, and natural consequence of this is that long forward rates are asymptotically constant. However, from US Treasury STRIPs data, forward rates slope increasingly downwards, and do not attenuate in volatility, as maturity increases beyond about 15 years.We fit an equilibrium model which reconciles this behavior with mean reversion. The key is to extract a latent factor, which the forward rate follows, but overshoots, causing mean reversion on a time scale in terms of weeks. This allows the forward rates to mean revert over the long term in the objective measure but not in the risk neutral measure.We show that this mean reversion can in principle be exploited for profit, and argue that it is not present in the risk neutral dynamic. Our model falls into the Essentially Affine class. We finally set our analysis in the context of similar models for shorter maturities, and discuss applications to managing positions in long maturity bonds and associated derivatives.

Download or read book An Affine Model of Long Maturity Forward Rates with Predictable Risk Premium written by Andrew P. Carverhill and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Distantly maturing forward rates represent the markets long term (risk neutral) expectations about interest rates. As such, they are the fundamental ingredient of the pricing kernel. In most equilibrium models, interest rates mean revert, and long forward rates are asymptotically constant.However, from US Treasury STRIPs data, forward rates slope increasingly downwards, and do not attenuate in volatility, as maturity increases beyond about 15 years. We model this in a equilibrium framework, first showing that most of the volatility in long forward rates is short term, coming from a predictable, tightly mean reverting factor. We verify this predictable behavior in the STRIPs data, and also in T Bond futures data. We also show that in principle, this predictability can be exploited for profit in the T Bond futures market.Our model also includes the notion that this predictability is not present, when we transform to risk neutral probabilities. This is reasonable, since otherwise, the market would move to obviate this predictability. Also, we are able to verify this directly in the futures data, by identifying the risk neutral drift with the slope of the futures term structure.Our model falls into the Essential Affine class, but with predictable risk premium. It is striking that this short term behavior has such a large persistent effect on the forward rates.

Download or read book Systematic Trading The Official Guide to the CFST Exam written by Alex Chaia and published by Austin Macauley Publishers. This book was released on 2024-04-26 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CFST® PROGRAM - THE CERTIFICATION THAT MATTERS The CFST® Exam certifies trading professionals across the globe, providing hedge funds, market makers and other financial institutions in the derivatives industry the confidence that their talents are up to date with the industry and can demonstrate the knowledge required for everyday tasks. Why would you ask for a CFST® Certificate? COMPLIANCE The test covers Trading Rules and Disciplinary procedures of multiple derivatives exchanges such as CME, LME, ICE, Eurex, B3, and the OTC regulations in critical jurisdictions. Successful applicants will demonstrate knowledge and control of the different regulations in multiple venues as require in a multi-asset business world. PRODUCT By covering multiple exchanges and OTC products trading characteristics and calculations, the test will certify that Traders and Brokers understand the differences and workings of each multiple product, qualifying them to be able to trade any derivative or to confidently deal with customer requirements in a wide range of product classes. QUANTITATIVE Level II of the CFST programme assesses candidate’s abilities with understanding the principles of algorithmic trading, strategy development and deployment. Questions will assess statistical, research, and infrastructure-related knowledge to certify a successful candidate to work in the industry. Enroll for the CFST® Exam: www.prometric.com/CFST Level I is designed to cover Compliance, Market Fundamentals and Economics, and is suitable for all professionals in the derivatives industry, including Back-Office, Compliance, Trading, Operations and Sales. Level II is designed to cover Derivatives Valuation, Risk Management and Algorithm Development and suitable for professionals in Risk, Trading and Strategy.

Download or read book The Costs and Consequences of Inflation written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Exchange Rate Theory and Practice written by John F. Bilson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.

Download or read book Interest Rate Risk and Thrift Capital written by Robert Crile Wolf and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Asset Prices and Monetary Policy written by John Y. Campbell and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-11-15 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.

Download or read book The Foreign Exchange Market written by Richard T. Baillie and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1989 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The flotation of exchange rates in the early 1970s saw a significant increase in the importance of foreign exchange markets and in the interest shown in them. Apart from the consequent institutional changes, this period also witnessed a revolution in macroeconomic analysis and finance theory based on the concept of rational expectations. This book provides an integrated approach to recent developments in the understanding of foreign exchange markets. It begins by charting the institutional background and looks at the recent history of movements in some of the major exchange rates. The theoretical sections focus on the economic and finance theory of the asset market approach, the macroeconomic models developed from this approach, and on interest rate parity theory. The empirical chapters draw on the authors' own research from a high quality set of exchange rate and interest rate data. The statistical properties of exchange rates are analysed; the relationship between spot and forward rates is examined; and the modelling and impact of new information on the forward and spot relationship is considered. The final chapter is devoted to the estimation and testing of exchange rate models.

Download or read book FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility Korea s Case written by Mr.Jack Ree and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-07 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks’ foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after the crisis, including decreasing demand for currency hedges and the diversifying investor base for bonds, point to a possible weakening of the interaction mechanism; and we find evidences are strongly supportive of this.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Download or read book International Economics Two written by Giancarlo Gandolfo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1995-05-22 with total page 588 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This second volume covers all the conventional topics of international monetary theory and open-economy macroeconomics, and a lot more besides. Gandolfo treats such further concepts as the theory of monetary integration and the European monetary union, foreign exchange crises and the Tobin tax, theory of games and international policy coordination. It follows the "two-tier" structure of the first volume, and, thanks to its self-contained treatment, may equally be used as a reference book.

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book CFA Program Curriculum 2017 Level II Volumes 1 6 written by CFA Institute and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-08-01 with total page 3163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master the practical aspects of the CFA Program Curriculum with expert instruction for the 2017 exam The same official curricula that CFA Program candidates receive with program registration is now publicly available for purchase. CFA Program Curriculum 2017 Level II, Volumes 1-6 provides the complete Level II Curriculum for the 2017 exam, with practical instruction on the Candidate Body of Knowledge (CBOK) and how it is applied, including expert guidance on incorporating concepts into practice. Level II focuses on complex analysis with an emphasis on asset valuation, and is designed to help you use investment concepts appropriately in situations analysts commonly face. Coverage includes ethical and professional standards, quantitative analysis, economics, financial reporting and analysis, corporate finance, equities, fixed income, derivatives, alternative investments, and portfolio management organized into individual study sessions with clearly defined Learning Outcome Statements. Charts, graphs, figures, diagrams, and financial statements illustrate complex concepts to facilitate retention, and practice questions with answers allow you to gauge your understanding while reinforcing important concepts. While Level I introduced you to basic foundational investment skills, Level II requires more complex techniques and a strong grasp of valuation methods. This set dives deep into practical application, explaining complex topics to help you understand and retain critical concepts and processes. Incorporate analysis skills into case evaluations Master complex calculations and quantitative techniques Understand the international standards used for valuation and analysis Gauge your skills and understanding against each Learning Outcome Statement CFA Institute promotes the highest standards of ethics, education, and professional excellence among investment professionals. The CFA Program Curriculum guides you through the breadth of knowledge required to uphold these standards. The three levels of the program build on each other. Level I provides foundational knowledge and teaches the use of investment tools; Level II focuses on application of concepts and analysis, particularly in the valuation of assets; and Level III builds toward synthesis across topics with an emphasis on portfolio management.

Download or read book International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis written by Laurent Ferrara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.

Download or read book The Current State of Business Disciplines Finance written by Shri Bhagwan Dahiya and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: