Download or read book Regression and Time Series Model Selection written by Allan D. R. McQuarrie and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important book describes procedures for selecting a model from a large set of competing statistical models. It includes model selection techniques for univariate and multivariate regression models, univariate and multivariate autoregressive models, nonparametric (including wavelets) and semiparametric regression models, and quasi-likelihood and robust regression models. Information-based model selection criteria are discussed, and small sample and asymptotic properties are presented. The book also provides examples and large scale simulation studies comparing the performances of information-based model selection criteria, bootstrapping, and cross-validation selection methods over a wide range of models.

Download or read book Information Criteria and Statistical Modeling written by Sadanori Konishi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical modeling is a critical tool in scientific research. This book provides comprehensive explanations of the concepts and philosophy of statistical modeling, together with a wide range of practical and numerical examples. The authors expect this work to be of great value not just to statisticians but also to researchers and practitioners in various fields of research such as information science, computer science, engineering, bioinformatics, economics, marketing and environmental science. It’s a crucial area of study, as statistical models are used to understand phenomena with uncertainty and to determine the structure of complex systems. They’re also used to control such systems, as well as to make reliable predictions in various natural and social science fields.

Download or read book Model Selection and Model Averaging written by Gerda Claeskens and published by . This book was released on 2008-07-28 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First book to synthesize the research and practice from the active field of model selection.

Download or read book Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling written by Tomohiro Ando and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-05-27 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Along with many practical applications, Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling presents an array of Bayesian inference and model selection procedures. It thoroughly explains the concepts, illustrates the derivations of various Bayesian model selection criteria through examples, and provides R code for implementation. The author shows how to implement a variety of Bayesian inference using R and sampling methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo. He covers the different types of simulation-based Bayesian model selection criteria, including the numerical calculation of Bayes factors, the Bayesian predictive information criterion, and the deviance information criterion. He also provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of these criteria. In addition, the author discusses how Bayesian model averaging can simultaneously treat both model and parameter uncertainties. Selecting and constructing the appropriate statistical model significantly affect the quality of results in decision making, forecasting, stochastic structure explorations, and other problems. Helping you choose the right Bayesian model, this book focuses on the framework for Bayesian model selection and includes practical examples of model selection criteria.

Download or read book Feature Engineering and Selection written by Max Kuhn and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-07-25 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The process of developing predictive models includes many stages. Most resources focus on the modeling algorithms but neglect other critical aspects of the modeling process. This book describes techniques for finding the best representations of predictors for modeling and for nding the best subset of predictors for improving model performance. A variety of example data sets are used to illustrate the techniques along with R programs for reproducing the results.

Download or read book Regression and Time Series Model Selection written by Allan D. R. McQuarrie and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important book describes procedures for selecting a model from a large set of competing statistical models. It includes model selection techniques for univariate and multivariate regression models, univariate and multivariate autoregressive models, nonparametric (including wavelets) and semiparametric regression models, and quasi-likelihood and robust regression models. Information-based model selection criteria are discussed, and small sample and asymptotic properties are presented. The book also provides examples and large scale simulation studies comparing the performances of information-based model selection criteria, bootstrapping, and cross-validation selection methods over a wide range of models.

Download or read book Security and Intelligent Information Systems written by Pascal Bouvry and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-16 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed post-conference proceedings of the Joint Meeting of the 2nd Luxembourg-Polish Symposium on Security and Trust and the 19th International Conference Intelligent Information Systems, held as International Joint Confererence on Security and Intelligent Information Systems, SIIS 2011, in Warsaw, Poland, in June 2011. The 29 revised full papers presented together with 2 invited lectures were carefully reviewed and selected from 60 initial submissions during two rounds of selection and improvement. The papers are organized in the following three thematic tracks: security and trust, data mining and machine learning, and natural language processing.

Download or read book Model Selection and Multimodel Inference written by Kenneth P. Burnham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-28 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique and comprehensive text on the philosophy of model-based data analysis and strategy for the analysis of empirical data. The book introduces information theoretic approaches and focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. It contains several new approaches to estimating model selection uncertainty and incorporating selection uncertainty into estimates of precision. An array of examples is given to illustrate various technical issues. The text has been written for biologists and statisticians using models for making inferences from empirical data.

Download or read book The Statistical Theory of Linear Systems written by E. J. Hannan and published by SIAM. This book was released on 2012-05-31 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published: New York: Wiley, c1988.

Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Multilevel Modeling written by Marc A. Scott and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2013-08-31 with total page 954 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this important new Handbook, the editors have gathered together a range of leading contributors to introduce the theory and practice of multilevel modeling. The Handbook establishes the connections in multilevel modeling, bringing together leading experts from around the world to provide a roadmap for applied researchers linking theory and practice, as well as a unique arsenal of state-of-the-art tools. It forges vital connections that cross traditional disciplinary divides and introduces best practice in the field. Part I establishes the framework for estimation and inference, including chapters dedicated to notation, model selection, fixed and random effects, and causal inference. Part II develops variations and extensions, such as nonlinear, semiparametric and latent class models. Part III includes discussion of missing data and robust methods, assessment of fit and software. Part IV consists of exemplary modeling and data analyses written by methodologists working in specific disciplines. Combining practical pieces with overviews of the field, this Handbook is essential reading for any student or researcher looking to apply multilevel techniques in their own research.

Download or read book Handbook of Advanced Multilevel Analysis written by Joop Hox and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2011-01-11 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new handbook is the definitive resource on advanced topics related to multilevel analysis. The editors assembled the top minds in the field to address the latest applications of multilevel modeling as well as the specific difficulties and methodological problems that are becoming more common as more complicated models are developed. Each chapter features examples that use actual datasets. These datasets, as well as the code to run the models, are available on the book’s website http://www.hlm-online.com . Each chapter includes an introduction that sets the stage for the material to come and a conclusion. Divided into five sections, the first provides a broad introduction to the field that serves as a framework for understanding the latter chapters. Part 2 focuses on multilevel latent variable modeling including item response theory and mixture modeling. Section 3 addresses models used for longitudinal data including growth curve and structural equation modeling. Special estimation problems are examined in section 4 including the difficulties involved in estimating survival analysis, Bayesian estimation, bootstrapping, multiple imputation, and complicated models, including generalized linear models, optimal design in multilevel models, and more. The book’s concluding section focuses on statistical design issues encountered when doing multilevel modeling including nested designs, analyzing cross-classified models, and dyadic data analysis. Intended for methodologists, statisticians, and researchers in a variety of fields including psychology, education, and the social and health sciences, this handbook also serves as an excellent text for graduate and PhD level courses in multilevel modeling. A basic knowledge of multilevel modeling is assumed.

Download or read book Forecasting principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Download or read book Time Series Analysis Methods and Applications written by Tata Subba Rao and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-06-26 with total page 778 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Handbook of Statistics' is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with volume 30 dealing with time series.

Download or read book Discrepancy based Model Selection Criteria Using Cross Validation written by Simon Lee Davies and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An important component of any linear modeling problem consists of determining an appropriate size and form of the design matrix. Improper specification may substantially impact both estimators of the model parameters and predictors of the response variable: underspecification may lead to results which are severely biased, whereas overspecification may lead to results with unnecessarily high variability. Model selection criteria provide a powerful and useful tool for choosing a suitable design matrix. Once a setting has been proposed for an experiment, data can be collected, leading to a set of competing candidate models. One may then attempt to select an appropriate model from this set using a model selection criterion. In this thesis we establish four frameworks which initialize with previously proposed model selection criteria targeting well-known traditional discrepancies, namely the Kullback-Leibler discrepancy, the Gauss discrepancy, the transformed Gauss discrepancy, and the Kullback symmetric discrepancy. These criteria are developed using the bias adjustment approach. Prior work has focused on finding approximately or exactly unbiased estimators of these discrepancies. We expand on this work to additionally show that the criteria which are exactly unbiased serve as the minimum variance unbiased estimators. In many situations, the predictive ability of a candidate model is its most important attribute. In light of our interest in this property, we also concentrate on model selection techniques based on cross validation. New cross validation model selection criteria that serve as counterparts to the standard bias adjusted forms are introduced, together with descriptions of the target discrepancies upon which they are based. We then develop model selection criteria which are minimum variance unbiased estimators of the cross validation discrepancies. Furthermore, we argue that these criteria serve as approximate minimum variance unbiased estimators of the corresponding traditional discrepancies. We propose a general framework to unify and elucidate part of our cross validation criterion development. We show that for the cross validation analogue of a traditional discrepancy, we can always find a "natural" criterion which serves as an exactly unbiased estimator. We study how the cross validation criteria compare to the standard bias adjusted criteria as selection rules in the linear regression framework. This is done by concluding our development of each of the four frameworks with simulation results which illustrate how frequently each criterion identifies the correctly specified model among a sequence of nested fitted candidate models. Our results indicate that the cross validation criteria tend to outperform their bias adjusted counterparts. We close by evaluating the performance of all the model selection criteria considered throughout our work by investigating the results of a simulation study compiled using a sample of data from the Missouri Trauma Registry.

Download or read book Lectures on Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics 3rd Edition written by Marco Taboga and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-12-08 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is a collection of 80 short and self-contained lectures covering most of the topics that are usually taught in intermediate courses in probability theory and mathematical statistics. There are hundreds of examples, solved exercises and detailed derivations of important results. The step-by-step approach makes the book easy to understand and ideal for self-study. One of the main aims of the book is to be a time saver: it contains several results and proofs, especially on probability distributions, that are hard to find in standard references and are scattered here and there in more specialistic books. The topics covered by the book are as follows. PART 1 - MATHEMATICAL TOOLS: set theory, permutations, combinations, partitions, sequences and limits, review of differentiation and integration rules, the Gamma and Beta functions. PART 2 - FUNDAMENTALS OF PROBABILITY: events, probability, independence, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, random variables and random vectors, expected value, variance, covariance, correlation, covariance matrix, conditional distributions and conditional expectation, independent variables, indicator functions. PART 3 - ADDITIONAL TOPICS IN PROBABILITY THEORY: probabilistic inequalities, construction of probability distributions, transformations of probability distributions, moments and cross-moments, moment generating functions, characteristic functions. PART 4 - PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS: Bernoulli, binomial, Poisson, uniform, exponential, normal, Chi-square, Gamma, Student's t, F, multinomial, multivariate normal, multivariate Student's t, Wishart. PART 5 - MORE DETAILS ABOUT THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION: linear combinations, quadratic forms, partitions. PART 6 - ASYMPTOTIC THEORY: sequences of random vectors and random variables, pointwise convergence, almost sure convergence, convergence in probability, mean-square convergence, convergence in distribution, relations between modes of convergence, Laws of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorems, Continuous Mapping Theorem, Slutsky's Theorem. PART 7 - FUNDAMENTALS OF STATISTICS: statistical inference, point estimation, set estimation, hypothesis testing, statistical inferences about the mean, statistical inferences about the variance.

Download or read book Selecting Models from Data written by P. Cheeseman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a selection of papers presented at the Fourth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics held in January 1993. These biennial workshops have succeeded in bringing together researchers from Artificial Intelligence and from Statistics to discuss problems of mutual interest. The exchange has broadened research in both fields and has strongly encour aged interdisciplinary work. The theme ofthe 1993 AI and Statistics workshop was: "Selecting Models from Data". The papers in this volume attest to the diversity of approaches to model selection and to the ubiquity of the problem. Both statistics and artificial intelligence have independently developed approaches to model selection and the corresponding algorithms to implement them. But as these papers make clear, there is a high degree of overlap between the different approaches. In particular, there is agreement that the fundamental problem is the avoidence of "overfitting"-Le., where a model fits the given data very closely, but is a poor predictor for new data; in other words, the model has partly fitted the "noise" in the original data.

Download or read book The Minimum Description Length Principle written by Peter D. Grünwald and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 736 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to the MDL Principle provides a reference accessible to graduate students and researchers in statistics, pattern classification, machine learning, and data mining, to philosophers interested in the foundations of statistics, and to researchers in other applied sciences that involve model selection.