Download or read book Macro Factors in the Term Structure of Credit Spreads written by Jeffery D. Amato and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate arbitrage-free term structure models of US Treasury yields and spreads on BBB and B rated corporate bonds in a doubly-stochastic intensity-based framework. A novel feature of our analysis is the inclusion of macroeconomic variables -- indicators of real activity, inflation and financial conditions -- as well as latent factors, as drivers of term structure dynamics. Our results point to three key roles played by macro factors in the term structure of spreads: they have a significant impact on the level, and particularly the slope, of the curves; they are largely responsible for variation in the prices of systematic risk; and speculative grade spreads exhibit greater sensitivity to macro shocks than high grade spreads. In addition to estimating risk-neutral default intensities, we provide estimates of physical default intensities using data on Moody's KMV EDFs as a forward--looking proxy for default risk. We find that the real and financial activity indicators, along with filtered estimates of the latent factors from our term structure model, explain a large portion of the variation in EDFs across time. Furthermore, measures of the price of default event risk implied by estimates of physical and risk-neutral intensities indicate that compensation for default event risk is countercyclical, varies widely across the cycle, and is higher on average and more variable for higher-rated bonds.
Download or read book Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-15 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.
Download or read book Exchange Rates and Corporate Performance written by Yakov Amihud and published by Beard Books. This book was released on 2003 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a reprint of a previously published book. It consists of a series of papers by experts in the field on how the exchange rate volatility of the 1980s affected the financial policies of international firms.
Download or read book The Term Structure of Credit Spreads in Project Finance written by Marco Sorge and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Theoretical Issues in International Borrowing written by Jeffrey Sachs and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current crisis in international lending points up a lesson re-learned several times in the past 150 years: the international loan markets function very differently from the textbook model of competitive lending. This paper discusses various extensions of the basic model. First, we amend the textbook model to show how limitations on a government'staxing authority may greatly affect its optimal borrowing strategy. Second, we explore the implications of adebtor country's option to repudiate debt. Third, we show that efficient lending may require collective actions by bank syndicates, and that a breakdown in collective action can result in serious inefficiencies and even financial panics.
Download or read book Fixed Income Analysis Workbook written by Barbara S. Petitt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-10-15 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: THE THOROUGHLY REVISED AND UPDATED FOURTH EDITION OF THE COMPANION WORKBOOK TO FIXED INCOME ANALYSIS Now in its fourth edition, the Fixed Income Analysis Workbook offers a range of practical information and exercises that will enhance your understanding of the tools, strategies, and techniques associated with fixed-income portfolio management. Written by a team of knowledgeable contributors, this hands-on resource helps busy professionals and those new to the discipline apply the concepts and methodologies that are essential for mastery. The Workbook is an accessible guide for understanding the metrics, methods, and mechanics as applied in the competitive world of fixed-income analysis. It also provides a stress-free way to practice the tools and techniques described in the companion text. The Fixed Income Analysis Workbook includes information and exercises to help you: Work real-world problems associated with fixed-income risk and return Review the fundamentals of asset-backed securities Comprehend the principles of credit analysis Understand the arbitrage-free valuation framework Practice important methods and techniques before applying them in actual situations The fourth edition provides updated coverage of fixed income portfolio management including detailed applications of liability-driven and index-based strategies, exposure to the major types of yield curve strategies, and practical approaches to implementing active credit strategies. For anyone who wants a more solid understanding of fixed-income portfolio management, the Fixed Income Analysis Workbook is a comprehensive and practical resource.
Download or read book Fixed Income Analysis written by CFA Institute and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-09-27 with total page 915 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essential guide to fixed-income portfolio management, from experts working with CFA Institute Fixed Income Analysis, 5th Edition delivers an authoritative overview of how successful investment professionals manage fixed-income portfolios. Back with expanded content on the defining elements of fixed income securities, corporate debt, repurchase agreements, term structure models, and more, the 5th edition gives students and practitioners alike the tools to understand and apply effective fixed income portfolio management tactics. Revised and updated by a team of investment experts in collaboration with CFA Institute, this text introduces the fundamental topics of fixed income securities and markets while also providing in-depth coverage of fixed income security valuation. This new edition offers refreshed and expanded content on the analysis and construction of active yield curve and credit strategies for portfolio managers. Thanks to a wealth of real-world examples, Fixed Income Analysis remains an excellent resource for professionals looking to expand upon their current understanding of this important facet of portfolio management, as well as for students in the undergraduate or graduate classroom. Through this text, readers will: Understand the main features and characteristics of fixed income instruments Master the key return and risk measures of fixed income instruments Develop and evaluate key fixed income investment strategies based on top-down and bottom-up analysis The companion workbook (sold separately) includes problems and solutions aligning with the text and allows learners to test their comprehension of key concepts. CFA Institute is the world’s premier association for investment professionals, and the governing body for the CFA® Program, CIPM® Program, CFA Institute ESG Investing Certificate, and Investment Foundations® Program. Investment analysts, portfolio managers, individual and institutional investors and their advisors, and any reader with an interest in fixed income markets will value this accessible and informative guide.
Download or read book A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium written by Emanuel Kopp and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-15 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, term premia have been very low and sometimes even negative. Now, with the United States economy growing above potential, inflationary pressures are on the rise. Term premia are very sensitive to the expected future path of growth, inflation, and monetary policy, and an inflation surprise could require monetary policy to tighten faster than anticipated, inducing to a sudden decompression of term and other risk premia, thus tightening financial conditions. This paper proposes a semi-structural dynamic term structure model augmented with macroeconomic factors to include cyclical dynamics with a focus on medium- to long-run forecasts. Our results clearly show that a macroeconomic approach is warranted: While term premium estimates are in line with those from other studies, we provide (i) plausible, stable estimates of expected long-term interest rates and (ii) forecasts of short- and long-term interest rates as well as cyclical macroeconomic variables that are stunningly close to those generated from large-scale macroeconomic models.
Download or read book Fixed Income Analysis written by Barbara S. Petitt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-10-22 with total page 944 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CFA Institute's essential guide to fixed-income portfolio management, revised and updated Now in its fourth edition, Fixed Income Analysis offers authoritative and up-to-date coverage of how successful investment professionals analyze and manage fixed-income portfolios. With contributions from a team of financial experts, the text is filled with detailed information from CFA Institute and contains a comprehensive review of the essential topics in the field. Fixed Income Analysis introduces the fundamental concepts of fixed-income securities and markets and provides in-depth coverage of fixed-income security valuation and portfolio management. The book contains a general framework for valuation that is designed to be accessible to both professionals and those new to the field. The fourth edition provides updated coverage of fixed-income portfolio management including detailed coverage of liability-driven and index-based strategies, the major types of yield curve strategies, and approaches to implementing active credit strategies. The authors include examples that help build the knowledge and skills needed to effectively manage fixed-income portfolios. Fixed Income Analysis gives a real-world understanding of how the concepts discussed are practically applied in client-based scenarios. Investment analysts, portfolio managers, individual and institutional investors and their advisors, and anyone with an interest in fixed-income markets will appreciate this accessible guide to fixed-income analysis.
Download or read book Fixed Income Analysis Workbook written by CFA Institute and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-09-14 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evaluate your understanding of fixed-income portfolio management with exercises for today’s investment practitioner Fixed Income Analysis, 5th Edition offers the key component of effective learning—practice. Designed for both students and professionals, this companion workbook aligns with the latest Fixed Income Analysis text chapter-by-chapter. To improve your comprehension of core concepts, this book includes brief chapter summaries before diving into challenging practice questions and their solutions, while also laying out learning objectives so you can understand the “why” of each exercise. Fixed Income Analysis Workbook, 5th Edition will help you: Synthesize essential material from the main Fixed Income Analysis text using real-world applications. Understand the key fundamentals of fixed income securities and portfolio management. Work toward specific chapter objectives to internalize important information. CFA Institute is the world’s premier association for investment professionals, and the governing body for the CFA® Program, CIPM® Program, CFA Institute ESG Investing Certificate, and Investment Foundations® Program. Those seeking a deeper understanding of fixed income portfolio management tactics will value the level of expertise CFA Institute brings to the discussion as well as the extra practice delivered in the fifth edition Fixed Income Analysis Workbook based on real scenarios investors face every day.
Download or read book Can Macroeconomic Variables Account for the Term Structure of Sovereign Spreads written by Marco S. Matsumura and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia written by Felix Geiger and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-17 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The determinants of yield curve dynamics have been thoroughly discussed in finance models. However, little can be said about the macroeconomic factors behind the movements of short- and long-term interest rates as well as the risk compensation demanded by financial investors. By taking on a macro-finance perspective, the book’s approach explicitly acknowledges the close feedback between monetary policy, the macroeconomy and financial conditions. Both theoretical and empirical models are applied in order to get a profound understanding of the interlinkages between economic activity, the conduct of monetary policy and the underlying macroeconomic factors of bond price movements. Moreover, the book identifies a broad risk-taking channel of monetary transmission which allows a reassessment of the role of financial constraints; it enables policy makers to develop new guidelines for monetary policy and for financial supervision of how to cope with evolving financial imbalances.
Download or read book What Determines U S Swap Spreads written by Ádám Kóbor and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: References p. 45-47.
Download or read book Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy written by Jeff Fuhrer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2009-09-11 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current perspectives on the Phillips curve, a core macroeconomic concept that treats the relationship between inflation and unemployment. In 1958, economist A. W. Phillips published an article describing what he observed to be the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment; subsequently, the “Phillips curve” became a central concept in macroeconomic analysis and policymaking. But today's Phillips curve is not the same as the original one from fifty years ago; the economy, our understanding of price setting behavior, the determinants of inflation, and the role of monetary policy have evolved significantly since then. In this book, some of the top economists working today reexamine the theoretical and empirical validity of the Phillips curve in its more recent specifications. The contributors consider such questions as what economists have learned about price and wage setting and inflation expectations that would improve the way we use and formulate the Phillips curve, what the Phillips curve approach can teach us about inflation dynamics, and how these lessons can be applied to improving the conduct of monetary policy. Contributors Lawrence Ball, Ben Bernanke, Oliver Blanchard, V. V. Chari, William T. Dickens, Stanley Fischer, Jeff Fuhrer, Jordi Gali, Michael T. Kiley, Robert G. King, Donald L. Kohn, Yolanda K. Kodrzycki, Jane Sneddon Little, Bartisz Mackowiak, N. Gregory Mankiw, Virgiliu Midrigan, Giovanni P. Olivei, Athanasios Orphanides, Adrian R. Pagan, Christopher A. Pissarides, Lucrezia Reichlin, Paul A. Samuelson, Christopher A. Sims, Frank R. Smets, Robert M. Solow, Jürgen Stark, James H. Stock, Lars E. O. Svensson, John B. Taylor, Mark W. Watson
Download or read book Dynamic Factor Models written by Siem Jan Koopman and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-08 with total page 685 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume explores dynamic factor model specification, asymptotic and finite-sample behavior of parameter estimators, identification, frequentist and Bayesian estimation of the corresponding state space models, and applications.
Download or read book Developments in Macro Finance Yield Curve Modelling written by Jagjit S. Chadha and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-02-06 with total page 571 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State-of-the-art research from academics and policymakers on the role of and challenges to monetary policy during the ongoing financial crisis.
