Download or read book Long and short term forecast of consumer durables written by Gernot Nerb and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book THE USE OF CONSUMER SURVEY DATA IN FORECASTS OF THE DOMESTIC DEMAND FOR CONSUMER DURABLE GOODS written by Frederick Edward May and published by . This book was released on 1958 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting the Demand for Consumer Durables written by and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting the Demand for Consumer Durables written by John Treasure and published by . This book was released on 1964 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Simulating and Forecasting the Demand for New Consumer Durables written by Alf-Erik Lerviks and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Pre market Forecasting Model for New Consumer Durables written by Peter N. Goettler and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting the Ownership Growth of Consumer Durables written by J. F. Hackworth and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Prelaunch Forecasting of New Consumer Durables written by John R. Hauser and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Life cycle Permanent income Model and Consumer Durables written by Avner Bar-Ilan and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents an extension of the life-cycle permanent-income model of consumption to the case of a durable good whose purchase involves lumpy trans- actions costs. Where individual behavior is concerned, the implications of the model are different in some respects from those of standard consumption theory. Specifically, rather than choose an optimal path for the service flow from durables, the optimizing consumer will choose an optimal range and try to keep his service flow inside that range. The dynamics implied by this behavior is different from that of the stock adjustment model. Properties of aggregate durables consumption are derived by explicit aggregation. In particular, it is shown that expenditures on durables display very large short-run elasticity to changes in permanent income. Empirical tests of the sort suggested by Hall (1978) generally produce results that are in line with the predictions of the theory.
Download or read book Principles of Forecasting written by J.S. Armstrong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 880 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Download or read book U S Industrial Outlook for Industries with Projections for written by and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book U S Industrial Outlook written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 654 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents industry reviews including a section of "trends and forecasts," complete with tables and graphs for industry analysis.
Download or read book Consumer Durables and the Optimality of Usually Doing Nothing written by Avner Bar-Ilan and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a simple but important point which is often overlooked: It is quite possible that the best policy for a rational, optimizing agent is to do nothing for long periods of time--even if new, relevant information becomes available. We illustrate this point using the market for durable goods. Lumpy costs in durables transactions lead consumers to choose a finite range, not just a single level, for their durables consumption. The boundaries of this range change with new information and, in general, obey the permanent income hypothesis. However, as long as the durable stock is within the chosen region, the consumer will not change her stock. Hence individuals will make durable transactions infrequently and their consumption can differ substantially from the prediction of the strict PIH. Such microeconomic behavior means that aggregate data cannot be generated by a representative agent; explicit aggregation is required. By doing that, we showed that time series of durable expenditures should be divided to two separate series: One on the average expenditure per purchase and the other on the number of transactions. The predictions of the PIH hold for the former, but not for the latter. For example, the short-run elasticity of the number of purchases with respect to permanent income Is much larger than one for plausible parameter values. We put our theory to a battery of empirical tests. Although the tests are by no means always consistent with the theory, most empirical results are in line with our predictions
Download or read book Modeling Categorization Elimination and Consideration for New Product Forecasting of Consumer Durables written by Hulland, John S and published by [London] : Research and Publications, School of Business Administration, University of Western Ontario. This book was released on 1990 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Beyond Diffusion written by Peter N. Golder and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A firm's ability to compete in new product markets is vital to its profitability and long-term survival. Therefore, it is important to understand the development and growth of these markets. Following a pioneering study by Bass (1969), diffusion models have traditionally provided this understanding in marketing. The great appeal of the Bass model is that it is a simple one that fits the data very well and provides parameters that have an intuitive behavioural interpretation. The model suffers from three well-known limitations: (1) it does not include marketing variables that could infuence new product diffusion and sales; (2) the model's parameters are unstable; and (3) the model's forecasts are inaccurate before the sales peak and especially prior to the point of inflection. Subsequent research has made progress especially in extending the Bass model to include marketing variables. However, the extensions have come at the cost of simplicity: the new models are far more complex than the simple Bass model. We propose an alternate simple model of new product growth for consumer durables, based on the concept of affordability rather than on diffusion. We compare this model with the diffusion model in terms of fit, stability and validity of parameters, and forecasting ability. The alternate model is a little inferior to the diffusion model in fit, but superior in terms of the stability and validity of parameters and forecasting ability. We discuss the limitations and implications of our model.
Download or read book Forecasting Company Profits written by Fred Wellings and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1998-08-24 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first book to look from a thoroughly practical perspective on the crucial business of profits forecasting, Fred Wellings provides an integrated approach to the theories which underpin the forecasting process. This approach also recognises the limitations faced by the outsider in the real world where both time and hard facts may be in equally short supply. It lays emphasis on the patterns of industrial and corporate behaviour and the forecaster's ability to recognise and anticipate these patterns. The first part of the book covers the industrial background within which the individual companies operate, and part two moves the forecaster on from the industry to the company.
Download or read book The Demand for Durable Goods written by Arnold C. Harberger and published by . This book was released on 1960 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A publication of the Research Group in Public Finance.
