Download or read book How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning Xsp written by Jeremy Stapleton and published by . This book was released on 2020-08-15 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploratory scenario planning (XSP) can help communities prepare for uncertainties posed by climate change, pandemics, automation, and other unprecedented twenty-first-century challenges. This manual is a comprehensive resource for anyone interested in using this emergent planning approach, which is effective at the local, regional, or organizational level. Through the XSP process, stakeholders envision and develop various potential futures (i.e., scenarios) and consider how to measure and prepare for each, rather than working toward a single shared vision for the future. Through instructive case studies, recommendations, sample workshop agendas, and more, this manual equips would-be practitioners with the background knowledge, procedural guidance, and practical strategies to implement this planning tool successfully. Readers will be prepared to facilitate--or even lead--an effective, impactful XSP process in their own settings.
Download or read book EXPLORATORY SCENARIO PLANNING How to Navigate an Uncertain Future written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenarios written by Ulrich Golüke and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2018-07-20 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A very short, readable and highly practical how-to guide to all you ever wanted to know about running your own scenario projects, but were afraid to ask. Based on 20 years of scenario experience working with people in corporations, NGOs, schools and universities. Why Scenarios are Good for You Any choice you make, any decision you take and any plan you set in motion will make sense or not, will turn out to have been wise or foolish and will be profitable or not, inevitably and exclusively, in the future. This being so you can, firstly, cross your fingers and hope for the best. Second, you can rely on your intuition. Rely, in other words, that your gut feeling won't let you down. Many highly acclaimed leaders' claim to fame is that they have a superior intuition and without being able to explain fully why and how they decide what they decide, in the end, their decisions turn out to be right. A third possibility is to ride a favorable trend. If things are going your way, if the rising tide, as we know it does, is already lifting all boats, it's probably difficult to make a wrong decision. But remember, in the end, the tide turns and a trend, as some of us have had the opportunity to learn, is a trend only until it bends. A fourth alternative is currently much en vogue, namely to trust in big data. The hope is that some smart algorithm is going to save your day. But remember Nate Silver's admonition in his recent book "The Signal and the Noise", who writes that the first, and sometimes only, thing big data does is to increase the level of the noise. The fifth alternative, much liked by those in charge when things go wrong, is to delegate, and if all else fails, to deny responsibility. Or, you could use scenarios to make better decisions today for an inevitably uncertain future. This short book is about the process of creating and applying scenarios in your world. About the how, in other words.
Download or read book Scenario Planning Revised and Updated written by Mats Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-03-31 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long-term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and case studies to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy and innovation.
Download or read book Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning written by Schoemaker, Paul J.H. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2022-06-10 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a panoramic overview of the evolving world of scenario planning, this Advanced Introduction uses topical case studies to analyze the developing methodologies of scenario planning. Written by Paul J.H. Schoemaker, a leading authority on the topic, this book synthesizes rigorous theory and practical experiences including best practises, normative views, and future challenges or opportunities for scenario planning.
Download or read book Exploratory Scenario Planning written by Eric J. Roberts and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book When and how to Use Scenario Planning written by Paul J. H. Schoemaker and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenario Planning Managing for the Future written by Gill Ringland and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Joe Willmore and published by American Society for Training and Development. This book was released on 1998-09 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Gill Ringland and published by Choir Press. This book was released on 2014-03 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to help business managers implement scenario techniques to manage the uncertainties of the future.
Download or read book Scenario Planning in Organizations written by Thomas Chermack and published by ReadHowYouWant. This book was released on 2011-08 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision - makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast - changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision - making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice - focused books do - he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system - project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. ''This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage''. - Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation
Download or read book The Scenario planning Handbook written by Bill Ralston and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Facing the Fold written by James A. Ogilvy and published by Triarchy Press Limited. This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do we face the uncertainty and complexity of the future? An overly optimistic perspective can be motivating but easily dismissed as na ve or shallow; the pessimistic outlook may be considered to be deeper and more 'knowing' but could lead to inaction. But limiting our visions of the future to simply one of these two 'branches' would mean adopting a position that is ultimately no more than a fatalistic rut. Facing The Fold is a collection of highly regarded journal essays about how scenario thinking uses the capacious space of the 'fold' to encourage thinking around alternative scenarios--to create the future we both want and need. Scenarios are not predictions, nor are they strategies. Scenarios are stories -- narratives of alternative futures, designed to highlight the risks and opportunities involved in specific strategic issues. According to Ogilvy, scenario planning has generally been considered an art, but here he discusses the extent to which it can also be considered an integral part of 'the new sciences', especially complexity science. The narrative of scenario planning is of particular importance to complexity practitioners. Like complexity approaches, the advantage of scenarios is that they take into account the values and the contextual complexity surrounding the community and provide a way to reflect on the consequences of any strategy changes. The book is divided into 3 clear sections: Section I is about the 'nuts and bolts' of scenario planning and, as outlined in the first chapter co-authored with Peter Schwartz, the steps involved in the practice of developing scenarios, and the key considerations to ensure successful scenario planning. Section II situates scenario planning in the larger context of the human sciences of anthropology, psychology, literary criticism, philosophy and sociology. Section III offers a set of case studies--actual scenarios created for real projects. Lessons learnt from working in the public and the private sector are followed by two in-depth case studies on the future of higher education in California and K-12 public education in Seattle. The challenges and opportunities that were faced at the time are uncannily similar to current problems in the funding of education facilities around the world. Alternative scenarios to the momentum of increasing deficit and declining quality were developed at the time, and the author provides an afterword to show how these scenarios have held up over time. As Adam Kahane (Reos Partners and the University of Oxford) said in his review '...This wonderful collection of his writings is a most welcome and valuable contribution to the field.'
Download or read book Scenario Planning Managing for the Future written by Ringland and published by . This book was released on 2001-05-01 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Mats Lindgren and published by Palgrave Macmillan. This book was released on 2003-02-22 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.
Download or read book An exploratory study into the characteristics construction and effectiveness of scenario planning written by Adrew James Walls and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Creating Better Futures written by James Ogilvy and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains how citizens, working together in communities of similar interests, can use the widely respected process of scenario planning to map out ways of improving our society.
