Download or read book Forecasting With The Theta Method written by Kostas I. Nikolopoulos and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-03-18 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first book to be published on the Theta method, outlining under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods This book is the first to detail the Theta method of forecasting – one of the most difficult-to-beat forecasting benchmarks, which topped the biggest forecasting competition in the world in 2000: the M3 competition. Written by two of the leading experts in the forecasting field, it illuminates the exact replication of the method and under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods. Recent developments such as multivariate models are also included, as are a series of practical applications in finance, economics, and healthcare. The book also offers practical tools in MS Excel and guidance, as well as provisional access, for the use of R source code and respective packages. Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications includes three main parts. The first part, titled Theory, Methods, Models & Applications details the new theory about the method. The second part, Applications & Performance in Forecasting Competitions, describes empirical results and simulations on the method. The last part roadmaps future research and also include contributions from another leading scholar of the method – Dr. Fotios Petropoulos. First ever book to be published on the Theta Method Explores new theory and exact conditions under which methods would outperform most forecasting benchmarks Clearly written with practical applications Employs R – open source code with all included implementations Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications is a valuable tool for both academics and practitioners involved in forecasting and respective software development.

Download or read book Improving Forecasting Through a Hybrid Theta Method and Its Integration with Multiple Temporal Aggregation written by Bonan Wang and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Comment on The Theta Model a Decomposition Approach to Forecasting written by Jörg Grüner and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Forecasting principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Download or read book Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python written by Manu Joseph and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2022-11-24 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build real-world time series forecasting systems which scale to millions of time series by applying modern machine learning and deep learning concepts Key Features Explore industry-tested machine learning techniques used to forecast millions of time series Get started with the revolutionary paradigm of global forecasting models Get to grips with new concepts by applying them to real-world datasets of energy forecasting Book DescriptionWe live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.What you will learn Find out how to manipulate and visualize time series data like a pro Set strong baselines with popular models such as ARIMA Discover how time series forecasting can be cast as regression Engineer features for machine learning models for forecasting Explore the exciting world of ensembling and stacking models Get to grips with the global forecasting paradigm Understand and apply state-of-the-art DL models such as N-BEATS and Autoformer Explore multi-step forecasting and cross-validation strategies Who this book is for The book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and Python developers who want to build industry-ready time series models. Since the book explains most concepts from the ground up, basic proficiency in Python is all you need. Prior understanding of machine learning or forecasting will help speed up your learning. For experienced machine learning and forecasting practitioners, this book has a lot to offer in terms of advanced techniques and traversing the latest research frontiers in time series forecasting.

Download or read book Price Forecasting Models for THETA USD THETA USD Stock written by Ton Viet Ta and published by . This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: https: //www.dinhxa.com One-Week Free Trial (subject to change) Do you want to earn up to a 110795565% annual return on your money by two trades per day on THETA USD THETA-USD Stock? Reading this book is the only way to have a specific strategy. This book offers you a chance to trade THETA-USD Stock at predicted prices. Eight methods for buying and selling THETA-USD Stock at predicted low/high prices are introduced. These prices are very close to the lowest and highest prices of the stock in a day. All methods are explained in a very easy-to-understand way by using many examples, formulas, figures, and tables. The BIG DATA of the 1136 consecutive trading days (from January 17, 2018 to March 5, 2021) are utilized. The methods do not require any background on mathematics from readers. Furthermore, they are easy to use. Each takes you no more than 30 seconds for calculation to obtain a specific predicted price. The methods are not transient. They cannot be beaten by Mr. Market in several years, even until the stock doubles its current age. They are traits of Mr. Market. The reason is that the author uses the law of large numbers in the probability theory to construct them. In other words, you can use the methods in a long time without worrying about their change. The efficiency of the methods can be checked easily. Just compare the predicted prices with the actual price of the stock while referring to the probabilities of success which are shown clearly in the book (click the LOOK INSIDE button to read more information before buying this book). The book is very useful for Investors who have decided to buy the stock and keep it for a long time (as the strategy of Warren Buffett), or to sell the stock and pay attention to other stocks. The methods will help them to maximize profits for their decision. Day traders who buy and sell the stock many times in a day. Although each method is valid one time per day, the information from the methods will help the traders buy/sell the stock in the second time, third time or more in a day. Beginners to THETA-USD Stock. The book gives an insight about the behavior of the stock. They will surely gain their knowledge of THETA-USD Stock after reading the book. Everyone who wants to know about the U.S. stock market. https: //www.dinhxa.com includes a software (app) for stock price forecasting using the methods in this book. The software gives 114 predictions while this book gives 16. One-Week Free Trial (subject to change)

Download or read book Advances in Automation and Robotics Vol 2 written by Gary Lee and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-20 with total page 646 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The international conference on Automation and Robotics-ICAR2011 is held during December 12-13, 2011 in Dubai, UAE. The proceedings of ICAR2011 have been published by Springer Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, which include 163 excellent papers selected from more than 400 submitted papers. The conference is intended to bring together the researchers and engineers/technologists working in different aspects of intelligent control systems and optimization, robotics and automation, signal processing, sensors, systems modeling and control, industrial engineering, production and management. This part of proceedings includes 82 papers contributed by many researchers in relevant topic areas covered at ICAR2011 from various countries such as France, Japan, USA, Korea and China etc. The session topic of this proceeding is signal processing and industrial engineering, production and management, which includes papers about signal reconstruction, mechanical sensors, real-time systems control system identification, change detection problems, business process modeling, production planning, scheduling and control, computer-based manufacturing technologies, systems modeling and simulation, facilities planning and management, quality control and management, precision engineering, intelligent design and manufacturing. The papers in this proceedings focus on industry engineering to promote efficiency and affect for the world, which typically showed their advanced research work recently in their various field. I am sure that discussing with many colleagues will give much more creative idea for each other on ICAR2011. All of papers with powerful evidence and detail demonstration involved the authors’ numerous time and energy will be proved valuable by their unexhausted exploring sprit. Sincere thanks to the committee and all the authors, in additionally, including anonymous reviewers from many fields and organizations. They pointed out us direction to go on research work for the world.

Download or read book Automated Time Series Forecasting Made Easy with R written by Nigel D. Lewis and published by . This book was released on 2017-07-13 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finally, A Blueprint for Automated Time Series Forecasting with R! Automated Time Series Forecasting Made Easy with R offers a practical tutorial that uses hands-on examples to step through real-world applications using clear and practical case studies. Through this process it takes you on a gentle, fun and unhurried journey to creating your own models to forecast time series data. Whether you are new to time series forecasting or a veteran, this book offers a powerful set of tools for quickly and easily gaining insight from your data using R. NO EXPERIENCE REQUIRED: Through a simple to follow step by step process you will learn how to build time series forecasting models using R. Once you have mastered the process, it will be easy for you to translate your knowledge into your own powerful applications. YOUR PERSONAL BLUE PRINT: Through a simple to follow intuitive step by step process, you will learn how to use the most popular time series forecasting models using R. Once you have mastered the process, it will be easy for you to translate your knowledge to assess your own data. THIS BOOK IS FOR YOU IF YOU WANT: Focus on explanations rather than mathematical derivation Practical illustrations that use real data. Illustrations to deepen your understanding. Worked examples in R you can easily follow and immediately implement. Ideas you can actually use and try on your own data. TAKE THE SHORTCUT: This guide was written for people who want to get up to speed as quickly as possible. YOU'LL LEARN HOW TO: Unleash the power the Prophet forecasting algorithm. Master the award winning Theta method. Use the component form exponential smoothing framework. Design successful applications using classical ARIMA modeling. Adapt the flexible BATS and TBATS framework for optimum success. Deploy the multiple aggregation prediction algorithm. Explore the potential of simple moving averages. For each time series forecasting technique, every step in the process is detailed, from preparing the data for analysis to evaluating the results. These steps will build the knowledge you need to apply them to your own data science tasks. Using plain language, this book offers a simple, intuitive, practical, non-mathematical, easy to follow guide to the most successful ideas, outstanding techniques and usable solutions available using R. Everything you need to get started is contained within this book. Automated Time Series Forecasting Made Easy with R is your very own hands on practical, tactical, easy to follow guide to mastery. Buy this book today and accelerate your progress!

Download or read book Managing the Global Supply Chain Collection written by Chad W. Autry and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2013-03-02 with total page 1596 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brand new collection of insights and actionable techniques for world-class supply chain management… 2 authoritative books, now in a convenient e-format, at a great price! 2 authoritative eBooks deliver comprehensive resources for managing state-of-the-art supply chains in challenging global environments Master the latest techniques for overcoming your most difficult operations and supply chain management challenges! This unique 2 eBook package will help you address issues ranging from Lean/Six Sigma to transportation and warehousing, and anticipate emerging global issues – so you can transform them from risks into competitive advantages. The Encyclopedia of Operations Management is the perfect single-volume "field manual" for every supply chain or operations management practitioner and student. Nearly 1,500 well-organized, up-to-date definitions cover: accounting, customer service, distribution, e-business, economics, finance, forecasting, HR, industrial engineering, industrial relations, inventory management, healthcare management, Lean, logistics, maintenance engineering, management IS, marketing/sales, product development, operations research, organizational behavior/management, time management, production planning/control, purchasing, reliability, quality, service management, simulation, statistics, strategic management, systems engineering, supply chain management, theory of constraints, transportation, warehousing, and more. Next, in Global Macrotrends and Their Impact on Supply Chain Management, Chad W. Autry, Thomas J. Goldsby, John E. Bell prepare you to manage supply and demand in a world marked by demographic and economic shifts that will turn markets upside down. They offer a complete decision framework and practical tools, insights, and guidance for systematically mitigating new risks and building long-term competitive advantage. This book focuses squarely on emerging societal, technological, geopolitical, and environmental macro trends, helping you assess the impacts of population growth, migration, urbanization; socioeconomic change, global connectivity, environmental issues, geopolitics, growing scarcity, transportation congestion, aging infrastructure, and emerging supply-demand imbalances. It also provides comprehensive mitigation strategies based on logistics, resource recovery, resource protection, and demand/supply shaping. This collection will be an indispensable resource for all supply chain, logistics, sourcing, and operations management executives, managers, and professionals; and for all operations/supply chain research professionals, instructors, and graduate students. From world-renowned supply chain management experts Arthur V. Hill, Chad W. Autry, Thomas J. Goldsby, and John E. Bell

Download or read book Tools and Tactics for Operations Managers Collection written by Randal Wilson and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2013-03-02 with total page 1749 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brand new collection of state-of-the-art operations management tools and tactics… 3 authoritative books, now in a convenient e-format, at a great price! 3 authoritative eBooks bring together today’s most valuable new operations management techniques and solutions! Apply today’s most innovative operations management techniques to improve performance and value in any organization -- even the most complex or constrained! In High Performance Operations, Hillel Glazer shows how to optimize business performance and profitability while maintaining strong governance and compliance. Glazer demonstrates how to integrate lean and systems thinking, and systematically incorporating compliance into planning for overall performance, value, and profitability, rather than viewing it as an end in itself. Learn how to clarify competing interests and implement pre-conditions for success; use systems thinking to promote operational excellence; eliminate single points of failure; establish proof-of-performance; scale your successes, and get more of "what went right"! The Encyclopedia of Operations Management is the perfect single-volume "field manual" for every OM or supply chain professional. Nearly 1,500 well-organized, up-to-date definitions cover every facet of supply chain design, planning, management, and optimization. For the first time, this remarkable reference brings together up-to-the-minute information about topics ranging from accounting and customer service to transportation and warehousing. Next, in The Operations Manager's Toolbox , Randal Wilson helps you use proven project management (PM) tools and techniques to supercharge efficiency, free up resources, eliminate unnecessary meetings, and get more done faster. Wilson shows how to apply PM to complete crucial "smaller" tasks that can deliver rapid and sizable improvements. You’ll learn how to plan, implement, and measure the success of high-impact changes, and organize key tasks so they actually get done. Discover specific techniques for eliminating waste in engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and inventory. Next, learn how to use PM to manage teams, schedules, budgets, and resources more effectively, and systematically predict and mitigate operational risks. Whatever your role in operations management, this unique eBook collection will help you perform far more effectively – in your organization, and in your career! From world-renowned operations management experts Hillel Glazer, Arthur V. Hill, and Randal Wilson

Download or read book Supply Chain Design Collection written by Marc J. Schniederjans and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2013-03-02 with total page 2415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brand new collection of world-class supply chain design solutions… 3 authoritative books, now in a convenient e-format, at a great price! 3 authoritative eBooks deliver state-of-the-art guidance for designing and optimizing highly competitive global supply chains! This unique 3 eBook package will help you design state-of-the-art supply chains that deliver rapid, quantifiable, and sustainable competitive advantage. The Encyclopedia of Operations Management is the perfect single-volume "field manual" for every supply chain or operations management practitioner and student. Nearly 1,500 well-organized, up-to-date definitions cover every facet of supply chain design, planning, management, and optimization. Next, in Reinventing the Supply Chain Life Cycle, Marc J. Schniederjans and Stephen B. LeGrand show how to optimize supply chains throughout their entire lifecycle: creation, growth, maturity, and decline! Reflecting up-to-the-minute "in-the-trenches" experience and pioneering research, this book illuminates the complex transformational processes associated with managing complex supply chains that incorporate multiple products and services within ever-changing networks. They walk you through: starting, creating, and building new supply chains; realigning them for growth; adjusting to dynamic change, readjusting networks, building flexibility, and managing new risks. Next, they offer practical, realistic guidance for realigning "mature" supply chains, innovating, controlling costs; and smoothly managing declining demand. Throughout, they offer invaluable insights, tools, and examples for negotiation, performance measurement, anticipating change, improving agility, meeting commitments to social responsibility and the law; and more. Finally, in Supply Chain Network Design, four leading IBM and Northwestern University experts show how to use strategic supply chain network design to achieve dramatic new savings. They integrate rigorous principles and practical applications to help you select the right number, location, territory, and size of warehouses, plants, and production lines; and optimize the flow of all products through even the most complex global supply chain. You’ll find better ways to decide what (and where) to manufacture internally; and which products to outsource (and to whom). You’ll get help managing cost vs. service-level tradeoffs; using analytics to improve decision-making; and re-optimizing regularly for even more savings. Whatever your role in supply chain design, this collection will help you systematically optimize performance, customer value, and profitability. From world-renowned supply chain experts Arthur V. Hill, Marc J. Schniederjans, Stephen B. LeGrand, Michael Watson, Sara Lewis, Peter Cacioppi, and Jay Jayaraman

Download or read book Forecasting with Artificial Intelligence written by Mohsen Hamoudia and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-10-22 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a comprehensive guide that explores the intersection of artificial intelligence and forecasting, providing the latest insights and trends in this rapidly evolving field. The book contains fourteen chapters covering a wide range of topics, including the concept of AI, its impact on economic decision-making, traditional and machine learning-based forecasting methods, challenges in demand forecasting, global forecasting models, meta-learning and feature-based forecasting, ensembling, deep learning, scalability in industrial and optimization applications, and forecasting performance evaluation. With key illustrations, state-of-the-art implementations, best practices, and notable advances, this book offers practical insights into the theory and practice of AI-based forecasting. This book is a valuable resource for anyone involved in forecasting, including forecasters, statisticians, data scientists, business analysts, or decision-makers.

Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-04-05 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike

Download or read book Building Sustainability Into Your Organization Collection written by Peter A. Soyka and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 2304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A brand new collection of state-of-the-art techniques for building more sustainable, higher-performing organizations… now in a convenient e-format, at a great price! Three 100% practical primers help you drive competitive advantage by optimizing sustainability and operational performance To compete in today’s extraordinarily competitive global environment, organizations need to achieve new levels of sustainability and operational performance. This brand-new package brings together three practical, state-of-the-art primers for doing just that. Robert Palevich’s The Lean Sustainable Supply Chain offers start-to-finish guidance for redesigning company infrastructure and technologies to achieve the powerful benefits that come with integrating "lean" and "green." and benefits. Palevich introduces core concepts of lean green supply chain management, illuminating them with a comprehensive case study showing how to manage change, innovation, talent, execution, inventory, warehousing, and transportation. He demonstrates how to integrate supply chain sustainability into business scorecards; use 3PLs more effectively; drive more value from information, and systematically address every relevant technical issue. Next, in Creating a Sustainable Organization, Peter A. Soyka presents today’s most complete and actionable guide to improving business performance through sustainable practices. Soyka bridges the disparate worlds of the EHS/sustainability professional and the investor/analyst, outlining today’s best evidence about linkages between sustainability and value, discussing key stakeholder relationships, and introducing new practices for managing and measuring sustainability throughout the business. Finally, Arthur V. Hill’s The Encyclopedia of Operations Management is today’s most convenient and useful supply chain/operations management "field manual." Bringing together nearly 1,500 well-organized definitions, it helps you quickly map all areas of these fields, from accounting and distribution through quality management, strategy, transportation, and warehousing. Throughout, Hill offers a shared language and realistic insights for improving any process and supporting any training program. From world-renowned supply chain and operations experts Robert Palevich, Peter A. Soyka, and Arthur V. Hill

Download or read book Information and Communication Technologies written by Jorge Maldonado-Mahauad and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-11-06 with total page 495 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the proceedings of the 11th Ecuadorian Conference on Information and Communication Technologies, TICEC 2023, held in Cuenca, Ecuador, during October 18–20, 2023. The 31 full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 120 submissions. The papers cover a great variety of topics, such as internet of things, cyber-physical systems, human-machine interface, artificial Intelligence, e-Learning, smart healthcare, smart healthcare and others. The papers are organized in the following topical sections: data science and machine learning; ICTs and their applications; and software development.

Download or read book Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-06-02 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.

Download or read book FORECASTING METHODS AND APPLICATIONS 3RD ED written by Spyros Makridakis and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market_Desc: · Market Researchers· Financial Analysts· Business Planners· Business Economists· Operations Managers· Human Resources Administrators· Business Analysts of various kinds· Other Business Professionals Special Features: · A managerial, business orientation approach is used instead of a mathematical, research focus. Emphasis placed on the practical uses of forecasting.· All data sets used in this text will be available on the Internet.· Coverage now includes the latest techniques used by managers in business today. About The Book: Known from its last editions as the Bible of Forecasting , the third edition of this authoritative text has adopted a new approach-one that is as new as the latest trends in the field: Explaining the past is not adequate for predicting the future . In other words, accurate forecasting requires more than just the fitting of models to historical data. Inside, readers will find the latest techniques used by managers in business today, discover the importance of forecasting and learn how it's accomplished. And readers will develop the necessary skills to meet the increased demand for thoughtful and realistic forecasts.