Download or read book Forecast Ozone Levels Using a Time Series Model Plus Principal Component Triggers written by Pao-Wen Grace Liu and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 782 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Evaluation of Ozone Forecasting Models Using MM5 Real time Forecasts and Development of Online Ozone Calculator for Cleveland and Akron Ohio written by Ashwini Tandale and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Air quality forecasts for more than 250 cities in the United States are made daily by state and local agencies to caution the public about potentially harmful conditions. It is important that the real-time and forecasted air quality information is accurate so that necessary measures can be taken to prevent such conditions. In this study, forecasting models have been developed to predict the daily maximum ozone concentrations and the air quality index (AQI) for the Cleveland and Akron areas in Ohio. The ozone data for the years 1996-2002 obtained from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the meteorological data extracted from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) for the same time period were used. The data were divided into three groups, namely pre-summer (April to May), summer (June-July), and post-summer (August-October) based on the seasonal variations of ozone during these periods. The popular Kolmogorov-Zurbenko (KZ) filter technique and regression analysis have been adopted for developing the models using the time series for the years 1996-2001. The proposed models defined the natural log of the daily maximum ozone concentration as a function of daily maximum temperature and daily average wind speed. A total of twelve models were developed to predict ozone concentrations for periods of pre-summer, summer and post-summer. Six models considered temperature and wind speed as the independent variables and the other six considered temperature. The performance of the models was evaluated in three different ways: a) Initial evaluation of the models was conducted using 2002 data and model evaluation parameters used in air quality model evaluation studies. b) The models were also compared with an earlier developed model for the entire state of Ohio. c) The effectiveness of these models was further evaluated using available MM5 (a mesoscale meteorological forecasting model) real time forecasts from the Ohio State University for the months of Aug.-Oct., 2003. The study shows that the forecasting ability of models based on KZ filters to predict daily maximum ozone concentration is limited and that the models are less reliable in predicting high concentrations observed in both the Cleveland and Akron areas when the observed values of the independent parameters are considered. However, the models performed well in predicting AQI reported by the USEPA for both areas. Also, it was found that the use of temperature and wind speed increased the accuracy of predictions as compared to the models based on temperature. Based on these models, an online calculator was developed that calculates the ozone concentrations when the temperature, wind speed and the season are provided.
Download or read book Analysis of Ozone Data Trends as an Effect of Meteorology and Development of Forecasting Models for Predicting Hourly Ozone Concentrations and Exceedances for Dayton OH Using MM5 Real time Forecasts written by Raga Smitha Kalapati and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this research was to develop and evaluate models for predicting hourly ozone concentrations, ozone exceedances and hourly air quality index (AQI) in Dayton, OH. As the hourly ozone concentrations are closely related to the meteorological conditions, three variables - temperature, wind speed, and dew point temperature - were chosen for this study. The ozone data were extracted from the EPA's AIRS database for the period 1996-2003. The meteorological data was taken from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) for the same period. An analysis of variations in hourly ozone concentrations and ozone episode occurrences was carried out for the period Apr.-Oct. for the years 1996-1999. Also, analysis of the long-term trends in annual means of ozone concentrations, temperature, wind speed, and dew point temperature was performed using the same data set. Based on this analysis, the ozone data was divided into pre-summer (Apr.-Jul.) and post-summer (Aug.-Oct.) seasons, to account for seasonal variations, and each season was further divided into three regimes, namely, stable period (hours: 1-8), ascent period (hours: 9-16), and descent period (hours: 17-24). The KZ filter technique was used to reduce the scatter in the time series, and models were developed for the three regimes for each season by regression, using the corresponding independent parameter values. A total of twelve models were developed to predict ozone concentrations for pre-summer and post-summer periods. Six models considered temperature, wind speed, and dew point temperature as the independent variables (three-parameter models), and the other six considered temperature and wind speed as variables (two-parameter models). Also, three models each for pre-summer and post-summer season were developed for predicting the ozone exceedances. The performance of the models was evaluated in three ways: a) Initial evaluation (or validation) of the models was conducted using 2002 data. b) The effectiveness of these models was further evaluated using available MM5 (a mesoscale meteorological forecasting model) real-time forecasts from the Ohio State University for the months of Aug.-Oct., 2003. c) Finally, the performance of the three-parameter models was compared with that of the two-parameter models. All the evaluations were made using statistical evaluation parameters discussed later. The study shows that the forecasts of hourly ozone concentrations made by the models based on KZ filters are reliable only to a limited extent. However, the models performed well in predicting AQI values reported by the EPA. Also, the three-parameter models performed better in predicting the peak concentrations when compared to the two-parameter models.
Download or read book Journal of the Air Waste Management Association written by and published by . This book was released on 2007-07 with total page 818 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Time Series Models of Ozone Levels in New Jersey written by Pamela A. Ohman-Strickland and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book An Investigation of Daily Maximum Ground level Ozone Concentration Forecasting Using CART Statistical Techniques written by Douglas Mccollor and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Comparative Performance of Different Statistical Models for Predicting Ground Level Ozone O3 and Fine Particulate Matter PM2 5 Concentrations in Montr al Canada written by Edouard Philippe Martin and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists written by and published by . This book was released on 1970-12 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.
Download or read book Modern Statistics with R written by Måns Thulin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-08-20 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decades have transformed the world of statistical data analysis, with new methods, new types of data, and new computational tools. Modern Statistics with R introduces you to key parts of this modern statistical toolkit. It teaches you: Data wrangling - importing, formatting, reshaping, merging, and filtering data in R. Exploratory data analysis - using visualisations and multivariate techniques to explore datasets. Statistical inference - modern methods for testing hypotheses and computing confidence intervals. Predictive modelling - regression models and machine learning methods for prediction, classification, and forecasting. Simulation - using simulation techniques for sample size computations and evaluations of statistical methods. Ethics in statistics - ethical issues and good statistical practice. R programming - writing code that is fast, readable, and (hopefully!) free from bugs. No prior programming experience is necessary. Clear explanations and examples are provided to accommodate readers at all levels of familiarity with statistical principles and coding practices. A basic understanding of probability theory can enhance comprehension of certain concepts discussed within this book. In addition to plenty of examples, the book includes more than 200 exercises, with fully worked solutions available at: www.modernstatisticswithr.com.
Download or read book Climate Time Series Analysis written by Manfred Mudelsee and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-08-26 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate is a paradigm of a complex system. Analysing climate data is an exciting challenge, which is increased by non-normal distributional shape, serial dependence, uneven spacing and timescale uncertainties. This book presents bootstrap resampling as a computing-intensive method able to meet the challenge. It shows the bootstrap to perform reliably in the most important statistical estimation techniques: regression, spectral analysis, extreme values and correlation. This book is written for climatologists and applied statisticians. It explains step by step the bootstrap algorithms (including novel adaptions) and methods for confidence interval construction. It tests the accuracy of the algorithms by means of Monte Carlo experiments. It analyses a large array of climate time series, giving a detailed account on the data and the associated climatological questions. This makes the book self-contained for graduate students and researchers.
Download or read book Nitrogen oxides NOx why and how they are controlled written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1999 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Download or read book The New York Times Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 1296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists written by and published by . This book was released on 1992-06 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.
Download or read book Climate Change in the Himalayas written by G. B. Pant and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-09-15 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the issues associated with climate change in the Himalayas. The purpose of choosing the Himalayas as a focus is because it is a particularly fragile mountain system, highly sensitive to climate change impacts, and it contains one of the largest human populations affected by climate change. The book provides extensive data and information regarding the climate history of the Himalayas, and the current effects of climate change on Himalayan weather systems, and on human and animal populations in the region. The book begins with an overview of global climate change with discussions of data trends and international initiatives, then segues into a history of climate changes and weather trends in the Himalayas. Weather systems of the Himalayas, both past and current, are analyzed and detailed through climate models, seasonal observations of weather fronts, and overviews of various climate scenarios. The book then discusses climate change impacts and signat ures specific to the Central Himalayan region, where the largest effects of impacts are observed. Readers will discover analysis presented on water resources, meteorological changes, biodiversity, agriculture and human health along with perspectives of management and policy. This book will appeal to researchers studying climate science, climatology, environmental scientists and policymakers.
Download or read book Applied Mechanics Reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 1949 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
