Download or read book Future Babble written by Dan Gardner and published by McClelland & Stewart. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future — everything from the weather to the likelihood of a catastrophic terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it’s so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, journalist Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by UC Berkeley professor Philip Tetlock proved that pundits who are more famous are less accurate — and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.

Download or read book Reason in a Dark Time written by Dale Jamieson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2014-02-28 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the 1992 Rio Earth Summit to the 2009 Copenhagen Climate Conference there was a concerted international effort to stop climate change. Yet greenhouse gas emissions increased, atmospheric concentrations grew, and global warming became an observable fact of life. In this book, philosopher Dale Jamieson explains what climate change is, why we have failed to stop it, and why it still matters what we do. Centered in philosophy, the volume also treats the scientific, historical, economic, and political dimensions of climate change. Our failure to prevent or even to respond significantly to climate change, Jamieson argues, reflects the impoverishment of our systems of practical reason, the paralysis of our politics, and the limits of our cognitive and affective capacities. The climate change that is underway is remaking the world in such a way that familiar comforts, places, and ways of life will disappear in years or decades rather than centuries. Climate change also threatens our sense of meaning, since it is difficult to believe that our individual actions matter. The challenges that climate change presents go beyond the resources of common sense morality -- it can be hard to view such everyday acts as driving and flying as presenting moral problems. Yet there is much that we can do to slow climate change, to adapt to it and restore a sense of agency while living meaningful lives in a changing world.

Download or read book Failing Our Future written by Joshua R. Eyler and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2024-08-27 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book demonstrates both the harmful effects of our grade-obsessed culture and shows how we could do things differently"--

Download or read book Failing the Future written by Annette Kolodny and published by Duke University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A former professor and Dean looks at the future of education in the U.S. as well as the dilemmas facing current and future educators.

Download or read book The Stupidity Epidemic written by Joel Best and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2011 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First Published in 2011. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.

Download or read book Why Startups Fail written by Tom Eisenmann and published by Currency. This book was released on 2021-03-30 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If you want your startup to succeed, you need to understand why startups fail. “Whether you’re a first-time founder or looking to bring innovation into a corporate environment, Why Startups Fail is essential reading.”—Eric Ries, founder and CEO, LTSE, and New York Times bestselling author of The Lean Startup and The Startup Way Why do startups fail? That question caught Harvard Business School professor Tom Eisenmann by surprise when he realized he couldn’t answer it. So he launched a multiyear research project to find out. In Why Startups Fail, Eisenmann reveals his findings: six distinct patterns that account for the vast majority of startup failures. • Bad Bedfellows. Startup success is thought to rest largely on the founder’s talents and instincts. But the wrong team, investors, or partners can sink a venture just as quickly. • False Starts. In following the oft-cited advice to “fail fast” and to “launch before you’re ready,” founders risk wasting time and capital on the wrong solutions. • False Promises. Success with early adopters can be misleading and give founders unwarranted confidence to expand. • Speed Traps. Despite the pressure to “get big fast,” hypergrowth can spell disaster for even the most promising ventures. • Help Wanted. Rapidly scaling startups need lots of capital and talent, but they can make mistakes that leave them suddenly in short supply of both. • Cascading Miracles. Silicon Valley exhorts entrepreneurs to dream big. But the bigger the vision, the more things that can go wrong. Drawing on fascinating stories of ventures that failed to fulfill their early promise—from a home-furnishings retailer to a concierge dog-walking service, from a dating app to the inventor of a sophisticated social robot, from a fashion brand to a startup deploying a vast network of charging stations for electric vehicles—Eisenmann offers frameworks for detecting when a venture is vulnerable to these patterns, along with a wealth of strategies and tactics for avoiding them. A must-read for founders at any stage of their entrepreneurial journey, Why Startups Fail is not merely a guide to preventing failure but also a roadmap charting the path to startup success.

Download or read book If America Fail written by Samuel Zane Batten and published by . This book was released on 2015-07-12 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Excerpt from If America Fail: Our National Mission and Our Possible Future In every age, as Carlyle suggests, there is some one people that enshrines the largest mass of living interests for humanity as a whole. Men of every race might readily accept this estimate provided they were allowed to name this people. In our time several peoples, each possessing striking characteristics, are playing a fateful part in the drama of universal history. Not for a moment do we mean to ignore the worth or significance of any of these. Most fully do we believe that there is a God of history who calls nations to great historic tasks. The fact that one nation has historic significance and a divine calling, does not imply that it alone has value in universal history and that other peoples carry no values for the world. In truth it implies the direct opposite. Not in any provincial spirit, therefore, but with a profound reverence for the qualities and values of the various races, do we claim that in many respects one of the most outstanding peoples in our age is that branch of the Anglo-Saxon race bearing the name American. For this age America enshrines the largest mass of living interests entrusted to any one nation. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.

Download or read book Failing in the Field written by Dean Karlan and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2018-12-18 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A revealing look at the common causes of failures in randomized control experiments during field reseach—and how to avoid them All across the social sciences, from development economics to political science, researchers are going into the field to collect data and learn about the world. Successful randomized controlled trials have brought about enormous gains, but less is learned when projects fail. In Failing in the Field, Dean Karlan and Jacob Appel examine the taboo subject of failure in field research so that researchers might avoid the same pitfalls in future work. Drawing on the experiences of top social scientists working in developing countries, this book describes five common categories of failures, reviews six case studies in detail, and concludes with reflections on best (and worst) practices for designing and running field projects, with an emphasis on randomized controlled trials. Failing in the Field is an invaluable “how-not-to” guide to conducting fieldwork and running randomized controlled trials in development settings.

Download or read book The Up Side of Down written by Megan McArdle and published by . This book was released on 2014-02-11 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pleidooi om te leren van fouten en deze te zien als leermomenten op weg naar succes in zaken.

Download or read book How We Sold Our Future written by Jens Beckert and published by Polity. This book was released on 2025-02-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For decades we have known about the dangers of global warming. Nevertheless, greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase. How can we explain our failure to take the necessary measures to stop climate change? Why are societies, despite the mounting threat to ourselves and our children, so reluctant to take action? In this important new book, Jens Beckert provides an answer to these questions. Our apparent inability to implement basic measures to combat climate change is due to the nature of power and incentive structures affecting companies, politicians, voters, and consumers. Drawing on social science research, he argues that climate change is an inevitable product of the structures of capitalist modernity which have been developing for the past 500 years. Our institutional and cultural arrangements are operating at the cost of destroying the natural environment and attempts to address global warming are almost inevitably bound to fail. Temperatures will continue to rise and social and political conflicts will intensify. The tragic truth is: we are selling our future for the next quarterly figures, the upcoming election results, and today’s pleasure. Any realistic climate policy needs to focus on preparing societies for the consequences of escalating climate change and aim at strengthening social resilience to cope with the increasingly unstable natural world. Civil society is the only source of pressure that could build the necessary strength and support for climate protection. How We Sold Our Future is a crucial intervention into the most pressing issue of our time.

Download or read book Future of Capitalism written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book If America Fail Our National Mission and Our Possible Future 1922 written by Samuel Zane Batten and published by . This book was released on 2009-03 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This scarce antiquarian book is a facsimile reprint of the original. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment for protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature in affordable, high quality, modern editions that are true to the original work.

Download or read book How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big written by Scott Adams and published by Scott Adams, Inc.. This book was released on 2023-08-17 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World’s Most Influential Book on Personal Success The bestselling classic that made Systems Over Goals, Talent Stacking, and Passion Is Overrated universal success advice has been reborn. Once in a generation, a book revolutionizes its category and becomes the preeminent reference that all subsequent books on the topic must pay homage to, in name or in spirit. How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big by Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert, is such a book for the field of personal success. A contrarian pundit and persuasion expert in a class of his own, Adams has reached hundreds of millions directly and indirectly through the 2013 first edition’s straightforward yet counterintuitive advice—to invite failure in, embrace it, then pick its pocket. The second edition of How to Fail is a tighter, updated version, by popular demand. Yet new and returning readers alike will find the same candor, humor, and timeless wisdom on productivity, career growth, health and fitness, and entrepreneurial success as the original classic. How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big, Second Edition is the essential read (or re-read) for anyone who wants to find a unique path to personal victory—and make luck find you in whatever you do.

Download or read book America s Future in Education written by Brock Griffin and published by . This book was released on 2023-11-02 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everyone agrees that our educational system is dramatically underperforming. Why can America go to the moon, but not fix its educational system? Upstream Strategies Inc. and Dr. Douglas Peake seeks to answer this question with clarity and depth. By introducing a new way of thinking about the problem. America's Future in Education will explore why change is so difficult and nearly impossible. How the principles of our founding fathers can overcome this challenge and bring about transformational change. Come along this journey that explores our history and connects it to our future. America is the most innovative nation in the history of the world, and together we can solve this problem.

Download or read book Fathers Fail to Further the Future newspaper Article written by Sandra McLean and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 1 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Future Of Education written by Matthew Gumke and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Future Of Education - Are You Prepared For Life In 2050?Heraclitus, the ancient, self-taught Greek philosopher and pioneer of wisdom said "The only constant in life is change". The world is changing at a blistering pace. The question is... are colleges and universities across the world able to adapt to the rapid changes taking place?Steven Hawking said "Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change."Colleges can't adapt to change, it takes years for the changes to become accepted and implemented into the curriculum. By the time they're teaching the students, the information is already outdated. In this book, you'll learn about: - How the old structures of society are crumbling- How the collection of data is centralising power- How you can collect this data yourself- How entrepreneurs are changing the education industry- How to take control over your education- How to create multiple income streams with your knowledge- Information arbitrage- How my mentor became a millionaire with his education company- How to stay adaptable and powerful in a world that's changing quicklyWhen I was a teenager, I was given 2 options by my teachers and family:1) Go to university, get a stable job and live a stress free life.2) Don't go to university, never have a job, worry about how I'll pay the bills, live a terrible life and die in absolute poverty.In 2019, 60% of people aged 25-34 have a degree. I'm a firm believer of the quote by David McCullough "If everyone is special, no one is. If everyone gets a trophy, trophies become meaningless."I grew up in the society of "everyone's a winner, everyone gets a trophy". I even got a trophy for coming 6th place in a race once. It made me feel awful. When I got home, it went where it belonged, the trash!The problem with college/university is, it creates a culture of losing. Did you know that the richest 100 people have a larger net worth than the world's poorest 4 billion people?Do you think the separating factor was that these 100 people got formal education while the poorest 4 billion people didn't?If you look into it further, you'll see that many of the poorest 4 billion people got a formal education and yet they still can't make ends meet. You could say "that's across the world, in America, formal education is still important".Let's see if formal education is the deciding factor for having a successful life in America. Top 10% average income - $322,475Bottom 90% average income - $35,628As you can see, the top 10% is making almost 10x the bottom 90%. If 60% of American's take part in formal education, you can see that the vast majority of the 60% of people aren't successful. Yes, you can be successful in many aspects of life - love, happiness, family, relationships, however the most important thing to help all the others fall into place is - financial success.That's the reason we go to school and on to further education in the first place isn't it, financial success? So we can create a better life for ourselves and our children?The statistics don't lie, colleges are failing us. What's the solution?I believe the solution is self education. My mentor Jim Rohn taught me "formal education will make you a living, self education will make you a fortune."This book is for: - Concerned parents worried about the information being taught to their kids.- Concerned parents worried about their kids accumulating student loan debt.- Concerned children/teenagers, worried about their future- Anyone wanting to become wildly successful by adapting to the futureAre you in the position to adapt to the future? Or are you going to let your teachers, society and parents force you to take a path that isn't working for the vast majority of college graduates?The average student debt is $38,390. For the fraction of the cost of that, you can learn about what's working NOW and will work in the future, not 40 years ago.

Download or read book The Future of Capitalism written by Paul Collier and published by HarperCollins. This book was released on 2018-12-04 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bill Gates's Five Books for Summer Reading 2019 From world-renowned economist Paul Collier, a candid diagnosis of the failures of capitalism and a pragmatic and realistic vision for how we can repair it. Deep new rifts are tearing apart the fabric of the United States and other Western societies: thriving cities versus rural counties, the highly skilled elite versus the less educated, wealthy versus developing countries. As these divides deepen, we have lost the sense of ethical obligation to others that was crucial to the rise of post-war social democracy. So far these rifts have been answered only by the revivalist ideologies of populism and socialism, leading to the seismic upheavals of Trump, Brexit, and the return of the far-right in Germany. We have heard many critiques of capitalism but no one has laid out a realistic way to fix it, until now. In a passionate and polemical book, celebrated economist Paul Collier outlines brilliantly original and ethical ways of healing these rifts—economic, social and cultural—with the cool head of pragmatism, rather than the fervor of ideological revivalism. He reveals how he has personally lived across these three divides, moving from working-class Sheffield to hyper-competitive Oxford, and working between Britain and Africa, and acknowledges some of the failings of his profession. Drawing on his own solutions as well as ideas from some of the world’s most distinguished social scientists, he shows us how to save capitalism from itself—and free ourselves from the intellectual baggage of the twentieth century.