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Book Estimating Expectations of Shocks Using Option Prices

Download or read book Estimating Expectations of Shocks Using Option Prices written by Antonio Di Cesare and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Estimating State Price Densities by Hermite Polynomials

Download or read book Estimating State Price Densities by Hermite Polynomials written by Paolo Guasoni and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Market Expectations and Option Prices

Download or read book Market Expectations and Option Prices written by Martin Mandler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a slightly revised version of my doctoral dissertation which has been accepted by the Department of Economics and Business Administration of the Justus-Liebig-Universitat Giessen in July 2002. I am indebted to my advisor Prof. Dr. Volbert Alexander for encouraging and supporting my research. I am also grateful to the second member of the doctoral committee, Prof. Dr. Horst Rinne. Special thanks go to Dr. Ralf Ahrens for providing part of the data and to my colleague Carsten Lang, who spent much time reading the complete first draft. Wetzlar, January 2003 Martin Mandler Contents 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Part I Theoretical Foundations 2 Arbitrage Pricing and Risk-Neutral Probabilities........ .. 7 2.1 Arbitrage Pricing in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model... . . .. . 7 2.2 The Equivalent Martingale Measure and Risk-Neutral Valuation ............................................... 11 2.3 Extracting Risk-Neutral Probabilities from Option Prices. . . .. 13 2.4 Summary............................................... 15 Appendix 2A: The Valuation Function in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model .................................................. 16 Appendix 2B: Some Further Details on the Replication Strategy ... 21 3 Survey of the Related Literature .......................... 23 3.1 The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices. . . .. . 24 3.2 The Information Content of Implied Volatilities ............. 25 3.2.1 Implied Volatilities and the Risk-Neutral Probability Density .......................................... 27 3.2.2 The Term Structure of Implied Volatilities. . . . . . . .. . . 29 . 3.2.3 The Forecasting Information in Implied Volatilities. . .. 30 3.2.4 Implied Correlations as Forecasts of Future Correlations 43 VIII Contents 3.3 The Skewness Premium ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 45 . . . . . . .

Book Probability Theory and Applications

Download or read book Probability Theory and Applications written by Elton P. Hsu and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 1999 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, with contributions by leading experts in the field, is a collection of lecture notes of the six minicourses given at the IAS/Park City Summer Mathematics Institute. It introduces advanced graduates and researchers in probability theory to several of the currently active research areas in the field. Each course is self-contained with references and contains basic materials and recent results. Topics include interacting particle systems, percolation theory, analysis on path and loop spaces, and mathematical finance. The volume gives a balanced overview of the current status of probability theory. An extensive bibliography for further study and research is included. This unique collection presents several important areas of current research and a valuable survey reflecting the diversity of the field.

Book Introduction to Mathematical Finance

Download or read book Introduction to Mathematical Finance written by David C. Heath Glen Swindle and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2000-01-25 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The foundation for the subject of mathematical finance was laid nearly 100 years ago by Bachelier in his fundamental work, Theorie de la speculation. In this work, he provided the first treatment of Brownian motion. Since then, the research of Markowitz, and then of Black, Merton, Scholes, and Samuelson brought remarkable and important strides in the field. A few years later, Harrison and Kreps demonstrated the fundamental role of martingales and stochastic analysis in constructing and understanding models for financial markets. The connection opened the door for a flood of mathematical developments and growth. Concurrently with these mathematical advances, markets have grown, and developments in both academia and industry continue to expand. This lively activity inspired an AMS Short Course at the Joint Mathematics Meetings in San Diego (CA). The present volume includes the written results of that course. Articles are featured by an impressive list of recognized researchers and practitioners. Their contributions present deep results, pose challenging questions, and suggest directions for future research. This collection offers compelling introductory articles on this new, exciting, and rapidly growing field.

Book The Modelling of Operational Risk

Download or read book The Modelling of Operational Risk written by Marco Moscadelli and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Short term Impact of Government Budgets on Prices

Download or read book The Short term Impact of Government Budgets on Prices written by Jérôme Henry and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the existing empirical evidence on the short term impact on prices of fiscal variables and assesses it against new results from harmonised simulations, conducted with six well established econometric models used by the ECB and five national central banks (NCBs) of the Eurosystem. The outcome is also compared with results from the European Commission and the OECD models. Overall, a broad consensus appears on the impact on prices of changes in individual government budget items in the euro area. In all cases, changes in government demand and in direct taxes paid by households have a limited impact on prices in the first year while, in contrast, changes in indirect taxes and employers' social security contributions have a relatively large impact. The second year results show that the effects on prices usually take some time to materialise fully; in particular, they often become large for the public consumption shock.

Book World Economic Outlook April 2012

Download or read book World Economic Outlook April 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-04-17 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The April 2012 issue of the World Economic Outlook assesses the prospects for the global economy, which has gradually strengthened after a major setback during 2011. The threat of a sharp global slowdown eased with improved activity in the United States and better policies in the euro area. Weak recovery will likely resume in the major advanced economies, and activity will remain relatively solid in most emerging and developing economies. However, recent improvements are very fragile. Policymakers must calibrate policies to support growth in the near term and must implement fundamental changes to achieve healthy growth in the medium term. Chapter 3 examines how policies directed at real estate markets can accelerate the improvement of household balance sheets and thus support otherwise anemic consumption. Chapter 4 examines how swings in commodity prices affect commodity-exporting economies, many of which have experienced a decade of good growth. With commodity prices unlikely to continue growing at the recent elevated pace, however, these economies may have to adapt their fiscal and other policies to lower potential output growth in the future.

Book Currency Derivatives

Download or read book Currency Derivatives written by David F. DeRosa and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-09-07 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mit über einer Billion US Dollar Umsatz stellt der Devisenhandel weltweit den größten Markt dar. In diesem Markt sind Währungsderivate zu einem bevorzugten Handelsinstrument geworden, das von Großbanken, Brokerhäusern, Hedge Funds (spekulativ ausgerichteter Fonds, der mit Hilfe von Derivaten seine Gewinne zu optimieren versucht) und Handelsberatern eingesetzt wird. Zwar sind diese Instrumente heute komplexer denn je, aber sie sind ein unverzichtbares Mittel des Risikomanagements im Devisenhandel. Herausgegeben von führenden Devisenhändlern und Analysten, ist dieses Buch Basislektüre für jeden, der sich in diesem Bereich bewegt. Eine Sammlung der 20 besten und meist zitierten Beiträge zu Währungsderivaten, Preistheorie und Anwendungen von Hedging-Methoden (10/98)

Book Can Option Smiles Forecast Changes in Interest Rates

Download or read book Can Option Smiles Forecast Changes in Interest Rates written by Marcello Pericoli and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Prices Product Differentiation and Quality Measurement

Download or read book Prices Product Differentiation and Quality Measurement written by Gian Maria Tomat and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Cyclical Asymmetry in Fiscal Policy

Download or read book Cyclical Asymmetry in Fiscal Policy written by Fabrizio Balassone and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Econometric Models of the Euro area Central Banks

Download or read book Econometric Models of the Euro area Central Banks written by Gabriel Fagan and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2006-01-01 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a description of the main macroeconomic models used by the European Central Bank and the euro area national central banks (Eurosystem). These models are used to help prepare economic projections and scenario analysis for individual countries and the euro area as a whole. The volume takes stock of the current macroeconometric modelling infrastructure available within the Eurosystem, highlighting not only the structures and main features of the models used but also their purposes and underlying model-building philosophies. A bird s eye view of the key details of the design, structure and characteristics of the models is provided, along with information on the responses of these models to a series of standard economic and policy shocks. This is the first time that a comprehensive description and systematic comparison of the main macroeconomic models has been published. This book will be of great interest to Central Bank and government economists, as well as academics, economists and students with an interest in central banking, econometric modelling, forecasting and macroeconomic policy.