Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.
Download or read book Errors of Judgment written by James H. Jones and published by . This book was released on 2016-04-24 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The true story of the author's unfortunate experiences with the British Small Claims Courts system, and his ultimately futile fight for justice and reason in the face of blatant judicial incompetence.
Download or read book Judgment Misguided written by Jonathan Baron and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1998 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.
Download or read book Walker s Errors in Civil Proceedings written by William Slee Walker and published by . This book was released on 1917 with total page 1474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Judgment Under Uncertainty written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1982-04-30 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.
Download or read book Supreme Errors in Judgment written by Edward D'Felio and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2022-11-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Within the last year, the Supreme Court has once again come under scrunty, and justifiably so as will be demonstrated throughout this booklet. The overturning of Roe v. Wade exemplified to sentiments of the public. In response to the publics outcry, Chief Justice John Roberts expressed his concerns regarding the public's perception of the Court's legitimacy, while nine months earlier Justice Amy Coney Barrett attempted to convince the nation that the court is not partisan. Contrarily to their beliefs, the Supreme Court has always had a history of partisanship, corruption, misinformation, and/or failing to follow precedent. Such a claim is supported by thorough research, and deductive and inductive reasoning as will be illustrated within. For example, it started in 1801 with the rivalry between John Adams and Thomas Jefferson, which culminated in the Supreme Court establishing judicial review via Marbury v. Madison. In addition, the focus is on two additional areas where Supreme Court decisions have jeopardized the integrity of the Court itself, as well as our democratic republic: equating money to speech and corporations to people. Ironically, the rationale for overturning Roe v. Wade is identical to revisiting, and overturning Santa Clara County v. Southern Pacific Railroad, First National Bank of Boston v. Bellotti and Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission as they pertain to corporations being people.
Download or read book Decisive written by Chip Heath and published by Random House Canada. This book was released on 2013-03-26 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The four principles that can help us to overcome our brains' natural biases to make better, more informed decisions--in our lives, careers, families and organizations. In Decisive, Chip Heath and Dan Heath, the bestselling authors of Made to Stick and Switch, tackle the thorny problem of how to overcome our natural biases and irrational thinking to make better decisions, about our work, lives, companies and careers. When it comes to decision making, our brains are flawed instruments. But given that we are biologically hard-wired to act foolishly and behave irrationally at times, how can we do better? A number of recent bestsellers have identified how irrational our decision making can be. But being aware of a bias doesn't correct it, just as knowing that you are nearsighted doesn't help you to see better. In Decisive, the Heath brothers, drawing on extensive studies, stories and research, offer specific, practical tools that can help us to think more clearly about our options, and get out of our heads, to improve our decision making, at work and at home.
Download or read book Rules of the Court of Errors and Appeals of the State of New Jersey written by New Jersey. Court of Errors and Appeals and published by . This book was released on 1912 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Errors in Social Judgment written by Robert J. Robinson and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Snap Judgment written by David E. Adler and published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Adler's argument is illuminating and reveals that, when it comes to investing, we should always have second thoughts about our first impressions." --Publisher's Weekly WHY YOUR INSTINCTS CAN BE YOUR #1 ENEMY--AND HOW TO DEFEAT THEM! "David Adler's Snap Judgment is a well-written, entertaining review of human action in risky situations, including stock market behavior and other risk-facing situations. In particular, Adler recounts the conclusions of many practitioners and behavioral finance scholars who have studied such matters. This book is well worth reading, both for its practical advice for the novice and its wealth of illustrations for the pro." -- Harry Markowitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics and father of modern portfolio theory "David Adler has done a great public service by translating a dazzling array of research in economics and finance into practical terms that anyone can understand and profit from. This book should be required reading for every investor." -- Andrew W. Lo, Professor of Finance, MIT Sloan School of Management "Investing and managing your money on the basis of emotion, instincts, and intuition is a road straight to the poorhouse. This book teaches you why--and how to rid yourself of the irrational impulses that torment your portfolio." -- Peter Navarro, bestselling author of If It's Raining in Brazil, Buy Starbucks and The Coming China Wars "Adler's book makes a compelling case, illustrated through engaging examples, that the mind and the purse are well served by the triumph of analytic intelligence over intuition." -- Gary Loveman, Chairman, President, & CEO, Harrah's Entertainment, Inc.
Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Download or read book The Law of Errors and Writs of Errors written by John Anthon and published by . This book was released on 1703 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book An Analytical and Practical Synopsis of All the Cases Argued and Reversed in Law and Equity written by Ralph Lockwood and published by . This book was released on 1848 with total page 676 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book On the Mathematical Theory of Errors of Judgment with Special Reference to the Personal Equation written by HardPress and published by Hardpress Publishing. This book was released on 2013-01 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlike some other reproductions of classic texts (1) We have not used OCR(Optical Character Recognition), as this leads to bad quality books with introduced typos. (2) In books where there are images such as portraits, maps, sketches etc We have endeavoured to keep the quality of these images, so they represent accurately the original artefact. Although occasionally there may be certain imperfections with these old texts, we feel they deserve to be made available for future generations to enjoy.
Download or read book Errors of Judgment written by Caro Fraser and published by Allison & Busby. This book was released on 2013-09-30 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a hedonistic personal lifestyle so often at odds with his professional existence, Leo Davies QC, head of chambers at 5 Caper Court, is thinking he has perhaps reached an age when he should opt for a quieter pace of life. But when a lovely face from the past turns up, an ex-lover who can give him a run for his money any day in games of sex and intrigue, Leo realizes he relishes the challenges as much as ever. And what of Anthony Cross, younger member of chambers, former love interest, and the man Leo has never quite been able to rid from his mind? When Anthony falls in love with a beguiling young law student, it sets off a chain of events in which Leo is more closely involved than he ever could have imagined. Behind the sedate exterior of 5 Caper Court, the lives of its employees twist and turn in ever more intriguing ways ...
Download or read book Rules of the Court of Errors and Appeals of the State of New Jersey written by New Jersey. Court of Errors and Appeals and published by . This book was released on 1937 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Design Paradigms written by Henry Petroski and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-05-27 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Case histories of engineering success and failure are presented to enrich understanding of the design process.