Download or read book Philosophical Lectures on Probability written by Bruno de Finetti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-05-20 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of “exchangeability” revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.
Download or read book Fragility Analysis of Complex Structural Systems written by Fabio Casciati and published by Wiley. This book was released on 1991-04-19 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer science and numerical methods are employed to analyze the ability of complex structural systems and their processes to resist special environmental events. Presents such methods as reliability analysis, random vibration and expert system applications and assesses the adequacy of each against the mechanical model. Practical applications are illustrated by many examples in engineering, nuclear and conventional power plants, aerospace industry and civil engineering.
Download or read book Principles of Copula Theory written by Fabrizio Durante and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-07-01 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives readers the solid and formal mathematical background to apply copulas to a range of mathematical areas, such as probability, real analysis, measure theory, and algebraic structures. The authors prove the results as simply as possible and unify various methods scattered throughout the literature in common frameworks, including shuffles of copulas. They also explore connections with related functions, such as quasi-copulas, semi-copulas, and triangular norms, that have been used in different domains.
Download or read book Dependence Modeling written by Harry Joe and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. Introduction : Dependence modeling / D. Kurowicka -- 2. Multivariate copulae / M. Fischer -- 3. Vines arise / R.M. Cooke, H. Joe and K. Aas -- 4. Sampling count variables with specified Pearson correlation : A comparison between a naive and a C-vine sampling approach / V. Erhardt and C. Czado -- 5. Micro correlations and tail dependence / R.M. Cooke, C. Kousky and H. Joe -- 6. The Copula information criterion and Its implications for the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator / S. Gronneberg -- 7. Dependence comparisons of vine copulae with four or more variables / H. Joe -- 8. Tail dependence in vine copulae / H. Joe -- 9. Counting vines / O. Morales-Napoles -- 10. Regular vines : Generation algorithm and number of equivalence classes / H. Joe, R.M. Cooke and D. Kurowicka -- 11. Optimal truncation of vines / D. Kurowicka -- 12. Bayesian inference for D-vines : Estimation and model selection / C. Czado and A. Min -- 13. Analysis of Australian electricity loads using joint Bayesian inference of D-vines with autoregressive margins / C. Czado, F. Gartner and A. Min -- 14. Non-parametric Bayesian belief nets versus vines / A. Hanea -- 15. Modeling dependence between financial returns using pair-copula constructions / K. Aas and D. Berg -- 16. Dynamic D-vine model / A. Heinen and A. Valdesogo -- 17. Summary and future directions / D. Kurowicka
Download or read book Mathematical Modeling in Economics and Finance Probability Stochastic Processes and Differential Equations written by Steven R. Dunbar and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2019-04-03 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical Modeling in Economics and Finance is designed as a textbook for an upper-division course on modeling in the economic sciences. The emphasis throughout is on the modeling process including post-modeling analysis and criticism. It is a textbook on modeling that happens to focus on financial instruments for the management of economic risk. The book combines a study of mathematical modeling with exposure to the tools of probability theory, difference and differential equations, numerical simulation, data analysis, and mathematical analysis. Students taking a course from Mathematical Modeling in Economics and Finance will come to understand some basic stochastic processes and the solutions to stochastic differential equations. They will understand how to use those tools to model the management of financial risk. They will gain a deep appreciation for the modeling process and learn methods of testing and evaluation driven by data. The reader of this book will be successfully positioned for an entry-level position in the financial services industry or for beginning graduate study in finance, economics, or actuarial science. The exposition in Mathematical Modeling in Economics and Finance is crystal clear and very student-friendly. The many exercises are extremely well designed. Steven Dunbar is Professor Emeritus of Mathematics at the University of Nebraska and he has won both university-wide and MAA prizes for extraordinary teaching. Dunbar served as Director of the MAA's American Mathematics Competitions from 2004 until 2015. His ability to communicate mathematics is on full display in this approachable, innovative text.
Download or read book Probability Induction and Statistics written by Bruno De Finetti and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1972 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hands On Machine Learning with R written by Brad Boehmke and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-11-07 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hands-on Machine Learning with R provides a practical and applied approach to learning and developing intuition into today’s most popular machine learning methods. This book serves as a practitioner’s guide to the machine learning process and is meant to help the reader learn to apply the machine learning stack within R, which includes using various R packages such as glmnet, h2o, ranger, xgboost, keras, and others to effectively model and gain insight from their data. The book favors a hands-on approach, providing an intuitive understanding of machine learning concepts through concrete examples and just a little bit of theory. Throughout this book, the reader will be exposed to the entire machine learning process including feature engineering, resampling, hyperparameter tuning, model evaluation, and interpretation. The reader will be exposed to powerful algorithms such as regularized regression, random forests, gradient boosting machines, deep learning, generalized low rank models, and more! By favoring a hands-on approach and using real word data, the reader will gain an intuitive understanding of the architectures and engines that drive these algorithms and packages, understand when and how to tune the various hyperparameters, and be able to interpret model results. By the end of this book, the reader should have a firm grasp of R’s machine learning stack and be able to implement a systematic approach for producing high quality modeling results. Features: · Offers a practical and applied introduction to the most popular machine learning methods. · Topics covered include feature engineering, resampling, deep learning and more. · Uses a hands-on approach and real world data.
Download or read book Studies in Subjective Probability written by Henry Ely Kyburg and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Truth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge.
Download or read book Expected Utility Hypotheses and the Allais Paradox written by M. Allais and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 706 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Utility theory or, value theory in general, is certainly the cornerstone of decision theory, game theory, microecon~mics, and all social and political theories which deal with public decisions. Recently the American School of utility, founded by von N eumann Morgenstern, encountered a far-going criticism by the French School of utility represented by its founder Allais. The whole basis of the theory of decisions involving risk has been shaken and put into question. Consequently, basic research in the fundamentals of utility and value theory evolved into a crisis. Like any crisis in basic research, and this one was not an exception, it was very fruitful. One may simply say: Allais versus von Neumann-Morgenstern, or the French School of utility versus the American School, became one of the battlefields of scientific development which proved to be a most creative source of new advances and new developments in all those sciences which are based on evaluation of utilities.
Download or read book Exchangeability in Probability and Statistics written by Bruno De Finetti and published by North Holland. This book was released on 1982 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book International Encyclopedia of Statistics written by William H. Kruskal and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 666 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Machine Learning in Business written by JOHN. HULL C and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The big data revolution is changing the way businesses operate and the skills required by managers. In creating the third edition, John Hull has continued to improve his material and added many new examples. The book explains the most popular machine learning algorithms clearly and succinctly; provides many examples of applications of machine learning in business; provides the knowledge managers need to work productively with data science professionals; has an accompanying website with data, worksheets, and Python code"--Back of cover.
Download or read book Introduction to Data Science and Machine Learning written by Keshav Sud and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2020-03-25 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to Data Science and Machine Learning has been created with the goal to provide beginners seeking to learn about data science, data enthusiasts, and experienced data professionals with a deep understanding of data science application development using open-source programming from start to finish. This book is divided into four sections: the first section contains an introduction to the book, the second covers the field of data science, software development, and open-source based embedded hardware; the third section covers algorithms that are the decision engines for data science applications; and the final section brings together the concepts shared in the first three sections and provides several examples of data science applications.
Download or read book The Scientist Speculates written by Anonymous and published by Hassell Street Press. This book was released on 2021-09-09 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. To ensure a quality reading experience, this work has been proofread and republished using a format that seamlessly blends the original graphical elements with text in an easy-to-read typeface. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Download or read book AIJ Recommendations for Loads on Buildings written by Architectural institute of Japan (AIJ) and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Fundamentals of Statistical Hydrology written by Mauro Naghettini and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-26 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook covers the main applications of statistical methods in hydrology. It is written for upper undergraduate and graduate students but can be used as a helpful guide for hydrologists, geographers, meteorologists and engineers. The book is very useful for teaching, as it covers the main topics of the subject and contains many worked out examples and proposed exercises. Starting from simple notions of the essential graphical examination of hydrological data, the book gives a complete account of the role that probability considerations must play during modelling, diagnosis of model fit, prediction and evaluating the uncertainty in model predictions, including the essence of Bayesian application in hydrology and statistical methods under nonstationarity. The book also offers a comprehensive and useful discussion on subjective topics, such as the selection of probability distributions suitable for hydrological variables. On a practical level, it explains MS Excel charting and computing capabilities, demonstrates the use of Winbugs free software to solve Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) simulations, and gives examples of free R code to solve nonstationary models with nonlinear link functions with climate covariates.
Download or read book Equazioni differenziali alle derivate parziali written by Giovanni Prouse and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
