Download or read book Do Behavioral Biases Adversely Affect the Macro economy written by George M. Korniotis and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Do Behavioral Biases Adversely Affect the Macro Economy written by George M. Korniotis and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate whether the adverse effects of investors' behavioral biases extend beyond the domain of financial markets to the broad macro-economy. Focusing on the income risk-sharing role of financial markets, we find that risk-sharing is higher (more than double) in U.S. states where investors are more sophisticated and exhibit weaker behavioral biases. The potential for risk-sharing varies geographically but states with better risk-sharing opportunities are able to achieve higher levels of risk sharing only when investors in those states are more sophisticated. Collectively, these results indicate that investors' aggregate behavioral biases and their lack of financial sophistication adversely affect the local macroeconomy.
Download or read book Do Individual Behavioral Biases Affect Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy written by Harjoat Singh Bhamra and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A common criticism of behavioral economics is that it has not shown that the psychological biases of individual investors lead to aggregate long-run effects on both asset prices and macroeconomic quantities. Our objective is to address this criticism by providing a simple example of a production economy where individual portfolio biases cancel when summed across investors, but still have an effect on aggregate quantities that does not vanish in the long-run. Specifically, we solve in closed form a model of a stochastic general-equilibrium production economy with a large number of heterogeneous firms and investors. Investors in our model are averse to ambiguity and so hold portfolios biased toward familiar assets. We specify this bias to be unsystematic so it cancels out when aggregated across investors. However, because of holding underdiversified portfolios, investors bear more risk than necessary, which distorts the consumption of all investors in the same direction. Hence, distortions in consumption do not cancel out in the aggregate and therefore increase the price of risk and distort aggregate investment and growth. The increased risk from holding biased portfolios, which increases the demand for the risk-free asset, leading to a higher equity risk premium and a lower risk-free rate that match the values observed empirically. Furthermore, all investors survive in the long-run, and so the effects of their biases never vanish. Our analysis illustrates that idiosyncratic behavioral biases can have long-run distortionary effects on both financial markets and the macroeconomy.
Download or read book Do Individual Behavioural Biases Affect Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy written by Harjoat Singh Bhamra and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Financial Consequences of Behavioural Biases written by Imad A. Moosa and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-25 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a concise analysis of behavioural biases and their implications for financial decision making. The book is written in the normative tradition, arguing strongly for the superiority of behavioural finance with respect to explaining observed phenomena in financial markets. It offers some unique features, including a discussion of the issue of conspiracy theory and how behavioural biases lead to belief in conspiracy theories. Lingering belief in the principles of neoclassical finance is attributed in part to the doctrine of publish or perish, which dominates contemporary academia. The offshoots of behavioural finance are discussed in detail, including ecological finance, environmental finance, social finance, experimental finance, neurofinance, and emotional finance. A comprehensive discussion of narcissism is presented where it is demonstrated that narcissistic behaviour is prevalent in the finance industry and that it led to the eruption of the global financial crisis.
Download or read book Do the Effects of Individual Behavioral Biases Cancel Out written by Harjoat Singh Bhamra and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A major criticism of behavioral economics is that it has not shown that the idiosyncratic biases of individual investors lead to aggregate effects. We construct a model of a general-equilibrium production economy with a large number of firms and investors. Investors' beliefs about stock returns are determined endogenously based on their psychological distances from firms; consequently, investors are optimistic about some stocks and pessimistic about others. We consider two examples: one where portfolio errors cancel out and the other in which the behavioral biases cancel out when aggregated across investors. We show asset prices and macroeconomic aggregates are still distorted.
Download or read book Behavioural Macroeconomics written by Paul De Grauwe and published by . This book was released on 2019-10-17 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern macroeconomics has been based on the paradigm of the rational individual capable of understanding the complexity of the world. This has created a very shallow theory of the business cycle in which nothing happens in the macroeconomy unless shocks occur from outside. Behavioural Macroeconomics: Theory and Policy uses a different paradigm. It assumes that individual agents experience cognitive limitations preventing them from having rational expectations. Instead these individuals use simple rules of behaviour. Behavioural Macroeconomics introduces rationality by allowing individuals to learn from their mistakes and to switch to the rules that perform better. It introduces the idea of endogenously generated "animals spirits" that drive the business cycle and are in turn influenced by it, and applies this model to shed new light on a number of important issues. It analyses the role of fiscal policy in stabilizing the economy while maintaining debt sustainability; expands the model to include a banking sector and show how banks amplify the booms and busts; and explains how animal spirits help to synchronize the business cycles across countries. The model set out in Behavioural Macroeconomics leads to very different policy implications from the mainstream macroeconomic model. It shows how policymakers have a responsibility to stabilize an otherwise unstable system.
Download or read book Behavioural Corporate Finance written by Júlio Lobão and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-14 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Orthodox financial theory often ignores the role played by managers’ personal characteristics in their decision-making processes. However, as anyone with experience in the business world knows, managers’ personalities are crucial in the choices they make. Indeed, it should be noted that firms do not make decisions, rather it is the managers who decide – either as a group or individually. This book explores the impact of managers’ psychological profiles and life experiences on their financial decisions, taking the following key questions as starting points: Why do they commit mistakes? Why do they contract debt and issue shares? How do they choose the right amount of dividends to distribute? Why do they acquire other firms? Why do they sometimes choose to manipulate information and to commit fraud? As the book highlights, having insights into managers’ psychology is essential to understanding their choices and predicting decisions made by competing firms.
Download or read book Behavioural Biases in Financial Markets written by Maria Tselika and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The introduction of cognitive limitations and psychological barriers to human decision making lies behind the identification of collective behavior in economics and finance. Herding, is such a manifestation of mimetic behavior and is defined as the tendency of financial agents to follow their peers, even disregarding their personal information set. Through examination of the existing literature, this thesis identifies a discontinuity between the theoretical conception of herding and its empirical identification. Empirical models of herding are divided into herding in the level of investors and herding to the consensus of returns. Existing empirical models of herding to the consensus of returns, neither consider herding in micro-level nor account for important factors, such as price variability, that affect both the methodology developed to identify macro level herding, based on the measures of cross- sectional dispersion of returns, and the decision making process of financial agents. Using a combination of trading and stock related data, this thesis, initially examines the disagreement of empirical results of herding in the micro level compared to that of consensus of returns. Evidence that micro-level herding, the composition of the market in terms of investors and the direction of herding affect the mechanism of transmission of herding to the consensus of returns arise. Moreover, further methodological examination of the measures of dispersion of assets, reveals a relation between realized volatility and macro-level herding. This thesis encounters evidence that the existing methodologies for the identification of herding, do not consider the mechanism of transmission of herding from flows to returns and the methodological and conceptual importance of price variability.
Download or read book Behavioral Biases in General Equilibrium written by Tristan Nighswander and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies present bias in a life-cycle model with heterogeneous preferences. Previous research outlining the role of behavioral biases in the macroeconomy largely falls into one of three categories: (1) partial equilibrium, (2) infinite horizon, or (3) homogeneous preferences. We introduce three novel findings to this literature. First, partial equilibrium models dramatically overstate the impact of present bias on economy-wide and household outcomes. Second, the life-cycle is an essential element for understanding the impact of present bias on agent decision making. Third, when considering behavioral biases in general equilibrium, the proportion of agents with present-biased preferences is a crucial determinant of the economy-wide wealth distribution. This occurs as time-consistent individuals benefit from the aggregate mis-optimization of their present-biased peers, an effect absent in homogeneous preference models or models in which prices do not adjust in response to aggregate savings.
Download or read book Patient Care Under Uncertainty written by Charles F. Manski and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-09-10 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the past few years, the author, a renowned economist, has been applying the statistical tools of economics to decision making under uncertainty in the context of patient health status and response to treatment. He shows how statistical imprecision and identification problems affect empirical research in the patient-care sphere.
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Download or read book Investor Behavior written by H. Kent Baker and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-02-10 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WINNER, Business: Personal Finance/Investing, 2015 USA Best Book Awards FINALIST, Business: Reference, 2015 USA Best Book Awards Investor Behavior provides readers with a comprehensive understanding and the latest research in the area of behavioral finance and investor decision making. Blending contributions from noted academics and experienced practitioners, this 30-chapter book will provide investment professionals with insights on how to understand and manage client behavior; a framework for interpreting financial market activity; and an in-depth understanding of this important new field of investment research. The book should also be of interest to academics, investors, and students. The book will cover the major principles of investor psychology, including heuristics, bounded rationality, regret theory, mental accounting, framing, prospect theory, and loss aversion. Specific sections of the book will delve into the role of personality traits, financial therapy, retirement planning, financial coaching, and emotions in investment decisions. Other topics covered include risk perception and tolerance, asset allocation decisions under inertia and inattention bias; evidenced based financial planning, motivation and satisfaction, behavioral investment management, and neurofinance. Contributions will delve into the behavioral underpinnings of various trading and investment topics including trader psychology, stock momentum, earnings surprises, and anomalies. The final chapters of the book examine new research on socially responsible investing, mutual funds, and real estate investing from a behavioral perspective. Empirical evidence and current literature about each type of investment issue are featured. Cited research studies are presented in a straightforward manner focusing on the comprehension of study findings, rather than on the details of mathematical frameworks.
Download or read book Behavioral Finance The Coming Of Age written by Venezia Itzhak and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-04-18 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The area of behavioral finance, though relatively young, has matured and spread beyond its initial objectives: to demonstrate the fallibility of the efficient market hypothesis, to shake the belief in the ubiquity of rational decision making, and to convince the finance world of the importance of psychological biases in decision making. The success of the field in meeting its goals, however, has called into question its continued relevance. Behavioral finance is thus currently at a crossroads, and researchers need to decide which way they should turn for the area to continue to thrive and to meaningfully contribute to financial knowledge.This collection of papers deals with rarely-explored topics to point at new directions that behavioral finance should explore to maintain its viability, along with contributions to traditional topics. Some of these topics include innovations, the psychology of policy-makers, biases of peer-to-peer market participants, the behavior and motivation behind corporate social responsibility, and the design of exchanges. Additionally, well-known topics such as the disposition effect, slow and fast decisions and the availability heuristic are revisited, and surprising new findings are presented.By opening the field to novel avenues of discussion, this book addresses the future of behavioral finance and its transition into a new era.
Download or read book The Psychology of Successful Trading written by Tim Short and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first to demonstrate the practical implications of an important, yet under-considered area of psychology in helping traders and investors understand the biases and attribution errors that drive unpredictable behaviour on the trading floor. Readers will improve their chances of trading successfully by learning where cognitive biases lead to errors in stock analysis and how these biases can be used to predict behavior in market participants. Focusing on the three major types of bias—Belief-Formation, Quasi-Economic, and Social—the book provides a rigorous discussion of the literature before explaining how each of these biases plays out in financial markets. The author brings together the fields of philosophical psychology and behavioral finance to introduce "theory of mind," providing readers with tools to predict biases in others as well as using these predictions to form optimal trading strategies for themselves. Readers will also learn to understand their own behaviors, counteracting biases such as overconfidence and conformity—and the "curse" of their own knowledge—to strengthen trade performance. Pairing his skill and experience with an extensive research bibliography, Short positions the foundational sources of cognitive biases alongside concrete examples, experimental designs, and trader’s anecdotes, helping readers to apply theoretical guidelines to real-life scenarios. Shrewd professionals and MBA students will benefit from The Psychology of Successful Trading’s intuitive structure and practical focus.
Download or read book Long Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change A Cross Country Analysis written by Matthew E. Kahn and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-11 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labor productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables—defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms. Using a panel data set of 174 countries over the years 1960 to 2014, we find that per-capita real output growth is adversely affected by persistent changes in the temperature above or below its historical norm, but we do not obtain any statistically significant effects for changes in precipitation. Our counterfactual analysis suggests that a persistent increase in average global temperature by 0.04°C per year, in the absence of mitigation policies, reduces world real GDP per capita by more than 7 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting the temperature increase to 0.01°C per annum, reduces the loss substantially to about 1 percent. These effects vary significantly across countries depending on the pace of temperature increases and variability of climate conditions. We also provide supplementary evidence using data on a sample of 48 U.S. states between 1963 and 2016, and show that climate change has a long-lasting adverse impact on real output in various states and economic sectors, and on labor productivity and employment.
Download or read book Macroeconomics written by Olivier Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This print textbook is available for students to rent for their classes. The Pearson print rental program provides students with affordable access to learning materials, so they come to class ready to succeed. For intermediate courses in economics. A unified view of the latest macroeconomic events In Macroeconomics, Blanchard presents an integrated, global view of macroeconomics, enabling students to see the connections between goods markets, financial markets, and labor markets worldwide. Organized into two parts, the text contains a core section that focuses on short-, medium-, and long-run markets and two major extensions that offer more in-depth coverage of the issues at hand. From the major economic crisis that engulfed the world in the late 2000s, to monetary policy in the US, to the problems of the Euro area, and growth in China, the text helps students make sense not only of current macroeconomic events but also of those that may unfold in the future. Integrated, detailed boxes in the 8th Edition have been updated to convey the life of macroeconomics today, reinforce lessons from the models, and help students employ and develop their analytical and evaluative skills. Also available with MyLab Economics By combining trusted author content with digital tools and a flexible platform, MyLab personalizes the learning experience and improves results for each student.
