Download or read book Profiting from Chaos written by Tonis Vaga and published by Tonis Vaga. This book was released on 1994 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finally, a book that not only explains the relationship between investing and chaos theory--the cutting-edge dicipline that Business Week says will "revitalize the money-management industry"--but also shows readers how to use the theory to master the financial markets. Illustrated.
Download or read book Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets written by Edgar E. Peters and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1996-08-30 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The latest developments in chaos theory - from an industry expert Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the first book to introduce and popularize chaos as it applies to finance. It has since become the classic source on the topic. This new edition is completely updated to include the latest ripples in chaos theory with new chapters that tie in today's hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic, neural nets, and artificial intelligence. Critical praise for Peters and the first edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets "The bible of market chaologists." - BusinessWeek "Ed Peters has written a first-class summary suitable for any investment professional or skilled investor." - Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities "It ranks among the most provocative financial books of the past few years. Reading this book will provide a generous payback for the time and mental energy expended." - Financial Analysts Journal This second edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets brings the topic completely up to date with timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of the latest wave of technology, including genetic algorithms, wavelets, and complexity theory. Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the very first book to explore and popularize chaos theory as it applies to finance. It has since become the industry standard, and is regarded as the definitive source to which analysts, investors, and traders turn for a comprehensive overview of chaos theory. Now, this invaluable reference - touted by BusinessWeek as "the bible of market chaologists" - has been updated and revised to bring you the latest developments in the field. Mainstream capital market theory is based on efficient market assumptions, even though the markets themselves exhibit characteristics that are symptomatic of nonlinear dynamic systems. As it explores - and validates - this nonlinear nature, Chaos and Order repudiates the "random walk" theory and econometrics. It shifts the focus away from the concept of efficient markets toward a more general view of the forces underlying the capital market system. Presenting new analytical techniques, as well as reexamining methods that have been in use for the past forty years, Chaos and Order offers a thorough examination of chaos theory and fractals as applied to investments and economics. This new edition includes timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of cutting-edge technologies-genetic algorithms, wavelets, complexity theory-and hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic and artificial intelligence. Beyond the history of current capital market theory, Chaos and Order covers the crucial characteristics of fractals, the analysis of fractal time series through rescaled range analysis (R/S), the specifics of fractal statistics, and the definition and analysis of chaotic systems. It offers an in-depth exploration of: * Random walks and efficient markets - the development of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and modern portfolio theory * The linear paradigm - why it has failed * Nonlinear dynamic systems - phase space, the Henon Map, Lyapunov exponents * Applying chaos and nonlinear methods - neural networks, genetic algorithms * Dynamical analysis of time series - reconstructing a phase space, the fractal dimension Tonis Vaga's Coherent Market Hypothesis - the theory of social imitation, control parameters, Vaga's implementations Plus, Chaos and Order now contains a Windows-compatible disk including data sets for running analyses described in the appendices. Written by a leading expert in the field, Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets has all the information you need for a complete, up-to-date look at chaos theory. This latest edition will undoubtedly prove to be as invaluable as the first.
Download or read book Fractal Market Analysis written by Edgar E. Peters and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1994-02-08 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A leading pioneer in the field offers practical applications of this innovative science. Peters describes complex concepts in an easy-to-follow manner for the non-mathematician. He uses fractals, rescaled range analysis and nonlinear dynamical models to explain behavior and understand price movements. These are specific tools employed by chaos scientists to map and measure physical and now, economic phenomena.
Download or read book Chaos Theory in the Financial Markets written by Dimitris N. Chorafas and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1994-03-22 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chaos theory is a revolutionary approach to understanding and forecasting the behavior of complex systems. The theory, which utilizes nonlinear mathematics to identify the underlying rules of evolving systems, provides extraordinary insights into the dynamics of the financial markets. In so doing, Dr. Chorafas explores a variety of new approaches that provide an entirely new perspective on financial market analysis and forecasting. Topics include: the concepts and mathematics of chaos theory; using nonlinear equations and fractals to forecast the currency market; genetic algorithms and neural networks.
Download or read book Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets written by Edgar E. Peters and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1996-08-30 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The latest developments in chaos theory - from an industry expert Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the first book to introduce and popularize chaos as it applies to finance. It has since become the classic source on the topic. This new edition is completely updated to include the latest ripples in chaos theory with new chapters that tie in today's hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic, neural nets, and artificial intelligence. Critical praise for Peters and the first edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets "The bible of market chaologists." - BusinessWeek "Ed Peters has written a first-class summary suitable for any investment professional or skilled investor." - Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities "It ranks among the most provocative financial books of the past few years. Reading this book will provide a generous payback for the time and mental energy expended." - Financial Analysts Journal This second edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets brings the topic completely up to date with timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of the latest wave of technology, including genetic algorithms, wavelets, and complexity theory. Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the very first book to explore and popularize chaos theory as it applies to finance. It has since become the industry standard, and is regarded as the definitive source to which analysts, investors, and traders turn for a comprehensive overview of chaos theory. Now, this invaluable reference - touted by BusinessWeek as "the bible of market chaologists" - has been updated and revised to bring you the latest developments in the field. Mainstream capital market theory is based on efficient market assumptions, even though the markets themselves exhibit characteristics that are symptomatic of nonlinear dynamic systems. As it explores - and validates - this nonlinear nature, Chaos and Order repudiates the "random walk" theory and econometrics. It shifts the focus away from the concept of efficient markets toward a more general view of the forces underlying the capital market system. Presenting new analytical techniques, as well as reexamining methods that have been in use for the past forty years, Chaos and Order offers a thorough examination of chaos theory and fractals as applied to investments and economics. This new edition includes timely examples from today's markets and descriptions of cutting-edge technologies-genetic algorithms, wavelets, complexity theory-and hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic and artificial intelligence. Beyond the history of current capital market theory, Chaos and Order covers the crucial characteristics of fractals, the analysis of fractal time series through rescaled range analysis (R/S), the specifics of fractal statistics, and the definition and analysis of chaotic systems. It offers an in-depth exploration of: * Random walks and efficient markets - the development of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and modern portfolio theory * The linear paradigm - why it has failed * Nonlinear dynamic systems - phase space, the Henon Map, Lyapunov exponents * Applying chaos and nonlinear methods - neural networks, genetic algorithms * Dynamical analysis of time series - reconstructing a phase space, the fractal dimension Tonis Vaga's Coherent Market Hypothesis - the theory of social imitation, control parameters, Vaga's implementations Plus, Chaos and Order now contains a Windows-compatible disk including data sets for running analyses described in the appendices. Written by a leading expert in the field, Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets has all the information you need for a complete, up-to-date look at chaos theory. This latest edition will undoubtedly prove to be as invaluable as the first.
Download or read book New Trading Dimensions written by Bill M. Williams and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-10-06 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Händler und erfahrene Privatanleger kommen immer mehr zu dem Schluß, daß die traditionellen Prognosemethoden der fundamentalen oder technischen Analyse offenbar zu widersprüchlichen Ergebnissen kommen. Bei den fundamentalen Analysten geht der Markt eher schwach, bei den technischen Analysten geht er fester. Die Folge von solch gegensätzlichen Signalen ist, daß viele Händler und Anleger sich auf eine Kombination von wissenschaftlicher Theorie und Anlagepsychologie stützen. Bill Williams zeigt hier neue Perspektiven der Marktbeobachtung auf. Er kombiniert Elemente traditioneller technischer Chartmethoden mit Chaostheorie und Psychologie. Das Ergebnis ist ein komplexes, fünfdimensionales Handelsprogramm mit ausführlichen Erläuterungen und Beispielen zu Bereichen wie Fraktalanalyse, Oszillatoren und psychologischen Aspekten. (10/98)
Download or read book The Econometrics of Financial Markets written by John Y. Campbell and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-28 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past twenty years have seen an extraordinary growth in the use of quantitative methods in financial markets. Finance professionals now routinely use sophisticated statistical techniques in portfolio management, proprietary trading, risk management, financial consulting, and securities regulation. This graduate-level textbook is intended for PhD students, advanced MBA students, and industry professionals interested in the econometrics of financial modeling. The book covers the entire spectrum of empirical finance, including: the predictability of asset returns, tests of the Random Walk Hypothesis, the microstructure of securities markets, event analysis, the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the term structure of interest rates, dynamic models of economic equilibrium, and nonlinear financial models such as ARCH, neural networks, statistical fractals, and chaos theory. Each chapter develops statistical techniques within the context of a particular financial application. This exciting new text contains a unique and accessible combination of theory and practice, bringing state-of-the-art statistical techniques to the forefront of financial applications. Each chapter also includes a discussion of recent empirical evidence, for example, the rejection of the Random Walk Hypothesis, as well as problems designed to help readers incorporate what they have read into their own applications.
Download or read book Chaos Nonlinear Dynamics in the Financial Markets written by Robert R. Trippi and published by Robert Trippi. This book was released on 1995 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer disk illustrates behavior of several of the chaotic processes discussed in text. Assists the user in viewing the change in a system from unstable to stable states.
Download or read book Chaos Theory and the Financial Markets written by David Quaid and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Footprints of Chaos in the Markets written by Richard M. A. Urbach and published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2000 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Price movements in financial markets are not random. There are actually clues that allow sophisticated investors to uncover trends and make accurate predictions. The key to discovering this predictability lies in a new set of mathematical techniques --the application of dynamic, non-linear time series. This new science of investment is where chaos theory meets the markets. Richard Urbach offers practical advice and applications on the latest mathematical techniques and examines the opportunities these new techniques can deliver.
Download or read book Trading on the Edge written by Guido J. Deboeck and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1994-04-18 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Experts from the world's major financial institutions contributed to this work and have already used the newest technologies. Gives proven strategies for using neural networks, algorithms, fuzzy logic and nonlinear data analysis techniques to enhance profitability. The latest analytical breakthroughs, the impact on modern finance theory and practice, including the best ways for profitably applying them to any trading and portfolio management system, are all covered.
Download or read book Trading Chaos written by Justine Gregory-Williams and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-06-28 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to trade the markets by integrating Chaos Theory with market sentiment In the first edition of Trading Chaos, seasoned trader and psychologist Bill Williams detailed the potential of Chaos Theory-which seeks to make the unpredictable understandable-in trading and it revolutionized financial decision-making. The Second Edition of Trading Chaos is a cutting edge book that combines trading psychology and Chaos Theory and its particular effect on the markets. By examining both of these facets in relation to the current market, readers will have the best of all possible worlds when trading. Bill Williams, PhD, CTA (Solana Beach, CA), is President of Profitunity.com, a leader in the field of education for traders and investors. Justine Gregory-Williams (Solana Beach, CA) is President of the Profitunity Trading Group and a full-time trader.
Download or read book The Predictors written by Thomas A. Bass and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2000-11 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bass relates how two rumpled physicists set up computers in an adobe house in Santa Fe for a start-up company, and follows their journey into the centers of financial power where "the predictors" find investors and finally go live with real money.
Download or read book Trading Chaos written by Bill M. Williams and published by Wiley. This book was released on 1995-06-30 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide for making sense of chaos theory and applying it to today's financial markets. Enables traders and analysts to uncover hidden determinism in seemingly random market events and make accurate investment decisions with high probabilities for profit.
Download or read book New Trends in Macroeconomics written by Claude Diebolt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-11-21 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text provides a new approach to the subject, including a comprehensive survey of novel theoretical approaches, methods, and models used in macroeconomics and macroeconometrics. The book gives extensive insight into economic policy, incorporates a strong international perspective, and offers a broad historical perspective.
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets written by Thomas Barrau and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-31 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the novel artificial intelligence technique of polymodels and applies it to the prediction of stock returns. The idea of polymodels is to describe a system by its sensitivities to an environment, and to monitor it, imitating what a natural brain does spontaneously. In practice this involves running a collection of non-linear univariate models. This very powerful standalone technique has several advantages over traditional multivariate regressions. With its easy to interpret results, this method provides an ideal preliminary step towards the traditional neural network approach. The first two chapters compare the technique with other regression alternatives and introduces an estimation method which regularizes a polynomial regression using cross-validation. The rest of the book applies these ideas to financial markets. Certain equity return components are predicted using polymodels in very different ways, and a genetic algorithm is described which combines these different predictions into a single portfolio, aiming to optimize the portfolio returns net of transaction costs. Addressed to investors at all levels of experience this book will also be of interest to both seasoned and non-seasoned statisticians.
Download or read book Lecturing Birds on Flying written by Pablo Triana and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-06-09 with total page 405 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: LECTURING BIRDS ON FLYING For the past few decades, the financial world has often displayed an unreasonable willingness to believe that "the model is right, the market is wrong," in spite of the fact that these theoretical machinations were largely responsible for the stock market crash of 1987, the LTCM crisis of 1998, the credit crisis of 2008, and many other blow-ups, large and small. Why have both financial insiders (traders, risk managers, executives) and outsiders (academics, journalists, regulators, the public) consistently demonstrated a willingness to treat quantifications as gospel? Nassim Taleb first addressed the conflicts between theoretical and real finance in his technical treatise on options, Dynamic Hedging. Now, in Lecturing Birds on Flying, Pablo Triana offers a powerful indictment on the trustworthiness of financial theory, explaining—in jargon-free plain English—how malfunctions in these quantitative machines have wreaked havoc in our real world. Triana first analyzes the fundamental question of whether financial markets can in principle really be solved mathematically. He shows that the markets indeed cannot be tamed with equations, presenting a long and powerful list of obstacles to prove his point: maverick unlawful human actions rule the markets, unexpected and unimaginable events shape the markets, and historical data is not necessarily a trustworthy guide to the future of the markets. The author then examines the sources of origin of many prevalent theories and mathematical dictums. He details how the field of financial economics evolved from a descriptive discipline to an abstract one dedicated to technically concocting professors' own versions of how such a world should work. He goes on to explain how Wall Street and other financial centers became eager employers of scientists, and how scientists became eager employees of financial firms. Triana concludes with an in-depth discussion of the most significant historical episodes of theory-caused real-life market malaise, with a strong emphasis on the current credit crisis. In the end, Lecturing Birds on Flying calls for the radical substitution of good old-fashioned common sense in place of mathematical decision-making and the restoration to financial power of those who are completely unchained to the iron ball of classroom-obtained qualifications.
