Download or read book The Economy As An Evolving Complex System II written by W. Brian Arthur and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-05-04 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new view of the economy as an evolving, complex system has been pioneered at the Santa Fe Institute over the last ten years, This volume is a collection of articles that shape and define this view?a view of the economy as emerging from the interactions of individual agents whose behavior constantly evolves, whose strategies and actions are always adapting.The traditional framework in economics portrays activity within an equilibrium steady state. The interacting agents in the economy are typically homogenous, solve well-defined problems using perfect rationality, and act within given legal and social structures. The complexity approach, by contrast, sees economic activity as continually changing?continually in process. The interacting agents are typically heterogeneous, they must cognitively interpret the problems they face, and together they create the structures?markets, legal and social institutions, price patters, expectations?to which they individually react. Such structures may never settle down. Agents may forever adapt and explore and evolve their behaviors within structures that continually emerge and change and disappear?structures these behaviors co-create. This complexity approach does not replace the equilibrium one?it complements it.The papers here collected originated at a recent conference at the Santa Fe Institute, which was called to follow up the well-known 1987 SFI conference organized by Philip Anderson, Kenneth Arrow, and David Pines. They survey the new study of complexity and the economy. They apply this approach to real economic problems and they show the extent to which the initial vision of the 1987 conference has come to fruition.

Download or read book Institutional Investment Management written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-08-25 with total page 884 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most comprehensive coverage of institutional investment management issues This comprehensive handbook of investment management theories, concepts, and applications opens with an overview of the financial markets and investments, as well as a look at institutional investors and their objectives. From here, respected investment expert Frank Fabozzi moves on to cover a wide array of issues in this evolving field. From valuation and fixed income analysis to alternative investments and asset allocation, Fabozzi provides the best in cutting-edge information for new and seasoned practitioners, as well as professors and students of finance. Contains practical, real-world applications of investment management theories and concepts Uses unique illustrations of factor models to highlight how to build a portfolio Includes insights on execution and measurement of transaction costs Covers fixed income (particularly structured products) and derivatives Institutional Investment Management is an essential read for anyone who needs to hone their skills in this discipline.

Download or read book Meeting the Challenge of Social Problems via Agent Based Simulation written by T. Terano and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The series of international workshops on Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems (AESCS) is part of the worldwide activities on computational social and organizational sciences. The second workshop, AESCS ’02, focusing on progress of agent-based simulation was held in Tokyo in August 2002. AESCS ’02 explored the frontiers of the field. The importance of cumulative progress was emphasized in discussions of common tasks, standard computational models, replication and validation issues, and evaluation and verification criteria. Promoting multidisciplinary work in computational economics, organizational science, social dynamics, and complex systems, AESCS ’02 brought together researchers from diverse fields. This book contains the invited papers by Robert Axtell, Shu-Heng Chen, and Takao Terano, along with selected papers collected in three major sections: Economic Systems, Marketing and Management, and Social Systems and Methodology.

Download or read book Intelligent Agents and Multi Agent Systems written by Kazuhiro Kuwabara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2003-08-02 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Autonomous agents and multi-agent systems are computational systems in which several (semi-)autonomous agents interact with each other or work together to perform some set of tasks or satisfy some set of goals. These systems may involve computational agents that are homogeneous or heterogeneous, they may involve activities on the part of agents having common or distinct goals, and they may involve participation on the part of humans and intelligent agents. This volume contains selected papers from PRIMA 2002, the 5th Paci?c Rim International Workshop on Multi-Agents, held in Tokyo, Japan, on August 18–19, 2002 in conjunction with the 7th Paci?c Rim International Conference on Arti?cial Intelligence (PRICAI-02). PRIMA is a series of workshops on - tonomous agents and multi-agent systems, integrating activities in the Asian and Paci?c Rim countries. PRIMA 2002 built on the great success of its pre- cessors, PRIMA’98 in Singapore, PRIMA’99 in Kyoto, Japan, PRIMA 2000 in Melbourne, Australia, and PRIMA 2001 in Taipei, Taiwan. We received 35 submissions to this workshop from 10 countries. Each paper was reviewed by three internationally renowned program committee members. After careful reviews, 15 papers were selected for this volume. We would like to thank all the authors who submitted papers to the workshop. We would also like to thank all the program committee members for their splendid work in reviewing the papers. Finally, we thank the editorial sta? of Springer-Verlag for publishing this volume in the Lecture Notes in Arti?cial Intelligence.

Download or read book Machine Learning and Data Sciences for Financial Markets written by Agostino Capponi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2023-04-30 with total page 743 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leveraging the research efforts of more than sixty experts in the area, this book reviews cutting-edge practices in machine learning for financial markets. Instead of seeing machine learning as a new field, the authors explore the connection between knowledge developed by quantitative finance over the past forty years and techniques generated by the current revolution driven by data sciences and artificial intelligence. The text is structured around three main areas: 'Interactions with investors and asset owners,' which covers robo-advisors and price formation; 'Risk intermediation,' which discusses derivative hedging, portfolio construction, and machine learning for dynamic optimization; and 'Connections with the real economy,' which explores nowcasting, alternative data, and ethics of algorithms. Accessible to a wide audience, this invaluable resource will allow practitioners to include machine learning driven techniques in their day-to-day quantitative practices, while students will build intuition and come to appreciate the technical tools and motivation for the theory.

Download or read book Genetic Algorithms and Genetic Programming in Computational Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 491 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After a decade of development, genetic algorithms and genetic programming have become a widely accepted toolkit for computational finance. Genetic Algorithms and Genetic Programming in Computational Finance is a pioneering volume devoted entirely to a systematic and comprehensive review of this subject. Chapters cover various areas of computational finance, including financial forecasting, trading strategies development, cash flow management, option pricing, portfolio management, volatility modeling, arbitraging, and agent-based simulations of artificial stock markets. Two tutorial chapters are also included to help readers quickly grasp the essence of these tools. Finally, a menu-driven software program, Simple GP, accompanies the volume, which will enable readers without a strong programming background to gain hands-on experience in dealing with much of the technical material introduced in this work.

Download or read book Innovative Approaches in Agent Based Modelling and Business Intelligence written by Setsuya Kurahashi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-08 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book thoroughly prepares intermediate-level readers for research in social science, organization studies, economics, finance, marketing science, and business science as complex adaptive systems. It presents the advantages of social simulation studies and business intelligence to those who are not familiar with the computational research approach, and offers experienced modelers various instructive examples of using agent-based modeling and business intelligence approaches to inspire their own work. In addition, the book discusses cutting-edge techniques for complex adaptive systems using their applications. To date, business science studies have focused only on data science and analyses of business problems. However, using these studies to enhance the capabilities of conventional techniques in the fields has not been investigated adequately. This book addresses managing the issues of societies, firms, and organizations to profit from interaction with agent-based modeling, human- and computer- mixed systems, and business intelligence approaches, an area that is fundamental for complex but bounded rational business environments. With detailed research by leading authors in the field, Innovative Approaches in Agent-Based Modelling and Business Intelligence inspires readers to join with other disciplines and extend the scope of the book with their own unique contributions. It also includes the common challenges encountered in computational social science and business science to enable researchers, students, and professionals to resolve their own problems.

Download or read book Multifractal Volatility written by Laurent E. Calvet and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2008-10-13 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Calvet and Fisher present a powerful, new technique for volatility forecasting that draws on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics and provides a unified treatment of the use of multifractal techniques in finance. A large existing literature (e.g., Engle, 1982; Rossi, 1995) models volatility as an average of past shocks, possibly with a noise component. This approach often has difficulty capturing sharp discontinuities and large changes in financial volatility. Their research has shown the advantages of modelling volatility as subject to abrupt regime changes of heterogeneous durations. Using the intuition that some economic phenomena are long-lasting while others are more transient, they permit regimes to have varying degrees of persistence. By drawing on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics, they show how to construct high-dimensional regime-switching models that are easy to estimate, and substantially outperform some of the best traditional forecasting models such as GARCH. The goal of Multifractal Volatility is to popularize the approach by presenting these exciting new developments to a wider audience. They emphasize both theoretical and empirical applications, beginning with a style that is easily accessible and intuitive in early chapters, and extending to the most rigorous continuous-time and equilibrium pricing formulations in final chapters. - Presents a powerful new technique for forecasting volatility - Leads the reader intuitively from existing volatility techniques to the frontier of research in this field by top scholars at major universities - The first comprehensive book on multifractal techniques in finance, a cutting-edge field of research

Download or read book Evolutionary Computation in Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Physica. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 459 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After a decade's development, evolutionary computation (EC) proves to be a powerful tool kit for economic analysis. While the demand for this equipment is increasing, there is no volume exclusively written for economists. This volume for the first time helps economists to get a quick grasp on how EC may support their research. A comprehensive coverage of the subject is given, that includes the following three areas: game theory, agent-based economic modelling and financial engineering. Twenty leading scholars from each of these areas contribute a chapter to the volume. The reader will find himself treading the path of the history of this research area, from the fledgling stage to the burgeoning era. The results on games, labour markets, pollution control, institution and productivity, financial markets, trading systems design and derivative pricing, are new and interesting for different target groups. The book also includes informations on web sites, conferences, and computer software.

Download or read book Agent Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems VIII written by Yutaka Nakai and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-06-05 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agent-based modeling/simulation is an emergent approach to the analysis of social and economic systems. It provides a bottom-up experimental method to be applied to social sciences such as economics, management, sociology and politics as well as some engineering fields dealing with social activities. This book includes selected papers presented at the Eighth International Workshop on Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems held in Tokyo, Japan, in 2013. At the workshop, 23 reviewed full papers were presented and of those, 13 were selected to be included in this volume.

Download or read book Coping with the Complexity of Economics written by Marisa Faggini and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-05 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Throughout the history of economics, a variety of analytical tools have been borrowed from the so-called exact sciences. As Schoe?er (1955) puts it: “They have taken their mathematics and their ded- tive techniques from physics, their statistics from genetics and agr- omy, their systems of classi?cation from taxonomy and chemistry, their model-construction techniques from astronomy and mechanics, and their methods of analysis of the consequences of actions from en- neering”. The possibility of similarities of structure in mathematical models of economic and physical systems has been an important f- tor in the development of neoclassical theory. To treat the state of an economy as an equilibrium, analogous to the equilibrium of a mech- ical system has been a key concept in economics ever since it became a mathematically formalized science. Adopting a Newtonian paradigm neoclassical economics often is based on three fundamental concepts. Firstly, the representative agent who is a scale model of the whole society with extraordinary capacities, particularly concerning her - pability of information processing and computation. Of course, this is a problematic reduction as agents are both heterogeneous and bou- edly rational and limited in their cognitive capabilities. Secondly, it often con?ned itself to study systems in a state of equilibrium. But this concept is not adequate to describe and to support phenomena in perpetual motion.

Download or read book Simulating Social Complexity written by Bruce Edmonds and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-24 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume examines all aspects of using agent or individual-based simulation. This approach represents systems as individual elements having their own set of differing states and internal processes. The interactions between elements in the simulation represent interactions in the target systems. What makes this "social" is that it can represent an observed society. Social systems include all those systems where the components have individual agency but also interact with each other. This includes human societies and groups, but also increasingly socio-technical systems where the internet-based devices form the substrate for interaction. These systems are central to our lives, but are among the most complex known. This poses particular problems for those who wish to understand them. The complexity often makes analytic approaches infeasible but, on the other hand, natural language approaches are also inadequate for relating intricate cause and effect. This is why individual and agent-based computational approaches hold out the possibility of new and deeper understanding of such systems. This handbook marks the maturation of this new field. It brings together summaries of the best thinking and practices in this area from leading researchers in the field and constitutes a reference point for standards against which future methodological advances can be judged. This second edition adds new chapters on different modelling purposes and applying software engineering methods to simulation development. Revised existing content will keep the book up-to-date with recent developments. This volume will help those new to the field avoid "reinventing the wheel" each time, and give them a solid and wide grounding in the essential issues. It will also help those already in the field by providing accessible overviews of current thought. The material is divided into four sections: Introduction, Methodology, Mechanisms, and Applications. Each chapter starts with a very brief section called ‘Why read this chapter?’ followed by an abstract, which summarizes the content of the chapter. Each chapter also ends with a section on ‘Further Reading’. Whilst sometimes covering technical aspects, this second edition of Simulating Social Complexity is designed to be accessible to a wide range of researchers, including both those from the social sciences as well as those with a more formal background. It will be of use as a standard reference text in the field and also be suitable for graduate level courses.

Download or read book Emergent Intelligence of Networked Agents written by Akira Namatame and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-04-25 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of intelligence emerged from interactions among agents has been popular. In this study it is recognized that a network structure of the agents plays an important role. The current state-of-the art in agent-based modeling tends to be a mass of agents that have a series of states that they can express as a result of the network structure in which they are embedded. Agent interactions of all kinds are usually structured with complex networks. The idea of combining multi-agent systems and complex networks is also particularly rich and fresh to foster the research on the study of very large-scale multi-agent systems. Yet our tools to model, understand, and predict dynamic agent interactions and their behavior on complex networks have lagged far behind. Even recent progress in network modeling has not yet offered us any capability to model dynamic processes among agents who interact at all scales on complex networks. This book is based on communications given at the Workshop on Emergent Intelligence of Networked Agents (WEIN 06) at the Fifth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multi-agent Systems (AAMAS 2006), which was held at Future University, Hakodate, Japan, from May 8 to 12, 2006. WEIN 06 was especially intended to increase the awareness of researchers in these two fields sharing the common view on combining agent-based modeling and complex networks in order to develop insight and foster predictive methodologies in studying emergent intelligence on of networked agents. From the broad spectrum of activities, leading experts presented important paper and numerous practical problems appear throughout this book. The papers contained in this book are concerned with emergence of intelligent behaviors over networked agents and fostering the formation of an active multi-disciplinary community on multi-agent systems and complex networks.

Download or read book The Origin of Wealth written by Eric D. Beinhocker and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2007-09-14 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over 6.4 billion people participate in a $36.5 trillion global economy, designed and overseen by no one. How did this marvel of self-organized complexity evolve? How is wealth created within this system? And how can wealth be increased for the benefit of individuals, businesses, and society? In The Origin of Wealth, Eric D. Beinhocker argues that modern science provides a radical perspective on these age-old questions, with far-reaching implications. According to Beinhocker, wealth creation is the product of a simple but profoundly powerful evolutionary formula: differentiate, select, and amplify. In this view, the economy is a "complex adaptive system" in which physical technologies, social technologies, and business designs continuously interact to create novel products, new ideas, and increasing wealth. Taking readers on an entertaining journey through economic history, from the Stone Age to modern economy, Beinhocker explores how "complexity economics" provides provocative insights on issues ranging from creating adaptive organizations to the evolutionary workings of stock markets to new perspectives on government policies. A landmark book that shatters conventional economic theory, The Origin of Wealth will rewire our thinking about how we came to be here--and where we are going.

Download or read book Advanced Trading Rules written by Emmanual Acar and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2002-06-05 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Trading Rules is the essential guide to state of the art techniques currently used by the very best financial traders, analysts and fund managers. The editors have brought together the world's leading professional and academic experts to explain how to understand, develop and apply cutting edge trading rules and systems. It is indispensable reading if you are involved in the derivatives, fixed income, foreign exchange and equities markets. Advanced Trading Rules demonstrates how to apply econometrics, computer modelling, technical and quantitative analysis to generate superior returns, showing how you can stay ahead of the curve by finding out why certain methods succeed or fail. Profit from this book by understanding how to use: stochastic properties of trading strategies; technical indicators; neural networks; genetic algorithms; quantitative techniques; charts. Financial markets professionals will discover a wealth of applicable ideas and methods to help them to improve their performance and profits. Students and academics working in this area will also benefit from the rigorous and theoretically sound analysis of this dynamic and exciting area of finance. The essential guide to state of the art techniques currently used by the very best financial traders, analysts and fund managers Provides a complete overview of cutting edge financial markets trading rules, including new material on technical analysis and evaluation Demonstrates how to apply econometrics, computer modeling, technical and quantitative analysis to generate superior returns

Download or read book Highlights of Practical Applications of Survivable Agents and Multi Agent Systems The PAAMS Collection written by Fernando De La Prieta and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-24 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the workshops and special session co-located with the 17th International Conference on Practical Applications of Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, PAAMS 2019, held in Ávila, Spain, in June 2019. The total of 26 full and 8 short papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 47 submissions. The book also contains extended abstracts of the doctoral consortium contributions. The papers in this volume stem from the following meetings: Workshop on Agents-Based Solutions for Manufacturing and Supply Chain, AMSC; Second International Workshop on Blockchain Technology for Multi-Agent Systems, BTC4MAS; Workshop on MAS for Complex Networks and Social Computation; CNSC; Workshop on Multi-Agent Based Applications for Energy Markets, Smart Grids and Sustainable Energy Systems, MASGES; Workshop on Smart Cities and Intelligent Agents, SCIA; and Workshop on Swarm Intelligence and Swarm Robotics, SISR; as well as the special session on Software Agents and Virtualization for Internet of Things, SAVIoTS.

Download or read book Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications written by Costin Badica and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-09-03 with total page 761 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed conference proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Computational Collective Intelligence, ICCCI 2013, held in Craiova, Romania, in September 2013. The 72 revised full papers presented were carefully selected from numerous submissions. Conference papers are organized in 16 technical sessions, covering the following topics: intelligent e-learning, classification and clustering methods, web intelligence and interaction, agents and multi-agent systems, social networks, intelligent knowledge management, language processing systems, modeling and optimization techniques, evolutionary computation, intelligent and group decision making, swarm intelligence, data mining techniques and applications, cooperative problem solving, collective intelligence for text mining and innovation, collective intelligence for social understanding and mining, and soft methods in collective intelligence.