Download or read book Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia written by Mr.Jorge A Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-04-26 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabilities of default (PDs) under different macroeconomic scenarios. In particular, a protracted recession and the ensuing currency depreciation could erode buffers on corporate balance sheets, pushing up the probabilities of default (PDs) in the corporate sector to the high levels observed during the Global Financial Crisis. While this is a low-probability scenario, the results suggest the need to closely monitor vulnerabilities and strengthen contingency plans.
Download or read book Assessment of Corporate Sector Value and Vulnerability written by Dale F. Gray and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Once equity has fallen below a certain threshold for a significant period of time, it triggers a suspension of debt payments and distorts incentives for equity holds and managers. But what is a significant period of time? You or I could pay a $10 million annual mortgage payment for a day or two but not two or three months. Similarly, owners and managers can withstand short periods of illiquidity or negative equity but not longer ones. At some point in time, the inability to meet obligations and perception of continued difficulties creates a system-wide breakdown in debt payments." The relationship between the corporate sector and a country's macroeconomy is receiving increased attention from policymakers and investors, especially those affected by the Asian crisis. Recent crises have pointed out the importance of improving our understanding of the links between the corporate sector, the financial sector, and the macroeconomy in a world of volatile capital flows. Assessing the vulnerability of the corporate sector and its links to financial and exchange rate crisis is important for both improved surveillance and in the design of policies in crisis countries. However, the analytical and operational tools available to policymakers and investors to analyze this problem have been limited. This Technical Paper was prepared as part of an initiative to develop new frameworks which can integrate state-of-the art corporate finance principles, macroeconomic, and financial sector analysis. An innovative yet practical framework is provided which has numerous applications for assessing corporate sector vulnerability, design of corporate restructuring strategies, as well as financial sector and macroeconomic policies. It will be of interest to bankers, economic policymakers, corporate finance specialists, and macroeconomists.
Download or read book The Turning Tide How Vulnerable are Asian Corporates written by Bo Jiang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-06 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a new firm-level dataset with comprehensive information on Asian firms’ FX liabilities, we show that Asia’s nonfinancial corporate sector is vulnerable to a tightening of global financial conditions. Higher global interest rates and exchange rate depreciation increase the probability of default of Asian firms. A 30 percent currency depreciation is associated with a two-notch downgrade in the corporate credit rating (e.g., from A to BBB+), resulting in 7 percent of Asian firms falling into bankruptcy. But the impact is nonlinear—as the firms’ FX liability increases, the balance sheet channel of exchange rate offsets, then dominates, the competitiveness channel. The balance sheet channel offsets the competitiveness channel when the share of U.S. dollar debt is between 10 and 20 percent. We also find that currency depreciation increases firm-level investment on average, but for firms with the share of FX liabilities above 20 percent, investment contracts with depreciation.
Download or read book Realizing Indonesia s Economic Potential written by Mr.Luis E Breuer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-08-01 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analytical work on Indonesian macroeconomic and financial issues, with an overarching theme on building institutions and policies for prosperity and inclusive growth. The book begins with a 20-year economic overview by former Finance Minister Chatib Basri, with subsequent chapters covering diverse sectors of the economy as well as Indonesia’s place in the global economy.
Download or read book Indonesia written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-15 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on the selected issues of the Indonesian economy: (1) banking sector condition in India, (2) corporate vulnerabilities, (3) analysis of macrofinancial linkages in Indonesia, and (4) infrastructure development in Indonesia. Overall, the banking sector appears well capitalized and profitable. However, rising vulnerabilities from corporate foreign currency leverage and challenging financial market conditions have raised concerns. The risk from the corporate sector remains manageable, and the authorities have strengthened the monitoring framework. Macrofinancial linkages are analyzed using two complementary approaches: sector-level balance sheet analysis and a panel vector autoregressive approach. This paper addresses macrofiscal issues surrounding infrastructure development in Indonesia.
Download or read book Indonesia written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-09-16 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Indonesia recovered quickly after being hit hard by contagion from the global financial crisis. Banking fundamentals have improved, with most Indonesian banks reporting high capital, comfortable levels of liquidity, and solid profitability. Banks exhibit rising credit exposures to retail and SMEs. The Crisis Management Protocol functioned well during the crisis, but it has lapsed. A viable capital market will diversify the sources of funding and provide long-term investment opportunities. The small insurance industry should be restructured and gradually expanded to broaden the institutional investor base.
Download or read book Indonesia written by Mr.Thomas Rumbaugh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-19 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past decade, Indonesia has developed into an important regional and global economy, as well as an active participant in the G20. The chapters in this book document the substantial improvements in the quality of macroeconomic policy that Indonesia has achieved, while also clearly laying out an agenda of measures that should be taken to safeguard these gains and further lower vulnerabilities going forward. Rather than just demonstrating progress in key macroeconomic indicators, the contributors have delved into the ways that global volatility, especially since 2008, has affected Indonesia and how that country has adjusted its policies to meet the new challenges.
Download or read book Indonesia written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-13 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the 2010 FSAP, Indonesia’s macroeconomic performance has been robust and the financial system has been stable. Recently, the financial system has weathered well a simultaneous economic and credit deceleration. Corporate vulnerabilities have remained broadly in check, though debt-at-risk is elevated in some sectors and external refinancing risk persists. The banking system remains sound even though, as economic growth has slowed, banks’ high profitability has fallen somewhat and problem loans have risen. Banks’ capitalization remains strong and well above regulatory minima.
Download or read book Policies to Support the Development of Indonesia s Manufacturing Sector during 2020 2024 written by and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2019-01-01 with total page 470 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Indonesia's gross domestic product growth rate declined significantly after the Asian financial crisis (AFC) of 1997–1998. The country's potential and balance-of-payments growth rates are only about 5.5% and 3%, respectively. One important reason is that the country's industrialization pace declined after the AFC. Today, Indonesia is still exporting many unprocessed natural resources and simple manufactures (not complex products) with a low income elasticity of demand. This report analyzes how Indonesia's manufacturing sector could diversify and upgrade during 2020–2024 and beyond. This is essential if Indonesia is to attain upper middle-income status as soon as possible. Policy makers and the private sector need to collaborate to identify the coordination failures that hamper the discovery of those products that Indonesia could successfully produce and export. These must be complex products with a high income elasticity of demand. The report proposes a number of policies to expedite this process.
Download or read book Spillovers from Dollar Appreciation written by Mr.Julian T Chow and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-27 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent strong, sustained appreciation of the U.S. dollar raises questions about possible financial spillover effects for emerging markets and developing countries. This report finds that, unlike past episodes, emerging markets’ vulnerability has improved along a number of dimensions, though some risks persist (as identified in this report).
Download or read book Geophysical Climatological and Anthropogenic Hazards and Disaster Vulnerability Risk Assessment and Sustainability written by Shankar Karuppannan and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2024-02-12 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nowadays, the whole world faces frequent natural and anthropogenic hazards-from drought to flood to deforestation which impends a large number of people into catastrophic destruction and damage. Since natural hazards cannot be eliminated, quantifying these events and creating reliable forecasts can alleviate their detrimental effects which can help build a more resilient and safe society. This Research Topic will comply with the available knowledge of the multi-hazards in response to monitoring and management and intends to fulfil the gap between science, policy and the community concerned. It also focuses on the use of precision techniques, remote sensing, and GIS technologies for the quantification of various natural and environmental hazards along with the capacity and sustainable mitigation strategies for resilient societies.
Download or read book Assessing current social vulnerability to climate change written by Anne Marie Tiani and published by CIFOR. This book was released on 2015-02-12 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This document is designed to help researchers, practioners and all those interested in assessing the extent and scope of local people vulnerability to climate change, the responses they currently oppose and how efficient they are. Vulnerability has been studied through the lenses of different dimensions: system and exposure units, dynamic processes, multiple threats, differential exposure, and social capital and collective action. The purpose of this framework is to grasp the social (and ecological) dynamics in the system over the past decades, in order to identify future actions for reducing vulnerability and to enhance adaptive capacity. In addition, research approaches proposed in this document can serve as a platform for dialogue as such approaches give opportunities to communities to collectively discuss their common problems related to climate change and to initiate common responses necessary to building their social capital.
Download or read book Non Traditional Security Challenges in Asia written by ShebontiRay Dadwal and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-07-05 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asia is challenged by a number of non-traditional security issues including the foodenergywater nexus, climate change, transnational crime, terrorism, disaster relief and economic performance. This volume categorizes and clarifies some key emerging issues in the area and looks at their interconnectedness and implications.The essays explore how non-traditional issues can manifest as security challenges, and the role of the state and military in dealing with these. Issue-based and area-specific, they rely on facts and interpretation of data, avoiding alarmist predictions. A nuanced and analytical approach into an uncharted area, this book will be essential for policymakers, researchers and students of security and strategic studies, foreign policy, sociology and political economy, as well as the general readers.
Download or read book Clean Energy Transition and Load Capacity Factors Environmental Sustainability Assessment through Advanced Statistical Methods written by Zeeshan Fareed and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2023-09-07 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Doing Business 2020 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2019-11-21 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seventeen in a series of annual reports comparing business regulation in 190 economies, Doing Business 2020 measures aspects of regulation affecting 10 areas of everyday business activity.
Download or read book Republic of Poland written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-26 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper considers the case of Poland to analyze global financial spillovers to emerging market (EM) sovereign bond markets. Foreign holdings of Polish government bonds have increased substantially over the last decade. Although foreign participation in local-currency sovereign bond markets provides an additional source of financing and reduces sovereign yields, it has also given rise to concerns about increased sensitivity to shifts in market sentiment. The analysis in this paper suggests that foreign participation plays an important role in transmitting global financial shocks to local-currency sovereign bond markets by increasing yield volatility and, beyond a certain threshold, amplifying these spillovers.
Download or read book Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring written by Carl-Johan Lindgren and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An IMF paper reviewing the policy responses of Indonesia, Korea and Thailand to the 1997 Asian crisis, comparing the actions of these three countries with those of Malaysia and the Philippines. Although all judgements are still tentative, important lessons can be learned from the experiences of the last two years.
