Download or read book Analysis of the Contagion Effect Systematic Risk and DownsideRisk in the International Stock Markets During the SubprimeMortgage Crisis written by 蔡繡容 and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Contagion written by Rob Quail and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-09 with total page 570 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Financial Contagion: The Viral Threat to the Wealth of Nations covers a lot of territory. It is, of course, terribly important to analyze case histories to discover potential triggers, mechanisms of transmission, and viable ways to contain the damage of financial contagion. The problem is, as these articles amply demonstrate, that there’s always a new virus or a mutation of a former one lurking in some corner of the financial world. We don’t know what it is or where it is. And, even if we had some inkling, there’s almost never enough time to develop a financial flu shot." --SeekingAlpha.com The latest insights on financial contagion and how both nations and investors can effectively deal with it. The domino-style structure in which the financial system exists is a perilous one. Although historically, the financial system has been able to deal with major shocks, the fact remains that our financial system is not as secure as it should be. Recent years have brought about too many examples of contagion and systemic risk. That is why Financial Contagion is such an important read. In it, the serious concerns that revolve around our fragile economic system are investigated, researched, and explained. Throughout the book, Kolb offers valuable insights on this dilemma as he compiles the history of financial contagion, highlights the latest research on systemic failure and interrelated markets, and analyzes the risks and consequences we face moving forward. Examines the importance of careful regulation and what must be done to stabilize the global financial system Includes contributed chapters from both academics and experienced professionals, offering a variety of perspectives and a rich interplay of ideas Details how close we are to witnessing a financial contagion that could devastate the world economy We have been harshly reminded of how fragile our economic ecosystem is. With Financial Contagion, you'll hold a better understanding of what needs to be done to strengthen our system and safeguard our financial future.
Download or read book Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion written by Mardi Dungey and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-01-07 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modeling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries, and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.
Download or read book Theories of Contagion written by Andreas Vester and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: In recent years academics and policy makers have become more and more interested in the phenomenon of contagion, a concept involving the transmission of a financial crisis from one country to one or more other countries. During the 1990s world capital markets witnessed a number of financial crises. In 1992 the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) crisis hit the European continent. Several countries in Latin America have been rocked during the 1994-95 Tequila crisis, and the Asian Flu spread through East Asian countries in 1997-98 with dramatic social implications. Later in 1998 the famous hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) had to file for bankruptcy and the Russian debt failure shocked international capital markets and increased volatility on a global scale. The crisis spread to as far as Brazil in early 1999 and developed markets have become victims as well. The question asked by academics and policy makers is how countries should behave in order to avoid contagion. To answer this question it is necessary to understand the different channels of contagion in greater detail and how a crisis can be transmitted from one country to another. The objective of this paper is to highlight those channels and to present a number of models and theories of contagion, which have recently been developed by academics. In general, there are several strands of theories in the literature that try to explain the transmission of crises. During the mid and late 1990s fundamental-based contagion and spillovers became popular among researchers and policy makers. Furthermore, financial linkages have been known to contribute to contagion. In contrast, in recent years, portfolio flows of international investors moved into the focus of academics. The advocates of fundamental-based contagion and spillovers argue that trade linkages between countries are responsible for contagion. For instance, a devaluation of a country's currency may lead to a negative change in fundamentals of its trading partners. On the other hand, contagion due to financial linkages is mainly explained by the fact that countries share the same banks and therefore have common creditors. A crisis in one country then leads to a deteriorating balance sheet of those common creditors. This in turn may force banks to withdraw money out of other countries in order to avoid further losses, a fact that leads to contagious sellouts. The role of international portfolio flows, which is [...]
Download or read book International Contagion Effects from the Russian Crisis and the LTCM Near Collapse written by Mardi Dungey and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2002-04-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine empirically the episode of extraordinary turbulence in global financial markets during 1998. The analysis focuses on the market assessment of credit risk captured by daily movements in bond spreads for twelve countries. A dynamic latent factor model is estimated using indirect inference to quantify the effects of unanticipated shocks across borders or "contagion," controlling for common global shocks, country-specific shocks and regional factors. The results show that there were substantial international contagion effects resulting from both the Russian and LTCM crises. The proportion of volatility explained by contagion is not necessarily larger in developing than in developed nations.
Download or read book International Contagion Effects from the Russian Crisis and the Ltcm Near Collapse written by Mardi Dungey and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine empirically the episode of extraordinary turbulence in global financial markets during 1998. The analysis focuses on the market assessment of credit risk captured by daily movements in bond spreads for twelve countries. A dynamic latent factor model is estimated using indirect inference to quantify the effects of unanticipated shocks across borders or quot;contagion,quot; controlling for common global shocks, country-specific shocks and regional factors. The results show that there were substantial international contagion effects resulting from both the Russian and LTCM crises. The proportion of volatility explained by contagion is not necessarily larger in developing than in developed nations.
Download or read book Tail Contagion written by Cuong Cao Nguyen and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper applies non-parametric methods of Chi-plots and Kendall (K)-plots and three different copula functions to empirically examine the tail dependence between the U.S. stock market and stock markets in Vietnam and China in order to test contagion effect after the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis. The results indicate the presence of left tail dependence before and after the crisis suggesting no change in dependence structure but stronger left tail dependence between the U.S. and Vietnam stock markets. Thus, the US and Vietnam stock markets are more prone to crashing than booming together. Between the U.S. and Shanghai stock markets, the results provide evidence of a left tail dependence before the crisis, but no evidence of tail dependence after the crisis indicating that the dependence structure between U.S. and Shanghai stock markets changed after the crisis. On the contrary, the findings show that the Shenzhen stock market is independent of the U.S. market in both before and after crisis periods which imply that an extreme event in the U.S. market is less likely to influence the Shenzhen stock market. This suggests that there is significant potential for risk diversification by investing in the Shenzhen market by U. S. investors after the financial crisis. The results have not been documented in the existing literature and provide a new insight into risk diversification between the stock markets.
Download or read book Global Financial Crisis and Emerging Stock Market Contagion written by Dimitrios I. Dimitriou and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically investigates the contagion effects of the global financial crisis in a multivariate Fractionally Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH (FIAPARCH) dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) framework during the period 1997-2012. We focus on five most important emerging equity markets, namely Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS), as well as USA during different phases of the crisis. The length and the phases of the crisis are identified based on both an economic and a statistical approach. The empirical evidence does not confirm a contagion effect for most BRICS during the early stages of the crisis, indicating signs of isolation or decoupling. However, linkages reemerged (recoupled) after the Lehman Brothers collapse, suggesting a shift on investors' risk appetite. Moreover, correlations among all BRICS and USA are increased from early 2009 onwards, implying that their dependence is larger in bullish than in bearish markets. These findings do not show a pattern of contagion for all BRICSs' markets that could be attributed to their common trade and financial characteristics and provide important implications for international investors and policymakers.
Download or read book The Contagion Effects of Financial Crises on Stock Markets of Developed Countries written by João Leitão and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study makes an innovative approach, since it applies a set of diversified tests, which have not been used on a joint basis until now, in order to study the contagion effects of financial crises in the stock markets of developed countries. This is particularly important due to the fact that existing literature has so far failed to adequately address the effects of financial crisis on the stock markets of developed countries. Several empirical tests are performed on a joint basis: correlation tests, Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests; extreme value tests; and tests based on the estimation of Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive models. Significant evidence on the existence of contagion effects is provided with regards to the Asia crisis, the Russia crisis and the September 11 crisis, as was previously mentioned in literature. On the other hand, limited evidence is detected regarding the contagion effects on Brazil, Argentina and Mexico.
Download or read book Contagion Effects of the Global Financial Crisis in US and European Real Economy Sectors written by Dimitris Kenourgios and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically investigates the contagion effects of the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2009) from the financial sector to the real economy by examining nine sectors of US and developed European region. We provide a regional analysis by testing stock market contagion on the aggregate level and the sector level, on the global level and the domestic/regional level. Results show evidence of global contagion in US and developed European aggregate stock market indices and all US sector indices, implying the limited benefits of portfolio diversification. On the other hand, most of the European regional sectors seem to be immune to the adverse effects of the crisis. Finally, all non-financial sectors of both geographical areas seem to be unaffected by their domestic financial systems. These findings have important implications for policy makers, investors and international organizations.
Download or read book Contagion Effect of Financial Crisis on OECD Stock Markets written by Irfan Akbar Kazi and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Empirical Evidence on Financial Spillovers and Contagion to International Stock Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this thesis different definitions of financial contagion are explored. These definitions are applied to test for evidence of contagion on a number of stock markets and during several turbulent periods. First, we investigate the question whether emerging stock markets are more or less vulnerable to large financial shocks than developed capital markets. Second, this study analyzes how significant financial turmoil can change the direction and strength of spillovers between a mature calm market and emerging crisis markets. Additionally, we explore the direction of spillovers and contagion effects between two crisis markets during the same turbulent period. Third, dynamic dependencies between mature stock markets are explored to learn how the strength of spillovers changes in tranquil and turbulent times and how crisis markets are influenced by the leading stock market.
Download or read book Simulation of Contagion in the Stock Markets Using Cross Shareholding Networks written by Hossein Dastkhan and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, simulation of contagion in financial markets is one of the main concerns of the economic and finance researchers and policy makers in order to analyze the effects of different shocks on the contagion. In this paper, we introduce a simulation model to analyze the contagion in financial markets based on the cross-shareholding network of firms. In order to validate the proposed model, we investigate the results of a real dataset from an emerging market. According to different kinds of idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks to the system, we analyze the probability and the extent of contagion. Moreover, to study the effect of market structure, the results of different null models are compared with the real network. The results show that the proposed simulation model and the cross-shareholding network are effectively appropriate in the analysis of contagion and systemic risk in the financial systems. The results of null models indicate that the structural characteristics of the financial networks have significant role in the spread of shocks and financial crisis. The results also reveal that for the networks with homogeneity for degree and weights underestimates the number of infected firms and overestimates the loss percents.
Download or read book Equity Market Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis written by Mardi Dungey and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis (2007-2009) saw sharp declines in stock markets around the world, affecting both advanced and emerging markets. In this paper we test for the existence of equity market contagion originating from the US to advanced and emerging markets during the crisis period. Using a latent factor model, we provide strong evidence of contagion effects in both advanced and emerging equity markets. In the aggregate equity market indices, contagion from the US explains a large portion of the variance in stock returns in both advanced and emerging markets. However, in the financial sector indices we find less evidence of contagion than in the aggregate indices, and this is particularly the case for the advanced markets. The results suggest that contagion effects are not strongly related to high levels of global integration.
Download or read book Contagion Effect in Stock Markets During the 2007 2010 Global Financial Crisis written by and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Contagion Channels of the USA Subprime Financial Crisis Evidence from USA EMU China and Japan Equity Markets written by Dimitrios I. Dimitriou and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to investigate empirically contagion channels of the 2007 US subprime financial crisis by employing a multivariate GARCH model for four major, international equity markets, namely the USA, EMU, China and Japan.Design/methodology/approach - In this study, contagion channels of the 2007 US subprime financial crisis are investigated empirically by employing a multivariate GARCH model for four major, international equity markets, namely the USA, EMU, China and Japan.Findings - There is empirical evidence of contagion in all markets with the US market through various channels, which have not been discussed in other related studies. Specifically, the empirical results suggest that Japanese and EMU markets have been directly affected from the crisis. However, while China's equity market has been mainly unaffected by the US subprime crisis, has been affected indirectly through Japan. Moreover, the Japanese equity market exhibits positive and significant spillovers effects with China and EMU, revealing an indirect volatility transmission channel of US subprime crisis.Research limitations/implications - Further research could consider the asymmetric effects on conditional covariance through, for example, asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlation models. All under examination markets show evidence of contagion through different channels.Practical implications - Despite the financial advices for diversification, since the increasing globalization and stock market interdependence throughout the last 15 years, through the US subprime crisis equity investors had fewer opportunities for diversification. From policy makers' perspective, they should carefully examine and uncover possible decoupling strategies to insulate these economies from contagion in future crises.Social implications - This study provides useful information to international organizations, such as World Bank and World Trade Organization (WTO) in order to protect markets from contagion during future crises.Originality/value - A novel finding of this paper is the indirect channel of contagion (i.e. Japanese market) for Chinese market. This indirect channel may help explain why China's equity market performed badly in 2008 after the subprime crisis in the USA emerged.
Download or read book The Impacts of Subprime Mortgage Crisis on the Relations Between Stock Markets and Macroeconomic Variables the Cases of the United States and Taiwan written by 劉釋允 and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
