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Book Analyses of Mortgage Backed Securities Based on Unobservable Prepayment Cost Processes

Download or read book Analyses of Mortgage Backed Securities Based on Unobservable Prepayment Cost Processes written by Hidetoshi Nakagawa and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a prepayment model of mortgage based on a structural approach in order to analyze prepayment risk of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). We introduce a continuous process named prepayment cost process. Specifically, each mortgagor's prepayment time is defined by the first time when her or his prepayment cost process falls below zero, but prepayment cost processes are supposed to be unobservable in the market. We also introduce a risk unique to each loan pool of mortgages, called a loan pool risk (LPR), and we regard LPR as a systematic risk other than interest rate. Using the model, we discuss the conditional distribution of prepayment times and a risk-neutral valuation of pass-through MBS. It is shown that each mortgagor's conditional non-prepayment probability and the posterior distribution of LPR play quite important roles in our study.

Book Investing in Mortgage Backed and Asset Backed Securities

Download or read book Investing in Mortgage Backed and Asset Backed Securities written by Glenn M. Schultz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-01-07 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to investing in and managing a portfolio of mortgage- and asset-backed securities Mortgage- and asset-backed securities are not as complex as they might seem. In fact, all of the information, financial models, and software needed to successfully invest in and manage a portfolio of these securities are available to the investment professional through open source software. Investing in Mortgage and Asset-Backed Securities + Website shows you how to achieve this goal. The book draws entirely on publicly available data and open source software to construct a complete analytic framework for investing in these securities. The analytic models used throughout the book either exist in the quantlib library, as an R package, or are programmed in R and incorporated into the analytic framework used. Examines the valuation of fixed-income securities—metrics, valuation framework, and return analysis Covers residential mortgage-backed securities—security cash flow, mortgage dollar roll, adjustable rate mortgages, and private label MBS Discusses prepayment modeling and the valuation of mortgage credit Presents mortgage-backed securities valuation techniques—pass-through valuation and interest rate models Engaging and informative, this book skillfully shows you how to build, rather than buy, models and proprietary analytical platforms that will allow you to invest in mortgage- and asset-backed securities.

Book Mortgage Backed Securities

Download or read book Mortgage Backed Securities written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-31 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An up-to-date look at the latest innovations in mortgage-backed securities Since the last edition of Mortgage-Backed Securities was published over three years ago, much has changed in the structured credit market. Frank Fabozzi, Anand Bhattacharya, and William Berliner all have many years of experience working in the fixed-income securitization markets, and have witnessed many cycles of change in the mortgage and MBS sectors. And now, with the Second Edition of Mortgage-Backed Securities, they share their knowledge on many of the products and structuring innovations that have taken place since the financial crisis and fiscal reform. Written in a straightforward and accessible style, and containing numerous illustrations, this timely guide skillfully addresses the investment characteristics, creation, and analysis of mortgage-backed securities. Each chapter contains cutting-edge concepts that you'll need to understand in order to thrive within this arena. Discusses the dynamic interaction between the mortgage industry, home prices, and credit performance Addresses revised valuation techniques in which all non-agency MBS must be treated as credit pieces Examines the shift in this marketplace since the crisis and the impact on industry and investors Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Mortgage-Backed Securities, Second Edition offers you a realistic assessment of this field and outlines the products, structures, and analytical techniques you need to know about in this evolving arena.

Book Mortgage Valuation Models

Download or read book Mortgage Valuation Models written by Andrew Davidson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2014-05-22 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are among the most complex of all financial instruments. Analysis of MBS requires blending empirical analysis of borrower behavior with the mathematical modeling of interest rates and home prices. Over the past 25 years, Andrew Davidson and Alexander Levin have been at the leading edge of MBS valuation and risk analysis. Mortgage Valuation Models: Embedded Options, Risk, and Uncertainty contains a detailed description of the sophisticated theories and advanced methods that the authors employ in real-world analyses of mortgage-backed securities. Issues such as complexity, borrower options, uncertainty, and model risk play a central role in the authors' approach to the valuation of MBS. The coverage spans the range of mortgage products from loans and TBA (to-be-announced) pass-through securities to subordinate tranches of subprime-mortgage securitizations. With reference to the classical CAPM and APT, the book advocates extending the concept of risk-neutrality to modeling home prices and borrower options, well beyond interest rates. It describes valuation methods for both agency and non-agency MBS including pricing new loans; approaches to prudent risk measurement, ranking, and decomposition; and methods for modeling prepayments and defaults of borrowers. The authors also reveal quantitative causes of the 2007-09 financial crisis and provide insight into the future of the U.S. housing finance system and mortgage modeling as this field continues to evolve. This book will serve as a foundation for the future development of models for mortgage-backed securities.

Book Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage Backed Securities

Download or read book Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage Backed Securities written by Eduardo S. Schwartz and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Market Risk of Mortgage Backed Securities with Consistent Measures

Download or read book Market Risk of Mortgage Backed Securities with Consistent Measures written by Hsien-Hsing Liao and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Due to the complex prepayment behavior, mortgage contracts and their derivatives are generally priced using Monte Carlo simulations. The typical approach used by the industry, which involves simulating interest rates under the risk-neutral measure and applying a physically measured prepayment function, is subject to the problem of internal inconsistency. This is the first paper that directly investigates the potential impact of this issue. Following the general equilibrium setting by Cox, Ingersoll and Ross, we incorporate the market risk price parameter to derive the physical interest rate process from an unobserved yield curve. This allows us to model mortgage values under the consistent physical measures of interest rates and prepayment functions.By analyzing a default-free Ginnie Mae MBS, we find that the mixed measures lead to slower prepayment rate estimates and overpriced mortgage securities by approximately 5 percent. Further, there can be substantial biases in the duration and convexity measures depending on market condition and the particular security of interest. The internal inconsistency also leads to baised predictions of both expected and stressed returns for different investment horizons. Depending on the particular security, the bias in expected and stressed returns can be either positive or negative. These biases in risk estimates can introduce misallocation or risk-based capital and/or failure in hedging the market risk of a mortgage-related portfolio.

Book Mortgage backed Securities

Download or read book Mortgage backed Securities written by William W. Bartlett and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1989 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Mortgage backed Securities and the Implications of Prepayment Analysis

Download or read book Mortgage backed Securities and the Implications of Prepayment Analysis written by Mitchel Litke and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Mortgage backed Securities

Download or read book Mortgage backed Securities written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by Irwin Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1987 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Advances in Mathematical Economics Volume 8

Download or read book Advances in Mathematical Economics Volume 8 written by S. Kusuoka and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-02-15 with total page 481 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A lot of economic problems can formulated as constrained optimizations and equilibration of their solutions.Various mathematical theories have been supplying economists with indispensable machineries for these problems arising in economic theory. Conversely, mathematicians have been stimulated by various mathematical difficulties raised by economic theories. The series is designed to bring together those mathematicians who were seriously interested in getting new challenging stimuli from economic theories with those economists who are seeking for effective mathematical tools for their researchers.

Book Handbook of Mortgage Backed Securities

Download or read book Handbook of Mortgage Backed Securities written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2001-05-14 with total page 912 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive guide to mortgage-backed securities --now revised and updated The classic -- and single best -- resource for understanding and trading mortgage-backed securities has been brought fully up to date with The Handbook of Mortgage-Backed Securities, Fifth Edition, giving you timely insights into everything from fundamentals to investment characteristics of mortgage-backed securities, as well as state-of-the-art strategies for capitalizing on opportunities. The Handbook’s seven sections bring you up to speed on mortgages and pass-through securities; stripped mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations; credit-sensitive mortgage-backed securities; prepayment modeling; valuation techniques, relative value analysis, and portfolio strategies; commercial mortgage-backed securities; and non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities. This edition is more than just a revised edition – it’s practically a new book: twenty-nine of the chapters are either new or have been substantially revised, reflecting the most recent developments in the mortgage-backed securities market, in terms of both product development and financial technology. These entirely new sections give you a seamless transition into the 24-hour, global financial markets of the 21st century.

Book Unobservable Heterogeneity and Rational Learning

Download or read book Unobservable Heterogeneity and Rational Learning written by Richard Stanton and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Previous mortgage prepayment and valuation models assume that two mortgage pools with the same observable characteristics should behave indistinguishably. However, even pools with apparently identical characteristics often exhibit markedly different prepayment behavior. The sources of this heterogeneity may be unobservable, but we can infer information about a pool from its prepayment behavior over time. This paper develops a methodology for using this information to calculate pool-specific mortgage-backed security prices. Knowledge of these prices is important both for portfolio valuation and for determining the cheapest pool to deliver when selling mortgage-backed securities. We find that unobservable heterogeneity between mortgage pools is statistically significant, and that pool- specific prices, calculated for a sample of outwardly identical mortgage pools between 1983 and 1989, may differ greatly from any single representative price.

Book Mortgage backed Securities

Download or read book Mortgage backed Securities written by Robert Thomas Lassinger and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Macroeconomic Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage Backed Securities

Download or read book Macroeconomic Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage Backed Securities written by Mikhail Chernov and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We introduce a reduced-form modeling framework for mortgage-backed securities in which we solve for the implied prepayment function from the cross section of market prices. From the implied prepayment function, we find that prepayment rates are driven not only by interest rates, but also by two macroeconomic factors: turnover and rate response. Intuitively, turnover represents prepayments for exogenous reasons like employment-related moves, household income shocks, and foreclosures, while rate response reflects frictions faced by borrowers in refinancing into a lower rate. We find that the empirical turnover and rate response measures are both significantly related to macroeconomic measures, suggesting that these factors represent a source of systematic risk. Consistent with this, we find that implied prepayments are substantially higher than actual prepayments, providing direct evidence of significant prepayment risk premia in mortgage-backed security prices. We analyze the properties of the prepayment risk premium and find that it is almost entirely due to compensation for turnover risk. We also find evidence that mortgage-backed security prices were significantly affected by Fannie Mae credit risk and the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing Programs.

Book Mortgage Backed Valuation

Download or read book Mortgage Backed Valuation written by Harvey J. Stein and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tutorial on valuation of mortgage backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations, including: - Structure of the mortgage market - Prepayment modeling - OAS analysis - Interest rate modeling - Numerical methods - Parallelization.

Book Advances in Mathematical Economics

Download or read book Advances in Mathematical Economics written by Shigeo Kusuoka and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A lot of economic problems can be formulated as constrained optimizations and equilibration of their solutions. Various mathematical theories have been supplying economists with indispensable machineries for these problems arising in economic theory. Conversely, mathematicians have been stimulated by various mathematical difficulties raised by economic theories. The series is designed to bring together those mathematicians who are seriously interested in getting new challenging stimuli from economic theories with those economists who seek effective mathematical tools for their researchers. The editorial board of this series comprises the following prominent economists and mathematicians: Managing Editors: S. Kusuoka (Univ. Tokyo), T. Maruyama (Keio Univ.); Editors: R. Anderson (U.C. Berkeley), C. Castaing (Univ. Montpellier), F. H. Clarke (Univ. Lyon I), G. Debreu (U.C. Berkeley), E. Dierker (Univ. Vienna), D. Duffie (Stanford Univ.), L.C. Evans (U.C. Berkeley), T. Fujimoto (Okayama Univ.), J.-M. Grandmont (CREST-CNRS), N. Hirano (Yokohama National Univ.), L. Hurwicz (Univ. of Minnesota), T. Ichiishi (Ohio State Univ.), A. Ioffe (Israel Institute of Technology), S. Iwamoto (Kyushu Univ.), K. Kamiya (Univ. Tokyo), K. Kawamata (Keio Univ.), N. Kikuchi (Keio Univ.), H. Matano (Univ. Tokyo), K. Nishimura (Kyoto Univ.), M. K. Richter (Univ. Minnesota), Y. Takahashi (Kyoto Univ.), M. Valadier (Univ. Montpellier II), M. Yano (Keio Univ).