Download or read book An Empirical Time Series Analysis on the Determinants of Gross National Saving in Ethiopia ARDL Approach for Co integration written by Yohannes Ghebru Alemayehu and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2014-10-07 with total page 115 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, Addis Ababa University (Addis Ababa University), course: Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper was to investigate the macroeconomic determinants of gross national saving in Ethiopia using time series annual data form 1970/71-2010/11. In this study, effort has been made to identify the long run and short run determinants of national saving in Ethiopia using an ARDL bounds testing approach and ECM to capture both short run and long run relationships. Estimated results revealed that financial development (FD) and Current account deficit (CAD) are significant determinants of gross national saving in Ethiopia in the long run. But gross national disposable income (LGNDI), dependency ratio (DR), budget deficit (BD) and inflation, approximated by consumer price index (CPI), found to be statistically insignificant determinants of gross national saving in Ethiopia in the long run. However, in the short run, except consumer price index (CPI) and dependency ratio (DR) the rest of the explanatory variables such as gross national disposable income (LGNDI), financial development (FD), current account deficit (CAD) and budget deficit (BD) found to have statistically significant meaning in explaining gross national saving in Ethiopia. The speed of adjustment has value 0.66978 with negative sign, which showed the convergence of saving model towards long run equilibrium. The overall findings of the study underlined the importance of raising the level of income in a sustainable manner, minimizing the adverse impacts of budget deficit and inflation rate and creating competitive environment in the financial sector.
Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass through in Mozambique written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.
Download or read book Uganda written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-09-11 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uganda: Selected Issues
Download or read book Ethiopia s New Financial Sector and Its Regulation written by Tony Addison and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: War has destroyed the hopes and lives of millions of Africans. How can we help Africa's communities to recover? How can we ensure that recovery from conflict benefits the poor and not just a narrow elite? These are just some of the vital questions asked and answered in this important new book, which is one of the first to thoroughly examine recovery from conflict in Africa.
Download or read book Determinants of Financial Development written by Y. Huang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-11-24 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A PDF version of this book is available for free in open access via the OAPEN Library platform, www.oapen.org. This book examines the emergence of both financial markets and carbon markets, and provides an in-depth investigation on the fundamental determinants of financial development.
Download or read book Private Investment in Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-04-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of several policy and other macro-economic variables on the ratio of private investment to GDP in developing countries. Using data for a sample of 23 developing countries over the period 1975-87, the econometric evidence indicates that the rate of private investment is positively related to the real growth rate of GDP, public sector investment, and to a lesser extent the level of per capita GDP, while it is negatively related to domestic inflation, the debt service ratio, the debt-to-GDP ratio, and high real interest rates. There is also some indication that all but the last of these variables had a greater impact before the onset of the debt crisis in 1982, while the debt-to-GDP ratio (a measure of a country’s debt overhang) has become more important since then.
Download or read book Applied Time Series Econometrics written by Helmut Lütkepohl and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series econometrics is a rapidly evolving field. Particularly, the cointegration revolution has had a substantial impact on applied analysis. Hence, no textbook has managed to cover the full range of methods in current use and explain how to proceed in applied domains. This gap in the literature motivates the present volume. The methods are sketched out, reminding the reader of the ideas underlying them and giving sufficient background for empirical work. The treatment can also be used as a textbook for a course on applied time series econometrics. Topics include: unit root and cointegration analysis, structural vector autoregressions, conditional heteroskedasticity and nonlinear and nonparametric time series models. Crucial to empirical work is the software that is available for analysis. New methodology is typically only gradually incorporated into existing software packages. Therefore a flexible Java interface has been created, allowing readers to replicate the applications and conduct their own analyses.
Download or read book Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries written by Roberto Perotti and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper surveys fiscal policy in developing countries from the point of view of long-run growth. The first section reviews existing methodologies to estimate the effects of fiscal policy shocks and of systematic fiscal policy, with time series or with cross-sectional methods, and their applicability to developing countries. The second section surveys optimal fiscal policy in developing countries, by considering the role of the intertemporal government budget, and sustainability and solvency. It also reviews the fuzzy debate on "fiscal space" and "macroeconomic space" - and the usefulness (or lack thereof) of these terms for policy analysis. The third section asks what theory tells us about the optimal cyclical behavior of fiscal policy in developing countries. It shows that it very much depends on the assumptions about the interactions between credit market imperfections at the individual, firms, or government level, and on the supply of external funds to the country. Different sets of assumptions lead to different implications about optimal cyclical behavior. The available evidence on the cyclical behavior of fiscal policy, and possible reasons for the observed prevalence of a procyclical behavior in developing countries, is also reviewed. If one agrees that fiscal policy is indeed less countercyclical than we think is optimal, the issue is how to correct the problem. One obvious question is why government do not self-insure, i.e. why they do not accumulate assets in upturns and decumulate them in downturns. This leads to the analysis of fiscal rules and stabilization funds, in the fourth section. The last section concludes with what the author considers important research and policy questions in each part.
Download or read book The Development of Local Capital Markets written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Capital markets can improve risk sharing and the efficiency with which capital is allocated to the real economy, boosting economic growth and welfare. However, despite these potential benefits, not all countries have well developed capital markets. Moreover, government-led initiatives to develop local capital markets have had mixed success. This paper reviews the literature on the benefits and costs of developing local capital markets, and describes the challenges faced in the development of such markets. The paper concludes with a set of policy recommendations emerging from this literature.
Download or read book Studies on Economic Development and Growth in Selected African Countries written by Almas Heshmati and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-05-02 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of studies on economic development and growth in selected African countries. It consists of an introduction/summary and 15 inter-related empirical studies grouped into 5 research areas: women’s empowerment and demand for healthcare; the impact of institutions, aid, inflation and FDI on economic growth; capital structure and bank-loan growth effects; trade, mineral exports and exchange rate; and growth, productivity and efficiency in various industries. While it provides a comprehensive picture of the state of economic development and growth in most parts of the continent, the main focus is on economic development and growth in Ethiopia and Rwanda – two countries undergoing rapid economic and social development.
Download or read book Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises written by Ms.Carmen Reinhart and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-24 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Even after one of the most severe multi-year crises on record in the advanced economies, the received wisdom in policy circles clings to the notion that high-income countries are completely different from their emerging market counterparts. The current phase of the official policy approach is predicated on the assumption that debt sustainability can be achieved through a mix of austerity, forbearance and growth. The claim is that advanced countries do not need to resort to the standard toolkit of emerging markets, including debt restructurings and conversions, higher inflation, capital controls and other forms of financial repression. As we document, this claim is at odds with the historical track record of most advanced economies, where debt restructuring or conversions, financial Repression, and a tolerance for higher inflation, or a combination of these were an integral part of the resolution of significant past debt overhangs.
Download or read book Macroeconomic Determinants of Economic Growth in Ethiopia A Vector Correction Model written by Asmamaw Kassahun Agdew and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2019-10-07 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thesis (M.A.) from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 3.89, , language: English, abstract: The main objective of this study is to investigate the macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Ethiopia from 1974-2014. A Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to cointegration approach is applied in order to investigate the long run and short run relationship between real GDP and its macroeconomic determinants. The finding of the cointegration test shows that there is a stable long run relationship between real GDP, gross domestic saving, labor, human capital, export, FDI, foreign aid and external debt. The long run empirical result reveals gross domestic saving, human capital proxied by government expenditure on health and education, and labor force have positive and significant relationship with real output. However export and real GDP have positive but insignificant relationship. External debt, foreign aid and FDI have negatively significant relationship with real GDP during the study period. The short run dynamic results shows that human capital, saving and FDI have positive relationship with output growth whereas labor, export, aid and external debt have negative relationship with Real GDP. The coefficient of equilibrating error term (ECM) suggests that the speed of adjustment (feedback effect towards the long run equilibrium) takes few years for full adjustment when there is a shock in the system. In order to sustain long run growth the government or policy makers should design appropriate policies that results in the efficient use of resources contributing to economic growth and proper management of variables resulting to negative growth in order to reverse their effect on output.
Download or read book Globalization Growth and Poverty written by Paul Collier and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2002 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Globalization - the growing integration of economies and societies around the world, is a complex process. The focus of this research is the impact of economic integration on developing countries and especially the poor people living in these countries. Whether economic integration supports poverty reduction and how it can do so more effectively are key questions asked. The research yields 3 main findings with bearings on current policy debates about globalization. Firstly, poor countries with some 3 billion people have broken into the global market for manufactures and services, and this successful integration has generally supported poverty reduction. Secondly, inclusion both across countries and within them is important as a number of countries (pop. 2 billion) are failing as states, trading less and less, and becoming marginal to the world economy. Thirdly, standardization or homogenization is a concern - will economic integration lead to cultural or institutional homogenization?
Download or read book The effect of exchange rates on economic growth in Ethiopia written by Muluken Nigussie Tessema and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2020-04-08 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Business economics - General, grade: 3.68, Saint Mary's University, language: English, abstract: This study attempts to investigate the effect of exchange rates on economic growth in Ethiopia using annual time series data spanning from 1985/86 to 2014/15. The explanatory variables in this study were real effective exchange rate, government final consumption expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, broad money supply and trade openness. The multilateral real exchange rates is used to measure real exchange rates. Results from Vector Error Correction Model revealed that real effective exchange rates, broad money supply and trade openness have a positive long run effect on economic growth, while government final consumption have a negative long run effect on the economic growth of Ethiopia. From the regression results, it was noted that undervaluation of the currency is contractionary in the long run and neutral in the short- run. As such, the effect of exchange rates on economic growth works through the supply channel. It is the reflection of various economic and policy shocks, mainly a strategy shifts, of the government. Based on the findings of this study, the researcher recommended that since the Ethiopian output is dominated by primary agricultural products and it is insensitive for the change in exchange rate. Government intervention is needed to balance the adverse effect of exchange rate movements until the economy well transformed from agricultural lead economy to industrial lead economy and becomes less dependent on imported raw materials.
Download or read book The main determinants of VAT revenue productivity in Ethiopia A research written by Molla Dessie and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - Trade and Distribution, , course: Economics, language: English, abstract: The prime objective of this study is to investigate the main determinants of VAT revenue productivity in Ethiopia. In order to address this main objective we focused on the following specific objectives. VAT is one of the indirect taxes levied on consumption where the value of goods and services increases as they charge hands in course of production, distribution and final sales to the consumer. Ethiopia has implemented the Value Added Tax in January, 2003 primarily to raise more revenue, modernizing its tax administration and encourage investment and trades. The Ethiopian Customs and Revenue Authority (ERCA takes the responsibility), and is facing with a substantial problem of VAT revenue collections efficiency. So in this study, the efficiency of VAT over time and determinants of productivity of VAT in Ethiopia at macro level from 2003-2016 has been given focus. To achieve this objective, the researcher used quantitative research designs using secondary data from the data sources (i.e. ERCA, NBE, and WB). Some statistical graphs, tables and percent are used, and also Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach model is applied in order to investigate the long-run effect of determinants of productivity of VAT revenue. The study concludes that productivity of VAT in Ethiopia is less efficient over time which is 18% on average and, very responsive to changes in its determinants (specifically GDPcG, inflation, import, population, and corruption). So this investigation provides decision makers with an analytical framework which can be used to estimate the associated VAT revenues productivities in Ethiopia.
Download or read book Econometrics by Example written by Damodar Gujarati and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-16 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second edition of this bestselling textbook retains its unique learning-by-doing approach to econometrics. Rather than relying on complex theoretical discussions and complicated mathematics, this book explains econometrics from a practical point of view by walking the student through real-life examples, step by step. Damodar Gujarati's clear, concise, writing style guides students from model formulation, to estimation and hypothesis-testing, through to post-estimation diagnostics. The basic statistics needed to follow the book are covered in an appendix, making the book a flexible and self-contained learning resource. The textbook is ideal for undergraduate students in economics, business, marketing, finance, operations research and related disciplines. It is also intended for students in MBA programs across the social sciences, and for researchers in business, government and research organizations who require econometrics. New to this Edition: - Two brand new chapters on Quantile Regression Modeling and Multivariate Regression Models. - Two further additional chapters on hierarchical linear regression models and bootstrapping are available on the book's website - New extended examples accompanied by real-life data - New student exercises at the end of each chapter
Download or read book Effects of Monetary Policy on Private Investments in Ethiopia written by Gediyon Bekele Moliso and published by . This book was released on 2021-07-15 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: