Download or read book Why Does the Option to Stock Volume Ratio Predict Stock Returns written by Li Ge and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use data on signed option volume to study which components of option volume predict stock returns and resolve the seemingly inconsistent results in the literature. We find no evidence that trades related to synthetic short positions in the underlying stocks contain more information than trades related to synthetic long positions. Purchases of calls that open new positions are the strongest predictor of returns, followed by call sales that close out existing purchased call positions. Overall our results indicate that the role of options in providing embedded leverage is the most important channel why option trading predicts stock returns.
Download or read book The Information Content of Option Ratios written by Benjamin M. Blau and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A broad stream of research shows that information flows into underlying stock prices through the options market. For instance, prior research shows that both the Put-Call Ratio (P/C) and the Option-to-Stock Volume Ratio (O/S) predict negative future stock returns. In this paper, we compare the level of information contained in these two commonly used option volume ratios. Our comparison of the return predictability contained in these ratios yields some new results. First, we find that P/C ratios contain more predictability about future stock returns at the daily level than O/S ratios. Second, in contrast to our first set of results, O/S ratios contain more predictability about future returns at the weekly and monthly levels than P/C ratios. In fact, our tests show that while P/C ratios contain predictability about future daily returns and, to some extent, future weekly returns, the return predictability in P/C ratios is fleeting. O/S ratios, on the other hand, significantly predict negative returns at both the weekly and monthly levels, respectively.
Download or read book The Option to Stock Volume Ratio and Stock Returns written by and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Implied Volatility Changes as Evidence of Stock Price Disequilibrium written by Dean Diavatopoulos and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Past works have documented the predictive power of short-term stock return momentum and option volume ratios for future stock returns. We find option volume ratios have greater power to predict future returns when evidence prices are out of equilibrium exists, proxied for by increases in implied volatility. In our sample, short-term momentum has significant power to predict future stock returns only in the presence of evidence prices are out of equilibrium. We document that option volume ratios, changes in option implied volatility and short-term momentum, together, have significant predictive power for the cross-section of stock returns in subsequent periods. The difference between firms predicted to be strong performers and those predicted to be weak performers is more than 1% per month. Buy and hold returns for an equally weighted portfolio of predicted strong performers are 249% over the 1996-2009 period compared to a loss of 38% for predicted weak performers. S&P 500 returns over the same period were 60%.
Download or read book Why Does the Change in Shares Predict Stock Returns written by William Richard Nelson and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Granville s New Key to Stock Market Profits written by Joseph E. Granville and published by Pickle Partners Publishing. This book was released on 2018-12-05 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this remarkable stock market study, one of Wall Street’s best known market analysts reveals a new technical tool he developed for gauging the pulse of the trading cycle. Called the On Balance Volume Theory, this tool tends to fill in some of the conspicuous voids in the famous Dow Theory—especially the lack of discussion and use of stock volume figures. As straightforward as a set of bridge rules, on-balance volume (OBV) denotes each buy and sell signal so that a trader can follow them without his own emotions tending to lead him astray—emotions causing most of the market misjudgements that take place. The Granville OBV method is essentially scientific, has a high degree of accuracy and has many automatic features. The reader of this book will be introduced to a method whereby he may benefit by the earlier movements of volume over price—the “early warning” radar of volume buy and sell signals.
Download or read book The Informational Role of Stock and Option Volume written by Kalok Chan and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the intraday interdependence of price movements and order flows for actively traded NYSE stocks and their CBOE-traded options. Stock net-buy volume (buyer-initiated volume minus seller-initiated volume)has strong predictive ability for subsequent stock and option returns, but call or put net-buy volume has little predictive ability. Furthermore, stock returns lead option returns more than they lag even after controlling for net-buy volume. Therefore, our results indicate that order flows in the stock market are informative but order flows in the option market are not, and suggest that informed investors submit trades primarily in the stock market rather than in the option market. There is also some evidence for the non-informational linkage between the two markets. Stock net-buy volume is positively (negatively) related to lagged call (put) returns, suggesting that option dealers dynamically hedge their outstanding short option positions when the option deltas change. However, call or put net-buy volume is not correlated with stock net-buy volume or lagged stock returns, suggesting that option traders do not use options for hedging or at least do not readjust their hedged positions frequently.
Download or read book Implied Volatility Functions written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.
Download or read book Stock Market Anomalies written by Elroy Dimson and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1988-03-17 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Options Markets written by John C. Cox and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1985 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes the first published detailed description of option exchange operations, the first published treatment using only elementary mathematics and the first step-by-step procedure for implementing the Black-Scholes formula in actual trading.
Download or read book Competition for Listings written by Thierry Foucault and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Download or read book The nature of informed option trading written by Marco Klapper and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2013-09-25 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 8.5 (A+), Erasmus University Rotterdam (Rotterdam School of Management), language: English, abstract: This thesis examines the kind of information “informed” traders have prior to a takeover announcement using options of target firms. I find that option liquidity rises before a takeover announcement, indicating the presence of informed traders. Using 2,390 M&A events, I show that the implied volatility (IV) skew and the relative option-to-stock trading volume O/S predict negatively on target announcement returns, but that the difference between implied volatilities of calls and puts (IV spread) has no predictive power. The main results indicate that the predictive power of these three informed option trading proxies increases if target management is entrenched and if the bidder and the target are in the same industry. I conclude that informed trading is partially driven by industry insiders with specific knowledge about the future acquisition. However, the results are only significant for one or two informed option trading proxies at a time.
Download or read book Hedge Fund Activism written by Alon Brav and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2010 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hedge Fund Activism begins with a brief outline of the research literature and describes datasets on hedge fund activism.
Download or read book The nature of informed option trading Evidence from the takeover market written by Marco Klapper and published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag). This book was released on 2014-02-01 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the kind of information ‘informed’ traders have prior to a takeover announcement using options of target firms and elaborates on the cross-sectional relationship between options and stocks around takeover announcements. Financial markets are driven by information and by individuals that generate, process, and disclose this information to the market. Naturally, there have to be individuals who possess more information about a firm or a future event than other market participants. Mergers and acquisitions are particularly interesting events in this regard because they can have significant implications for the firms and stakeholders involved, as well as for the competitive dynamics in the respective market. Because of the large potential price impact of such transactions, traders with private information about a prospective takeover are expected to trade on this information to make a profit. But who are these ‘informed traders’ and what kind of information do they possess? This study tries to give a respond to this question.
Download or read book A Tea Reader written by Katrina Avila Munichiello and published by Tuttle Publishing. This book was released on 2017-03-21 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Tea Reader contains a selection of stories that cover the spectrum of life. This anthology shares the ways that tea has changed lives through personal, intimate stories. Read of deep family moments, conquered heartbreak, and peace found in the face of loss. A Tea Reader includes stories from all types of tea people: people brought up in the tea tradition, those newly discovering it, classic writings from long-ago tea lovers and those making tea a career. Together these tales create a new image of a tea drinker. They show that tea is not simply something you drink, but it also provides quiet moments for making important decisions, a catalyst for conversation, and the energy we sometimes need to operate in our lives. The stories found in A Tea Reader cover the spectrum of life, such as the development of new friendships, beginning new careers, taking dream journeys, and essentially sharing the deep moments of life with friends and families. Whether you are a tea lover or not, here you will discover stories that speak to you and inspire you. Sit down, grab a cup, and read on.
Download or read book Market Microstructure Theory written by Maureen O'Hara and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-03-06 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by one of the leading authorities in market microstructure research, this book provides a comprehensive guide to the theoretical work in this important area of finance.
