Download or read book Why Does Aggregate Insider Trading Predict Future Stock Returns written by Hasan Nejat Seyhun and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Aggregate Insider Trading and Market Returns written by Francois Brochet and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a sample of countries that require timely disclosures of insider trades, I investigate the effect of country-level institutions that promote transparency on the extent to which aggregate insider trades predict market returns. I find that financial information transparency mitigates the predictive content of aggregate insider trades when markets are more likely to deviate from fundamentals (i.e., during market fads), and when there is greater co-movement in stock prices. In contrast, there is some evidence that governance and investor protection mitigate the association between aggregate insider trades and future earnings surprises. Hence, holding constant the timely disclosures of insider trades, other capital market institutions play complementary roles in mitigating the informational frictions that give rise to the predictive content of aggregate insider trades.
Download or read book Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading written by H. Nejat Seyhun and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2000-02-28 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn how to profit from information about insider trading. The term insider trading refers to the stock transactions of the officers, directors, and large shareholders of a firm. Many investors believe that corporate insiders, informed about their firms' prospects, buy and sell their own firm's stock at favorable times, reaping significant profits. Given the extra costs and risks of an active trading strategy, the key question for stock market investors is whether the publicly available insider-trading information can help them to outperform a simple passive index fund. Basing his insights on an exhaustive data set that captures information on all reported insider trading in all publicly held firms over the past twenty-one years—over one million transactions!—H. Nejat Seyhun shows how investors can use insider information to their advantage. He documents the magnitude and duration of the stock price movements following insider trading, determinants of insiders' profits, and the risks associated with imitating insider trading. He looks at the likely performance of individual firms and of the overall stock market, and compares the value of what one can learn from insider trading with commonly used measures of value such as price-earnings ratio, book-to-market ratio, and dividend yield.
Download or read book Does Insider Trading Predict the Future Stock Return written by Sonia Afroz and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Insider Trading written by Yun Ma and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Corporate executives are prohibited from trading on material nonpublic information. In 2000, the SEC enacted Rule 10b5-1, which allows insiders to preplan their transactions before being aware of material nonpublic information. However, do corporate executives subsequently influence the timing and content of information disclosure to benefit their preplanned trades? We examine cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) around insider transactions and document patterns suggesting that insiders are "perfect" timers. That is, stock prices go up (go down) prior to but drop (back up) after insider sells (buys). Further classifying insider trades into preplanned (routine) trades and non-preplanned (opportunistic) trades, we show that the stock return patterns hold not only for non-preplanned (opportunistic) trades but also for preplanned (routine) trades. Using 8-K filings as a proxy of corporate discretionary disclosure, we find that there are significantly more 8-K filings prior to insider trades than during normal times. Moreover, based on the sentiment score from RavenPack News Analytics, we find that analyst reports and corporate news releases both have significant explanatory power of stock returns around insider transactions. The evidence documented in our study cannot rule out the hypothesis that corporate executives influence the timing and content of information disclosure to benefit their preplanned trades. In the second part of my dissertation, we investigate in insider trading's implications on stock returns. The literature posits that insiders are contrarian, i.e., buy stocks when they are under-valued and sell stocks when they are over-valued. In addition, insider transactions contain information about future firm fundamentals. As such, insider trading helps improve stock price efficiency and promote stock price discovery. In this study, we test the implications of both hypotheses. First, we follow the literature and identify undervalued and overvalued stocks and examine whether insider trades help correct mispricing of these stocks. Second, we examine whether insider trades contain more information about future firm fundamentals for mispriced stocks and the extent to which insider trades incorporate future fundamental information into stock prices. Our findings indicate that insider transactions play a role in correcting mispricing. However, the effect is significant mainly for overvalued stocks over short-term and undervalued stocks over long-term. In addition, we find that insider transactions contain information about long-term future firm fundamentals mainly for overvalued stocks. Nevertheless, our analysis suggests that insider transactions only incorporate a small fraction of future firm fundamental information into stock prices. To sharpen our analysis, we exclude pre-scheduled or routine insider trades, which are believed to be less informed of stock valuation and replicate our empirical tests, and show that our main findings are consistent.
Download or read book the january effect and aggregate insider trading written by h. nejat seyhun and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Insider Trading and Future Stock Returns in Firms With Concentrated Ownership Levels written by Dimitris K. Chronopoulos and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the relationship between insider trading and stock returns in firms with concentrated ownership. To this end, we employ data from East Asian countries which span the period 2003:01-2012:05. Consistent with previous literature, we find a significantly negative relation between the selling activity of insiders and stock returns. However, contrary to studies which focus on highly developed markets, we find that the buying activity of insiders is also inversely related to future stock returns. Our analysis shows that top directors with higher ownership levels drive this result, suggesting that the trading activity of insiders is not always associated with profit making motives and can be explained by their level of ownership. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a trading strategy which focuses solely on purchases made by top directors with high ownership levels yields negative returns. The paper has important implications for outside investors who mimic the trading activity of insiders with the aim to realize profits.
Download or read book private information market efficiency and insider trading a rational expectations approach written by thomas j. george and h. ncjat scyhun and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Trading with the Insiders written by Jonathan Moreland and published by Bloomberg Press. This book was released on 2017-07-05 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A detailed guide to profitably piggybacking on the trading moves made by corporate insiders Today, "insider data" is readily available for every publicly available stock. And while stories of illegal "insider trading" abound, the fact is that it is completely legal for corporate executives and directors to freely buy and sell shares of their own firm, as long as they report their transactions to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Given that company insiders presumably have a better handle on company performance and prospects than outside investors, these transactions may provide you with valuable clues about the future of the company's stock price. Now, in Trade with the Insiders, author Jonathan Moreland, an expert in the analysis of insider stock transaction data, reveals how you can use this information to improve your trading performance. This reliable resource will help investors track how "insiders" trade their own companies' shares by following the Form 4s filed at the SEC. Along the way, it will skillfully guide you through both the how's and why's of making the most of this profitable data stream. Describes how to distinguish between different types of insider transactions The author has used insider data as a major component in his stock recommendations, which have outperformed the S&P 500 index by more than fivefold over the last decade Discusses how to zero in on those transactions that are most likely indicative of a company's future prospects In today's dynamic market, actions speak louder than words. So if you want to improve your trading performance, look at the way corporate executives handle the shares of their company and turn those insights into profits for your portfolio.
Download or read book Market Forecasting Characteristics of Aggregate Insider Trading written by Hasan Nejat Seyhun and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Behavioral Biases of Informed Traders written by Eunju Lee and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide evidence on anchoring biases in insider trading using a stock's 52-week high. When stock prices are close to their 52-week highs, insiders are reluctant to purchase stocks and willing to sell them. Similarly, when stock prices are far from the 52-week highs, they are willing to buy stocks instead of selling them. This anchoring behavior is robust to controlling for insiders' contrarian strategy and firm characteristics. We find that these biased insider trades are not able to predict future returns or may lead to losses to investors who follow such insider trading. Our findings suggest that insiders are prone to behavioral biases, notwithstanding their access to private information.
Download or read book The Profits to Insider Trading written by Leslie A. Jeng and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates the profits to insiders when they trade their company's stock. We construct a rolling purchase portfolio' that holds all shares purchased by insiders over the previous year and an analogous sale portfolio' that holds all shares sold by insiders over the previous year. We then analyze the returns to these value-weighted portfolios using performance-evaluation methods. This approach allows us to study the returns to insider transactions beginning on the day after their execution, and is free of the statistical difficulties that plague event studies on long-horizon returns. Using a comprehensive sample of reported insider transactions from 1975 - 1996, we find that the purchase portfolio earns abnormal returns of about 40 basis points per month, with about one-sixth of these abnormal returns accruing within the first five days after the initial transaction, and one-third within the first month. The sale portfolio does not earn abnormal returns. Our portfolio-based approach also allows for straightforward decompositions of the purchase and sale portfolios by various characteristics. We find that the abnormal returns to insider trades in small firms are not significantly different from those in large firms, and that top executives do not earn higher abnormal returns than do other insiders
Download or read book Insider Trading and the Stock Market written by Henry G. Manne and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Building an Insider Trading Database and Predicting Future Equity Returns written by John Ryle and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper considers the impact of legal insider trading on subsequent investment returns. With filings data gathered directly from the Security Exchange Commission, various machine learning algorithms are applied, scored and compared for their return predictability relative to the Russell 3000 index. Predictor variables are derived directly from the insider filings, as well as from metadata from related corporate filings. The filings data, spanning years 2005 through 2015, is transformed into a relational database and analyzed using statistical analysis and predictive modeling libraries within the R programming language. The data is separated into training, validation and test sets. Modeling was performed using a variety of algorithms. Performance in the validation set appeared quite predictive, but results were less conclusive when scored on the test set.
Download or read book Changing Nature of Financial Intermediation and the Financial Crisis of 2007 09 written by Tobias Adrian and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. The financial crisis of 2007-09 highlighted the changing role of financial institutions and the growing importance of the ¿shadow banking system,¿ which grew out of the securitization of assets and the integration of banking with capital market developments. In a market-based financial system, banking and capital market developments are inseparable, and funding conditions are tied closely to fluctuations in the leverage of market-based financial intermediaries. This report describes the changing nature of financial intermediation in the market-based financial system, charts the course of the recent financial crisis, and outlines the policy responses that have been implemented by the Fed. Reserve and other central banks. Charts and tables.
Download or read book Beyond the Random Walk written by Vijay Singal and published by Financial Management Association Survey and Synthesis Series. This book was released on 2006 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an efficient market, all stocks should be valued at a price that is consistent with available information. But as financial expert Singal points out, there are circumstances under which certain stocks sell at a price higher or lower than the right price. Here he discusses ten such anomalous prices and shows how investors might--or might not--be able to exploit these situations for profit.
Download or read book Introduction to the Economics of Financial Markets written by James Bradfield and published by OUP USA. This book was released on 2007-02-08 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are many textbooks for business students that provide a systematic, introductory development of the economics of financial markets. However, there are as yet no introductory textbooks aimed at more easily daunted undergraduate liberal arts students. Introduction to the Economics of Financial Markets fills this gap by providing an extremely accessible introductory exposition of how economists analyze both how, and how well, financial markets organize the intertemporal allocation of scarce resources. The central theme is that the function of a system of financial markets is to enable consumers, investors, and managers of firms to effect mutually beneficial intertemporal exchanges. James Bradfield uses the standard concept of economic efficiency (Pareto Optimality) to assess the efficacy of the financial markets. He presents an intuitive, and introductory, understanding of the primary theoretical and empirical models that economists use to analyze financial markets, and then uses these models to discuss implications for public policy. Students who use this text will acquire an understanding of the economics of financial markets that will enable them to read, with some sophistication, articles in the public press about financial markets and about public policy toward those markets. The book is addressed to undergraduate students in the liberal arts, but will also be useful for undergraduate and beginning graduate students in programs of business administration who want an understanding of how economists assess financial markets against the criteria of allocative and informational efficiency.
