Download or read book What are the Chances of That written by Andrew C. A. Elliott and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-08-02 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chance fills every day of our lives and affects every decision we make. Yet, for something woven so closely into the fabric of our being, we are not very good at thinking about uncertainty and risk. In this lively and engaging book, Andrew C. A. Elliott asks why this is so. He picks at the threads and, in showing how our world is built on probability rather than certainty, he identifies five obstacles to thinking about uncertainty that confuse us time after time. Elliott takes us into the casino, but this is not an invitation to gamble. He looks at financial markets, but this is not a guide to investment. There's discussion of health, but this is not a medical book. He touches on genetics and evolution, and music-making, and writing, because chance is at work there too. Entering many different fields, What are the Chances of That? is always following the trail of chance and randomness. One purpose of the book is to go cross-country, to show that there are connected ways of thinking that disrespect boundaries and cut across the domains of finance, and gambling, and genetics, and public health, and creativity. Through it, one visits the vantage points that give a broad view of the landscape and sees how these different areas of life and knowledge are connected - through chance. What are the Chances of That? discusses chance and the importance of understanding how it affects our lives. It goes beyond a mathematical approach to the subject, showing how our thinking about chance and uncertainty has been shaped by history and culture, and only relatively recently by the mathematical theory of probability. In considering how we think about uncertainty, Elliott proposes five “dualities” that encapsulate many of the ambiguities that arise.
Download or read book What are the Chances of That written by Andrew C. A. Elliott and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022-11-28 with total page 483 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chance fills every day of our lives and affects every decision we make. Yet, for something woven so closely into the fabric of our being, we are not very good at thinking about uncertainty and risk. In this lively and engaging book, Andrew C. A. Elliott asks why this is so. He picks at the threads and, in showing how our world is built on probability rather than certainty, he identifies five obstacles to thinking about uncertainty that confuse us time after time. Elliott takes us into the casino, but this is not an invitation to gamble. He looks at financial markets, but this is not a guide to investment. There's discussion of health, but this is not a medical book. He touches on genetics and evolution, and music-making, and writing, because chance is at work there too. Entering many different fields, What are the Chances of That? is always following the trail of chance and randomness. One purpose of the book is to go cross-country, to show that there are connected ways of thinking that disrespect boundaries and cut across the domains of finance, and gambling, and genetics, and public health, and creativity. Through it, one visits the vantage points that give a broad view of the landscape and sees how these different areas of life and knowledge are connected - through chance. What are the Chances of That? discusses chance and the importance of understanding how it affects our lives. It goes beyond a mathematical approach to the subject, showing how our thinking about chance and uncertainty has been shaped by history and culture, and only relatively recently by the mathematical theory of probability. In considering how we think about uncertainty, Elliott proposes five “dualities” that encapsulate many of the ambiguities that arise.
Download or read book Know Your Chances written by Steven Woloshin and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2008-11-30 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding risk -- Putting risk in perspective -- Risk charts : a way to get perspective -- Judging the benefit of a health intervention -- Not all benefits are equal : understand the outcome -- Consider the downsides -- Do the benefits outweight the downsides? -- Beware of exaggerated importance -- Beware of exaggerated certainty -- Who's behind the numbers?
Download or read book What Are the Chances written by Bart K. Holland and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2002-06-03 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Roulette wheels and the plague -- Surely something's wrong with you -- The life table : you can bet on it! -- The rarest events -- The waiting game -- Stockbrokers and climate change.
Download or read book What Are the Chances written by Barbara Blatchley and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2021-08-03 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner, 2023 William James Book Award, American Psychological Association Division 1 in General Psychology Most of us, no matter how rational we think we are, have a lucky charm, a good-luck ritual, or some other custom we follow in the hope that it will lead to a good result. Is the idea of luckiness just a way in which we try to impose order on chaos? Do we live in a world of flukes and coincidences, good and bad breaks, with outcomes as random as a roll of the dice—or can our beliefs help change our luck? What Are the Chances? reveals how psychology and neuroscience explain the significance of the idea of luck. Barbara Blatchley explores how people react to random events in a range of circumstances, examining the evidence that the belief in luck helps us cope with a lack of control. She tells the stories of lucky and unlucky people—who won the lottery multiple times, survived seven brushes with death, or found an apparently cursed Neanderthal mummy—as well as the accidental discoveries that fundamentally changed what we know about the brain. Blatchley considers our frequent misunderstanding of randomness, the history of luckiness in different cultures and religions, the surprising benefits of magical thinking, and many other topics. Offering a new view of how the brain handles the unexpected, What Are the Chances? shows why an arguably irrational belief can—fingers crossed—help us as we struggle with an unpredictable world.
Download or read book What Are the Chances written by Bart K. Holland and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2002-06-03 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An “enjoyable [and] painlessly instructive” guide to probability, full of examples drawn from daily life and history (The Skeptic). Our lives are governed by chance. But what, exactly, is chance? In this book, statistician and storyteller Bart K. Holland takes us on a tour of the world of probability. Weaving together tales from real life?from the spread of the bubonic plague in medieval Europe and the number of Prussian cavalrymen kicked to death by their horses, through IQ test results and why you have to wait in line for rides at Disney World?Holland captures probability in action, and the everyday events that can profoundly affect our lives but are controlled by just one number. As Holland explains, even chance events are governed by the laws of probability and follow regular patterns called statistical laws. He shows how such laws are successfully applied, with great benefit, in fields as diverse as the insurance industry, the legal system, medical research, aerospace engineering, and climatology. Whether you have only a distant recollection of high school algebra or use differential equations every day, this book offers enlightening and entertaining examples of the impact of chance. “[An] excellent primer on probability . . . In a time when anecdote and panic seem to influence public policy more than objective analysis, Holland has provided a welcome reminder of the power of the analytical approach.” —Simon Singh, New Scientist
Download or read book What Are the Chances written by Kenny Rogers and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2013-09-03 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Country music legend Kenny Rogers teams up with Spur Award–winning author Mike Blakely for a rousing tale set in the heyday of Nashville in What Are the Chances. It's 1975, and Ronnie Breed's chart-topping rock band has just self-destructed in a recording studio fistfight. Ronnie makes a bold decision—return home to Texas and reinvent himself as a solo act. Enter Dan Campbell, Ronnie's cousin, who recruits Ronnie for a new kind of venture. Dan, who always had a penchant for wild schemes, wants to televise a Texas Hold 'Em tournament...and Ronnie could never say no to his cousin Dan. As celebrity spokesman for the poker tournament, Ronnie soon finds himself recruiting world-class gamblers in illegal card games while trying to put together a new country band and win a Nashville recording contract—not to mention trying to avoid falling head-over-heels in love with his new manager, Dorothy. But when things start to get weird—hidden cameras, secret high-stakes side-bets, a visit from the FBI—it seems that Dan's poker tournament may be a façade for something much bigger and much more dangerous. Ronnie begins to wonder if he will end up with the girl of his dreams in the Country Music Hall of Fame, or broke and lonely in some prison cell. What are the chances?
Download or read book Taking Chances written by John Haigh and published by Winning with Probability. This book was released on 2003 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "What are the odds against winning the Lotto, The Weakest Link, or Who Wants to be a Millionaire? The answer lies in the science of probability, yet many of us are unaware of how this science works. Every day, people make judgements on a wide variety of situations where chance plays a role, including buying insurance, betting on horse-racing, following medical advice - even carrying an umbrella. In Taking Chances, John Haigh guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better-informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on top television shows, plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers."--BOOK JACKET.
Download or read book Chances Are written by Steve Slavin and published by Madison Books. This book was released on 1998-06-18 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chances Are is the first book to make statistics accessible to everyone, regardless of how much math you remember from school.
Download or read book What Are the Chances written by Evelyn Shipp and published by FriesenPress. This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To recount some of the vicissitudes of life, be they little or big, welcomed or unwanted, funny or a cliff hanger in which the consequences can only be explained as a result of divine interference, not luck and certainly not by chance.
Download or read book The Chances of Death and Other Studies in Evolution written by Karl Pearson and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1897 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book What are the Chances written by Steven P. Petcher and published by AuthorHouse. This book was released on 2012-04-20 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do you believe life happens by chance, by coincidence, or perhaps it’s just plain luck? The truth is that God has a plan for your life. “For I know the plans I have for you declares the Lord” (Jeremiah 29:11 NIV). He cares for you and desires to be in relationship with you. Read the stories of some who had reason to doubt. As they trusted God, He met their need. Like others, there may be times in your life when the pain you feel causes you to want to run away or possibly hide from reality. You will learn that you cannot run far enough, nor hide well enough to escape. It is often at that very critical, life changing point in life that our Heavenly Father softens hearts and encourages people to reach out to Him. Don’t rely on chance; rely on God. Reach out to the one who has a plan for you. He has been there, waiting all the while; waiting for you to trust Him!
Download or read book What Are the Odds written by J. Le and published by Dorrance Publishing. This book was released on 2020-11-02 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What Are the Odds By: J. Le What is the difference between luck and fate? Is there really a connection between love and chance? And how do you determine the difference between some cosmic predetermination and just complete and utter randomness. For Jacob Diehl, figuring it out couldn’t have been further from what it all is—a gamble. Follow Jacob in his coming-of-age story as he discovers everything about life, love, and friendship in both slow motion and fast forward. Learn with him as he discovers that luck never actually gives, only lends.
Download or read book Chances Are written by Nancy Pfenning and published by PRUFROCK PRESS INC.. This book was released on 1998 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do you avoid teaching probability and statistics because the subjects seem confusing and complex? Are you less than sure about your knowledge of the topics? Let Chances Are . . . take you and your students on a fun and exciting mathematical journey none of you will ever forget! Filled with easy-to-understand explanations and creative activities, this book offers teachers a simple method for teaching probability and statistics in an enjoyable way. This book can serve as an introduction for any beginner, from gifted and advanced students in upper elementary school, to high school students needing enrichment or preparation for Advanced Placement Statistics or future college courses. From helping to win a card game, to making life-or-death medical decisions, the uses of probability and statistics are virtually endless. For teachers of elementary students, the book offers simple, hands-on lessons and activities about probability and basic statistics. For teachers of older students, advanced statistical concepts are discussed and activities are provided. Reviewers have found the book's level to be appropriate for a wide range of ages, from fourth graders to post-secondary students.
Download or read book The Book of Risks written by Larry Laudan and published by . This book was released on 1994-10-17 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Did you know that your chances of dying of rabies this year are less than your chances of being hit by a falling airplane? Guaranteed to pique your curiosity and open your eyes about life's myriad perils, this book takes a lighthearted look at the risks we face every day, providing hours of astonishing information. Sidebars and graphs.
Download or read book Chances Are written by Michael Kaplan and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2007-02-27 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A compelling journey through history, mathematics, and philosophy, charting humanity’s struggle against randomness Our lives are played out in the arena of chance. However little we recognize it in our day-to-day existence, we are always riding the odds, seeking out certainty but settling—reluctantly—for likelihood, building our beliefs on the shadowy props of probability. Chances Are is the story of man’s millennia-long search for the tools to manage the recurrent but unpredictable—to help us prevent, or at least mitigate, the seemingly random blows of disaster, disease, and injustice. In these pages, we meet the brilliant individuals who developed the first abstract formulations of probability, as well as the intrepid visionaries who recognized their practical applications—from gamblers to military strategists to meteorologists to medical researchers, from blackjack to our own mortality.
Download or read book Head First Statistics written by Dawn Griffiths and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2008-08-26 with total page 721 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to statistics that teaches the fundamentals with real-life scenarios, and covers histograms, quartiles, probability, Bayes' theorem, predictions, approximations, random samples, and related topics.
