Download or read book Volatility Spillovers Among the U S and Asian Stock Markets written by Li Yang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the changing nature of volatility spillovers among the U.S. and eight East Asian stock markets between two financial crises: the Asian currency crisis and the U.S. subprime credit crisis. Our empirical results suggest that volatility is not always spilled over from directly affected markets to surrounding markets in crisis periods. The East Asian markets who directly suffered from the Asian currency crisis are the ones to which volatility is spilled over from other markets during the Asian currency crisis period, whereas unidirectional volatility spillovers from the U.S. market to other markets are observed during both crisis periods. This difference can be explained by a predetermined hierarchy in which volatility spillovers tend to start from the U.S. market regardless of the geographical origin of the crisis. Furthermore, our results reveal that the markets in three major Asian financial hubs, i.e., Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore, are the markets to which volatility is spilled over unidirectionally from several other countries during the subprime credit crisis period, whereas it is not true during the Asian currency crisis period. We attribute this difference to crisis-specific (currency or credit crisis), market-specific (credit derivatives market participation and foreign currency reserves), and time-specific (more integrated global market) factor.

Download or read book Return and Volatility Spillovers Among Asian Stock Markets written by Prashant Mahesh Joshi and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study examines the return and volatility spillover among Asian stock markets in India, Hong Kong, Japan, China, Jakarta, and Korea using a six-variable asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity-Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner (GARCH-BEKK) model during February 2, 2007, to February 29, 2010. The author finds evidence of bidirectional return, shock, and volatility spillover among most of the stock markets. The magnitude of volatility linkages is low indicating weak integration of Asian stock markets. The study finds that own volatility spillover is higher than cross-market spillover. The overall persistence of stock market volatility is highest for Japan (0.931) and lowest for China (0.824). The implication of weak integration is that investors will benefit from reduction of diversifiable risk.

Download or read book Volatility Spillover Among Stock Markets in Six Asian Countries and the United States written by Sang Jin Lee and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article examines the volatility spillover effects among six Asian country stock markets and the United States. The six Asian countries are India, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan. This article also investigates whether the volatility spillover effect increased after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. There are statistically significant volatility spillover effects within the stock markets of these countries and that effect dramatically increased after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Especially, the regionally close five countries Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Taiwan experienced more links among them.

Download or read book Price and Volatility Spillovers Across North American European and Asian Stock Markets written by Priyanka Singh and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates interdependence of fifteen world indices including an Indian market index in terms of return and volatility spillover effect. These markets are that of Canada, China, France, Germany, Hong-Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, Singapore, Taiwan, United Kingdom and United States. Vector autoregressive model (VAR 15) is used to estimate the conditional return spillover among these indices in which all fifteen indices are considered together. The effect of same day return in explaining the return spillover is also modeled using univariate models. Volatility spillover is estimated through AR-GARCH in which residuals from the index return is used as explanatory variable in GARCH equation. Return and volatility spillover between Indian and other markets are modeled through bivariate VAR and multivariate GARCH (BEKK) model respectively. It is found that there is greater regional influence among Asian markets in return and volatility than with European and US. Japanese market, which is first to open, is affected by US and European markets only and affects most of the Asian Markets. Also, high degree of correlation among European indices namely FTSE, CAC and DAX is observed. US market is influenced by both Asian and European markets. Specific to Indian context, it is found that Indian market is not cointegrated with rest of the world except Indonesia. However, strong short run interdependence is found between Indian markets and most of the other markets. Indian and other markets like US, Japan, Korea, and Canada positively affect each others' conditional returns significantly. Indian market also has significant effect on Malaysia, Pakistan, and Singapore return.

Download or read book Spillovers of the U S Subprime Financial Turmoil to Mainland China and Hong Kong SAR Evidence from Stock Markets written by Tao Sun and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2009-08-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on evidence from stock markets as it investigates the spillovers from the United States to mainland China and Hong Kong SAR during the subprime crisis. Using both univariate and multivariate GARCH models, this paper finds that China's stock market is not immune to the financial crisis, as evidenced by the price and volatility spillovers from the United States. In addition, HK's equity returns have exhibited more significant price and volatility spillovers from the United States than China's returns, and past volatility shocks in the United States have a more persistent effect on future volatility in HK than in China, reflecting HK's role as an international financial center. Moreover, the impact of the volatility from the United States on China's stock markets has been more persistent than that from HK, due mainly to the United States as the origin of the subprime crisis. Finally, as expected, the conditional correlation between China and HK has outweighed their conditional correlations with the United States, echoing increasing financial integration between China and HK.

Download or read book Mean and Volatility Spillover Effects in the U S and Pacific Basin Stock Markets written by Y. Angela Liu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the mean return and volatility spillover effects from the U.S. and Japan to four Asian stock markets, including Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand. The empirical results from examining the data for the period of 1984 to 1991 suggest that the U.S. market is more influential than the Japanese market in transmitting returns and volatilities to the four Asian markets. In addition, the observed spillover effects are unstable over time in the sense that the spillovers increase substantially after the October 1987 stock market crash. Furthermore, the evidence indicates that while the cross-country stock investing hypothesis cannot by itself explain the international transmissions of return and volatility, the market contagion also plays an important role in the transmission mechanism.

Download or read book Return and Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets Between China and Southeast Asian Countries written by Hung Ngo and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose - This paper aims to study the daily returns and volatility spillover effects in common stock prices between China and four countries in Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia).Design/methodology/approach - The analysis uses a vector autoregression with a bivariate GARCHBEKK model to capture return linkage and volatility transmission spanning the period including the pre- and post-2008 Global Financial Crisis.Findings - The main empirical result is that the volatility of the Chinese market has had a significant impact on the other markets in the data sample. For the stock return, linkage between China and other markets seems to be remarkable during and after the Global Financial Crisis. Notably, the findings also indicate that the stock markets are more substantially integrated into the crisis.Practical implications - The results have considerable implications for portfolio managers and institutional investors in the evaluation of investment and asset allocation decisions. The market participants should pay more attention to assess the worth of across linkages among the markets and their volatility transmissions. Additionally, international portfolio managers and hedgers may be better able to understand how the volatility linkage between stock markets interrelated overtime; this situation might provide them benefit in forecasting the behavior of this market by capturing the other market information.Originality/value - This paper would complement the emerging body of existing literature by examining how China stock market impacts on their neighboring countries including Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia. Furthermore, this is the first investigation capturing return linkage and volatility spill over between China market and the four Southeast Asian markets by using bivariate VAR-GARCH-BEKK model. The authors believe that the results of this research's empirical analysis would amplify the systematic understanding of spillover activities between China stock market and other stock markets.

Download or read book Return and Volatility Spillovers Among the East Asian Equity Markets written by Kamil Yılmaz and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article examines the extent of contagion and interdependence across the East Asian equity markets since early 1990s and compares the ongoing crisis with earlier episodes. Using the forecast error variance decomposition from a vector autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences significant bursts during major market crises, including the East Asian crisis. The fact that both return and volatility spillover indices reached their respective peaks during the current global financial crisis attests to the severity of the current episode. -- Stock returns ; Volatility ; Spillovers ; Vector autoregression ; Variance decomposition

Download or read book Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets written by John Beirne and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs), with a dummy capturing parameter shifts during turbulent episodes. LR tests suggest that mature markets influence conditional variances in many emerging markets. Moreover, spillover parameters change during turbulent episodes. Conditional variances in most EMEs rise during these episodes, but there is only limited evidence of shifts in conditional correlations between mature and emerging markets.

Download or read book Modeling Volatility Spillover Effects Between Developed Stock Markets and Asian Emerging Stock Markets written by Yanan Li and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Asian Flu or Wall Street Virus Price and Volatility Spillovers of the Tech and Non Tech Sectors in the United States and Asia written by Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility spillovers to stock markets in the Asian region during three different periods in the last decade: the pre-Long Term Capital Management crisis period the tech bubble period, and the stock market correction period. Hong Kong SAR, Japan, and Singapore also were important spillover sources within the Asian region and affected United States to a lesser degree during the stock market correction period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics induced during the tech bubble period.

Download or read book The Spillover Effects of U S and Japanese Public Information News in Advanced Asia Pacific Stock Markets written by Suk-Joong Kim and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the nature of information leadership of the U.S. and Japan in the advanced Asia-Pacific stock markets. Instead of just relying on return and return volatility spillovers from major markets, specific and disaggregated news events are also utilized. In particular, the aim is to examine the nature of spillover effects of scheduled announcements of the U.S. and Japanese macroeconomic variables in the advanced Asia-Pacific stock markets of Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore for the period 2 January 1991 to 31 May 1999. The investigation reveals that both U.S. and Japanese announcement news elicit significant first and second moment influences on the returns of the other markets, in general, and that there is a complex array of significant market responses to various news announcements. There is also strong evidence of markets responding differently to bad news announcements compared to overall news (including both good and bad news) announcements which indicate that the information content of each economic announcement is a source of tradable information rather than the act of releasing economic figures. Thus, this paper contributes to the literature by shedding light on the important drivers of the documented information leadership of the U.S. and Japanese stock markets.

Download or read book Volatility Spillovers between the US and the China Stock Markets written by Gyu-Hyun Moon and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper examines the short-run spillover effects of daily stock returns and volatilities between the Samp;P 500 in the U.S. and Shanghai SSE composite in China. First, we find that a structural break occurred in the SSE stock return mean in December 2005. Second, by analyzing modified GARCH (1,1)-M models, we find evidence of a symmetric and asymmetric volatility spillover effect from the U.S. to the China stock market in the post-break period. Third, we observe the symmetric volatility spillover effect from China to the U.S. in the post-break period.

Download or read book Stock Markets in Islamic Countries written by Shaista Arshad and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-12-22 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the volatility, efficiency and integration of stock markets in Islamic countries. It presents recent trends, growth and performance, before moving on to explore how patterns change during different business cycles for short-term and long-term investors, and ranks the efficiency of the various markets. It addresses how the level of market integration has been affected during different economic periods, and concludes by summarising the performance of the stock markets, suggesting potential future directions for these markets.

Download or read book Networks of Volatility Spillovers Among Stock Markets written by Eduard Baumohl and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In our network analysis of 40 developed, emerging and frontier stock markets during 2006-2014, we describe and model volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by fitting a spatial model incorporating several exogenous characteristics. We show significant temporal proximity effects between markets and somewhat weaker temporal effects with regard to the US equity market - volatility spillovers decrease when markets are characterized by greater temporal proximity. Volatility spillovers also present a high degree of interconnectedness. Our results also link spillovers of escalating magnitude with increasing market size, market liquidity and economic openness.

Download or read book The CIA World Factbook 2017 written by Central Intelligence Agency and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2016-11-22 with total page 4673 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A country-by-country guide to the world. From Afghanistan to Zimbabwe, The CIA World Factbook 2017 offers complete and up-to-date information on the world’s nations. This comprehensive guide is packed with data on the politics, populations, military expenditures, and economics of 2016. For each country, The CIA World Factbook 2017 includes: • Detailed maps with new geopolitical data • Statistics on the population of each country, with details on literacy rates, HIV prevalence, and age structure • New data on military expenditures and capabilities • Information on each country’s climate and natural hazards • Details on prominent political parties and contact information for diplomatic consultation • Facts on transportation and communication infrastructure Also included are appendixes with useful abbreviations, international environmental agreements, international organizations and groups, weight and measure conversions, and more. Originally intended for use by government officials, this is a must-have resource for students, travelers, journalists, and businesspeople with a desire to know more about their world.

Download or read book Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises written by Ms.Camelia Minoiu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-24 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis has reignited interest in models of crisis prediction. It has also raised the question whether financial connectedness - a possible source of systemic risk - can serve as an early warning indicator of crises. In this paper we examine the ability of connectedness in the global network of financial linkages to predict systemic banking crises. Our results indicate that increases in a country's financial interconnectedness and decreases in its neighbors' connectedness are associated with a higher probability of banking crises after controlling for macroeconomic fundamentals.